• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.06a
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• pp.192-195
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• 2009

본 연구는 산업연관분석을 이용하여 장래 신 재생에너지의 보급이 유발하는 경제적 파급효과를 분석하기 위한 방법론을 고찰해 보았다. 신 재생에너지의 보급이 유발하는 파급효과를 분석하기 위한 방법론으로는 먼저 이미 수행된 사례가 있는 방법으로 신 재생에너지 요소기술의 수요 창출 추정치를 바탕으로 투입계수표를 이용하여 수행한 분석이 있다. 그러나 신.재생에너지는 2030년까지 전체 에너지원의 11%를 대체하는 것을 목표로 장기적인 측면에서 보급되고 있다. 그러므로 본 논문에서는 기존 방법과 더불어 RAS방법, 평균증가배율방법, 라그랑즈승수방법을 통해 목표 분석연도의 산업연관표를 추정하여 분석하는 방안과 산업연관표 상에서 신 재생에너지산업을 하나의 산업으로서 독립시켜 분석하는 방안에 대해서도 고찰해 보았다. 이러한 고찰은 신 재생에너지보급의 산업 파급효과 추정의 신뢰성을 높이기 위한 사전 작업이 될 수 있다.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.49-72
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• 2009

To analyze the direct and indirect $CO_2$ emission structure according to industries in Korea, a hybrid IO table quantifying the section of energy in the IO table is needed. However, the results of the recent researches revealed differences in the total amount of $CO_2$ emission by researchers in addition to significant standard deviation in industrial distribution. This study intends to make comparative analysis of the existing method of making an IO table for energy and environment and presents an improvement scheme to contribute to an improvement in calculation of the total amount of $CO_2$ emission and estimation of the emission by industries in Korea. For this purpose, division was made into use as raw materials of energy and that as fuel and a new hybrid IO table was made by removing confounding factors caused by the product tax and subsidies. As a result, the oil and coal industry emitted 5.2 times less $CO_2$ after removing energy inputted as raw materials from the transaction table than before. The amount of $CO_2$ emission estimated by using the IO table based on basic price was found to be 2.7% less than by using the IO table based on the producer price.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.247-255
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• 2011

Currently, there is database for per unit requirements of major construction materials in terms of energy consumption and $CO_2$ emission based on the input-output table published by the Bank of Korea in 2000, but no database for per unit requirements based on input-output tables was published in 2005 and 2007. The purpose of this study was to calculate the unit requirement values of major construction materials in terms of energy consumption and $CO_2$ emission generated by using the input-output tables published in 2005 and 2007. To estimate the unit requirement values, a database building method with the input-output tables was adopted by selecting 16 types of construction materials in wide use on construction sites. When the study results were compared with existing unit requirement values based on the input-output table of 2000, there were small discrepancies, from which it can be interpreted that the method used in the study is reasonable. Unit requirement values estimated based on input-output tables of 2005 and 2007 tended to decrease, and the highest value of energy consumption and $CO_2$ emission were found in the materials using cement and rebar.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.2 no.1 s.5
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• pp.72-81
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• 2006

산업자원부가 발표한 "수소경제 실현을 위한 장기 로드맵"을 근거로 본 연구에서는 우리나라에 연료전지 산업이 도입되었을 경우에 국내총산출의 변화 정도를 추정하였다. 동 계획에 따르면 2020년까지는 기술개발단계이며, 2020$\sim$2030년은 도입단계이며, 2030년부터는 상용화단계이다. 이를 토대로 우리나라의 경제성장률 전망, 산업구조 변화 전망 등 관련 정보들을 이용하면서 산업연관분석과 KEO-RAS법을 이용하여 연료전지가 수송용과 발전용에 보급된다는 계획이 추진되었을 2010년, 2020년, 2030년의 산업연관표를 추정한 후 국민경제 전체의 산출의 변화를 추정하였다. 그 결과 2020년경에는 약 0.6%, 2030년경에는 약 0.9%의 국내 총산출 효과를 유발할 것으로 추정되었다.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.849-864
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• 2022

In case of a specific sector being divided into sub-sectors, this study presents a process for estimating an input-output table, which is frequently used as basic data in fields of energy and environment economics. RAS method, which is universally used for this case, requires information on production, intermediate input sum, and intermediate demand sum for each sector in the new table. But in many cases, it is difficult to secure information on intermediate demand sum by sector. This study suggests a process for estimating a new input-output table without using information of intermediate demand sum in the case of sector separation, under the assumption that information of production value and intermediate input sum by sector are available. The key idea is that the values of many elements in the input-output table after disaggregation are the same as those in the table before disaggregation and that the sum of the elements after disaggregation, equals the values of the elements before disaggregation. The process of estimating the intemediate transaction matrix or the input coefficient matrix is presented by using these information instead of intermediate demand sum information. A small-scale simulation shows that the average error rate of the process proposed in this study is about 11.23% in estimating input coefficients, which is smaller than the 11.30% estimation error of RAS using the information of intermediate demand sum. However, since it is known in the literature that using additional information does not always improve estimation performance compared to not using it, additional research on various simulations is needed to apply the method of this study to reality.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.425-450
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• 2006

The index of energy intensity(energy/GDP) has been a primary policy concern since it can clarify industry sectors which use energy intensively and generate $CO_2$ emission heavily. Although energy intensity index may be suitable for estimating $CO_2$ emission from an isolated industry sector, we need an index for induced $CO_2$ emission since industrial activities are interconnected in terms of input and output. By employing Environmental Input-Output Table 2000, this paper analyses the flow of energy demand and pollutants after first estimating an induced $CO_2$ emissions from various industrial sectors and economic activities. The paper reports higher induced $CO_2$ emissions from industry sectors with larger energy intensity since they produces goods or services retaining relatively considerable environmental load. Furthermore, it is shown that environmental load and $CO_2$ emissions in overall economy are likely increasing when the products of energy intensive industrial sector is used as inputs for less intensive sectors' production process. The result suggests we need consistent policy efforts to reduce energy intensity to lower $CO_2$ emissions.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.255-289
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• 2011

This study made linked Energy IO Table 00-05-08 of 76 sectors in intermediate sectors and analyzed structural decomposition analysis in energy consumption change in industrial sector with both by aggregate data and micro data. Structural decomposition analysis focused value added level change, value added share change of each industry, output structural change of each industry and energy intensity change of each industry as factors. Supply side model based on Ghosh inverse matrix was applied as empirical model because Korea has export driven industrial structure. Empirical results with aggregate data showed that value added change increased energy consumption and output structural change of each industry decreased energy consumption in both 2000~2005 and 2005~2008. However value added share change and energy intensity change caused opposite direction in energy consumption change with time. Policy based on aggregate data can not evaluate effort of each industry in energy efficiency and make effective results because aggregate data delete character of each industry.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.313-336
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• 2007

The paper is concerned with, firstly, estimating the North Korean input-output table in which energy sectors like electricity and petro products are specified and, secondly, computing the effect of an investment in the energy sector on North Korean economy, by using the estimated input-output table and applying CGE analysis. The 4,000 million dollar investment on North Korean electricity industry produces 368 million dollar worth of output and 156 million dollar worth of value added. The 150 million dollar investment on petro industry creates about 20.5 million dollar worth of output and 9.65 million dollar worth of value added in North Korea.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.165-183
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• 1997

생명공학은 기술의 특성상 보건 의료, 농업, 자원 환경, 에너지 등 광범위한 산업에 응용될 수 있는 고부가가치형, 두뇌기술집약형, 탈공해형, 자원 및 에너지절약형 기술이라는 특징을 지니고 있어 21세기 미래산업을 선도할 것으로 기대되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 생명공학기술이 1980년과 1990년 사이의 산업구조에 어떠한 변화를 초래하였는지를 알아보는 것이다. 생명공학의 산업경제적 파급효과를 분석해 보기 위해 한국은행에서 발행한 산업연관표를 이용하여 생명공학 관련산업의 지원에 따른 국내 제반산업의 생산변화율을 측정하였다. 정부의 지원이나 금리 및 세제의 혜택을 통해 생명공학 산업 관련 비용이 감소하게 되면 이에 따른 가격변화가 국내 산업발전과 고용의 증가를 갖는 것으로 믿어진다. 고정계수 아닌 변화계수를 특징으로 하는 본 모형의 접근방법은 생명공학에 대한 재정지원 및 세제 인센티브 등을 외생변수로 처리하여 산업구조 변화의 추이와 고용유발 등을 예측하였다. 본 논문의 가설은 생명공학의 영역이 점차 증대되어 나아가기 때문에 1980년의 제반산업의 영향은 1990년의 영향보다는 적어야 한다. 즉 생명공학 관련비용 하락이 전체산업에 미치는 1980년의 생산율 증가보다 1990년의 생산율 증가가 커야 할 것이다. 본 가설에 대한 검증의 과정에서 얻은 통계치를 통해 생명공학산업이 한국 산업 전체에 미치는 영향이 10년 동안에 그 차이가 거의 없어 미성숙 단계에 있다는 결론을 짓게 되었다. 따라서 생명공학 분야의 계속적인 발전을 위해서는 선진국 수준의 독자적 기술개발을 통한 국제 경쟁력을 강화해야 하는데 이를 위한 정부 및 민간기업 투자확대와 연구개발 지원체제의 확대가 요망되고 있다.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.8-17
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• 2012

The Korean government pushed ahead various policies to disseminate photovoltaic (PV), wind power, small hydro, bio-fuel, etc. Renewable energy system (RES) budget of the Korean government increased from 118 billion won of 2003 to 876.6 billion won of 2010. The R&D budgetary supports for RES increased by 6.8 times in the period 2003-2010. It is necessary to confirm RES budget expenditure that renewable energy promotion policy makes good performance evaluated in quantity level. This paper made Input-Output Table 2009 contains photovoltaic power generation equipment industry as a dependent sector and analyzed induced production effect by demand of photovoltaic power generation equipment industry. From the empirical analysis result, additional demand in photovoltaic power generation equipment induced 1.932 times of induced production in Korea. Each of industry sector has positive induced production from the additional demand in photovoltaic power generation equipment. Renewable energy promotion in photovoltaic power generation is considered together with industry policy as the option to sustain economic growth.