• Title/Summary/Keyword: 연쇄적 파급

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Robustness Estimation for Power and Water Supply Network : in the Context of Failure Propagation (피해파급에 대한 고찰을 통한 전력 및 상수도 네트워크의 강건성 예측)

  • Lee, Seulbi;Park, Moonseo;Lee, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2018
  • In the aftermath of an earthquake, seismic-damaged infrastructure systems loss estimation is the first step for the disaster response. However, lifeline systems' ability to supply service can be volatile by external factors such as disturbances of nearby facilities, and not by own physical issue. Thus, this research develops the bayesian model for probabilistic inference on common-cause and cascading failure of seismic-damaged lifeline systems. In addition, the authors present network robustness estimation metrics in the context of failure propagation. In order to quantify the functional loss and observe the effect of the mitigation plan, power and water supply system in Daegu-Gyeongbuk in South Korea is selected as case network. The simulation results show that reduction of cascading failure probability allows withstanding the external disruptions from a perspective of the robustness improvement. This research enhances the comprehensive understanding of how a single failure propagates to whole lifeline system performance and affected region after an earthquake.

An Analysis about Impact of Smart Home manufacturing and service Industry on National Economy (스마트홈 제조업과 서비스업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Kyunam
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.97-126
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    • 2020
  • This study evaluated its potentials by quantitatively analyzing the national economic impact of the smart home-related industry, which is attracting attention as a core industry of the 4th industrial revolution. For the analysis, the smart home-related industries were classified into manufacturing and service industries through a literature review of the previous studies. Using the 2018 input-output table, this paper analyzed linkage effects between industries as well as spillover effects in the production, value-added, employment and job. As a result, the smart home manufacturing and service sectors showed a higher spillover effect in value-added than other industries in each industrial field. In the smart home industry, the spillover effects of manufacturing sector to service sector are larger than those of service sector to manufacturing sector. Moreover, it was confirmed that smart home industry was highly related to not only the technology-intensive industry, but also the service sector for smart cities, smart cars, Fin-tech, and etc. On the other hand, the smart home manufacturing sector is a final demanding industry with relatively higher backward linkage effect than forward linkage effect. In the smart home service sector, the forward linkage effect was relatively high compared with the backward linkage effect, indicating that it was an industry with a high supply function to other industries.

A Study on the Characteristics of the U-City Industry Using the I-O Tables (산업연관분석을 이용한 U-City 산업의 특성 고찰)

  • Lim, Si-Yeong;Lim, Yong Min;Hwang, Byung Ju;Lee, Jae Yong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2013
  • This study sets the boundary of U-City industry based on expert surveys. Based on this U-City industry boundary, an appropriate inter-industry analysis is performed. The result shows production inducement coefficients, value added inducement coefficients, employment & enter employment inducement coefficients, influence coefficients and induction coefficients. Based on these coefficients, overall characteristics and spillover effects of U-City industry are examined. The result of this study shows that U-City industry has bigger value added-induced effects and employee-induced effects than other industry. The result also shows that U-City industry also has a great forward linkage effect. This study has a meaning that could be used to make political decisions as a basic data.

A Study on the Economic Impacts of Korean Climate Industry - Focusing on Renewable Energy Industry - (한국 기후산업의 경제적 파급효과에 관한 연구 - 신재생에너지산업을 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Jun-Suk;Park, Sung-Hwan;Park, Jung-Gu
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2012
  • The climate industry could be defined as the group of industries responding to world climate change compacts. This study confined it to renewable energy and analyzed the economic impacts of Korean renewable industry, using 2009 Input-Output Table. This study estimated that Korean renewable industry made the production-induced impact of 1.1644 won(Korean money), and the value-added-induced impact of 0.3544 won through an increase in output growth of 1 won. Its job-creation impact is analyzed to correspond to 10.065 labors through an increase in output growth of 1 billion won. And its industrial linkage effects including forward and backward ones are analyzed not to be so great as expected. According to these results, some policies vitalizing Korean renewable industry and relating industries to its value-chain as new growth engines are recommended.

The Analysis of Economic Impact for Information Security Industry using Inter-Industry Analysis (산업연관분석을 이용한 정보보호 산업의 경제 파급효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Eun-Hee
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.72-80
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    • 2020
  • The information security industry is increasing in importance and market size due to the development of the fourth industry such as artificial intelligence, IoT and etc. This paper was analyzed the impact of the increasing information security industry on the domestic economy by using the Input-Output table. It was classified industrial sectors into information security products and information security services industries, and then reclassified the Input-Output table into 35 industries. And it was estimated the production inducement coefficient, the value-added inducement coefficient, employment inducement coefficient, and etc. The production inducement coefficients of the information security product and service industry are each 1.571, 1.802, and the value-added inducement coefficients of them are each 0.632, 0.997, and the employment inducement coefficients of them are each 2.494, 7.361. Only the value-added inducement coefficient of the information security service industry is slightly higher than the total industry, and the remaining inducement coefficients are all lower than the total industry. In addition, the information security product industry has no the forward and backward linkage effect, and the information security service industry has no the backward linkage effect. But it has the forward linkage effect. As a result of analyzing the economic ripple effect of the information security industry, the production inducement amounted to 359.9 trillion won, value-added inducement amounted to 164.8 trillion won, and employment inducement amounted to 803 thousand people.

Analysis Ripple Effect for Physical Promotion in Connection with Local Cultural Contents: Primarily based on Specialized Streets (지역 문화콘텐츠의 물리적 홍보 파급효과 분석 -특화거리를 중심으로-)

  • Shon, Sang-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2016
  • Utilization of cultural contents is more and more increasing as it is believed to improve local problems and provide historical values. This kind of business is positive in terms of the fact that it attracts visitors into local areas and activate local commercial areas. Under this trend, the construction of specialized streets is required to be approached with first priority to solve problems of cities. So to speak, it's more important to solve intrinsic problems found in local communities and then approach cultural contents step-by-step rather than constructing new spaces with first priority. Moreover, cultural contents should accompany economic aspects which result in local community-friendly and sympathetically concentrated values. Under this sentiment, the efforts to suggest economic ripple effects for government local government's businesses using cultural contents are very important. This study analyzed how much economic ripple effects is yielded by reflecting cultural contents. As the result of analysis, specialized street with cultural contents applied are proved to be more concentrated on multiplier of expediting employment, income and tax and tourism industry than service industry. On the contrary to this, service industry showed more concentrated multiplier of expediting production, income, added values and chain reaction effect (coefficients for influence and sensitivity for front and rear side of tourism industry. Based on these results, construction of specialized streets with cultural contents applied is proved to help synergy effects for local economy.

An Input/Output analysis of the transportation industry for evaluating its economical contribution and ripple effect - Forecasting the I-O table in 2003~2009 - (교통부문의 경제적 기여도 및 파급효과 도출을 위한 산업연관분석 연구 - 2003~2009년 산업연관표 중심으로 -)

  • Lim, Siyeong;Kim, Seok;Oh, Eun-ho;Lee, Kyo Sun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.12-20
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    • 2015
  • Construction industry has played a pivotal role in the national economy, but the crisis situation of a construction industry has been worse due to the lack of recognition of the contribution of a construction industry. In particular, the transport sector is responsible for a critical function in the movement of humans and material resources, and has a profound impact on national competitiveness and the peoples' welfare, which requires quantitative analysis. In this study, economic contribution and impact of the transportation sector are measured based on the input-output model. Road and railway facilities account for 1.03% and 0.165% of the total industry respectively, and consist of a final demand and total output. Although value-added inducing effect is small, production inducing effect and backward linkage effect has been high. The results in this study will be used as the basic information for validity of investment and policy decisions.

An Economic Ripple Effect Analysis of Domestic Supercomputing Modeling and Simulation (슈퍼컴퓨팅 모델링 및 시뮬레이션의 산업연관분석 기반 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Myungil;Park, Sung-Uk;Kim, Jaesung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.340-347
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    • 2016
  • Since the 1970s, manufacturing has been one of the key driving forces that has led to Korea's economic growth. However, this growth rate has been reduced significantly since the 2000s, and shows that revenues and employment are steadily decreasing. In addition, while manufacturing investment in Korea has dropped sharply, the United States, Germany, Japan, and other major countries have increased investment in manufacturing. These countries have promoted manufacturing innovation strategies that include the convergence of information and communications technologies (ICT) and manufacturing. For manufacturing innovation, it is important for time and cost savings required for product development to be achieved by changes in the production process, especially product design. Modeling and simulation (M&S) is a process that replaces physical product design, mockup making, and testing, with virtual product creation (modeling) and engineering analysis (simulation). In this paper, we analyze the economic ripple effect of supercomputing M&S using an input-output model technique based on the input-output tables published by the Bank of Korea. When we set the M&S budget (about US$16 million for the last 10 years) of the Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information (KISTI) as input coefficients, the effect on production inducement, value-added inducement, and employment inducement was analyzed to be US$24 million, US$13.4 million, and 267, respectively.

The Analysis of Economic Impact for Fourth Industrial Revolution Industry using Demand-driven Model (수요유도형 모형을 이용한 4차 산업혁명 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Eun-Hee
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.70-77
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    • 2021
  • This paper was reclassified industries related to the 4th industrial revolution into manufacturing, information and communication services, finance and insurance services, and science and technology services by comparing the industry association table with the Korean standard industry classification. And the economic ripple effect was analyzed by exogenizing the four sectors of the industry using a demand-driven model. The wholesale and retail and product brokerage services were measured to be large in the manufacturing, information communication services, and science technology service sector according as a result of analysis of the production inducement effect, added value inducement effect, and employment inducement effect. And the financial and insurance services were analyzed to be large in the financial and insurance services sector. The import inducement effect was analyzed to be the largest in all sectors of the fourth industry. As a result of the forward and backward linkage effect, it was confirmed that the manufacturing and the information communication services sector were the intermediate primary production type sensitive to economic fluctuations. Also it was confirmed that the financial and insurance services and the science technology services sector were the final primary production type.

Economic ripple effect and growth contribution of information security industry (정보보호 산업의 경제적 파급효과 및 기여도 분석)

  • Kim, Pang-ryong;Hong, Jae-pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1031-1039
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    • 2015
  • This study examines the economic ripple effect on the domestic information security manufacturing and service sectors through input-output analysis. The production inducement coefficient of the manufacturing sector is bigger than the average of whole industry, but that of the service sector is smaller than the average. On the other hand, the service sector is superior to the manufacturing sector in the value added and employment inducement coefficients. Forward and backward linkage effects of manufacturing and service sectors are generally lower than those of the average of whole industry. The information security industry has insignificant contribution to national economy and employment growth overall. In particular, the manufacturing sector records minus contribution to employment growth, which means that a lot of effort for increasing employment must be given further on in the sector.