• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측면적

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Variability and Changes of Wildfire Potential over East Asia from 1981 to 2020 (1981-2020년 기간 동아시아 지역 산불 발생 위험도의 변동성 및 변화 특성)

  • Lee, June-Yi;Lee, Doo Young
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2022
  • Wildfires, which occur sporadically and irregularly worldwide, are distinct natural disturbances in combustible vegetation areas, important parts of the global carbon cycle, and natural disasters that cause severe public emergencies. While many previous studies have investigated the variability and changes in wildfires globally based on fire emissions, burned areas, and fire weather indices, studies on East Asia are still limited. Here, we explore the characteristics of variability and changes in wildfire danger over East Asia by analyzing the fire weather index for the 40 years-1981-2020. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of fire weather index variability represents an increasing trend in wildfire danger over most parts of East Asia over the last 40 years, accounting for 29% of the total variance. The major contributor is an increase in the surface temperature in East Asia associated with global warming and multidecadal ocean variations. The effect of temperature was slightly offset by the increase in soil moisture. The second EOF mode exhibits considerable interannual variability associated with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, accounting for 17% of the total variance. The increase (decrease) in precipitation in East Asia during El Nino (La Nina) increases (decreases) soil moisture, which in turn reduces (increases) wildfire danger. This dominant soil moisture effect was slightly offset by the temperature increase (decrease) during El Nino (La Nina). Improving the understanding of variability and changes in wildfire danger will have important implications for reducing social, economic, and ecological losses associated with wildfire occurrences.

A Study on the Mid- to Long-term Public Library Expansion Plan in Daegu City (대구시 중장기 공공도서관 확충방안 연구)

  • Hee-Yoon Yoon;Seon-Kyung Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.97-117
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest a mid- to long-term expansion plan to resolve the blind spot and alleviate the imbalance of public library services in Daegu City. The research methods for this purpose included literature review, related laws and statistical data analysis, case study, and opinion survey. As a result, the first service area was set as a total of 14 areas based on administrative districts(Jung-gu, Seo-gu, Nam-gu, and Dalseong-gun each have one, Dong-gu and Buk-gu each have two, and Suseong-gu and Dalseo-gu have three each). Second, the expansion scenario for public libraries in Daegu City was proposed to add 26 libraries by the final target year (2032) based on the trend of national library growth over the past 13 years (2008-2020) and the forecast for the next 10 years (2023-2032). Third, the construction scenarios for each basic local government, excluding the Daegu representative library, are as follows: One library each in Jung-gu, Seo-gu, and Nam-gu; two libraries in Suseong-gu; three libraries in Dalseong-gun; four libraries in Dong-gu; and seven libraries each in Buk-gu and Dalseo-gu. In terms of floor area, it is proposed to add a total of 17 branch libraries with a minimum legal standard of 330-2,499㎡, four central libraries with 2,500-4,999㎡ each, and four central libraries with 5,000-9,999㎡ each. On the premise of these conditions, Daegu City and public libraries should focus on creating an inclusive and open community space, creating a digital platform, strengthening the library operation and cooperation system centered on Daegu representative library, developing collections and specializing services for local hub libraries, enhancing various knowledge information and program services, managing key library indicators and improving social contribution.

Concept and Application of Groundwater's Platform Concurrency and Digital Twin (지하수의 플랫폼 동시성과 Digital Twin의 개념과 적용)

  • Doo Houng Choi;Byung-woo Kim;E Jae Kwon;Hwa-young Kim;Cheol Seo Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.13-13
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    • 2023
  • 디지털 기술은 오늘날 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈의 기술도입을 통해 현실 세계를 네트워크와 가상세계와의 연결이 통합되어진 가상 현실 세계의 입문 도약이다. 현실에서 가상현실의 사이의 디지털 전환(digital transformation)에는 디지털 기술과 솔루션을 비즈니스의 모든 영역에 통합하는 것이 포함된다. 이러한 디지털 전환의 핵심은 데이터에 관한 것이며, 데이터를 활용하여 가치를 창출하고 고객경험과 비즈니스 영역을 극대화하는 방식을 제공한다. 최적의 데이터를 제공하기 위한 플랫폼과 가상 현실세계 구현을 위한 디지털 트윈의 상호연계 관한 기본 개념은 데이터 수집, 데이터 분석, 데이터 시각화 및 데이터 보고와 같은 데이터 비즈니스이다. 현장 데이터는 디지털 양식을 통해 수집, 기록, 저장된다. 현장 IoT 기반 데이터(사진 및 비디오 매체 등)는 지속적으로 수집되고 종종 다른 데이터베이스에 저장되지만 지리 공간적 위치에 연결되지 않는다. 모든 디지털 발전을 조화시키고 지하수 데이터에서 더 빠른 이해를 도출하기 위해서는 디지털 트윈이 시작되어야 한다. 단일 지하수플랫폼에서 현장 조건을 시각화하고 실시간 데이터를 스트리밍하며, 과거 3D 데이터와 상호작용하여지질 또는 지화학 데이터를 선택적 사용을 위해 지하수 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈이 연계되어야 한다. 데이터를 디지털 정보모델과 연결하면 디지털 트윈에 생명을 불어넣을 수 있지만 디지털 트윈의 가치를 극대화하려면 여전히 데이터 플랫폼 서비스와 전달 방식을 선택해야 한다. 지하수 플랫폼동시성을 갖는 디지털 트윈은 정적 및 동적 데이터를 저장하는 데이터베이스 또는 크라우드 서비스에서 데이터를 가져오는 API(애플리케이션 프로그래밍 인터레이스), 디지털 트윈을 위한 호스팅 공간, 디지털 대상을 구축하는 소프트웨어, 구성 요소 간 읽기/쓰기를 위한 스크립트, chatGPT 및 API를 활용할 수 있다. 이를 통해 수집된 데이터의 실시간 양방향 통신기술인 지하수 플랫폼 기술을 활용하여 디지털 트윈을 적용하고 완성할 수 있고, 이를 지하수 분야에도 그대로 적용할 수 있다. 지하수 분야의 디지털 트윈 기술의 근간은 지하수 모니터링을 위한 관측장치와 이를 활용한 지하수 플랫폼의 구축 및 양방향 자료전송을 통한 분석 및 예측기술이다. 특히 낙동강과 같이 유역면적이 넓고 유역 내 지자체가 많아 이해관계가 다양하며, 가뭄과 홍수/태풍 등 기후위기에 따른 극한 기상이변가 자주 발생하고, 또한 보 및 하굿둑 개방 등 정부정책 이행에 따른 민원이 다수 발생하는 지역의 경우 하천과 유역에 대한 지하수 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈의 동시성 기술적용 시 지하수 데이터에 대한 고려가 반드시 수반되어야 한다.

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Association between Hypertriglyceridemic-Waist Phenotype and Metabolic Abnormalities in Hypertensive Adults (고혈압자의 고중성지방혈증-허리 표현형과 대사이상 사이의 연관성)

  • Kyung-A SHIN;Myung Shin KANG
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2023
  • The hypertriglyceridemic-waist (HTGW) phenotype can predict the risk of coronary artery disease. This study evaluated the relationship between the HTGW phenotype and metabolic abnormalities in hypertensive adults. The test was conducted on adult hypertension patients aged 20 or older who underwent health checkups from January 2018 to December 2021 at general hospitals in Gyeonggi Province. The HTGW phenotype was triglyceride ≥150 mg/dL and waist circumference ≥90 cm for men and ≥85 cm for women. The prevalence of the HTGW phenotype in the study subjects was 17.9%. After adjusting for age, gender, and BMI, the odds ratio of the HTGW group was 5.09 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.545~7.309) for low HDL-cholesterol, 1.68 (95% CI: 1.176~2.411) for high LDL-cholesterol, was 2.92 (95% CI: 2.009~4.235) for high total cholesterol, 3.39 (95% CI: 2.124~5.412) for diabetes and 1.85 (95% CI: 1.286~2.674) for hyperuricemia compared to the normal triglyceride levels with the normal waist (NTNW) group. The area under curve values of the HTGW phenotype for diagnosing metabolic syndrome were 0.849 for all subjects, 0.858 for men, and 0.890 for women. In conclusion, the HTGW phenotype is closely related to metabolic abnormalities and is a useful indicator for monitoring adult hypertensive patients with metabolic syndrome.

The Flora of Mt. Toemo·Hyeolgu (Incheon Metropolitan City) in Western DMZ Area (서부 DMZ 일원 퇴모·혈구산(인천광역시) 일대의 관속식물상)

  • Jong-Won Lee;Jin-Heon Song;Young Min Choi;Jae Sang Jeong;Kyong Youl Byun;Hee Young Gil;Shin-Ho Kang
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2021.04a
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 서부 DMZ 및 접경지역에 속하고 인천광역시 강화군 강화읍에 위치한 퇴모·혈구산(466m) 을 대상으로 수행되었다. 강화군은 우리나라에서 4번째로 넓은 면적의 섬으로 알려져있고, 인천광역시 서북부 경기만의 한강 하구에 위치하고 있으며, 서쪽으로는 석모도 등 부속섬과 서해안, 북쪽으로는 북 한의 황해도 연백시, 동쪽으로는 김포시와 강화대교와 강화초지대교가 육지로 연결되어 있다. 2019년 4 월부터 2020년 10월까지 7회에 걸쳐 계절별로 식물상 조사를 진행하였다. 본 연구에서 확인된 해명산 일대에 분포하는 관속식물의 현황은 92과 257속 353속 4아종 41변종 4품종 총 402분류군으로 확인되었다. 양치식물은 6과 9속 10종 2변종 12분류군, 나자식물은 3과 4속 8종 총 8분류군, 쌍자엽식물은 74과 198속 268종 4아종 30변종 3품종 등 305분류군, 단자엽식물은 9과 46속 67종 9변종 1품종 등 77분류군으로 조사되었다. 또한, 식물구계학적 특정식물 IV급은 등 1분류군, III급은 물박달나무, 병아리꽃나무 등 6분 류군, II급은 갯장구채, 꼬리조팝나무 등 8분류군, I급은 야산고비, 일엽초 등 20분류군으로 파악되었 다. 희귀식물은 산림청 지정 희귀식물 취약종(VU)에 속하는 산들깨와 약관심종(LC)에 속하는 쥐방울덩굴 등 총 2분류군이 확인되었다. 특산식물은 백운산원추리 및 병꽃나무 등 4분류이 파악되었다. 침입외래식물은 애기수영 및 유럽점나무도물 등 39분류군으로 확인되었고, 생태계교란식은 가시박 등 4분류군으로 파악되었다. 주변의 신산저수지 및 고비고개에 큰 공사가 진행되고있어 침입외래식물의 개체수는 크게 증가할 것으로 예측었다. 따라서 장기적인 생태계 보전대책 수립이 필요하다고 판단된다.

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Prediction of Crack Distribution for the Deck and Girder of Single-Span and Multi-Span PSC-I Bridges (단경간 및 다경간 PSC-I 교량의 바닥판 및 거더의 균열분포 예측)

  • Hyun-Jin Jung;Hyojoon An;Jaehwan Kim;Kitae Park;Jong-Han Lee
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2023
  • PSC-I girder bridges constitute the largest proportion among highway bridges in Korea. According to the precision safety diagnosis data for the past 10 years, approximately 41.3% of the PSC-I bridges have been graded as C. Furthermore, with the increase in the aging of bridges, preemptive management is becoming more important. Damage and deterioration to the deck and girder with a long replacement cylce can have considerable impacts on the service and deterioration of a bridge. In addition, the high rate of device damages, including expansion joints and bearings, necessitates an investigation into the influence of the device damage in the structural members of the bridge. Therefore, this study defined representative PSC-I girder bridges with single and multiple spans to evaluate heterogeneous damages that incorporate the damage of the bridge member and device with the deterioration of the deck. The heterogeneous damages increased a crack area ratio compared to the individual single damage. For the single-span bridge, the occurrence of bearing damage leads to the spread of crack distribution in the girder, and in the case of multi-span bridges, expansion joint damage leads to the spread of crack distribution in the deck. The research underscores that bridge devices, when damaged, can cause subsequent secondary damage due to improper repair and replacement, which emphasizes the need for continuous observation and responsive action to the damages of the main devices.

Study on the Factors Affecting the Richness Index of Bird Species in Environmental Impact Assessment (환경영향평가에서 조류 종풍부도 변화에 미치는 요인 고찰 연구)

  • Hyunbin Moon;Eunsub Kim;Dongkun Lee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.64-73
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    • 2024
  • As the seriousness of habitat destruction caused by development projects emerges, the importance of environmental impact assessment (EIA) is increasing to preserve biodiversity. In previous studies, research is being conducted to quantitatively evaluate the biodiversity impact of development factors and surrounding environmental factors on the landscape scale, but research on the factors affecting the reduction of biodiversity based on development projects is insufficient. This study examined whether independent variables (size of development project, type of the development, DEM, ecosystem and nature map, distance from the green land, distance from the protected area), which have been proven to effect biodiversity through the previous researches, have a significant effect on the change of richness index (RI) through multi-class logistic regression analysis, T-test, and analysis of the development type. As a result, only the size of development project and the first richness index in EIA showed p-value less than 0.05. And it was confirmed that the reduction in biodiversity was significantly changed in the following construction types: installation of sports facilities, energy development, and development of industrial location and industrial complex. Since the results of this study confirmed that the impact of the variables may be inconsistent depending on the analysis scale, additional study of necessary indicators at the development project is needed to analyze biodiversity changes in EIA accurately.

Influence of Mixture Non-uniformity on Methane Explosion Characteristics in a Horizontal Duct (수평 배관의 메탄 폭발특성에 있어서 불균일성 혼합기의 영향)

  • Ou-Sup Han;Yi-Rac Choi;HyeongHk Kim;JinHo Lim
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2024
  • Fuel gases such as methane and propane are used in explosion hazardous area of domestic plants and can form non-uniform mixtures with the influence of process conditions due to leakage. The fire-explosion risk assessment using literature data measured under uniform mixtures, damage prediction can be obtained the different results from actual explosion accidents by gas leaks. An explosion characteristics such as explosion pressure and flame velocity of non-uniform gas mixtures with concentration change similar to that of facility leak were examined. The experiments were conducted in a closed 0.82 m long stainless steel duct with observation recorded by color high speed camera and piezo pressure sensor. Also we proposed the quantification method of non-uniform mixtures from a regression analysis model on the change of concentration difference with time in explosion duct. For the non-uniform condition of this study, the area of flame surface enlarged with increasing the concentration non-uniform in the flame propagation of methane and was similar to the wrinkled flame structure existing in a turbulent flame. The time to peak pressure of methane decreased as the non-uniform increased and the explosion pressure increased with increasing the non-uniform. The ranges of KG (Deflagration index) of methane with the concentration non-uniform were 1.30 to 1.58 [MPa·m/s] and the increase rate of KG was 17.7% in methane with changing from uniform to non-uniform.

Simplistic Beam Theory-based Structural Safety Evaluation Method for Block Structure on the A-Carrier (블록 구조물 적치용 지지대의 빔 이론 기반 구조 안전성 평가법)

  • Myung-Su Yi;Joo-Shin Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.358-364
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    • 2024
  • Type A carrier structures that support blocks or equipment gradually deform over time with load changes, reducing the area in contact with the block and changing the load pattern from distributed to concentrated during construction work in the shipyard. This phenomenon has the potential to misrepresent actual service loads. In particular, A carriers are often used by small manufacturers, who often do not have specialized engineering capabilities, necessitating the development of a method for easy calculation of carrier safe working load. This study proposes a quick evaluation method for the long-term safe working load of Type A carriers, to predict the plastic deformation and safety issues resulting from changes in load distribution. Based on the results of finite element analysis (beam and shell modeling) of the centralized load, beam-theory was modified to propose a method for determining the distributed load conditions of the A-carrier. In beam modeling, the theoretical value was multiplied by a correction factor of 0.73 for concentrated loads and 0.69 for distributed loads to obtain a safe working load. For shell modeling, a correction factor of 0.75 can be used for concentrated loads and 0.69 for distributed loads. This study can serve as a basis for improving the safety of shipbuilding, enabling quick and effective decisions for determining safe working loads in actual working environments.

Relationship between Radiation and Yield of Sweet Pepper Cultivars (광량과 파프리카 품종에 따른 수량과의 상호관계)

  • Myung, Dong Ju;Bae, Jong Hyang;Kang, Jong Goo;Lee, Jeong Hyun
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.243-246
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    • 2012
  • The study was aimed at the development of the simple linear regression model to estimate the fruit yield of sweet pepper and to support decision-making management for growing sweet pepper crop in Korea. For quantitative analysis of relationship between environmental data and periodical yield of sweet pepper the data obtained from the commercial Venlo-type glasshouse for 2 years. Obtained periodical yield data of five different cultivars and radiation data were accumulated and fitted by linear regression. A significant linear relationship was found between radiation integral and fruit yield, whereas the production per unit of radiation was different between cultivars. The slope of linear regression could indicate as light use efficiency for fruit production ($LUE_F$, $g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$). $LUE_F$ of 'Ferrari' was $5.85g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$, 'Fiesta' 5.32 for first year and $4.75g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$ and for second year, 'President' was $4.66g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$, 'Cupra' was $3.86g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$, and 'Boogie' was $6.48g{\cdot}MJ^{-1}$. The amount of light requirement for the unit gram of fruit was between $25.88J{\cdot}g^{-1}$, for 'Cupra' and $15.42J{\cdot}g^{-1}$ for 'Boogie'. Although we found the linear relationship between radiation and fruit yield, $LUE_F$ was varied between cultivars and as well as year. The linear relationship could describe the fruit yield as function of radiation, but it needed more variable to generalization of the production, such as cultivar specifications, temperature, and number of fruits set per plant or unit of ground.