• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측인자

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A Study on Sediment Transport Analysis and Long-term volatility of River Bed Analysis Using Hydraulic Geometry (수리기하 이론을 이용한 유사거동 분석 및 하상의 장기변동성 검토)

  • Kim, Hyeonseung;Yu, Hyeri;Kim, Dae-Hong;Paik, Kyungrock
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.204-204
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    • 2022
  • 하천 내에서 하상변동은 치수나 생태계에 직간접적인 영향을 끼치는 것으로 알려져 있다. 하상변동의 예측을 위한 여러 가지 모델들이 존재하지만 하상변동의 양상을 직관적으로 파악하기에는 어려움이 있다. 최근 수행된 연구 결과에 따르면 하천의 수리 기하학적 형상이 부유사 농도와 유량과의 관계와 관련이 있는 것으로 밝혀졌다(Kim et al., 2018). 본 연구에서는 수리기하(Hydraulic Geometry) 이론을 이용하여 하천의 형상에 따른 유사거동과의 상관관계를 통해서 하상의 장기적 변동성을 직관적으로 유추할 수 있는 기법을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 수리기하 이론에서의 수심과 폭을 나타내는 인자들을 이용하여 하천의 형상을 넓고 얕은 하천, 좁고 깊은 하천, 중간 정도의 하천으로 분류하였으며 흐름조건을 정상류와 부정류조건으로 분류하였다. 또한 하상경사와 하상재료의 입경 분포를 고려하여 자연하천에서 존재할 수 있는 다양한 하천형상에 대해 수치모의를 진행하였다. 기존의 Manning 공식에 수심, 유속만 고려한 것이 아닌 조도계수까지 고려하여 수리기하 이론을 접목시킴으로서 유속과 수심의 수리기하적 인자로 계산된 하상전단력의 수리기하적 인자가 수치모의를 통해 구한 값과 거의 일치하는 것을 확인하였다. 하천의 형상이 넓고 얕을수록 수리기하 관계로 표현한 하상전단력 인자가 작은 값을 나타냈으며 수리기하 관계로 표현한 부유사농도인자와 하상전단력 인자가 비슷한 양상을 띄는 것이 확인되었다. 이를 통해 하천이 기하학적 형상으로부터 하상의 변동성을 유추할 수 있었다. 실제 하천에 대한 검증은 금강 수계에 있는 미호천과 갑천을 대상으로 수행하였다. 수리기하적으로 표현하였을때 갑천은 미호천에 비해 넓고 얕은 하천에 속하는데 현재까지 관측된 자료를 이용하여 두 하천의 하상변동량을 비교해본 결과 갑천이 미호천에 비해 변동량이 적었으며 이는 위의 내용과 일치한 결과를 나타냈다.

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Prediction of High Grade Vesicoureteral Reflux in Infants Less than 3 Months with Urinary Tract Infection (3개월 미만 요로감염 영아에서 중증 방광 요관 역류의 예측인자)

  • Yi, Dae-Yong;Kim, Na-Yeon;Cho, Hee-Yeon;Kim, Ji-Eun;Sim, So-Yeon;Son, Dong-Woo;Jeon, In-Sang;Cha, Han
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2008
  • Purpose : Our aim was to investigate the predictive factors for detecting grade III-V vesicoureteral reflux(VUR) in young infants less than 3 months with urinary tract infections (UTI). Methods : Data of infants who underwent ultrasonography and VCUG between January 2004 and September 2007 were reviewed. Age, gender, incidence of bacteremia, C-reactive protein(CRP) and imaging studies were compared between group I(grade III-V VUR) and group II (normal or grade I and II VUR) retrospectively. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, odds ratio, and likelihood ratio of ultrasonography for high grade VUR were evaluated. Results : Among 54 enrolled infants(41 males, 13 females), 14 infants were group I and 40 infants were group II. In the group I, CRP level was significantly higher(6.11$\pm$5.18 vs. 3.27$\pm$3.45, P=0.025), and there were more ultrasonographic abnormal findings(71.4%, vs. 22.5%, P=0.002) compared with group II. However, ultrasonography was the only significant factor after adjusting with logistic regression(P=0.002). Incidence of bacteremia and abnormal DMSA findings were not significantly different in two groups. Sensitivity, specificity, and odds ratio of ultrasonography was 71.4%, 77.5%, 6.9 respectively. Negative predictive value was 88.6% and negative likelihood ratio was 0.37. Ultrasonography had significant negative likelihood ratio for grade III-V VUR, but missed 4 infants with grade III VUR. Conclusion : We could not find any alternative predictive factors to reduce VCUG in detecting high grade VUR. Therefore, VCUG must be considered in young infants less than 3 months with UTI.

A Study on the Safety Assessment of Adjacent Structures Caused by Tunnel Excavation in Urban Area -Focused on the Characteristics of Geometries and Locations for Nearby Building- (도심지 터널 굴착에 따른 인접구조물의 손상평가에 관한 연구 (1) -지상 건물의 기하학적 및 위치적 특성을 중심으로-)

  • 김창용;문현구;배규진
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.19-42
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    • 1999
  • In urban area, there are several major factors to be considered in tunnel design and construction. The first is to predict the magnitude and distribution of ground movements for particular ground conditions and construction procedures. The second is to assess the potential damage to nearby structures in response to the predicted ground movements. The third is to select the measures to be taken if a potential damage is foreseen. This study is concerned primarily with the first and second stages of the problem. Particularly, this paper is focused on the second stage to assess the potential damage to the nearby building with any type of geometries and locations above ground surface. In order to solve this problem, we introduced damage parameters(angular distortion, deflection ratio, maximum building settlements, maximum differential settlements, horizontal strain, etc.), and extended these parameters into 3-dimensional safety assessment. Also, to assess the safety of any walls existing in the building, we developed a 3-dimensional analysis program, and various parametric studies for the nearby building with any type of geometries and locations were presented. In addition to these parametric studies, we compared the results of the proposed techniques with some abroad case records for particular tunnels and adjacent buildings.

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Discussion of Cropping Management Factor for Estimating Soil Loss (토양유선량(土壤流先量) 예측(豫測)을 위(爲)한 작부인자(作付因子) 검토(檢討))

  • Jung, Pil Kyun;Ko, Mun-Hwan;Um, Ki-Tae
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 1985
  • The cropping management factor, C, in the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been measured on a newly reclaimed Yesan sandy loam of 20% slope under various cropping system. Soil losses measured from lysimeter were 12.9, 5.4, 3.1, and 1.2 ton/10a for clean tilled, corn, barley-soybean, and grass, respectively. The values of C to be utilized in Soil-Loss Equation was obtained as fallows; corn 0.47, upland rice 0.34, barley-soybean 0.18, barley-sweet potato 0.10, grass 0.08, barley-corn 0.34, wheat-soybean 0.25, barley-corn (Soybean) 0.42, barley-corn (sweet potato) 0.37, wheat-sesame 0.20, barley-red pepper 0.18, red pepper 0.32, sesame 0.28, potato-soybean 0.26, respectively. According to the comparisons between the actual soil loss measured by lysimeter and the soil loss predicted by the USLE, the smallest difference of both method came from barley-soybean while the largest came from corn.

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Estimated Headwater Stream Temperature Using Environmental Factors with Seasonal Variations in a Forested Catchment (환경인자를 이용한 산지계류의 계절별 수온변화 예측)

  • Nam, Sooyoun;Jang, Su-Jin;Kim, Suk-Woo;Lee, Youn-Tae;Chun, Kun-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2020
  • To estimate headwater stream temperature with seasonal variations, we analyzed precipitation, runoff and air temperature in experimental forest of Kangwon National University, Gangwon-do (2017~2018 years). The daily mean value of headwater stream temperature for spring was 6.9~17.7℃ and correlated with air temperature, that for summer and fall were 12.2~26.3℃ and 3.6~19.3℃, correlated with air temperature and runoff. Based on seasonal variations, we applied for stepwise multiple linear regression analyses to estimate headwater stream temperature with seasonal variations. The equations were headwater stream temperature(WT)spring=(0.553×Air temperature)+(0.086×Runoff)+4.145 (R2=0.505; p<0.01), WTsummer=(0.756×Air temperature)+(-0.072×Runoff)+2.670 (R2=0.510; p<0.01), and WTfall=(0.738×Air temperature)+(0.028×Precipitation)+2.660 (R2=0.844; p<0.01). The coefficient of determination (R2) was greater than when it was estimated by air temperature in all seasons and progressively increased from spring to winter. Therefore, we indicated difference on estimated magnitude of stepwise multiple linear regression, due to effects on headwater stream temperature of different environmental factors with seasonal variations. Furthermore, temporal factors with spatial characteristics (e.g., river versus headwater stream) could be recommended for estimating headwater stream temperature.

Body Mass Index Compared with Waist Circumference Indicators as a Predictor of Elevated Intraocular Pressure (안압상승의 위험인자로서 체질량지수(BMI)와 허리둘레의 비교)

  • Park, Sang-Shin;Lee, Eun-Hee;Paek, Domyung;Cho, Sung-Il
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.293-297
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The aim of the current study was to compare body mass index (BMI) with waist circumference (WC) as a predictor of elevated intraocular pressure (IOP). Methods: The subjects were consisted of 458 adults, aged 20 year or above, of one community in Kyunggi-do. Mean IOPs were stratified jointly for BMI and WC tertiles. Multi-variate linear regression analysis was also used to compare between BMI and WC. Results: Although any BMI tertiles were not associated with IOP within each tertile of WC, WC tertiles was significantly related to elevation of IOP within the third BMI tertile (${\geq}24.9kg/m^2$). After adjusting for age and sex, only WC showed significant association with IOP. In additional adjustment for lifestyle variables, both BMI and WC were significantly associated with elevation of IOP. However, the results showed the stronger association of IOP with WC than BMI, whether they were adjusted by age and sex or additionally lifestyle variables. Conclusions: These data showed that BMI and WC were positively associated with IOP. However, WC appeared to be a better indicator for higher IOP than BMI.

Trend analysis of Domestic water Consumption Depending upon the characteristics of using tap water and economical parameters (수돗물 사용특성과 경제적 요인에 따른 가정용수 소비 경향의 분석)

  • Choi, Sun-Hee;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.121-125
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    • 2007
  • 물 수요예측을 실시함에 있어서 사회 경제의 장래동향과 도시의 특성 및 발전 동향을 반영하여 수행하여야 한다. 그러나 지금까지의 관행으로는 수도계획에서 사용할 수 있는 실사용량에 대한 조사와 통계가 이루어지지 않고 있다. 실제 현장에서 얻은 자료를 토대로 하여 수도계획 및 설계에 사용할 수 있는 신뢰성 있는 설계인자의 도출이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 급수지역의 각 조사 가정의 물 사용량을 실측 조사하여 얻어진 자료를 토대로 하여 물 수요 구조의 변화를 파악할 수 있는 수단의 하나로 가정의 수돗물 사용특성과 경제적 요인에 따른 가정용수의 사용특성 경향을 파악하고자 하였다. 가정에서 사용된 용수량의 조건별 경향성을 분석하기 위하여 한국수자원공사에서 2002년부터 2006년까지 3년여에 걸쳐 표본 집단이 되는 전국 140개 가구에 유량계를 설치하여 유량 자료를 획득하였고, 설문조사를 실시하여 각 가정의 물 사용 특성인자들을 조사하였다. 이 자료를 대상으로 비교적 자료의 신뢰성을 높이기 위한 자료의 선별과정을 거쳤다. 이렇게 선별된 자료들을 경향성 분석에 쓰이는 Mann-Kendall test와 Spearman's Rho test를 이용하여 분석하였다. 그 결과를 바탕으로 가정 용수 소비패턴의 증가 감소에 영향을 끼치는 인자들을 추출하였다. 실측자료를 분석을 통하여 나타난 결과들을 바탕으로 용수 수요처의 조건별 특성을 분석하고, 이를 활용한 생활용수 예측모형을 개발함으로써 합리적인 수요예측에 의한 용수수요의 과다예측 우려를 해소하고, 경제적 수도시설계획을 수립하는 등 과학적 물 수요관리 정책 수립을 위한 의사결정도구가 제공될 수 있다.c}$C의 저온에서 저장한 감자는 $20^{\circ}$C에서 저장한 감자보다 발아의 지연과 함께 낮은 PGA증가율을 보였다.다 높았으며, 전반적인 선호도의 경우 G3(1.5%)를 가장 선호하는 것으로 나타났다. 백년초 분말 첨가 도토리묵의 경우 색상은 0.5% 첨가한 O1이 가장 높은 값을 나타냈으며, 외관은 1.5% 첨가한 O3가 가장 높은 값을 보였다. 향미와 신맛의 경우는 백년초 분말의 첨가량이 증가됨에 따라서 유의적으로 증가했다(p<0.001). 씹힘성, 탄력성, 견고성의 경우는 대조군이 가장 높았으며, 백년초 분말 첨가량이 증가함에 따라 유의적으로 낮아졌다(p<0.001), 떫은맛의 경우는 백년초 분말에 의한 신맛의 영향으로 1% 백년초 분말이 첨가된 O2 가장 높게 나타났다. 전반적인 선호도는 0.5% 백년초 분말이 첨가된 O1이 가장 높게 나타났다. 따라서 녹차와 백년초의 기능성을 살린 도토리묵을 실용화시키는 효과적인 배합비는 녹차 분말 1.5% 첨가와 백년초 분말 첨가 0.5%가 바람직한 것으로 보이며 백년초 분말은 1%까지도 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 그러므로 기능성 식품 소재로써 도토리묵에 녹차와 백년초 분말을 첨가하는 것은 충분히 활용할만한 가치가 있다고 사료된다.론적으로, 비육돈 사료 내 3.32%의 호맥 사일리지의 혼합급여는 혈액 내 코티졸 함량, 도체육의 명도와 황색도, 지방산 조성 및 영양소 소화율에 영향을 미치는 것으로 사료되나 이에 대한 보다 많은 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.니티와 공원과의 관계로 공원 설계와 관리에 있어서 영국에서는 커뮤니티가 직접 고객(client)으로서 역

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Development of Early Forecasting System using GIS and Prediction Model related to the Cyanobacterial Blooming in the Daecheong Reservoir of Korea (예보모델과 GIS를 기반한 대청호의 남조류 발생에 대한 조기예보시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Man-Kyu;Park, Jong-Chul;Kim, Kwang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2007
  • To anticipate and respond to harmful algae produced in a big artificial lake like Daecheong reservoir, development of a regional analysis computer system using GIS or RS technique is needed in addition to biological and chemical research. The purpose of this study is to develop a cyanobacterial blooming prediction model to prevent harmful algae produced in Daecheong reservoir and construct an early forecasting system based on GIS. For this purpose this paper examines previous studies related to the relationship between cyanobacteria and environmental factors in Daecheong reservoir and selects precipitation and air temperature as two important environmental factors for the development of cyanobacterial blooming prediction model. Data used in this study are water quality and weather data for three water regions in Daecheong reservoir between 2000 and 2004. Based on qualitative correlation analysis between cyanobacteria and environmental factors, this paper presents a Rump model which enables us to predict cyanobacteria in water regions of Daecheong reservoir. Under this model the prediction of initial occurrence time and growth period of cyanobacteria are possible. The model is also applied to the GIS-based early forecasting system for cyanobacteria, and finally a GIS which can predict cyanobacteria produced in Daecheong reservoir and can manage the related data is developed.

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Optimum conditions for artificial neural networks to simulate indicator bacteria concentrations for river system (하천의 지표 미생물 모의를 위한 인공신경망 최적화)

  • Bae, Hun Kyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1053-1060
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    • 2021
  • Current water quality monitoring systems in Korea carried based on in-situ grab sample analysis. It is difficult to improve the current water quality monitoring system, i.e. shorter sampling period or increasing sampling points, because the current systems are both cost- and labor-intensive. One possible way to improve the current water quality monitoring system is to adopt a modeling approach. In this study, a modeling technique was introduced to support the current water quality monitoring system, and an artificial neural network model, the computational tool which mimics the biological processes of human brain, was applied to predict water quality of the river. The approach tried to predict concentrations of Total coliform at the outlet of the river and this showed, somewhat, poor estimations since concentrations of Total coliform were rapidly fluctuated. The approach, however, could forecast whether concentrations of Total coliform would exceed the water quality standard or not. As results, modeling approaches is expected to assist the current water quality monitoring system if the approach is applied to judge whether water quality factors could exceed the water quality standards or not and this would help proper water resource managements.

A Study on Factors Related to Sleep Disordered Breathing in Children (어린이의 수면 호흡 장애 관련 위험인자)

  • Nawoon, Kim;Daewoo, Lee;Jaegon, Kim;Changkeun, Lee;Yeonmi, Yang
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.180-187
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    • 2022
  • The aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors associated with sleep disordered breathing (SDB) by comparing intraoral factors, body mass index (BMI), and medical history with pediatric sleep questionnaire (PSQ) findings. Seven hundred eighty-seven subjects aged between 7 to 11 years old were included. Their caregivers were asked to complete questionnaires. Oral manifestations including Angle's classification, overjet, and Brodsky tonsil grade were examined. Children with PSQ scores of more than 0.33 points were classified into the SDB high-risk group. Among the 787 subjects, 34 (4.3%) were classified into the SDB high-risk group. Children with allergic rhinitis, atopic dermatitis, excessive overjet, or large tonsil size had a significantly higher risk for SDB versus those without. Also, there was a significant difference in SDB risk according to BMI status. Gender, gestational age, breastfeeding, and Angle's classification were not associated with SDB. Children at high risk for SDB were predisposed to tonsillar hypertrophy, allergic rhinitis, obesity, and atopic dermatitis. Children with these factors could be candidates for early intervention to prevent the progression of SDB.