• Title/Summary/Keyword: 우선순위 지수화

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Selection of Performance of Bias Correction using TOPSIS method (TOPSIS 방법을 이용한 편의 보정 방법 선정)

  • Song, Young Hoon;Chung, Eun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.306-306
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    • 2019
  • 전지구적 기온상승으로 인해 미래기후의 관한 연구가 중요시 되고 있다. 위와 같은 현상으로 인하여 다양한 기후변화 연구가 진행되고 있다. 미래기후 연구에는 GCM (General Circulation Model) 모의 결과가 이용된다. 격자 자료로 구성된 GCM은 연구 지점으로 지역적 상세화와 연구지역의 관측자료 사이의 편이 보정(bias correction)이 필수적이다. 위와 같은 근거로 편이 보정 방법의 선택은 매우 중요하며 편의 보정의 방법에 따라서 결과가 다르게 도출될 수 있다. 또한 국내외 연구에서는 다양한 상세화 기법과 편이 보정 기법을 분석 및 평가하는 연구가 진행되고 있으며, 편의 기법 중 대표적인 기법인 Quantile mapping과 Random Forest 기법이 있다. Quantile mapping 기법은 GCM의 과거 모의 데이터와의 편이 보정에 있어서 우수하게 나타났으나, GCM 데이터의 미래 예측 기간(2010년~2018년)까지의 데이터에서는 극한 강수를 정량적으로 분석 가능한 Random Forest 기법이 편이 보정 과정에서 성능이 우수할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 21개 관측소를 기준으로 총 4개의 GCM(GISS, CSIRO, CCSM4,MIROC5)의 과거 기간 자료(1970년~2005년)를 실제 관측소에서 관측된 강수량을 편의 보정하는 방법에 있어서 편의 보정 기법의 성능을 비교한 결과와 GCM 미래 예측 기간 자료(2010년~2018년)에서의 편의 보정 기법의 성능 결과를 비교하였다. 이를 토대로 편이 보정 기법의 결과를 6개의 평가지수를 이용하여 정량적으로 분석하였으며, 다기준의사결정기법인 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)를 이용하여 편이 보정기법들의 성능에 있어서 우선순위를 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 편이 보정 방법으로 Quantile mapping 방법을 사용했으며, Quantile mapping의 기법으로는 비모수 변환법(non-parametric transformation)과 분포기반 변환법(distribution derived transformation)이 사용되었다. 또한 머신러닝 방법 중 하나인 Random Forest 방법을 동시에 사용하여 결과를 비교하였다. 또한 GCM 자료가 격자식으로 제공하고 있기 때문에 관측소 강수량도 공간적으로 환산하여야 하는데, 본 연구에서는 역거리 가중치법(inverse distance weighting, IDW) 방법을 이용하였다.

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Integrated Approach for Watershed Management in an Urban Area (도시 유역 관리를 위한 통합적인 접근방법)

  • Lee, Kil-Seong;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.2 s.163
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    • pp.161-178
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    • 2006
  • Heathcote (1998) identified a systematic, seven-step approach to general watershed planning and management. It consists of 1) understanding watershed components and processes, 2) identifying and ranking problems to be solved, 3) setting clear and specific goals, 4) developing a list of management options, 5) eliminating infeasible options 6) testing the effectiveness of remaining feasible options, and 7) developing the final options. In this study the first five steps of that process were applied to the Anyangcheon watershed in Korea, which experiences streamflow depletion, frequent flood damages, and poor water quality typical of highly urbanized watersheds. This study employed four indices: Potential Flood Damage(PFD), Potential Streamflow Depletion(PSD), Potential Water Quality Deterioration(PWQD) and Watershed Evaluation Index(WEI) to identify and quantify problems within the watershed. WEI is the integration index of the others. Composite programming which is a method of multi-criteria decision making is applied for the calculation of PSD, PWQD and WEI (Step 2). The primary goal of the study is to secure instreamflow in the Anyangcheon during dry seasons. The second management goals of flood damage mitigation and water quality enhancement are also set (Step 3). Management options include not only structural measures that can alter the existing conditions, but also nonstructural measures that rely on changes in human behavior or management practices (Step 4). Certain management options which are not technically, economically, and environmentally feasible, are eliminated (Step S). Therefore, this study addresses a Pre-feasibility study, which established a master plan using Steps 1 through 5.

Development of Computation Model for Traffic Accidents Risk Index - Focusing on Intersection in Chuncheon City - (교통사고 위험도 지수 산정 모델 개발 - 춘천시 교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Shim, Kywan-Bho;Hwang, Kyung-Soo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2009
  • Traffic accident risk index Computation model's development apply traffic level of significance about area of road user group, road and street network area, population group etc.. through numerical formula or model by countermeasure to reduce the occurrence rate of traffic accidents. Is real condition that is taking advantage of risk by tangent section through estimation model and by method to choose improvement way to intersection from outside the country, and is utilizing being applied in part business in domestic. However, question is brought in the accuracy being utilizing changing some to take external model in domestic real condition than individual development of model. Therefore, selection intersection estimation element through traffic accidents occurrence present condition, geometry structure, control way, traffic volume, turning traffic volume etc. in 96 intersections in this research, and select final variable through correlation analysis of abstracted estimation elements. Developed intersection design model taking advantage of signal type, numeric of lane, intersection type, analysis of variance techniques through ANOVA analysis of three variables of intersection form with selected variable lastly, in signal crossing through three class intersection, distinction variable choice risk in model, no-signal crossing risk distinction analysis model and so on develop.

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Assessment of Local Social Vulnerability in Facing Merapi Volcanic Hazard (메라피 화산재해에 대한 지역단위의 사회적 취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Sungsu;Maharani, Yohana Noradika;Yi, Waon-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.485-492
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    • 2014
  • In regards to natural disasters, vulnerability analysis is a component of the disaster risk analysis with one of its objectives as a basis for planning priority setting activities. The volcano eruption raises many casualties and property in the surrounding area, especially when the volcano located in densely populated areas. Volcanic eruptions cannot be prevented, but the risk and vulnerability can be reduced which involve careful planning and preparations that anticipate a future crisis. The social vulnerability as social inequalities with those social factors can influence the susceptibility of various groups to harm and govern their ability to respond. This study carried out the methods of Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) to measure the socially created vulnerability of the people living in Merapi proximal hamlets in Central Java, Indonesia that refers to the socioeconomic and demographic factors that affect the resilience of communities in order to describe and understand the social burdens of risk. Social vulnerability captured here, using a qualitative survey based-data such as interviews to local people with random ages and background to capture the answer vary, also interviews to stakeholders to help define social vulnerability variables. The paper concludes that by constructing the vulnerability index for the hamlets, the study reveals information about the distribution and causes of social vulnerability. The analysis using SoVI confirms that this method works well in ensuring that positive values indicating high social vulnerability and vice versa.

Sustainable Water Resources Planning to Prevent Streamflow Depletion in an Urban Watershed: 1. Methodology (도시유역의 건천화 방지를 위한 지속가능한 수자원 계획: 1. 방법론)

  • Lee, Kil-Seong;Cung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Young-Oh;Cho, Tak-Gun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.11 s.172
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    • pp.935-946
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    • 2006
  • This study proposed a new procedure of sustainable water resources planning to prevent the urban streamflow depletion, based on the Heathcote's study in 1998: (1) to understand the watershed component and processes, (2) to identify and quantify problems within the watershed, (3) to set clear and specific goals, (4) to develop a list of management options, (5) to eliminate infeasible options, (6) to test the effectiveness of remaining feasible options, and (7) to develop the final options. PSR(Presure-State-Response) concept was used for the determination of indicators of PSD(Potential Streamflow Depletion; step 2) and effect equation (step 7) and composite programming for the calculation of PSD. The instreamflow requirement was proposed as clear and specific goal (step 3) and was determined by the larger of the PHABSIM's environmental flow and the drought flow. A continuous rainfall-runoff model is necessary to test the effectiveness of alternatives. It should estimate not only the exact runoff but also the effect of landuse change, reservoir, infiltration facility and so on like SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool). The proposed procedure will be applied on the corresponding paper.

Analysis of Roadkill Hotspot According to the Spatial Clustering Methods (공간 군집지역 탐색방법에 따른 로드킬 다발구간 분석)

  • Song, Euigeun;Seo, Hyunjin;Kim, Kyungmin;Woo, Donggul;Park, Taejin;Choi, Taeyoung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.580-591
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed roadkill hotspots in Yeongju, Mungyeong-si Andong-si and Cheongsong-gun to compare the method of searching the area of the spatial cluster for selecting the roadkill hotspots. The local spatial autocorrelation index Getis-Ord Gi* statistics were calculated by different units of analysis, drawing hotspot areas of 9% from 300 m and 14% from 1 km on the basis of the total road area. The rating of Z-score in the 1km hotspot area showed the highest Z-score in the 28th National Road section on the border between Yecheon-gun and Yeongj-si. The kernel density method performed general kernel density estimation and network kernel density estimation analysis, both of which made it easier to visualize roadkill hotspots than district unit analysis, but there were limitations that it was difficult to determine statistically significant priority. As a result, local hotspot areas were found to be different according to the cluster analysis method, and areas that are in common need of reduction measures were found to be the hotspot of 28th National Road through Yeongju-si and Yecheon-gun. It is deemed that the results of this study can be used as basic data when identifying roadkill hotspots and establishing measures to reduce roadkill.

Review of Assessing Soil Quality Criteria for Environmentally-Sound Agricultural Practics and Future Use (환경적으로 안전한 농업과 미래용도를 위한 토질 기준 평가 검토)

  • Doug Young Chung
    • Journal of Korea Soil Environment Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.127-145
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    • 1998
  • Unlike water or air quality standards that have been established by legislation using potential human health impact as the primary criterion, soil quality depends on the soils primary function and its relevant environmental factors, which is much more site- and soil specific. A properly characterized soil quality assessment system should serve as an indicator of the soil capacity to produce safe and nutritious food, to enhance human and animal health, and to overcome degrative processes. For our proposed example, a high quality soil with regard to maintaining an adequate soil productivity as a food production resources must accommodate soil and water properties, food chain, sustainability and utilization, environment, and profitability, that (i) facilitate water transfer and absorption, (ii) sustain plant growth, (iii) resist physical degradation of soil, (iv) produce a safe food resources, (v) cost-effective agricultural management. Possible soil quality indicators are identified at several levels within the framework for each of these functions. Each indicator is assigned a priority or weight that reflects its relative importance using a multi-objective approach based on principles of systems to be considered. To do this, individual scoring system is differentiated by the several levels from low to very high category or point scoring ranging from 0 to 10, And then weights are multiplied and products are summed to provide an overall soil quality rating based on several physical and chemical indicators. Tlne framework and procedure in developing the soil quality assessment are determined by using information collected from an alternative and conventional farm practices in the regions. The use of an expanded framework for assessing effects of other processes, management practices, or policy issues on soil quality is also considered. To develop one possible form for a soil quality index, we should permit coupling the soil characteristics with assessment system based on soil properties and incoming and resident chemicals. The purpose of this paper is to discuss approaches to defining and assessing soil quality and to suggest the factors to be considered.

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An Extraction and ANP Importance Analysis for Competence Factors of Junior Grade CM Engineer (초급 건설사업관리기술자(CMr)의 요구역량 추출 및 ANP 중요도 분석)

  • Yang, Jinkook;Kim, Sebeom;Lee, Sangbeom
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2017
  • Construction Management (CM) is being utilized as an efficient project management system. Construction management system provide scientific management techniques as well as the expert's service with the expertise. Accordingly, CM services demand is continuously increasing in construction project. Construction Management engineer grade is distinguished by the Index of Construction Engineer's Competency (ICEC). Construction management engineer requires a higher score than the other fields. However, junior grade CM engineer can get grade according to the education and qualification. This study was conducted junior grade CM engineer depth interview after analyzing the problem of the current CM engineer grade system. As a result, this study was to extracted the 23 kind competence factors. And, competence factors were five area grouped using affinity diagram method. Next, we analyzed the importance utilizing the Analytic Network Process (ANP) technique. As a result, high priority areas were analyzed to be quality and cost areas associated with project management.

Approach for Suitable Site Selection and Analysis for Reforestation CDM using Satellite Image and Spatial Data in North Korea (위성영상과 공간자료를 이용한 북한 지역의 재조림 CDM 대상지 선정 및 적지분석 방안)

  • Yoo, Seong-Jin;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Lee, Seung-Ho;Kim, Eun-Sook;Lee, Jong-Yeol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to select appropriate sites for reforestation CDM using satellite image and spatial data in North Korea. A suitable site for reforestation CDM can be defined as non-forest area since 1990. To detect land cover change between two different years and to delineate potential reforestation CDM site(unstocked forest, converted crop land, denuded bare land), Landsat TM satellite image which was scanned in 1988 and SPOT Pan-sharpened image which was scanned in 2007 were used. As a result of classification, 1,214 ha of forest area in 1989 had been converted to other land cover types in 2007. and 2,245 ha of the total study area was detected to be suitable for reforestation CDM. 79.2% of total potential CDM sites was converted crop land. Through topography and accessibility analysis for potential reforestation CDM sites detected by satellite image, suitability index was calculated and the potential reforestation area was reclassified into suitability grades.

An analysis on the relative importance of aptitude test items for integrated pilot aptitude evaluation (종합적 조종적성 판단을 위한 적성 검사 항목의 상대적 중요도 분석)

  • 유희천;이달호;김영준
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.46-55
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    • 1993
  • 조종사가 수행하는 조종 업무는 여러 정보를 동시에 지각하여 처리하여 야 하는 복잡한 작업으로 구성되어 있어, 조종사에게는 고도의 인간성능이 요구되고 있다. 또한 조종기술을 습득하기 위해서는 많은 훈련시간과 비용 이 소요되며, 조종사의 실수는 치명적인 사고를 초래한다. 따라서 조기에 비행 부적격자를 판별하고, 미흡한 조종 적성을 함양시킬 수 있는 교육 . 훈련 프로그램을 조종 후보생에게 적용시키는 분석적 조종적성 진단 체계 개발은 조 종사의 도태율 감소, 효율적인 비행훈련, 비행 안전사고 감소 등의 측면에서 절실하게 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 조종 업무 수행시 요구되는 여러 인간 기능의 중요도 차이를 조종 적성 평가 체제에 적용하기 위해서, 각 적성 검사 항목들의 상대적 중요도를 분석하고 이의 타당성을 평가하였다. 적성검사 항목의 상대적 중요도 분석은 조종적성검사 계층구조의 각 수준별 쌍체 비교 평가와 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) 분석에 의한 상대적 중요도 산출 및 평가, 그리고 일관성 지수(Consistency Index)에 의한 분석 결과의 조정을 통해 이루어 졌다. 적성검사 항목의 쌍체 비교 평가는 심리기능검사, 비행자질 검사 등 총 29개 적성검사 항목에 대해 검사를 받았고 또한 초등비행 훈련과정을 수료한 조종 학생들에 의해 이루어 졌다. 상대적 중요도를 분석한 결과 심리기능 검사(W=0.30)가 다른 검사에 비하여 조종적성 평가에 중요한 검사로 나타났으며, 세부 항목으로는 주의 분배력(W=0.13), 추적능력(0.06) 등이 상대적으로 중요한 검사 항목으로 나타났다. 또한 상대적 중요도 결과를 적용한 적성검사 성적이 적용하지 않은 적성검사 성적에 비해 비행성적에 대한 예측 능력이 좋은 것으로 평가되었다.al age)가 있다는 것을 의미하는 것이다. 한편, 생산현장에서는 자동화, 기계화가 진보되어 육체적인 노동이 경감된 결과, 중고령자라도 할 수 있는 작업이 많아지고 있다. 또, VDT (Visual Dislay Terminal) 작업과 같은 정보처리 작업의 수요가 증가하여 그 인재의 부족이 지적되고 있다. 따라서 중고령자의 기능을 조사하여 어떠한 작업에 적합한가를 판단하는 것이 중요한 과제로 되었다. 그러나 노동에는 많은 기능이 관여 하고, 그 내용에 따라서 요구되는 기능이 서로 다르기 때문에 노동적응능력의 기본적인 기능으로 보여지는 것에 좁혀서 작업능력의 연령증가 변화에 대하여다원적 평가를 하는 것이 실제적이라고 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 인간이 가지고 있는 다수의 기능중에서 수지교 치성과 연령증가와의 관계를 조사한다. 만약 연령증가 만으로 수지교치성을 평가 할 수 없는 경우에는 어떠한 요인이 수지기민성의 변화에 영향을 미치는가를 검토한다.t list)에서 자동적으로 사건들의 순서가 결정되도록 확장하였으며, 설비 제어방식에 있어서도 FIFO, LIFO, 우선 순위 방식등을 선택할 수 있도록 확장하였다. SIMPLE는 자료구조 및 프로그램이 공개되어 있으므로 프로그래머가 원하는 기능을 쉽게 추가할 수 있는 장점도 있다. 아울러 SMPLE에서 새로이 추가된 자료구조와 함수 및 설비제어 방식등을 활용하여 실제 중형급 시스템에 대한 시뮬레이션 구현과 시스템 분석의 예를 보인다._3$", chain segment, with the activation energy of carriers from the shallow trap with 0.4[eV], in he amorphous regions.의 증발산율은 우기의 기상자료를 이용하여 구한 결과

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