• Title/Summary/Keyword: 영향지수

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Study on the Forecasting and Effecting Factor of BDI by VECM (VECM에 의한 BDI 예측과 영향요인에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Sung-Yhun;Ahn, Ki-Myung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.546-554
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    • 2018
  • The Bulk market, unlike the line market, is characterized by stiff competition where certain ship or freight owners have no influence on freight rates. However, freights are subject to macroeconomic variables and economic external shock which should be considered in determining management or chartering decisions. According to the results analyzed by use of ARIMA Inventiom model, the impact of the financial crisis was found to have a very strong bearing on the BDI index. First, according to the results of the VEC model, the libor rate affects the BDI index negatively (-) while exchange rate affects the BDI index by positively (+). Secondly, according to the results of the VEC model's J ohanson test, the order ship volume affects the BDI index by negatively (-) while China's economic growth rate affects the BDI index by positively (+). This shows that the shipping company has moved away from the simple carrier and responded appropriately to changes in macroeconomic variables (economic fluctuations, interest rates and exchange rates). It is believed that the shipping companies should be more aggressive in its "trading" management strategy in order to prevent any unfortunate situation such as the Hanjin Shipping incident.

Estimating the Competition Indices and Diameter Growth of Individual Trees through Position-dependent Stand Survey (위치종속임분조사(位置從屬林分調査)에 의한 개체목(個體木)의 경쟁지수(競爭指數) 및 흉고직경생장(胸高直徑生長) 추정(推定))

  • Lee, Woo-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.85 no.3
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    • pp.539-551
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    • 1996
  • In this study, a number of distance-dependent competition indices on tree-level which incorporate the tree sizes and distances to competitors, and traditional stand-level density measures were estimated from the data compiled with position-dependent survey in a Pinus densiflora stand. The performance of the estimated competition indices was examined by comparing the relationship with the diameter growth, and a dbh growth function, in which the competition index is considered as a one of influence factors, are developed. In the searching method of competing trees, the competition index estimated with $30^{\circ}$ competition interrupting angle showed the highest correlation with the annual dbh growth, while the expanding the competing zone distance had no significant effect on the performance of competition index in estimating annual dbh growth. The most of the examined stand-level competition indices, based on distance-dependent single-tree competition indices, were evaluated to describe similarly the stand competition status. As a result of partial correlation analysis in which the effect of age and site index are eliminated, Alemdag's mean competition index and relative spacing index were determined to have the highest correlation with dbh. The relative spacing index, which can be easily measured in field without measuring the position of individual trees, was considered to be a better suited one for estimating mean dbh of a stand. Among distance-dependent competition indices on tree-level, Hegyi's competition index showed the best performance in their correlation with annual dbh growth, if eliminated the effect of site index and dbh. This enabled to derive the following annual dbh growth function of individual trees which incorporate age, dominant height, dbh and Hegyi's competition index as influence factors : $$dbh^{\prime}=3.975362676{\cdot}age^{-1.099274613}{\cdot}ho^{0.199893990}{\cdot}dbh^{0.269430865}{\cdot}HgCI^{-0.353643587}$$ This function is coincided to the growth principle in which site index has a positive effect on the annual dbh growth, while high age or competition causes to reduce the annual dbh growth, and can be used as a function in single tree growth model.

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Influence of Patchy Outliers on the Forecast of Winters Seasonal Model (가법계절지수모형에서 예측에 미치는 이상치의 영향)

  • 편영숙;이재준
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.491-503
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    • 1999
  • 시계열자료에는 흔히 대부분의 자료에서 벗어나는 이상치들이 포함되어 있는데, 이러한 자료는 관측치들 사이의 종속구조로 인해 분석과정에 영향을 끼칠 수 있고, 특히 연속시점에서 발생하는 경우에 그 영향이 매우 심각할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 연속이상치(PO)가 Winters 계절지수모형의 분석과정에 미치는 영향을 유도하고, 예측 평균제곱오차(MSFE)를 구하여 연속이상치가 예측에 미치는 영향을 제시하였다. 또한, 실제자료를 이용하여 연속이상치의 영향을 실증적으로 분석하였다.

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Analysis on the Effect of Oral habits and Stress on Temporomandibular disorder in High school students (고등학생의 구강 악습관과 스트레스가 턱관절 장애에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Ga-Ryoung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2020
  • This study used a structured questionnaire to analyze the effects of oral habits and stress on temporomandibular disorders in high school students. A total of 339 students attending high schools in Ulsan agreed to participate in the study. Data was analyzed using the SPSS Statistics ver. 18.0 for Windows program, t-test, one-way ANOVA, correlation, and regression analysis. Our results reveal that the temporomandibular disorder index is statistically correlated with the oral habit index, school life stress index, family life stress index, interpersonal stress index, and egosphere stress index (p≤0.01). The oral habit index had maximum influence on the temporomandibular disorder index. Moreover, higher the stress level in egosphere stress, greater significant differences were observed in the temporomandibular disorder index (p≤0.01). In other words, persistence of oral habits and non-addressal of stress increased the likelihood of experiencing temporomandibular disorders in adulthood. This was determined by the regression formula Y (temporomandibular disorder index) = 2.563 + 0.550X1 (oral habit index) + 0.134X2 (egosphere stress index). Thus, bad oral habits and stress in adolescence can be the potential cause of jaw joint disorders in adulthood. We believe that measures are needed to actively recognize and improve oral habits, and properly cope with stress during adolescence.

Factors Affecting Basilar Artery Pulsatility Index on Transcranial Doppler (뇌혈류 초음파 검사에서 기저동맥 박동지수에 영향을 미치는 인자)

  • Jeong, Ho Tae;Kim, Dae Sik;Kang, Kun Woo;Nam, Yun Teak;Oh, Ji Eun;Cho, Eun Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2018
  • Transcranial doppler is a non-invasive method that measures the blood flow velocity and the direction of cerebral blood vessels through the doppler principle. The pulsatility index is an index for measuring the transcranial doppler that reflects the distal vascular resistance and is used as an index for the presence and diffusion of cerebral small vessel diseases. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the risk factors affecting the basilar artery pulsatility index in ischemic stroke patients. From January 2014 to May 2015, 422 patients were selected by measuring the transcranial doppler pulsatility index, considering their basilar artery pulsatility index. Univariate analysis was performed using the basilar artery pulsatility index as a dependent variable. Multiple regression analysis was performed considering the factors affecting the pulsatility index as variables. Univariate analysis revealed age, presence of hypertension, presence of diabetes mellitus, presence of hyperlipidemia, and hematocrit (P<0.1) as factors. Multiple regression analysis showed statistically significant results with age (P<0.001), presence of diabetes (P=0.004), and presence of hyperlipidemia (P=0.041). The risk factors affecting the basilar artery pulsatility index of transcranial doppler were age, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia. Further research will be needed to increase the cerebral pulsatility index as a surrogate marker of the elderly, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia.

Change of Coastal Upwelling Index along the Southeastern Coast of Korea (동해 남부 연안용승지수의 변화)

  • SHIN, CHANG-WOONG
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2019
  • Long-term trends and recent variations of upwelling index (UI), which affects significantly ecosystem in southwestern part of the East Sea, were investigated. The UI was calculated with the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from January 1948 to September 2018. The mean UI has positive value that causes upwelling in April to August with a peak in July. The long-term reducing trend of UI was in statistically significant in June and July, and the sum of UI in May, June and July also showed same result. Through the atmospheric pressure analysis around the Korean peninsula, it was found that the trend of the UI was the influence of the pressure change trend in the northwestern region ($35-50^{\circ}N$, $114-129^{\circ}E$) of the southwestern part of the East Sea. Investigating UI in recent 7 years from 2012 to 2018, it was revealed that the UI was bigger than 3 times of standard deviation in July 2013. This was result from the sea level pressure difference became larger in the southwestern part of the East Sea than normal year due to the lowered air pressure in the northeastern region of China and the strengthened high air pressure of western peripheral of the North Pacific High. On the other hand, the UI in July 2018 was negative when the impact of the North Pacific High and the low air pressure in the northeastern China was weak. Due to the decreasing trend of UI and its large year-to-year variation in southwestern part of the East Sea, continuous monitoring is necessary to know the influence of coastal upwelling on the ecosystem.

Comparisons of the Equity of Medical Care Utilization by Sex, Age Groups, and Region (성, 연령, 지역에 따른 의료이용 형평성의 집단 간 비교)

  • Kim, Jin-Gu
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.319-344
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    • 2012
  • This study decomposed Concentration Index(CI) and Hiwv Index(HI) of medical care utilization by subgroups: sex, age group, and region. CI and HI were decomposed into "the between group" component, "within group" component, and a residual. The results of analysis are summarized as follows; First, there was no influence of sex on the equity of medical care utilization measured by the numbers of visiting clinic. However, "within group" component of female explained .0441 among HI, .1035. This means that poor women's underutilization of medical care is the important factor in determining its degree of equity. Second, age groups had a decisive effect on the equity of medical care utilization measured by the numbers of visiting clinic. they explained -.0085 among HI, -.0170. Third, internal equality within elderly group was the most important factor in determining HI measured by the medical care cost. Finally, "within group" component of urban area explained .0535 amomg HI, ,1035 measured by medical care cost. This indicated that the urban poor's underutilization of medical care was very important factor in explaining its degree of equity. There was the poor's underutilization of medical care within the groups as female, the elderly, and urban areas. This significantly explained the equity of medical care costs.

A study on the information effect of tracking error affecting the sector ETF pricing (산업별 ETF의 가격결정에 영향을 미치는 추적오차의 정보효과에 관한 연구)

  • Byun, Young Tae;Lee, Sang Goo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the information effect about the pricing using the ETF price, the benchmark index, and the total tracking error between the ETF price and the benchmark index on the index ETF market and sector ETF markets. Furthermore, the total tracking error is distinguished between the market tracking error and the NAV tracking error. Summary of this study are as follows: First, While KODEX200 don't have impact factors on the price, the most sectors of ETF have the factors affecting the pricing decision. They are the day before the total tracking error or market tracking error. Second, for the ETF price of the most industry, we find that the day before the market tracking error have the price discovery function because it is a negative(-) coefficients. But NAV tracking error could not find such a feature. Finally, the sector ETF price of energy chemical, construction, IT, and semiconductor industries affected of the day before positive(+) impact by the benchmark index price.

The Effect of Corporate Social Responsibility on Audit Efficiency: Analyses of the effects of KEJI Index on Audit Fees and Audit Hours (감사대상기업의 사회적 책임활동과 감사의 효율성 : 경제정의지수와 감사보수 및 감사시간의 관련성 분석)

  • Li, Jia-Hui;Choe, Kuk-Hyun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.247-268
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyzes for companies of 2011~2014 the effects of corporate social responsibility on audit efficiency. Using KEJI Index and its individual components which is published by Citizens' Coalition for Economic Justice Institute, this paper analyzes their effects on audit efficiency of audit fees and audit hours. The results of analyses are as followings. First, corporate social responsibility(CSR) composite index did not show any significant relationship between audit fees and audit hours. However, for analyses of the effects of CSR individual components on audit efficiency, variable such as CSR fairness(CSR2), CSR social contribution(CSR3), CSR environmental protection activity(CSR5) have the negative effects on the audit fees and audit time. and CSR customer protection(CSR4), CSR employee satisfaction(CSR6) have the positive effects on the audit fees and audit time. Results suggest that independent auditors may reduce audit risks associated with possible misrepresentation of financial statements for companies with high scores of CSR fairness (CSR2), CSR social contribution(CSR3), and CSR environmental protection activity(CSR5). Also, financial statement auditors may perceive surge of discretionary expenses, and set audit risk high for companies with CSR customer protection(CSR4), and CSR employee satisfaction(CSR6). Together, KEJI Index and its individual components appear to have differential effects on audit efficiency.

Comparison of Reservoir Drought Index According to the Period of Reservoir Storage Data on Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 저수지의 저수량 자료 기간별 가뭄지수 비교)

  • Kim, Sun Joo;Kwon, Hyung Joong;Bark, Min Woo;Kang, Seung Mook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.337-337
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    • 2017
  • 가뭄은 일반적으로 강수량의 부족에 기인하며, 수자원의 이용 및 관리에 큰 영향을 미치는 자연재해이다. 2013년부터 2015년까지 우리나라의 연 평균 강수량은 각각 1,162mm, 1,173mm, 948mm로 평년대비 89.0%, 89.8%, 72.1%의 적은 강수를 보였다. 이는 마른장마, 평년보다 적게 발생한 태풍 등의 영향 인 것으로 판단되며 이러한 강수의 부족으로 인해 전국적으로 가뭄이 빈번하게 발생하였다. 이에 가뭄의 대처방안에 대한 관심이 증대되었고, 가뭄을 정량적으로 표현하고자 하는 연구들이 진행되었다. 가뭄은 크게 수문학적, 기상학적, 농업적 가뭄으로 구분되며 각각의 기준에 따라 다양한 변수들을 이용한 지표들이 개발되었다. 개발된 가뭄 지표는 가뭄을 평가하고 대비하기 위한 의사결정에 유용한 자료로 사용되고 있다. 농업적 가뭄은 강우부족, 실제와 잠재증발산량의 차이, 토양수분 부족, 저수지 또는 지하수위의 저하 등 농작물의 생육과 수확량에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 특성들을 고려하여 평가해야 하며, 이러한 특성들을 고려한 가뭄 지수로는 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI), 토양수분지수(SMI), 통합농업가뭄지수(IADI) 등이 개발되었다. 저수지 가뭄지수는 가뭄발생의 위험과 크기를 순별 가용저수량의 빈도를 이용하여 나타낸 가뭄 지표이다. 따라서 가뭄 지표를 산정하는데 사용된 자료의 기간에 따라 그 값의 차이가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 각각 10개년, 20개년, 30개년 기간의 백산저수지 농업지구 저수량 자료를 사용하여 2011년부터 2015년까지의 저수지 가뭄지수를 산정하였으며 이를 각각 비교하였다. 2006년부터 2015년까지 10개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012년 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내고 있었고 특히, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수가 -4.1으로 가장 심한 가뭄을 나타내었다. 1996년부터 2015년까지 20개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내며 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수는 각각 -0.9, -1.0으로 10개년의 기간을 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 모습을 보였다. 1986년부터 2015년까지 30개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄을 나타내고 있었으며, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 경우 각각 -1.7, -1.0으로 20개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 심한 가뭄을 나타내지만, 10개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 가뭄을 나타내었다. 백산저수지의 경우 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄이 발생하였으나, 용수공급이 불가능 할 정도의 가뭄이 발생하지는 않은 것으로 조사되었으며, 30개년 자료를 사용한 가뭄지수가 이와 가장 근사한 가뭄정도를 나타내고 있다. 이는 저수량자료의 기간이 크면 빈도값의 신뢰성이 높아지기 때문인 것으로 판단되며 저수지 가뭄지수의 경우 저수량 자료가 누적될수록 좀 더 정확한 가뭄상황을 표현할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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