• Title/Summary/Keyword: 와일드 붓스트랩

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Wild bootstrap Ljung-Box test for autocorrelation in vector autoregressive and error correction models (벡터자기회귀모형과 오차수정모형의 자기상관성을 위한 와일드 붓스트랩 Ljung-Box 검정)

  • Lee, Myeongwoo;Lee, Taewook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2016
  • We consider the wild bootstrap Ljung-Box (LB) test for autocorrelation in residuals of fitted multivariate time series models. The asymptotic chi-square distribution under the IID assumption is traditionally used for the LB test; however, size distortion tends to occur in the usage of the LB test, due to the conditional heteroskedasticity of financial time series. In order to overcome such defects, we propose the wild bootstrap LB test for autocorrelation in residuals of fitted vector autoregressive and error correction models. The simulation study and real data analysis are conducted for finite sample performance.

High-dimensional change point detection using MOSUM-based sparse projection (MOSUM 성근 프로젝션을 이용한 고차원 시계열의 변화점 추정)

  • Kim, Moonjung;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes the so-called MOSUM-based sparse projection method for change points detection in high-dimensional time series. Our method is inspired by Wang and Samworth (2018), however, our method improves their method in two ways. One is to find change points all at once, so it minimizes sequential error. The other is localized so that more robust to the mean changes offsetting each other. We also propose data-driven threshold selection using block wild bootstrap. A comprehensive simulation study shows that our method performs reasonably well in finite samples. We also illustrate our method to stock prices consisting of S&P 500 index, and found four change points in recent 6 years.