• Title/Summary/Keyword: 아리마 모델

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Inverter-Based Solar Power Prediction Algorithm Using Artificial Neural Network Regression Model (인공 신경망 회귀 모델을 활용한 인버터 기반 태양광 발전량 예측 알고리즘)

  • Gun-Ha Park;Su-Chang Lim;Jong-Chan Kim
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.383-388
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    • 2024
  • This paper is a study to derive the predicted value of power generation based on the photovoltaic power generation data measured in Jeollanam-do, South Korea. Multivariate variables such as direct current, alternating current, and environmental data were measured in the inverter to measure the amount of power generation, and pre-processing was performed to ensure the stability and reliability of the measured values. Correlation analysis used only data with high correlation with power generation in time series data for prediction using partial autocorrelation function (PACF). Deep learning models were used to measure the amount of power generation to predict the amount of photovoltaic power generation, and the results of correlation analysis of each multivariate variable were used to increase the prediction accuracy. Learning using refined data was more stable than when existing data were used as it was, and the solar power generation prediction algorithm was improved by using only highly correlated variables among multivariate variables by reflecting the correlation analysis results.