• Title/Summary/Keyword: 연간변화율

Search Result 110, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Estimation of the Inflow into Agricultural Reservoir during Drought Year : Focused on Naju Reservoir (가뭄년도 농업용저수지 유입량 추정 : 나주호를 중심으로)

  • Jeung, Minhyuk;Beom, Jina;Yoon, Kwangsik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.396-396
    • /
    • 2020
  • 기후변화는 여러 수자원 문제를 야기하며, 특히 가뭄으로 인해 농업용 저수지의 물관리는 점점 중요해지고 있다. 여러 둑높이기 농업용 저수지 중 나주호는 수혜면적에 비해 유역면적이 작아 저수율관리에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 실제로 2017년과 2018년 가뭄이 발생함에 따라 저수율이 20 %까지 저하되었으며, 수혜구역내 간이 양수장, 양수 저류 등 가뭄대책이 시행되었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 나주호의 저수율이 회복되지 않아 단수를 실시하는 등 물관리에 어려움을 겪었다. 이 연구에서는 저수지인 나주호를 대상으로 기상자료, 나주호의 저수율, 공급량 자료를 바탕으로 CAT 모형을 적용 가뭄년도의 유입량 변화를 추정하였다. 검보정의 경우 CAT 3.0 버전에 포함된 SCE-UA 최적화기법을 이용하였다. 그 결과, 2008년부터 2019년까지의 평균 연간 유입량은 6,549 만㎥으로 분석되었으며, 평균 연간 유출율은 48 %로 조사되었다. 하지만, 가뭄이 발생하였던 2017년도의 경우 평균 연간 유입량이 2,070 만㎥, 유출율은 27 %로 조사되었다.

  • PDF

Role of Runoff Ratio in the Sensitivity of Annual Streamflow (연간 유출량의 민감도에서 유출율의 역할)

  • Kim, Byeong-Hee;Kam, Jonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.95-95
    • /
    • 2021
  • 전 세계 담수 자원의 예측 및 관리에 있어서 유출량 변화의 예측은 중요하다. 하지만 강수량 대비 유출량의 비율인 유출율이 수자원 시스템에 중요한 영향을 미치는지에 대한 여부는 여전히 불분명하다. 본 연구에서는 전 세계의 1,636개 관측소에서 관측된 유출량과 강수량 자료를 이용하여 최근 60년 (1956-2015) 동안 유출량, 강수량, 증발산량의 관계에 있어서 유출율의 역할에 관해 연구하였다. 수문 기후학적으로 습한 지역과 건조한 지역을 구분할 수 있는 임계값으로 유출율을 사용할 수 있다는 점을 Budyko 공간에서 적용하여 건조 지수와의 비교를 통해 발견할 수 있었다. 유출량 변화에 대한 상세한 분석을 위해 강수량 및 증발산량 변화율에 따라 6가지의 범주를 설정하였고 그 결과 대부분의 관측소에서는 강수량의 변화와 일관된 방향으로 유출량이 변화하는 것으로 밝혀져 유출량의 변화는 강수 변화에 더 민감하다는 결론을 얻었으며 모든 범주에 있어서 유출율은 강수량과 증발산량의 변화에 의한 유출량 변화의 크기에 상당한 영향이 있음이 밝혀졌다. 본 연구의 결과들을 통해 우리는 기후 변화에 따른 유출량 변화에 대한 예측성 향상에 있어서 유출율에 대한 물리적인 이해가 잠재적인 주요한 요소라고 제안한다. 토지 피복 및 토지 이용과 같은 인위적 영향은 유출율을 직접 감소 또는 증가시켜 유출량의 민감도를 변화시킬 수 있다. 본 연구에서 제안된 수치적인 접근 방식은 수자원 가용성에 대한 기후 변화 및 인위적 영향을 완화하기 위해 실행 가능한 정보를 제공할 것으로 보인다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Change of Production Performance of 5 Strains of Korean Native Chicken after Establishment of Varieties (한국재래닭 5계통의 종 조성 후 생산능력 변화 추이에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki Gon;Kang, Bo Seok;Park, Byoung Ho;Choo, Hyo Jun;Kwon, Il;Choi, Eun Sik;Sohn, Sea Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
    • /
    • v.46 no.3
    • /
    • pp.193-204
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study aimed to investigate the changes in production performance of five strains of Korean native chickens (KNCs), which have been collected and established at the National Institute of Animal Science, Korea, since 1992. A total of 38,026 KNCs were tested and survival rate, body weight, age at first egg-laying, hen-housed egg production, and egg weight was analyzed. The mean survival rates of KNCs were $87.9{\pm}0.8%$, but no significant difference in survival rate between strains and in the annual survival rates of KNCs was observed. The average body weight of KNCs was $1,609.7{\pm}21.3g$ at 150 d. The average body weight of KNC-Black was the highest, whereas KNC-White had the lowest weight. A gradual increase in the annual weight change has been observed in almost all strains after 2004. The average age at first egg-laying was $146.9{\pm}1.1d$ in KNCs where KNC-White was the earliest and KNC-Black was the latest. The age at first egg-laying has increased after 2003, but has gradually decreased after 2008. The average hen-housed egg production at 270 d was $77.3{\pm}1.7$ in KNCs, wherein KNC-Yellowish brown was the highest and KNC-Black was the lowest. The average egg weight at 270 d was $51.2{\pm}0.3g$ in KNCs, indicating that KNC-Black was the heaviest, whereas KNC-White was the lightest. A significant increase in annual egg weight has been observed since 2008. To conclude, the appearance and feather colors of KNCs have improved uniformly, and the body weight has also improved slightly since 2002.

Estimating Direct Effects of Economic Benefits on Aquatic Animal Disease Prevention Project in South Korea (수산생물방역사업에 대한 경제적 편익의 직접적 효과분석)

  • Cho, Mi Young;Jee, Bo Young;Park, Myoungy-Ae;Pyo, Heedong
    • Journal of Marine Life Science
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.117-120
    • /
    • 2016
  • The success or failure of aquaculture heavily depends on how effectively to manage aquatic animal diseases. The paper is to estimate the direct effects of economic benefits on aquatic animal disease prevention program using economic surplus analysis. The economic benefits include changes in consumer and producer surplus owing to a reduction effect of aquatic animal mortality and the consumption recovery effect. The annual changes in producer surplus for flounder, rockfish and others cultured is estimated as 2.33 billion won totally (0.87 billion won, 1.01 billion won and 0.45 billion won respectively) and the annual changes in consumer surplus 10.15 billion won totally (6.36 billion won, 1.85 billion won and 1.94 billion won respectively). Therefore, total annual economic benefit is 12.5 billion won.

Consolidation Characteristics of Mixed Soil (혼합토의 압밀 특성)

  • Yoon, Hyun-Suk;Lee, Ki-Ho;Park, Jun-Boum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.03a
    • /
    • pp.211-216
    • /
    • 2003
  • 굴폐각은 굴양식 후 남는 것으로 남해안에서 주로 집중적으로 발생하는데 연간 28만톤의 발생량 중 상당양은 폐기물로 계속 누적되고 혹은 불법매립되어 환경오염 문제까지 발생시키고 있다. 본 연구에서는 산업폐기물로 분류되는 굴패각을 지반공학 분야에서 활용하기 위한 대안으로 해성점토와 혼합하여 매립재료로써의 적용성을 평가하기 위하여 대형 압밀기를 이용하여 실험을 실시하고 이를 토대로 기초자료를 획득하고자 하였다. 원형의 굴패각을 파쇄하여 입도별로 분류하고 이중 사질토 입경 크기의 재료에 대한 기본 물성치를 평가하고 지반 재료로써의 적용성를 분석하였다. 해성점토 내의 굴패각입자의 혼합비를 변화시켜 만들어진 혼합토에 대한 압밀 실험 결과 굴패각의 혼합율이 증가할수록 체적변화율이 작게 되고, 침하 속도는 빠르게 증가함을 알 수 있었다. 이는 압밀응력의 일부를 굴패각 입자의 골격구조가 부담함으로써 실제 점토부분에 작용하는 압밀응력은 굴패각 혼합율이 증가할수록 작아지는 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Heating and Cooling Energy Demand Analysis of Standard Rural House Models (농어촌 주택 표준모델의 냉난방에너지요구량 분석)

  • Lee, Chan-Kyu;Kim, Woo-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.8
    • /
    • pp.3307-3314
    • /
    • 2012
  • The annual energy demand of the standard rural house models was analyzed using the DesignBuilder. Indoor temperature set-point, U-value of outer wall, type of window, and degree of ventilation were selected as simulation parameters. In all the simulation cases, heating energy demand was higher than cooling energy demand regardless of the building size. When the lower U-value of the outer wall was applied to account for the thicker insulation layer, heating energy demand was decreased while cooling energy demand was increased. However, it is better to reduce the area of outer wall which is directly exposed to outdoor air because reducing the U-value of the outer wall is not effective in decreasing heating energy demand. Among the four different window types, the double skin window is most favorable because heating energy demand is the lowest. For a fixed infiltration rate, higher ventilation rate resulted in an increased heating energy demand and had minor impact on cooling energy demand. As long as the indoor air quality is acceptable, lower ventilation rate is favorable to reduce the annual energy demand.

Estimation of the Elasticity of Energy Demand and Performance of the Second Energy Tax Reform in Korea (수요탄력성 추정을 통한 2차 에너지 세제개편의 성과평가)

  • Kang, Man-Ok;Lee, Sang-Yong;Cho, Jangyul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-29
    • /
    • 2008
  • The goal of this study is to analyze the effects of the second energy tax reform of the transportation sector in Korea. For this purpose, we estimated the elasticities of energy demand(for gasoline, diesel and LPG) by using the ARDL(Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag) Model during the period of 1997 and 2005. We have the empirical results that the demand for diesel would decrease as much as of 382 million barrel per year and the demand for LPG would increase as much as of 20 million barrel per year since 2007. The second energy tax reform would also result in the decrease of 27,346 ton of air pollutants and 0.96 million ton of carbon dioxide per year. This shows that the second energy tax reform would have achieved its own policy goals by reducing energy demand and improving the quality of environment.

  • PDF

Economic Analysis of the Livestock Manure Treatment System Using Life-Cycle Cost Technique (LCC 기법을 통한 가축분뇨처리시설의 경제성 분석)

  • Kim, J.H.;Cho, S.H.;Kwag, J.H.;Choi, D.Y.;Jeong, K.H.;Chung, U.S.;Chung, M.S.;Park, S.K.
    • Journal of Animal Environmental Science
    • /
    • v.17 no.sup
    • /
    • pp.61-68
    • /
    • 2011
  • To assess the total cost with all stages of facilities, the feasibility of Life Cycle Cost (LCC) analysis was examined in this study to estimate the livestock manure treatment system and optimal decision making process. For the economic evaluation, the plant/equipment investment and annual operation cost of four Public Livestock Recycling Facilities, whose treatment capacity is 100 ton piggery manure per day, was compared. The initial cost was in the range of 2,699 million won to 3,202 million won, where T and E methods were highest and lowest, respectively. The annual operation cost was in the level of 378 million to 498 million won, which decreased in the following order : T method > J method > E method > B method. For the LCC analysis, 4.7% of interest rate, 3.13% of inflation rate, and 1.52% of net discount rate was considered by the data received from Bank of Korea and Statics Korea in the period of 2000 to 2009. Also, for the calculation of present value factor, the durable years of civil engineering & construction, machinery and electric instrument was 30 years, 10 years and 15 years, respectively. Based on these consideration, operation cost was in the range of 17,570 won/ton to 20,661 won/ton, and E method (17,570 won/ton) was economical and B method (20,661 won/ton) was non-economical. Though initial cost of T method was higher than that of B method, LCC analysis of T method was lower than that of T method due to the lower operation cost. Therefore, LCC analysis, which considers both initial cost and operation cost, is more reasonable evaluation method than either initial cost or annual operation cost. For the change of LCC analysis according to the uncertainty, the sensitivity analysis was carried out using fluctuation magnitude of discount rate in the period of 2000 to 2009. As a result, LCC analysis evaluated by discount rate was stable for the uncertain factors since the cost leadership did not change even though the sensitivity analysis varied. In summary, the economic evaluation using LCC analysis could be an efficient reference to choose the suitable livestock manure treatment plants. Furthermore, standardization of statement calculation for the actual cost analysis should be conducted and more detailed study is necessary to validate this summary. Therefore, the application of comprehensive technology evaluation, which considers LCC analysis, should contribute in obtaining objectivity and enhancing reliability for the 'Evaluation of Livestock Manure Treatment System and its Technology'.

The study for the Epidemiologic Characteristics of Cancer Patients in Jeju Special Self-governing Province (제주특별자치도 암 환자의 역학적인 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Weon-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1292-1303
    • /
    • 2015
  • Jeju province is the highest area about obesity(1st), alcohol consumption(2nd) and male smoking(2nd) among sixteen Korean provinces by the report of Statistics Korea: 2013 community health survey. Therefore, it is assumed that the incidence rate of colon, liver, lung and breast cancer can be high. The purpose of this study is to test these cancer's incidence and mortality trends and compare comparability with national average. The Joinpoint regression model and permutation tests for identifying changes and parallelism in trend were used to test registered data at Jeju Regional Cancer Registry from 1999 to 2012. In male colorectal cancer, Average Age Percent Change(AAPC) of Age-Standardized incidence Rate(ASR) was 8.4% per year(p-value<.000) and the hypothesis of parallelism with Korean male average was rejected because of steep increasing of Jeju male patients' AAPC(p-value=.047). In male liver cancer, AAPC of ASR was -2.98 % per year(p-value<.000) and parallelism with Korean male average was rejected because of sluggish decreasing of Jeju(p-value=.026). In male lung cancer, the ASR parallelism with Korean male average was rejected(p-value=.009) because Jeju patients APC(4.37% per year) was increased during 2006~2012. This study demonstrates that AAPC and Trends of male colon, male lung and male liver were difference from national average. Further studies are needed to understand its causes.

Comparative Studies on Heating and Cooling Loads' of a Building Varied by Annual Weather Data (연도별 기상데이터를 활용한 건물의 냉.난방부하 특성 비교)

  • Lee, Ji-Hoon;Hwang, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.35 no.3
    • /
    • pp.265-270
    • /
    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the differences of a building's heating and cooling loads depending on the weather variation. Followings are the results. The temperature, humidity and wind speeds of standard year are bigger than those of 2006~2009. The 2006~2009's total horizontal solar irradiance is greater than that of standard year, and the direct solar irradiance of standard year is bigger in winter and vice versa in summer. As results of simulation on heating and cooling loads, it is difficult to find out the bilateral influences between maximum thermal loads and annual's. The equivalent-time operating ratio(EOR) is defined on this study to estimate the differences between year and year, and the EOR of standard year shows low value comparing to 2006~2009 years'.