• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.9
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• pp.943-958
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• 2008

This study employs Bayesian regression analysis for fitting discharge rating curves. The parameter estimates using the Bayesian regression analysis were compared to ordinary least square method using the t-distribution. In these comparisons, the mean values from the t-distribution and the Bayesian regression are not significantly different. However, the difference between upper and lower limits are remarkably reduced with the Bayesian regression. Therefore, from the point of view of uncertainty analysis, the Bayesian regression is more attractive than the conventional method based on a t-distribution because the data size at the site of interest is typically insufficient to estimate the parameters in rating curve. The merits and demerits of the two types of estimation methods are analyzed through the statistical simulation considering heteroscedasticity. The validation of the Bayesian regression is also performed using real stage-discharge data which were observed at 5 gauges on the Anyangcheon basin. Because the true parameters at 5 gauges are unknown, the quantitative accuracy of the Bayesian regression can not be assessed. However, it can be suggested that the uncertainty in rating curves at 5 gauges be reduced by Bayesian regression.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.8
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• pp.807-823
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• 2008

This paper presents a technique for estimating discharge rating curve parameters. In typical practical applications, the original non-linear rating curve is transformed into a simple linear regression model by log-transforming the measurement without examining the effect of log transformation. The model of pseudo-likelihood estimation is developed in this study to deal with heteroscedasticity of residuals in the original non-linear model. The parameters of rating curves and variance functions of errors are simultaneously estimated by the pseudo-likelihood estimation(P-LE) method. Simulated annealing, a global optimization technique, is adapted to minimize the log likelihood of the weighted residuals. The P-LE model was then applied to a hypothetical site where stage-discharge data were generated by incorporating various errors. Results of the P-LE model show reduced error values and narrower confidence intervals than those of the common log-transform linear least squares(LT-LR) model. Also, the limit of water levels for segmentation of discharge rating curve is estimated in the process of P-LE using the Heaviside function. Finally, model performance of the conventional log-transformed linear regression and the developed model, P-LE are computed and compared. After statistical simulation, the developed method is then applied to the real data sets from 5 gauge stations in the Geum River basin. It can be suggested that this developed strategy is applied to real sites to successfully determine weights taking into account error distributions from the observed discharge data.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.774-779
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• 2007

IDF 곡선은 전통적으로 지점에서의 과거 관측 강우량 시계열 자료를 수집하여 작성하여 왔으며, 이때 과거 강우량 자료는 정상성을 지니고 있고 미래를 대변한다는 가정을 전제로 한다. 그러나 이미 많은 연구자들에 의해 기후변화가 전구적으로 발생하고 있으며 우리나라에서도 더 이상 기후변화의 사실여부는 이제 더이상 논란 꺼리가 아니다. 특히, 기후변화의 영향을 직접적으로 받을 수밖에 없는 수자원 분야에서는 1990년대부터 잦은 홍수와 가뭄의 반복으로 곤란을 겪고 있다. 특히, 우리나라는 협소한 국토면적과 과다한 인구로 토지나 수자원 등 국토자원 이용의 강도가 다른 나라에 비하여 현저하게 높기 때문에 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화와 같은 약간의 기후변동으로도 심각한 문제가 발생할 가능성이 내포되어 있다. 특히, 기후변화는 유역 규모의 강우 발생 패턴과 강우량의 증가 및 감소에 영향을 미치게 되며 이로 인해 강우 시계열 자료는 비정상성과 경향성을 지니게 된다. 그러나 지금까지는 IDF 곡선의 작성시 강우의 경향성을 무시해 왔다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화가 IDF 곡선에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 GCM 기후변화 시나리오를 이용하여 IDF 곡선을 작성하였다. 이를 위하여 먼저, YONU CGCM의 제한실험과 점증실험을 실시하여 전구적 규모의 기후변화 시나리오를 작성하였으며, 통계학적 축소기법과 추계학적 일기발생기법을 이용하여 대상지점의 일 수문기상 시계열을 모의하였다. 그리고 BLRP(Bartlett Lewis Rectangular Pulse) 모형과 분해(koutsoyiannis, 2000) 기법을 이용하여 모의된 일 강우 자료를 시자료로 분해하였으며 이를 이용하여 IDF 곡선을 작성하였다. 그 결과, 기후변화 시 지속기간별 재현기간별 강우량이 현재에 크게 비해 증가됨을 확인할 수 있었다.으며 여러명이 동시에 서버에 접속을 하기 때문에 컴퓨터에 부하가 많이 걸리는 모델링이나 복잡한 분석은 실시하기 어려우며, 대용량 데이터를 전송할 수 있는 대역폭이 확보 되어야 한다. 또한, Internet 환경으로 개발을 해야되기 때문에 데스크탑용 GIS에 비해 개발속도가 느리며 개발 초기비용이 많이 들게 된다. 하지만, 네트워크 기술의 발달과 모바일과의 연계 등으로 이러한 약점을 극복할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 홍수재해 정보를 검색, 처리, 분석, 예경보할 수 있는 홍수방재정보 시스템을 구축토록 하였다.비해 초음파 감시하 치골상부 방광천자가 정확하고 안전한 채뇨법으로 권장되어야 한다고 생각한다.應裝置) 및 운용(運用)에 별다른 어려움이 없고, 내열성(耐熱性)이 강(强)하므로 쉬운 조건하(條件下)에서 경제적(經濟的)으로 공업적(工業的) 이용(利用)에 유리(有利)하다고 판단(判斷)되어진다.reatinine은 함량이 적었다. 관능검사결과(官能檢査結果) 자가소화(自家消化)시킨 크릴간장은 효소(酵素)처리한 것이나 재래식 콩간장에 비하여 품질 면에서 손색이 없고 저장성(貯藏性)이 좋은 크릴간장을 제조(製造)할 수 있다는 결론을 얻었다.이 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.에 착안하여 침전시 슬러지층과 상등액의 온도차를 측정하여 대사열량의 발생량을 측정하고 슬러지의 활성을 측정할 수 있는 방법을 개발하였다.enin과 Rhaponticin의 작용(作用)에 의(依)한 것이며, 이는 한의학(韓醫學) 방제(方劑) 원리(原理)인 군신좌사(君臣佐使) 이론(理論)에서 군약(君藥)이 주증(主症)에 주(主)로 작용(作用)하는 약물(藥物)이라는 것을 밝혀주는 것이라고 사료(思料)된다.일전 $13.447\;{\mu}g/hr/g$, 섭취 7일중 $8.123

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.779-793
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• 1998

In this study, for the purpose of water supply planning, we propose a sophisticated multi-period mixed integer programming model that can coordinate the behavior of multi-reservoir operation, minimizing unnecessary spill. It can simulate the system with operating rules which are self- generated by the optimization engine in the algorithm. It is an optimization model in structure, but it indeed simulates the coordinating behavior of multi-reservoir operation. It minimizes the water shortfalls in demand requirements, maintaining flood reserve volume, minimizing unnecessary spill, maximizing hydropower generation release, keeping water storage levels high for efficient hydroelectric turbine operation. This optimization model is a large scale mixed integer programming problem that consists of 3.920 integer variables and 68.658 by 132.384 node-arc incidence matrix for 28 years of data. In order to handle the enormous amount of data generated by a big mathematical model, the utilization of DBMS (data base management system)seems to be inevitable. It has been tested with the Han River multi-reservoir system in Korea, which consists of 2 large multipurpose dams and 3 hydroelectric dams. We demonstrated successfully that there is a good chance of saving substantial amount of water should it be put to use in real time with a good inflow forecasting system.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.50 no.12
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• pp.877-887
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• 2017

The energy losses due to surcharged flow at four-way combining manhole, which is mainly installed in the downstream of urban sewer system, is the main cause of inundation in urban area. Surcharged four-way combining manholes form various flow configuration such as straight through, T-type, and four-way manholes depending on variation of inflow discharge in inlet pipes. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze change of energy loss and estimate head loss coefficients at surcharged four-way combining manhole with variation of inflow discharge ratio. The hydraulic experimental apparatus which can change inflow ratios were installed to analyze the flow characteristics at four-way combining manhole. In this study, to calculate the head loss coefficient according to change of the inflow discharge ratios at the surcharged four-way combining square manhole, the discharge conditions of 40 cases which the inflow ratios of each inlet pipe were changed by 10% interval was selected. The head loss coefficient at surcharged square manhole showed the lowest value of 0.40 at the straight manhole and the highest value of 1.58 at the $90^{\circ}$ junction manhole. In the combining manholes (T-type and four-way), the head loss coefficients were calculated more higher as the lateral flow rate was biased. The contour map of head loss coefficient range was constructed by using the estimated head loss coefficients and the empirical formula of head loss coefficients was derived to consider the variation of inflow discharge ratios at the surcharged square manhole. The empirical formula could be applied to the design and assessment of the urban drainage system.

• Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.414-422
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• 1984

This research was conducted to evaluate the effect of polluted Oncheon Stream on the marine organisms in the Suyeong Bay. Water quality and 96 hr acute toxicity to the sea urchin, Hemicentrotns pulcherrimus by recirculation bioassay were examined from Feb. 20 to Apr. 15, 1984. The 96 hr $50\%$ effective concentration($EC_{50}$) on the attachment of the podia of the sea urchin was observed to occur at test concentrations between 40.0 and $51.0\%$ (v/v), and safe concentrations may be assumed to be within 4.0 and $5.1\%$. These values indicate as follows : 1. Oncheon Stream was extremely polluted by oxygen-demanding wastes and synthetic organic compounds from sewage and industrial waste water. 2. Linear alkylbenzene sulfonate(LAS) which has not been yet included in water quality standard was discharged above the TLm. 3. Unknown toxicity may be synergy among complex substances. In consideration of the relationship between COD values of Oncheon Stream and dilution water, the effect of toxicity of Oncheon Stream water reached to the area of the Suyeong Bay where the COD value was found to be 12.2 ppm.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.44 no.2
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• pp.109-114
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• 2005

This study was conducted to investigate the life cycle of Tipula latemarginata Alexander in Korea. The field surveys for the life cycle of the species were carried out at the two sites of Neaseong Stream area in Bongwha County from January 2001 to December 2002. Also many individuals of the species were reared in laboratory to investigate the life cycle. T latemarginata appeared to have three generations a year under the rearing conditions at room temperature. All the processes of life cycle of the species, when reared at room temperature from September 2001 to March 2002, were as follows: Eggs usually hatched between 4 and 10 days after oviposition. First instar larvae grew rapidly and molted to the second instar in 7-9 days. Second instar larvae spent 5-7 days for next molting and third instar period lasted approximately 8-12 days. Fourth instar larvae spent 6 weeks to 5 months for pupation. Especially the duration of fourth instar larval existence was greatly lengthened and served as the overwintering stage. The duration of pupal stage was 6-10 days. In the field, T. latemarginata also appeared to have three generations a year at the favorable habitats.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.74-74
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• 2015

최근 홍수의 특성과 피해 양상은 과거와는 다르게 변화하고 있으며, 급격한 도시화로 인하여 기존 하천유역의 저류 능력이 감소하였으며 이러한 한계를 극복하기 위하여 이미 외국에서는 대심도 터널을 활용한 홍수재해 관리방안이 오래전부터 활용되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 대심도 터널의 유입구, 수직갱, 감세지, 배수터널과 같은 시설물 중 대심도 터널 설계 시 수직 유입구를 통해 유입되는 유량의 에너지를 완화하고 효과적으로 배수 할 수 있도록 중요한 역할을 하는 감세지의 효율적인 깊이 산정을 위하여 수리모형실험을 실시하였으며, 모형은 Froude 상사법칙을 사용하여 원형의 1/18크기로 제작하였다. 본 연구에서 실시한 감세지 모형의 깊이는 0.278 m(원형 5.0 m), 0.417 m(원형 7.5 m)이며, 각 감세지 깊이별 수직 유입구 3개소(저지수직구1, 저지수직구2, 고지수직구) 및 5가지의 유량 CASE에 대하여 감세지 바닥면 압력을 비교?분석 하였다. 수직 유입구 3개소의 설계조건에 따른 감세지 깊이별 바닥면 압력 분포 평가를 실시한 결과 저지수직구1의 감세지 깊이 0.278 m(원형 5.0m)에서는 최대 압력이 4번 지점에서 $0.075kg/cm^2$(원형 1.30 MPa)이 측정 되었으며, 0.417 m(원형 7.5m)에서는 최대 압력이 1번지점에서 $0.089kg/cm^2$(원형 1.54MPa)이 측정되었다. 또한 저지수직구2의 감세지 깊이 0.278 m(원형 5.0 m)에서는 최대 압력이 1번 지점에서 $0.074kg/cm^2$(원형 1.28 MPa)이 측정 되었으며, 0.417 m(원형 7.5 m)에서는 최대 압력이 2번지점에서 $0.088kg/cm^2$(원형 1.52 MPa)이 측정되었다. 고지수직구의 감세지 깊이 0.278 m(원형 5.0 m)에서는 최대 압력이 3번 지점에서 $0.082kg/cm^2$(원형 1.42 MPa)이 측정 되었으며, 0.417 m(원형 7.5 m)에서는 최대 압력이 1번지점에서 $0.092kg/cm^2$(원형 1.59 MPa)이 측정되었다. 본 연구에서 실시한 수리모형실험의 결과 저유량에서 고유량으로 갈수록 최대압력지점은 반시계방향으로 움직이는 것을 알 수 있으며, 이는 수직 유입구의 설계조건에 따른 수직갱에서의 회전수차에 의하여 발생하는 것으로 분석하였다. 따라서 적절한 감세지 깊이 산정을 위해서 대심도터널의 수직 유입구(유입구형태, 수직갱)의 평가가 함께 유기적으로 이루어져야 할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.10
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• pp.761-774
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• 2022

Accurate hydrologic prediction is essential to analyze the effects of drought, flood, and climate change on flow rates, water quality, and ecosystems. Disentangling the uncertainty of the hydrological model is one of the important issues in hydrology and water resources research. Hydrologic data assimilation (DA), a technique that updates the status or parameters of a hydrological model to produce the most likely estimates of the initial conditions of the model, is one of the ways to minimize uncertainty in hydrological simulations and improve predictive accuracy. In this study, the two ensemble-based sequential DA techniques, ensemble Kalman filter, and particle filter are comparatively analyzed for the daily discharge simulation at the Yongdam catchment using airGRdatassim. The results showed that the values of Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) were improved from 0.799 in the open loop simulation to 0.826 in the ensemble Kalman filter and to 0.933 in the particle filter. In addition, we analyzed the effects of hyper-parameters related to the data assimilation methods such as precipitation and potential evaporation forcing error parameters and selection of perturbed and updated states. For the case of forcing error conditions, the particle filter was superior to the ensemble in terms of the KGE index. The size of the optimal forcing noise was relatively smaller in the particle filter compared to the ensemble Kalman filter. In addition, with more state variables included in the updating step, performance of data assimilation improved, implicating that adequate selection of updating states can be considered as a hyper-parameter. The simulation experiments in this study implied that DA hyper-parameters needed to be carefully optimized to exploit the potential of DA methods.

• Geotechnical Engineering
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.25-46
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• 1998

This paper shows that there are the results of a series of model tests on the behavior of single pipe pile which is subjected to lateral load in, Nak-dong River sand. The purpose of the present paper is to estimate the effect of Non-homogeneity. constraint condition of pile head, lateral load velocity, relative density, and embedded length of pile on the behavior of single pile. These effects can be quantified only by the results of model tests. Also, these are compared with the results of the numerical methods (p-y method, modified Vlasov method; new ${\gamma}$ parameter, Characteristic Load Method'CLM). In this study, a new ${\gamma}$ parameter equation based on the Vlasov method was developed to calculate the modulus of subgrade reaction (E. : nhz.) proportional to the depth. The p-y method of analysis is characterized by nonlinear behavior. and is an effective method of designing deep foundations subjected to lateral loads. The new method, which is called the characteristic load method (CLM). is simpler than p-y analysis. but its results closely approximates p-y analysis results. The method uses dimensional analysis to characterize the nonlinear behavior of laterally loaded piles with respect to be relationships among dimensionless variables. The modulus of subgrade reaction used in p-y analysis and modified Vlasov method obtained from back analysis using direct shear test (DST) results. The coefficients obtained from DST and the modified ones used for the prediction of lateral behavior of ultimate soil reaction range from 0.014 to 0.05. and from 0.2 to 0.4 respectively. It is shown that the predicted numerical results by the new method (CLM), p-y analysis, and modified Vlasov method (new parameter) agree well with measured results as the relative density increases. Also, the characteristic load method established applicability on the Q-Mnu. relationship below y/D=0.2.