• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.175-184
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• 2008

Uncertainties are unavoidable in engineering applications. In this paper we propose an alpha reliable multi-variable network design problem under demand uncertainty. In order to decide the optimal capacity enhancement, three performance measures based on 3E(Efficiency, Equity, and Environmental) are considered. The objective is to minimize the total budget required to satisfy alpha reliability constraint of total travel time, equity ratio, and total emission, while considering the route choice behavior of network users. The problem is formulated as the chance-constrained model for application of alpha confidence level and solved as a lexicographic optimization problem to consider the multi-variable. A simulation-based genetic algorithm procedure is developed to solve this complex network design problem(NDP). A simple numerical example ispresented to illustrate the features of the proposed NDP model.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.13 no.5
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• pp.97-105
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• 2013

It is very important the government project should be supported by enough budget for proceeding. The insufficient budget by poor budget estimating uesd to bring about discontinuing for the project. This is originally caused by inaccuracy for cost estimating about system and evaluating for system requirements on the projet initial phase. The system requirements is technical requirements that converted the user needs and is needs for communicating between stakeholder and developer and manufacturer. Also the system requirements is the primary factor to make the project cost. The cost estimating is not easy due to complication of cost factors and an aberration between cost estimating and actual cost. Specially, on the project initial phase, shortage of detail information for project make more difficult to do cost estimating. This study proposes the architecture for validating proper system requirements by using cost estimations methodology on the project initial phase and shows the computer tool for simulating the proposed architecture.

• Proceedings of the Military Operations Research Society of Korea Conference
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• 2005.10d
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• pp.1-34
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• 2005

함정은 수많은 장비 및 무기체계로 구성된 복합무기체계로서 장비유지비용이 타 무기체계에 비해 크며, 운용 및 교체시 막대한 국방예산이 소요된다. 본 연구의 목적인 함정교체를 위한 도태시기, 즉 함정수명 결정시 고려요소로서는 첫째, 전략, 전술상의 요소 둘째, 장비의 성능 요소 셋째, 운영유지비의 비용 요소 넷째, 군수지원상의 문제 다섯째, 예산상의 문제 등이 고려된다. 그러나 본 연구는 함정이란 복합무기체계의 수명을 결정하는 요소 중 정책적인 고려사항 등은 제외하고, 경제성 측면을 고려한 함정의 수명을 추정, 제시한다. 연구 절차는 무기체계 획득단계에서 경제성 평가를 수행하기 위한 방법으로 앞으로 도입될 장비에 대한 수명주기비용을 추정하고, 그 결과를 활용하여 장비의 경제수명을 결정할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 즉, 현재 국방 분야에서 비용추정을 위해 널리 사용되고 있는 PRICE 전산모델을 이용하여 운영유지비용을 포함한 수명주기 전반에 대한 항목별 비용을 추정하는 방법을 제시하고, 이 자료를 바탕으로 경제수명 결정 모형 중 적합하다고 판단된 등가 연간 비용방법을 적용하여 등가 유지비용과 자본회수비가 최소가 되는 시점을 장비의 경제수명으로 결정한 것이다. 제시된 절차를 이지스 구축함(KDX-III)에 적용하여 경제수명을 결정한다. 본 연구에서 제시된 방법을 통해 보다 과학적이고 경제적으로 함정의 도태시기를 결정하는데 사용함으로써 국방예산 절감에 기여하게 될 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.3 s.89
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• pp.7-15
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• 2006

A large sample can Provide more information about the Population. As the sample size Increases, analysts will be more confident about the survey results. On the other hand, the costs for survey will increase in time and manpower. Therefore, determination of the sample size is a trade-off between the required accuracy and the cost. In addition, permitted error and significance level should be considered. Sample size determination in surveys for O/D estimation is also connected with confidence of survey result. However, the past methods were usually too simple to consider confidence. Therefore, a new method for O/D surveys was Proposed and it was accurate enough, but it has too large sample size when we have current budget constraint. In this research, several minimum sample size determination methods for origin-destination survey under budget constraint were proposed. Each method decreased sample size, but has its own advantages. Selection of the sample size will depend on the study Purpose and budget constraint.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.74-93
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• 1985

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.1D
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• pp.63-72
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• 2009

This study aims at establishing the decision-making support system for the highway assets, long-term performance presumption and evaluation of asset value, which are appropriate for Korea, and proposing the methods of the optimal engineering method and the timing decision for the preventive maintenance through the project evaluation, the optimization method and life-cycle analysis related to the highways. In order to supplement the current problem of the near-sighted budget management system, which chooses the maintenance place of the highway, depending on the level of the budget with fixed amount, the long-term required budget prediction system and the economy principle were introduced, so that the pavement agency can predict the level of the required budget, and it was aimed to develop the pavement asset evaluation system to maintain the performance of the highway with the minimum of the cost. In the use of the highway pavement asset evaluation system, to maintain the appropriate level of the pavement evaluation index, when the budget was efficiently established in the reference of the required maintenance budget for the chosen section of the highway in the year concerned, it was possible to analyze the most rational pavement maintenance budget. With this result, it is estimated to prevent the unnecessary waste of budget in advance, and through the development of the decision-making system for the long-term performance presumption and the asset value estimation of the pavement, it is expected to able to analyze the previous evaluation of the project related to the highway and the feasibility of introduction.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.71-79
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• 2011

Korean national highway has been increased 2 times more for the past ten years because of many highway geometric improvements and new routes since 2000. According to the reasons, maintenance cost has been increased continuously. Deterioration of concrete bridge decks caused by asphalt pavement deformation occupies a high proportion of overall bridge management budget. The number of current highway bridges has reached over 7,800 in 2011, and It is difficult to determine to some future budget. This study predicted the remaining life of concrete bridge decks using the reliability analysis based on Weibull distribution. and The expected future maintenance cost was estimated.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.13-21
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• 2009

The traveler's travel pattern has significantly changed due to the social and economic changes. The travel time among the traveler's pattern is the limited resource. The travelers are trying to maximize the utility of travel with the least travel cost. So, the travelers travel with their own travel time budget in mind, which they can pay or choose to pay for the optimal maximization of the utility of the individuals. This research is to group and extract the specific factors which affect the travel time budget by utilizing the CART analysis method, which enables the analysis of traveler's characteristics and their interrelationship based on the data collected from "2002 Household Travel Practice Research" and then try to derive a model for estimating the traveler’s travel time budget. The result of CART analysis shows that the factors which affect the travel time budget include the traveler's age, size of house, type of house, type of employment, job and relation to the head of household. Considering the affecting factors derived, I developed an estimation model. From that model, we found that the age, size of house and type of house were positively (+) related to the travel time budget while the homeworking people who have less travel frequency as a type of employment were negatively (-) related to it. In particular, from the point of type of job, the housewives, children not yet old enough to attend schools and people who are working in the agricultural, or marine product industries were found to have the negative (-) value while the people who have the administrative, office, management jobs were found to have the positive (+) value.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.121-131
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• 2012

The social welfare service is expanding to different field as the social welfare budget is increasing. By this opportunity, it needs to make clear of the basis of argument that the necessity of development of Korean government's support and aid by social policy should be worked. This research dealt with the national economic effect in relation to welfare for the disabled in terms of welfare economics. Budget spending for the achievement of welfare for the disabled makes an enterprise or a person spend money continually either in a direct or indirect way. This study shows by the use of analysing the related production effects, as an economical influence of welfare for the disabled budget assuming by means of measuring. The results are analyzed that the production of one trillion and three hundred billon won is annually caused and 8,015.9 hundred million won of the direct and indirect added value is caused by the welfare of the disabled budget expenditure of three local governments of capital area. And it is also assumed it creates employment cause personnel (17.673.2 person) and job cause members (26.825.2). The result of the study anticipates the role of basic research material for the necessity of intervention, support, and aid by the government and local government revised policy for the disabled welfare field at this point in time where the welfare budget policy in terms of universal social service is reinforced, rather than the trend, until recently, of realizing the social welfare budget as consumption expenditure and the function of performing the effect and evaluation in tentative action of social conflict.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.557-568
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• 2011

To effectively come up with and secure a national budget, it is very important to estimate the reasonable construction cost of each step in public construction projects. In this study, the approximate construction cost of a steel box girder bridge in the early stages of the project, on which available information is limited, was proposed using case-based reasoning. In addition, construction cost estimation models were used for existing sample design models, and the accuracy of the estimation model for the presented cost was verified. The analysis results showed that the error rate was comparatively stable. Therefore, it is expected that construction cost estimation will be effectively suggested in the country's budget preparation.