• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신빙성

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Statistical nature of the dry and wet periods defined in the time series of annual precipitations (1771-1990) of seoul (서울의 연 강수량)

  • 임규호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 1992
  • We analyzed a time series composed of the annual precipitations of Seoul based on the measurements of a Korean raingage and a modern raingage. The precipitations measured with a Korean raingage for the period of 1771 to 1907 are followed by the precipitations with a modern raingage for the period of 1908 to 1990. The latter part of the time series of annual precipitations were obtained from a book for annual precipitations of Korea by Korea Meteorological Administration and the former from Wada's table 1 for monthly precipitations reproduced from the daily rainfall measurements by a Korean raingage for the period of the Yi Dynasty. In our analysis three different precipitation regimes clearly stand out of the entire period. In order to define objectively the period of each precipitation regime we made a time series of 9 year moving averages from the above time series. By taking into account the shapes of the moving average time series and by using a threshold value of annual precipitation 1050 mm, we defined three precipitation regimes of wet period 1(WP1), dry period (DP), and wet period 2 (WP2). The WP1 and WP2 show very similar characteristics in out statistical analyses. On the other hand, DP is very different from the two periods in many statistical aspects. The strong similarities of the WP1 and WP2 regimes in the magnitudes of statistical parameters and in the shapes of their power spectrum distribution are supporting very positively the soundness of precipitation amounts measured with a Korean raingage in spite of numerous conceivable errors which might have been introduced into measurements of precipitation due to changes of observation site and environment, the scale of units employed, and urbanization of Seoul, etc. However, the annual precipitation amounts are not enough to examine throughly the characteristic of precipitation variations during the two regimes. It is definitely necessarly to recover the daily amounts of precipitation, based on two or three times measurements of rainfall with a Korean raingage, scattered in various ancient documents such as the official diary of 'Seungjeong-weon'

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Standard Index Development for Comparing the Glomerular Number (사구체 수의 증감을 비교할 수 잇는 기준 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Jin;Lee, Chi-Eun;Lee, Kook-Joo;Choi, Young-Ho;Hong, Jung-Suk
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2001
  • Background: The number of glomerulus has been considered one of the etiologic factors especially for focal segmental glomerulosclerosis. However, glomeruli are too many to calculate them correctly. Although the fractionator method has became convinced, in which they used selected sections, not whole kidney sections, with same intervals, it is also very hard to get good results. Because it is still very time-consuming and laborous work which leads to make big observers' biases. Methods and Materials: We designed the index for glomerular number to estimate the tendency of increase or decrease of the number of it in different kidneys and which was evaluated by other conventional methods including fractionator method. Index was based upon the theory by Nyengaard; "the number of glomerulus correlates with the weight of kidney, which is positively correlated with body weight". Calculating formula is the number of glomeruli/surface areas of cortices, which contain calculated glomeruli multiplies by kidney weight/body weight. Results: We applied this index to kidneys of FGS/Kist mouse and those of RFM/Nga mouse. The former is spontaneous glomerulosclerosis model with heavy protein uria and renal failure and the latter is the mother side of FGS/Kist mouse but has no glomerular disease or protein uria. The number of glomerulus of FGS/Kist mouse was decreased by 30% to those of RFM/Nga mouse. Conclusion: This index was useful and reliable for estimating the relative glomerular number between two groups.

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A Study of Children's Statements in sexual violence cases of children less than the age of 13 -Focusing on video-recorded hearsay evidence- (13세미만 아동성폭력 재판에서의 아동진술연구 -영상매체를 통한 전문 증거를 중심으로-)

  • Park, Yeon Ju;Kim, Jung Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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    • no.55
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    • pp.87-111
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    • 2016
  • This study aimed to examine how video-recorded hearsay statements are taken in trial with regard to testimony of children less than the age of 13 in terms of children's rights, and to assess policy implications for the purpose of improving the current system. This study analyzed the precedents in accordance with their facts and contents. The analysis of the contents dealt with the main issues of trials concerning the sexual violence of children less than the age of 13. Specifically, This study selected precedents dealing with video-recorded hearsay statements, which are children's indirect statement, as core legal issues; examined the credibility(probative power) and admissibility of video-recorded statements; and prepared systemic alternatives in accordance with the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child, the international standards for the protection of children's rights. As a result, this study proposed creating and utilizing indicators to assess evidence admissibility and the credibility of video-recoded statements in trial, thus reducing judgement through judges' discretion. Also proposed are new regulations with regard to cross-examination coverage of the hearsay statement of a child in a sexual violence trial of concerning children less than the age of 13. This study suggests an improvement in legal policies, based given that children's rights are more vulnerable than those of adults in trial. Nevertheless, this study is limited in that it selected and reviewed only among precedents that are in the public record.

Analysis of Elementary Teachers' Views on Barriers in Implementing Inquiry-based Instructions (초등학교 과학 탐구 수업 실행의 저해 요인에 대한 교사들의 인식 분석)

  • Cho, Hyun-Jun;Han, In-Kyoung;Kim, Hyo-Nam;Yang, Il-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.901-921
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate elementary teachers' views on the barriers in implementing inquiry-based instruction in science education. For this, semi-structured in-depth interviews were performed with 22 elementary school teachers who have served for more than five years in the Gyeonggi province. The interview questions were developed through triangulation of Seidman's phase to achieve reliability in the interview data, then interview questions were modified and completed through an analytic induction method in pre-interviews. In-depth interviews were performed individually and all the interviews were recorded. The data of teachers' views on the barriers were categorized and analyzed into external and internal factors of teachers. The study found that the external factors referred by teachers included the following; the lack of a unit time, lack of materials and equipments, too many students in a class, problems in science curriculum management, difficulty in the assessment of students' inquiry activities, the students' learning, lack of opportunities for teaching inquiry activities, harmfulness of accidents, and so on. Internal factors included the following; lack of preparation for inquiry activities, lack of self-confidence, lack of patience, and so on. The various barriers presented and their causes were analyzed in detail, and possible efforts in activating inquiry activities in elementary science education were suggested.

Proposed program for monitoring recent Crustal movement in Korean Peninsula

  • Hamdy, Ahmed M.;Jo, Bong-Gon
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.283-292
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    • 2002
  • The Korean peninsula is located at the edge of the East Asian active margin. The seismic activity in the Korean Peninsula is relatively low compared with the neighboring countries China and Japan. According to the available Seismic information, the Korean Peninsula is not totally safe from the Earthquake disaster. Moreover, the area is surrounded by varies tectonic forces which is resulted from the relative movements of the surrounding tectonic plates "Pacific, Philippine Sea, Eurasian and South China". Nowadays South Korea has 65 GPS stations belong to 5 governmental organizations "each organization figure out its own GPS stations for different requirements" In order to minimize the seismic hazard in the Korean Peninsula a program for monitoring the recent crustal movement has been designed considering the uses of the available GPS station "some selected stations from the previously mentioned stations" and the tectonic settings in and around the Korean Peninsula. This program is composed of two main parts, the first part to monitor the crustal deformation around the Korean Peninsula with the collaboration of the surrounding countries "China and Japan" this part is composed of two phases "East Sea Phase and Yellow Sea Phase". These phases will be helpful in determining the deformation parameters in the East Sea and the Yellow Sea respectively While the Second part of this program, is designed to determine the deformation parameters id and around the main faults in the Korean Peninsula and the relative movement between the Korean Peninsula and the Cheju Island. Through out this study the needs of crustal movement center rose up to collect the data from the previously mentioned stations and Organizations in order to use such reliable data in different geodynamical application.

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Analysis of ITS DNA Sequences of Korean Oxalis Species (Oxalidaceae) (한국산 괭이밥속(Oxalis) 식물 ITS DNA 염기서열 분석)

  • Koo, Jachoon;Chae, Mi Suk;Lee, Jeoung-Ki;Whang, Sung Soo
    • Korean Journal of Plant Taxonomy
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.419-430
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    • 2007
  • This study was conducted to know the taxonomic features of nuclear ribosomal ITS DNA sequences, ITS1, ITS3 and 5.8S regions, as to nine individuals belonging to four Oxalis species in Korea and an induced species. Sequences of the same regions of sixteen taxa deposited in GenBank were also aligned with those of Korean species as outgroups. The length of ITS sequences aligned in this study is 679 by in total. Evidences, from not only the sequence similarities and divergences but also the phylogenetic and statistical treatments with ITS sequences aligned, were useful for the taxonomy of the genus. The similarity of sequences, among both cauline and acauline taxa, is high as 89% and 95% respectively, but between cauline and acauline taxa, relatively low in the range of 64~69%. The sequence divergences, among both cauline and acauline taxa, is also high as much as 0.36~0.42, but between both cauline and both acauline taxa, low as 0.04~0.06. Two groups between cauline and acauline taxa are paraphyletic, and each group makes a single Glade with a high bootstrap value. The analysis of variance, using ITS sequence aligned, revealed that taxa are significantly different in the level of 0.5%, and O. corymbosa, an induced speices, is also separated from the Korean taxa in the Duncan analysis.

Interpolation and Reconstruction of the Holocene Sea-levels Using Inverse Fractal Interpolation functions (프랙탈 내삽함수 역산법을 이용한 홀로세 해수면의 내삽 및 재구성)

  • CHUNG, SANG YONG;KIM, DAE CHOUL;YI, HI-IL
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.228-238
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    • 1994
  • The change of sea-level is a good indicator of the change of climate during the Quaternary period. The sea-levels in the world have been changing very irregularly during that time. The pattern of the Quaternary sea-level change was assumed to be a stochastic fractal in this study. We measured fractal dimensions of the Holocene sea-levels of the Hudson river estuary and the Delaware coast. A box counting method gave almost the same values. i.e., D=1.358 for the Hudson sea-level changes and D+1.346 for the Delaware sea-level changes. the ability of the inverse method of fractal interposea-levels. IFIF reproduction the realistic sea-levels for the both of them. The delaware sea-level data made less statistical errors for the interpolation of IFIF than the Hudson and the Delaware sea-levels. IFIF reproduction the realistic sea-levels for the both of them. The Delaware sea-level data made less statistical errors for the interpolation of IFIF than the Hudson sea-level data. This suggests that the Delaware sea-level data are more reliable than the Hudson sea-level data was calculated from the fractal dimension of the Delaware sea-level data. Fractal interpolation functions (FIF) was used to reconstruct the peleosea-levels of the Korean coasts and the Atlantic Ocean coasts of the United States. The Korean Peleosea-level change generacted by FIF is different from the peleosea-level change of the eastern U.S.. The Korean peleosea-levels are much higher than the eastern U.S. Paleosea-levels, comparing to each other from the present to 8,000 BP.

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Optimization of Number of Training Documents in Text Categorization (문헌범주화에서 학습문헌수 최적화에 관한 연구)

  • Shim, Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.23 no.4 s.62
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    • pp.277-294
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    • 2006
  • This paper examines a level of categorization performance in a real-life collection of abstract articles in the fields of science and technology, and tests the optimal size of documents per category in a training set using a kNN classifier. The corpus is built by choosing categories that hold more than 2,556 documents first, and then 2,556 documents per category are randomly selected. It is further divided into eight subsets of different size of training documents : each set is randomly selected to build training documents ranging from 20 documents (Tr-20) to 2,000 documents (Tr-2000) per category. The categorization performances of the 8 subsets are compared. The average performance of the eight subsets is 30% in $F_1$ measure which is relatively poor compared to the findings of previous studies. The experimental results suggest that among the eight subsets the Tr-100 appears to be the most optimal size for training a km classifier In addition, the correctness of subject categories assigned to the training sets is probed by manually reclassifying the training sets in order to support the above conclusion by establishing a relation between and the correctness and categorization performance.

Spatial distribution of hydrocarbon reservoirs in the West Korea Bay Basin in the northern part of the Yellow Sea, estimated by 3D gravity forward modeling (3차원 중력 모델링에 의해 예측된 황해 북부 서한만 분지 석유 저류층의 공간적 분포)

  • Choi, Sungchan;Ryu, In-Chang
    • Journal of the Geological Society of Korea
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.641-656
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    • 2018
  • Although an amount of hydrocarbon has been discovered in the West Korea Bay Basin (WKBB), located in the North Korean offshore area, geophysical investigations associated with these hydrocarbon reservoirs are not permitted because of the current geopolitical situation. Interpretation of satellite derived potential field data can be alternatively used to image three-dimensional (3D) density distribution in the sedimentary basin associated with hydrocarbon deposits. We interpreted the TRIDENT satellite-derived gravity field data to provide detailed insights into the spatial distribution of sedimentary density structures in the WKBB. We used 3D forward density modeling for the interpretation that incorporated constraints from existing geological and geophysical information. The gravity data interpretation and 3D forward modeling showed that there are two modeled areas in the central subbasin that are characterized by very low density structures, with a maximum density of about $2,000kg/m^3$, indicating some type of hydrocarbon reservoir. One of the anticipated hydrocarbon reservoirs is located in the southern part of the central subbasin with a volume of about $250km^3$ at a depth of about 3,000 m in the Cretaceous/Jurassic layer. The other hydrocarbon reservoir should exist in the northern part of the central subbasin, with an average volume of about $300km^3$ at a depth of about 2,500 m. A comparison between the TRIDENT derived gravity field and the ship-based gravity field measured in 1980s shows us that our results are highly reliable and there is a very high probability to detect another low-density layer existings in the northwestern part of the central subbasin.

The Development of Rubrics to Assess Scientific Argumentation (과학적 논증과정 평가를 위한 루브릭 개발)

  • Yang, Il-Ho;Lee, Hyo-Jeong;Lee, Hyo-Nyong;Cho, Hyun-Jun
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.203-220
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a rubric for assessing students' scientific argumentation. Through the analysis of relevant literature related to argument in science education for developing rubric, the procedure in development and the category in assessment for rubric were elicited. According to the general procedure in developing rubric, the standard for evaluating the argumentation derived three categories such as a form, contents, and attitude. The form category was further segmented into sub-functions composition, claim, ground, and conclusion in the whole. The category for contents was segmented into sub-functions understanding, credibility, and inference. And the category for attitude was set to sub-functions participatory level and openness. The standard for evaluating sub-functions in each of the categories formed in this way was minutely suggested with five stages. The rubric, which was developed on the basis of literature, was inspected through a regular seminar in one expert in science education and fellow researchers. The rubric, which was developed in the early days, was again modified by being verified on problem and improvement matter after being entrusted to four experts in scientific education. And, the finally-completed rubric indicated to be high with 0.96 in the content validity index by being verified the validity by the four experts in science education. The developed rubric will lead to being able to increase the understanding about demonstration in students, and to being available for being utilized as the criteria for developing the argumentation process program and for evaluating the argumentation activity.