• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시점 간 분해

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An Electric Load Forecasting Scheme with High Time Resolution Based on Artificial Neural Network (인공 신경망 기반의 고시간 해상도를 갖는 전력수요 예측기법)

  • Park, Jinwoong;Moon, Jihoon;Hwang, Eenjun
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.527-536
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    • 2017
  • With the recent development of smart grid industry, the necessity for efficient EMS(Energy Management System) has been increased. In particular, in order to reduce electric load and energy cost, sophisticated electric load forecasting and efficient smart grid operation strategy are required. In this paper, for more accurate electric load forecasting, we extend the data collected at demand time into high time resolution and construct an artificial neural network-based forecasting model appropriate for the high time resolution data. Furthermore, to improve the accuracy of electric load forecasting, time series data of sequence form are transformed into continuous data of two-dimensional space to solve that problem that machine learning methods cannot reflect the periodicity of time series data. In addition, to consider external factors such as temperature and humidity in accordance with the time resolution, we estimate their value at the time resolution using linear interpolation method. Finally, we apply the PCA(Principal Component Analysis) algorithm to the feature vector composed of external factors to remove data which have little correlation with the power data. Finally, we perform the evaluation of our model through 5-fold cross-validation. The results show that forecasting based on higher time resolution improve the accuracy and the best error rate of 3.71% was achieved at the 3-min resolution.

유도 결합 플라즈마 스퍼터 승화법을 이용한 Cr 박막 증착 및 특성 분석

  • Choe, Ji-Seong;Ju, Jeong-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2012.08a
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    • pp.243-243
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    • 2012
  • 화석연료를 대체할 새로운 청정 에너지원의 요구가 높아지고 있는 현 시점에서 고효율, 무공해, 무소음 등의 장점으로 인해 친환경적 에너지원으로 연료전지의 수요가 증가하고 있다. 연료전지 분리판으로 고밀도 흑연을 종래에 가공하여 제작하였는데, 가공이 어렵고, 비용이 크게 들며, 대량생산이 어렵다는 등의 문제로 스테인리스강을 위주로 한 금속 분리판 개발이 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는, 낮은 가격, 고속 증착, 우수한 가공성, 높은 기계적 강도 및 전기전도도, 화학적 안정성 및 내식성을 충족시키기 위하여 스테인리스 강박(0.1 mm이하)에 보호막으로 CrN을 선택하였다. 저가격화를 위하여 새로운 증착원인 스퍼터-승화형 소스의 가능성을 유도 결합 플라즈마에 Cr 봉을 직류 바이어스 함으로써 시도하였다. 10 mTorr의 Ar 유도 결합 플라즈마를 2.4 MHz, 400 W로 유지하면서 직류 바이어스 전력을 120 W (615 V, 0.19 A) 인가하였을 때 10분 동안의 증발양이 0.35 gr으로 측정이 되어 그 가능성을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 OES(Optical emission spectrometer)를 이용하여 RPS로 방전시킨 고밀도 ICP를 측정한 결과 842.4 nm, 811.4 nm, 772.3 nm 등의 파장에서 높은 intensity를 갖는 peak을 찾을 수 있었고, 이 peak 들은 Ar 중성의 peak임을 확인할 수 있었다. ICP+DC bias로 Cr rod를 가열하는 공정에서의 plasma를 OES로 측정한 결과 Ar 중성의 peak은 감소하고, 520.5 nm, 425.5 nm, 357.7 nm 등의 파장에서 높은 intensity를 갖는 peak을 찾을 수 있었으며, 이 peak들은 Cr 중성의 peak임을 확인할 수 있었다. OES 측정 data를 토대로 공정 중의 rod type Cr target의 교체 주기를 예측할 수 있고 공정 중 실시간 감시가 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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VTF: A Timer Hypercall to Support Real-time of Guest Operating Systems (VIT: 게스트 운영체제의 실시간성 지원을 위한 타이머 하이퍼콜)

  • Park, Mi-Ri;Hong, Cheol-Ho;Yoo, See-Hwan;Yoo, Chuck
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2010
  • Guest operating systems running over the virtual machines share a variety of resources. Since CPU is allocated in a time division manner it consequently leads them to having the unknown physical time. It is not regarded as a serious problem in the server virtualization fields. However, it becomes critical in embedded systems because it prevents guest OS from executing real time tasks when it does not occupy CPU. In this paper we propose a hypercall to register a timer service to notify the timer request related real time. It enables hypervisor to schedule a virtual machine which has real time tasks to execute, and allows guest OS to take CPU on time to support real time. The following experiment shows its implementation on Xen-Arm and para-virtualized Linux. We also analyze the real time performance with response time of test application and frames per second of Mplayer.

A Study on Implementation of Motion Graphics Virtual Camera with AR Core

  • Jung, Jin-Bum;Lee, Jae-Soo;Lee, Seung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2022
  • In this study, to reduce the time and cost disadvantages of the traditional motion graphic production method in order to realize the movement of a virtual camera identical to that of the real camera, motion graphics virtualization using AR Core-based mobile device real-time tracking data A method for creating a camera is proposed. The proposed method is a method that simplifies the tracking operation in the video file stored after shooting, and simultaneously proceeds with shooting on an AR Core-based mobile device to determine whether or not tracking is successful in the shooting stage. As a result of the experiment, there was no difference in the motion graphic result image compared to the conventional method, but the time of 6 minutes and 10 seconds was consumed based on the 300frame image, whereas the proposed method has very high time efficiency because this step can be omitted. At a time when interest in image production using virtual augmented reality and various studies are underway, this study will be utilized in virtual camera creation and match moving.

A Study on Changes in Industrial Value Added Response to Oil Prices in Korean (한국경제의 유가에 대한 산업부가가치 반응변화 연구)

  • Yoon Kyung Kim;Ji Whan Kim
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.447-456
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    • 2023
  • Even after 2000, oil prices rose enough to be comparable to the past, but the impact on economic variables was relatively stable. Therefore, this study tries to empirically examine that the response of the Korean economy to oil prices has changed since the 1998 financial crisis, when there was a structural change in the Korean economy. Through empirical analysis, it was tested that the influence of oil prices and producer prices on consumer prices had changed in the period before and after 1998, and that the influence of producer prices on the value-added ratio by industry sector also changed. This means that the transfer of the increase in production cost to consumer prices has been alleviated, and the impact on added value has also been alleviated. Various studies should be conducted to understand the causes of the empirical results, such as changes in the relationship between producer prices and consumer prices, factors in the industrial sector due to rising oil prices, and changes in products.

A Study on the Application of the Price Prediction of Construction Materials through the Improvement of Data Refactor Techniques (Data Refactor 기법의 개선을 통한 건설원자재 가격 예측 적용성 연구)

  • Lee, Woo-Yang;Lee, Dong-Eun;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2023
  • The construction industry suffers losses due to failures in demand forecasting due to price fluctuations in construction raw materials, increased user costs due to project cost changes, and lack of forecasting system. Accordingly, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of construction raw material price forecasting. This study aims to predict the price of construction raw materials and verify applicability through the improvement of the Data Refactor technique. In order to improve the accuracy of price prediction of construction raw materials, the existing data refactor classification of low and high frequency and ARIMAX utilization method was improved to frequency-oriented and ARIMA method utilization, so that short-term (3 months in the future) six items such as construction raw materials lumber and cement were improved. ), mid-term (6 months in the future), and long-term (12 months in the future) price forecasts. As a result of the analysis, the predicted value based on the improved Data Refactor technique reduced the error and expanded the variability. Therefore, it is expected that the budget can be managed effectively by predicting the price of construction raw materials more accurately through the Data Refactor technique proposed in this study.

Efects of Biodegradable Mulching Films Containing Rice Powder on Sweetpotato Growth (쌀 분말이 함유된 생분해성 멀칭필름이 고구마 생육에 미치는 영향)

  • Sin Young Park;Ju Hyun Im;Eun Byul Go;Kil Ja Kim;Jae Min Park;Dong Kwan Kim
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.69 no.2
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2024
  • In this study, two types of biodegradable film prototypes were produced using plastic resin containing rice powder. The application of these biodegradable films in sweetpotato (Ipomoea batatas L. Lam) fields and their impacts of plant growth, yield, and the soil environment were assessed, in comparison with Polyethylene (PE) film. The light transmittance of the biodegradable film containing 30% of 350 mesh rice powder (BF30-350RP) was 0.8%, which was lower than the 2.0% light transmittance of the biodegradable film containing 40% of 500 mesh rice powder (BF40-500RP) and 2.7% light transmittance of PE film. Surface temperature measurements on clear day indicated that the PE film exhibited the lowest temperature, with the minimal difference observed between BF40-500RP and BF30-350RP. Assessment of the damage ratio resulting from agricultural work revealed a ranking of 0.4% for the PE film, 3.3% for BF500-400RP, and 5.3% for BF350-30RP. Visible decomposition of BF40-500RP and BF30-350RP commenced after 40 and 30 days of outdoor exposure, reaching 62.3% and 70.4% decomposition at 90 days post-exposure, respectively. The decomposition of biodegradable films applied to sweetpotato fields progressed more slowly in BF40-500RP than in BF30-350RP. The BF40-500RP film on the surface of the ridges was decomposed by 5%, 30%, 55%, and 90% after 30, 60, 90, and 120 days after planting sweetpotato cuttings, respectively. Both types of biodegradable films at the ridge and furrow borders were completely decomposed after 75 days of sweetpotato planting. In a field where the surface was sealed by mulching without growing sweetpotatoes, the soil moisture and its deviation were lower in the order of PE film, BF40-500RP, and BF30-350RP, but the differences were not significant. The soil temperature was higher for PE film mulching than for the biodegradable films containing rice powder, but the differences were small. Two months after sweetpotato planting, the daily average soil moisture decreased by 2.5%point for BF30-350RP mulching, 1.5%point for BF40-500RP mulching, and 1.1%point for PE film mulching over seven days. Soil temperature was similar for both biodegradable film mulches, but increased steadily for the PE film mulch, reaching a daily average of 0.1℃ higher than for the biodegradable films. Sweetpotato vine growth and tuber yield were similar for all the mulching films tested.

Study on Interrelation between the Service Industrial Production Index and the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index (서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도소매지수와의 상호연관성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joo Il
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2016
  • We examine the information transmission between the Service Industrial Production Index and the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index, based on the returns data offered by the Korea Bank. The data includes daily return data from January 2000 to September 2015. Utilizing a dynamic analytical tool-the VAR model, Granger Causality test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition have been implemented. The results of the analysis are as follows. Firstly, results of Granger Causality test suggests the existence of mutual causality the Service Industrial Production Index precede and have explanatory power the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index However the results also identified a greater causality and explanatory power of the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index over the Service Industrial Production Index. Secondly, the results of impulse response function suggest that the Service Industrial Production Index show immediate response to the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index and are influenced by till time 5 From time 2, the impact gradually disappears. Also the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index show immediate response to the Service Industrial Production Index and are influenced by till time 2.5, the impact gradually disappears. Lastly, the variance decomposition analysis shows that the changes of return of Service Industrial Production Index are dependent on those of the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index. This implies that returns on the Service Industrial Production Index have a significant influence over returns on the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index. It contributes to the understanding of market price formation function through analysis of detached the Service Industrial Production Index and Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index. Finally, our results can be used as a guide by the Korea Bank and Republic of Korea and as well as Statistics Korea.

A Research about Open Source Distributed Computing System for Realtime CFD Modeling (SU2 with OpenCL and MPI) (실시간 CFD 모델링을 위한 오픈소스 분산 컴퓨팅 기술 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Yeob;Oh, Jong-woo;Lee, DongHoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 2017.04a
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    • pp.171-171
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    • 2017
  • 전산유체역학(CFD: Computational Fluid Dynamics)를 이용한 스마트팜 환경 내부의 정밀 제어 연구가 진행 중이다. 시계열 데이터의 난해한 동적 해석을 극복하기위해, 비선형 모델링 기법의 일종인 인공신경망을 이용하는 방안을 고려하였다. 선행 연구를 통하여 환경 데이터의 비선형 모델링을 위한 Tensorflow활용 방법이 하드웨어 가속 기능을 바탕으로 월등한 성능을 보임을 확인하였다. 그럼에도 오프라인 일괄(Offline batch)처리 방식의 한계가 있는 인공신경망 모델링 기법과 현장 보급이 불가능한 고성능 하드웨어 연산 장치에 대한 대안 마련이 필요하다고 판단되었다. CFD 해석을 위한 Solver로 SU2(http://su2.stanford.edu)를 이용하였다. 운영 체제 및 컴파일러는 1) Mac OS X Sierra 10.12.2 Apple LLVM version 8.0.0 (clang-800.0.38), 2) Windows 10 x64: Intel C++ Compiler version 16.0, update 2, 3) Linux (Ubuntu 16.04 x64): g++ 5.4.0, 4) Clustered Linux (Ubuntu 16.04 x32): MPICC 3.3.a2를 선정하였다. 4번째 개발환경인 병렬 시스템의 경우 하드웨어 가속는 OpenCL(https://www.khronos.org/opencl/) 엔진을 이용하고 저전력 ARM 프로세서의 일종인 옥타코어 Samsung Exynos5422 칩을 장착한 ODROID-XU4(Hardkernel, AnYang, Korea) SBC(Single Board Computer)를 32식 병렬 구성하였다. 분산 컴퓨팅을 위한 환경은 Gbit 로컬 네트워크 기반 NFS(Network File System)과 MPICH(http://www.mpich.org/)로 구성하였다. 공간 분해능을 계측 주기보다 작게 분할할 경우 발생하는 미지의 바운더리 정보를 정의하기 위하여 3차원 Kriging Spatial Interpolation Method를 실험적으로 적용하였다. 한편 병렬 시스템 구성이 불가능한 1,2,3번 환경의 경우 내부적으로 이미 존재하는 멀티코어를 활용하고자 OpenMP(http://www.openmp.org/) 라이브러리를 활용하였다. 64비트 병렬 8코어로 동작하는 1,2,3번 운영환경의 경우 32비트 병렬 128코어로 동작하는 환경에 비하여 근소하게 2배 내외로 연산 속도가 빨랐다. 실시간 CFD 수행을 위한 분산 컴퓨팅 기술이 프로세서의 속도 및 운영체제의 정보 분배 능력에 따라 결정된다고 판단할 수 있었다. 이를 검증하기 위하여 4번 개발환경에서 운영체제를 64비트로 개선하여 5번째 환경을 구성하여 검증하였다. 상반되는 결과로 64비트 72코어로 동작하는 분산 컴퓨팅 환경에서 단일 프로세서 기반 멀티 코어(1,2,3번) 환경보다 보다 2.5배 내외 연산속도 향상이 있었다. ARM 프로세서용 64비트 운영체제의 완성도가 낮은 시점에서 추후 성공적인 실시간 CFD 모델링을 위한 지속적인 검토가 필요하다.

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Evaluation Methodology of Greenhouse Gas On-Line Monitoring on Freeway (고속도로 구간의 온실가스 On-Line 모니터링 산정방법)

  • Lee, Soong-bong;Chang, Hyun-ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.92-104
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    • 2017
  • Previous management for speed in road traffic system was aimed only to the improvement of mobility and safety. However, consideration for the aspect of environment and energy consumption efficiency was valued less than the former ones. Nevertheless, economical damage scope caused by climate change has been increasing and it is estimated that environmental value will be increased because of the change of external circumstances. In addition, policy for reducing carbon emission in transportation system was assessed as insufficient in improving the condition of traffic road since it only focused on the transition of private vehicle into public transportation and development of eco-friendly car. Now it is the time to prepare for the adaptation strategy and precaution for the increased number of private vehicle in Korea. For this, paradigm shift in traffic operation which includes the policy not only about the mobility but also about caring environment would be needed. It is needed to be able to monitor the actual amount of greenhouse gas in real time to reduce the amount of emitted greenhouse gas in the aspect of traffic management. In this research, a methodology which can build on-line greenhouse gas emission monitoring system by using real time traffic data and predicting the circumstance in next 5 minutes was suggested.