• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측지도

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Prediction Technique of Energy Consumption based on Reinforcement Learning in Microgrids (마이크로그리드에서 강화학습 기반 에너지 사용량 예측 기법)

  • Sun, Young-Ghyu;Lee, Jiyoung;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Soohwan;Lee, Heung-Jae;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the artificial intelligence-based approach for short-term energy consumption prediction. In this paper, we employ the reinforcement learning algorithms to improve the limitation of the supervised learning algorithms which usually utilize to the short-term energy consumption prediction technologies. The supervised learning algorithm-based approaches have high complexity because the approaches require contextual information as well as energy consumption data for sufficient performance. We propose a deep reinforcement learning algorithm based on multi-agent to predict energy consumption only with energy consumption data for improving the complexity of data and learning models. The proposed scheme is simulated using public energy consumption data and confirmed the performance. The proposed scheme can predict a similar value to the actual value except for the outlier data.

Development of Machine Learning Model to Predict the Ground Subsidence Risk Grade According to the Characteristics of Underground Facility (지하매설물 속성을 활용한 기계학습 기반 지반함몰 위험도 예측모델 개발)

  • Lee, Sungyeol;Kang, Jaemo;Kim, Jinyoung
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.5-10
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    • 2022
  • Ground Subsidence has been continuously occurring in densely populated downtown. The main cause of ground subsidence is the damaged underground facility like sewer. Currently, ground subsidence is being dealt with by discovering cavities in ground using GPR. However, this consumes large amount of manpower and cost, so it is necessary to predict hazardous area for efficient operation of GPR. In this study, ◯◯city is divided into 500 m×500 m grids. Then, data set was constructed using the characteristics of the underground facility and ground subsidence in grids. Data set used to machine learning model for ground subsidence risk grade prediction. The purposed model would be used to present a ground subsidence risk map of target area.

Probability distribution predicted performance improvement in noisy label (라벨 노이즈 환경에서 확률분포 예측 성능 향상 방법)

  • Roh, Jun-ho;Woo, Seung-beom;Hwang, Won-jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.607-610
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    • 2021
  • When learning a model in supervised learning, input data and the label of the data are required. However, labeling is high cost task and if automated, there is no guarantee that the label will always be correct. In the case of supervised learning in such a noisy labels environment, the accuracy of the model increases at the initial stage of learning, but decrease significantly after a certain period of time. There are various methods to solve the noisy label problem. But in most cases, the probability predicted by the model is used as the pseudo label. So, we proposed a method to predict the true label more quickly by refining the probabilities predicted by the model. Result of experiments on the same environment and dataset, it was confirmed that the performance improved and converged faster. Through this, it can be applied to methods that use the probability distribution predicted by the model among existing studies. And it is possible to reduce the time required for learning because it can converge faster in the same environment.

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Motion Field Estimation Using U-disparity Map and Forward-Backward Error Removal in Vehicle Environment (U-시차 지도와 정/역방향 에러 제거를 통한 자동차 환경에서의 모션 필드 예측)

  • Seo, Seungwoo;Lee, Gyucheol;Lee, Sangyong;Yoo, Jisang
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.2343-2352
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose novel motion field estimation method using U-disparity map and forward-backward error removal in vehicles environment. Generally, in an image obtained from a camera attached in a vehicle, a motion vector occurs according to the movement of the vehicle. but this motion vector is less accurate by effect of surrounding environment. In particular, it is difficult to extract an accurate motion vector because of adjacent pixels which are similar each other on the road surface. Therefore, proposed method removes road surface by using U-disparity map and performs optical flow about remaining portion. forward-backward error removal method is used to improve the accuracy of the motion vector. Finally, we predict motion of the vehicle by applying RANSAC(RANdom SAmple Consensus) from acquired motion vector and then generate motion field. Through experimental results, we show that the proposed algorithm performs better than old schemes.

Comparison of Evaluation Methodsfor Receiver Setting and Representative Noise Level Selection in Calculating Population Exposed to Noise (소음예측 모델링을 이용한 소음노출인구산정 시 수음점 설정 및 대표소음도 평가방법에 따른 비교)

  • Yun, Hee-Kyung;Lee, Jae-Won;Kwon, Myung-Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2018
  • The modeling of noise mapping and the evaluation of noise pollution based on the exposed population were frequently used as an indicator of environmental noise assessment to overcome the limitations of field survey and Tele-Monitoring System. Results from these methods were highly influenced by the setting of noise source, input data of prediction factors and analytical methods of predictive values. The population exposed to noise were estimated as M1-1>M2-1>Base>M2-2>M1-2 in both areas. The highest noise setting methods(M1-1, M1-2) were overestimated, being compared with the Base method.

Development of Solar Activity Monitoring Map and Its Application to the Space Weather Forecasting System

  • Shin, Junho;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Jae-Hyung
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.83.1-83.1
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    • 2017
  • SDO/AIA와 STEREO/EUVI 두 태양 관측 위성의 193 파장에서의 실시간 영상 이미지를 이용하여 Stonyhurst Heliographic Map을 작성하고 각각의 위성 데이터 분석으로부터 얻어진 결과들을 종합적으로 재구성하여 태양 전면 및 후면의 활동 영역들을 동시에 표출하는 태양 활동성 지도 (Solar Activity Monitoring Map)를 작성하는 프로그램을 제작하였다. 태양 활동성 지도를 이용하여 태양 후면에서의 극자외선 밝기 분포를 경도에 따라 등간격으로 나눈 후 각 지역에서 얻은 극자외선량을 실시간으로 갱신하며 그래프를 작성하는 프로그램도 함께 제작하고 그로부터 태양 후면 영역의 활동성이 향후 지구에 어떠한 방식으로 영향을 미칠 것인지 사전에 예측 가능하도록 하였다. 또한 태양 후면에서 발생하는 활동 영역 (Active Region) 및 코로나홀들을 자동적으로 탐지한 후 실시간으로 변화 정도를 추적 및 기록하는 프로그램도 제작하였다. 태양 활동성 지도는 193 파장에서 뿐만 아니라 두 위성이 공유하는 세 개의 동일 혹은 유사한 파장대 (171,211,304)에서 얻어진 데이터들도 함께 이용하여 각 파장대에서 독립적으로 작성하였는데 이로 인해 각각의 에너지 영역의 특성에 해당하는 태양 활동성을 동시에 표출하는 것이 가능하게 되었다. 이러한 프로그램을 이용하여 태양 후면에서의 활동 영역의 발생 및 변화를 사전에 인식하고 그들이 태양 전면으로 나타나기 전에 대비할 수 있는 예보 장치가 마련되었다. 본 연구들과 더불어 극자외선 영역에서의 태양 활동성 조사로부터 플레어의 발생을 예측할 수 있을 것인지의 가능성 여부를 타진하기 위해 과거 극자외선 관측에서 얻어진 활동 영역들의 데이터와 연 X-선 관측으로부터 기록된 플레어 발생 여부의 상관관계를 조사하는 연구가 현재 진행 중이다. 이러한 연구로부터 긍정적인 결과가 도출되는 경우 극자외선 영역에서의 관측 데이터를 이용하여 플레어 발생 가능성을 예측하는 새로운 방법을 제시하는 것이 가능해질 것이다.

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Development of an AI-based Early Warning System for Water Meter Freeze-Burst Detection Using AI Models (AI기반 물공급 시스템내 동파위험 조기경보를 위한 AI모델 개발 연구)

  • So Ryung Lee;Hyeon June Jang;Jin Wook Lee;Sung Hoon Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.511-511
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화로 동절기 기온 저하에 따른 수도계량기의 동파는 지속적으로 심화되고 있으며, 이는 계량기 교체 비용, 누수, 누수량 동결에 의한 2차 피해, 단수 등 사회적 문제를 야기한다. 이와같은 문제를 해결하고자 구조적 대책으로 개별 가정에서 동파 방지형 계량기를 설치할 수 있으나 이를 위한 비용발생이 상당하고, 비구조적 대책으로는 기상청의 동파 지도 알림 서비스를 활용하여 사전적으로 대응하고자 하나, 기상청자료는 대기 온도를 중심으로 제공하고 있기 때문에 해당서비스만으로는 계량기의 동파를 예측하는데 필요한 추가적인 다양한 변수를 활용하는데 한계가 있다. 최근 정부와 공공부문에서 22개 지역, 110개소 이상의 수도계량기함내 IoT 온도센서를 시범 설치하여 계량기 함내의 상태 등을 확인할 수 있는 사업을 수행했다. 전국적인 계량기 상태의 예측과 진단을 위해서는 추가적인 센서 설치가 필요할 것이나, IoT센서 설치 비용 등의 문제로 추가 설치가 더딘 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 겨울 동파 예방을 위해 실제 온도센서를 기반으로 가상센서를 구축하고, 이를 혼합한 하이브리드 방식으로 동파위험 기준에 따라 전국 동파위험 지도를 구축하였다. 가상센서 개발을 위해 독립변수로 위경도, 고도, 음·양지, 보온재 여부 및 기상정보(기온, 강수량, 풍속, 습도)를 활용하고, 종속변수로 실제 센서의 온도를 사용하여 기계학습 모델을 개발하였다. 지역 특성에 따라 정확한 모델을 구축하기 위해 위치정보 및 보온재여부 등의 변수를 활용하여 K-means 방법으로 군집화 하였으며, 각 군집별로 3가지의 기계학습 회귀모델을 적용하였다. 최적의 군집 수를 검토한 결과 4개가 적정한 것으로 판단되었다. 군집의 특성은 지역별 구분과 유사한 패턴을 보이며, 모든 군집에서 Gradient Boosting 회귀모델을 적용하는 것이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 개발한 모델을 바탕으로 조건에 따라 동파 예측 알람서비스에 실무적으로 활용할 수 있도록 양호·주의·위험·매우위험 총 4개의 기준을 설정하였다. 실제 본 연구에서 개발된 알고리즘을 국가상수도정보 시스템에 반영하여 테스트 수행중에 있으며, 향후 지속 검증을 할 예정에 있다. 이를 통해 동파 예방 및 피해 최소화, 물절약 등 직간접적 편익이 기대된다.

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High accuracy map matching method using monocular cameras and low-end GPS-IMU systems (단안 카메라와 저정밀 GPS-IMU 신호를 융합한 맵매칭 방법)

  • Kim, Yong-Gyun;Koo, Hyung-Il;Kang, Seok-Won;Kim, Joon-Won;Kim, Jae-Gwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.34-40
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a new method to estimate the pose of a moving object accurately using a monocular camera and a low-end GPS+IMU sensor system. For this goal, we adopted a deep neural network for the semantic segmentation of input images and compared the results with a semantic map of a neighborhood. In this map matching, we use weight tables to deal with label inconsistency effectively. Signals from a low-end GPS+IMU sensor system are used to limit search spaces and minimize the proposed function. For the evaluation, we added noise to the signals from a high-end GPS-IMU system. The results show that the pose can be recovered from the noisy signals. We also show that the proposed method is effective in handling non-open-sky situations.

The Study of Flood Simulations using LiDAR Data (LiDAR 자료를 이용한 홍수 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • Shim, Jung-Min;Lee, Suk-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.14 no.4 s.38
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is forcasting of flooding area using LiDAR surveying data, and flood map for damage prevention is established for this purpose. Teahwa river at Ulsan city was chosen as test area and the flood simulation was produced in this area. For the flood simulation, each DEM using LiDAR data and digital map was established and then HEC model program and MIKE program was used to decide the amount of flood flowing and flood height. To improve the rainfall-overflow simulation confidence using inspection comparison of LiDAR data this paper analyzed and compared the LiDAR DEM accuracy and 1/5000 digital map DEM. The height accuracy is important factor to make flood map, however, LiDAR survey execution of all river area is not economic so, LiDAR survey execution of only important area is possible to be make high accuracy and economic flood map. The expectation effect of flood simulation is flood damage prevention and economic savings of recovery cost by forcasting of rainfall-overflow area and establishment of counter-measure.

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Development of Tree Detection Methods for Estimating LULUCF Settlement Greenhouse Gas Inventories Using Vegetation Indices (식생지수를 활용한 LULUCF 정주지 온실가스 인벤토리 산정을 위한 수목탐지 방법 개발)

  • Joon-Woo Lee;Yu-Han Han;Jeong-Taek Lee;Jin-Hyuk Park;Geun-Han Kim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.6_3
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    • pp.1721-1730
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    • 2023
  • As awareness of the problem of global warming emerges around the world, the role of carbon sinks in settlement is increasingly emphasized to achieve carbon neutrality in urban areas. In order to manage carbon sinks in settlement, it is necessary to identify the current status of carbon sinks. Identifying the status of carbon sinks requires a lot of manpower and time and a corresponding budget. Therefore, in this study, a map predicting the location of trees was created using already established tree location information and Sentinel-2 satellite images targeting Seoul. To this end, after constructing a tree presence/absence dataset, structured data was generated using 16 types of vegetation indices information constructed from satellite images. After learning this by applying the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model, a tree prediction map was created. Afterward, the correlation between independent and dependent variables was investigated in model learning using the Shapely value of Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP). A comparative analysis was performed between maps produced for local parts of Seoul and sub-categorized land cover maps. In the case of the tree prediction model produced in this study, it was confirmed that even hard-to-detect street trees around the main street were predicted as trees.