• Title/Summary/Keyword: 우도비검정

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Identification and Detection of Emotion Using Probabilistic Output SVM (확률출력 SVM을 이용한 감정식별 및 감정검출)

  • Cho, Hoon-Young;Jung, Gue-Jun
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.375-382
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    • 2006
  • This paper is about how to identify emotional information and how to detect a specific emotion from speech signals. For emotion identification and detection task. we use long-term acoustic feature parameters and select the optimal Parameters using the feature selection technique based on F-score. We transform the conventional SVM into probabilistic output SVM for our emotion identification and detection system. In this paper we propose three approximation methods for log-likelihoods in a hypothesis test and compare the performance of those three methods. Experimental results using the SUSAS database showed the effectiveness of both feature selection and Probabilistic output SVM in the emotion identification task. The proposed methods could detect anger emotion with 91.3% correctness.

Analysis of Violent Crime Count Data Based on Bivariate Conditional Auto-Regressive Model (이변량 조건부자기회귀모형을이용한강력범죄자료분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.413-421
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we considered bivariate conditional auto-regressive model taking into account spatial association as well as correlation between the two dependent variables, which are the counts of murder and burglary. We conducted likelihood ratio test for checking over-dispersion issues prior to applying spatial poisson models. For the real application, we used the annual counts of violent crimes at 25 districts of Seoul in 2007. The statistical results are visually illustrated by geographical information system.

Research on Additive Valuation of Leisure Travel Time Saving During the Summer Vacation: Focused on the Iksan-Pohang Expressway and Donghae Expressway (휴가철 여가통행시간 절감의 추가적 가치 산정방안 연구: 익산포항 및 동해고속도로를 중심으로)

  • Rhee, Kyoungah;Choi, Sorim;Kim, Joon-ki;Cho, Namgeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2012
  • Additive willingness-to-pay (WTP) for leisure-travel time saving focused on the Iksan-Pohang Expressway and the Donghae Expressway was surveyed during the summer months to estimate the value of travel-time savings (VTTS) for non-business leisure trips. Travelers traveling between 2 and 3 hours on Iksan-Pohang Expressway had WTP of 723 won per 10 minutes of leisure-travel time savings and those traveling between 3 and 4 hours on Donghae Expressway had WTP of 854 won per the same. Based on this survey, we learned that WTP in leisure travel time savings increased with the total travel time. 300 effective samples for each expressway were collected, and estimation was separately conducted on the basis of Cox test.

A study on the Linkage of Volatility in Stock Markets under Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기하에서 주식시장 변동성의 연관성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2014
  • This study is to examine the linkage of volatility between changes in the stock market of India and other countries through the integration of the world economy. The results were as follows: First, autocorrelation or serial correlation did not exist in the classic RS model, but long-term memory was present in the modified RS model. Second, unit root did not exist in the unit root test for all periods, and the series were a stable explanatory power and a long-term memory with the normal conditions in the ARFIMA model. Third, in the multivariate asymmetric BEKK and VAR model before the financial crisis, it showed that there was a strong influence of the own market of Taiwan and UK in the conditional mean equation, and a strong spillover effect from Japan to India, from Taiwan to China(Korea, US), from US(Japan) to UK in one direction. In the conditional variance equation, GARCH showed a strong spillover effect that indicated the same direction as the result of ARCH coefficient of the market itself. Asymmetric effects in three home markets and between markets existed. Fourth, after the financial crisis, in the conditional mean equation, only the domestic market in Taiwan showed strong influences, and strong spillover effects existed from India to US, from Taiwan to Japan, from Korea to Germany in one direction. In the conditional variance equation, strong spillover effects were the same as the result of the pre-crisis and asymmetric effect in the domestic market in UK was present, and one-way asymmetric effect existed in Germany from Taiwan. Therefore, the results of this study presented the linkage between the volatilities of the stock market of India and other countries through the integration of the world economy, observing and confirming the asymmetric reactions and return(volatility) spillover effects between the stock market of India and other countries.

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The Assessing Comparative Study for Statistical Process Control of Software Reliability Model Based on Logarithmic Learning Effects (대수형 학습효과에 근거한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 통계적 공정관리 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2013
  • There are many software reliability models that are based on the times of occurrences of errors in the debugging of software. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. It is shown that it is possible to do asymptotic likelihood inference for software reliability models based on infinite failure model and non-homogeneous Poisson Processes (NHPP). Statistical process control (SPC) can monitor the forecasting of software failure and thereby contribute significantly to the improvement of software reliability. Control charts are widely used for software process control in the software industry. In this paper, we proposed a control mechanism based on NHPP using mean value function of logarithmic hazard learning effects property.

A Study on the Modal Split Model Using Zonal Data (존 데이터 기반 수단분담모형에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Si-Kyun;Rho, Jeong-Hyun;Kim, Ji-Eun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2012
  • This study introduces a new type of a modal split model that use zonal data instead of cost data as independent variables. It has been indicated that the ones using cost data have deficiencies in the multicollinearity of travel time and cost variables and unpredictability of independent variables. The zonal data employed in this study include (1) socioeconomic data, (2) land use data and (3) transportation system data. The test results showed that the proposed modal split model using zonal data performs better than the other does.

Flood Frequency Analysis Considering Probability Distribution and Return Period under Non-stationary Condition (비정상성 확률분포 및 재현기간을 고려한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.567-579
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    • 2015
  • This study performed the non-stationary flood frequency analysis considering time-varying parameters of a probability density function. Also, return period and risk under non-stationary condition were estimated. A stationary model and three non-stationary models using Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) were developed. The only location parameter was assumed as time-varying parameter in the first model. In second model, the only scale parameter was assumed as time-varying parameter. Finally, the both parameters were assumed as time varying parameter in the last model. Relative likelihood ratio test and Akaike information criterion were used to select appropriate model. The suggested procedure in this study was applied to eight multipurpose dams in South Korea. Using relative likelihood ratio test and Akaike information criterion it is shown that the inflow into the Hapcheon dam and the Seomjingang dam were suitable for non-stationary GEV model but the other six dams were suitable for stationary GEV model. Also, it is shown that the estimated return period under non-stationary condition was shorter than those estimated under stationary condition.

Calculation of Travel Time Values in Seoul Metropolitan Area Considering Unique Travel Patterns (수도권 통행 특성을 고려한 통행시간가치 산정 연구)

  • KIM, Kyung Hyun;LEE, Jang-Ho;YUN, Ilsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.481-498
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    • 2017
  • Travel time reduction benefit is the most important benefit item in the feasibility study of transportation infrastructure investment projects and calculated by using the value of travel time. The current feasibility study guideline (5th edition) calculate the value of non-business ravel time in a metropolitan area, using the ratio of the value of non-business travel time to business travel time calculated based on the nationwide inter-regional traffic survey data of 1999. The characteristics of metropolitan trips are different from those of nationwide regional trips. Metropolitan trips have frequent transfers between multiple public transits and long-time commuter trips. Therefore, this research aims to calculate the value of travel time reflecting traffic characteristics in a metropolitan area by improving the limitation of current calculation methods. To reflect these characteristics, this research extracts commuter trips from non-business trips and calculates the value of travel time for commuter trips. The results of the likelihood ratio test for the commuter trip model and the non-business trip model are found to be statistically significant. An integrated public transportation model was also estimated in this study to reflect the trip conditions of the Seoul metropolitan area integrated fare system. The results of comparing coefficients between bus and subway in the integrated public transit model indicated that there were no statistically significant differences between the two modes.

Haplotype-Based Association and Linkage Analysis of Angiotensin-I Converting Enzyme(ACE) Gene with a Hypertension (일배체형에 기초한 고혈압과 ACE 유전자의 연관성 분석)

  • Kim Jinheum;Nam Chung Mo;Kang Dae Ryong;Suh Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.297-310
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    • 2005
  • In this study we investigate the association between the haplotype block of 4 SNPs in ACE genes and hypertension with a case-control dataset of size of 277 and 40 families data collected from Kangwha studies. To this end we perform a haplotype-based case-control association study and a haplotype-based TDT study. We do the same analysis with tag-SNPs that can identify the haplotype block. Through a cladogram analysis we make the evolution-tree of haplotypes and then classify the haplotypes into a few clades by collecting haplotypes exposed to the disease to the same extent. We also discuss the association between these clades and hypertension.

Detecting Structural Change in NBD Model (NBD모형의 구조변화 감지)

  • Joo, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2006
  • In this research, we develope a procedure for detecting a random non-stationarity to the individual's purchasing rate in a stationary NED model. On this purpose, we derive the likelihood ratio statistic for a testing null and alternative hypotheses defined as whether there is no significant structural change in a stationary NED model or any. Where the structural change comes from a random non-stationarity(marketing mix activities or seasonality, for example) to the individual's purchasing rate. We also apply the developed method to a panel data for a frequently purchased good. This research could be a solution to include the non-stationarity in a stationary NED model. We also expect that the developed model could give a signal for an early detection of significant changes in marketing environment, and a mean for a measurement of the effects of marketing mix activities.

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