• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.28 no.3D
• /
• pp.423-429
• /
• 2008

The object of the present study is to estimate the potential effects of climate change and land use on soil erosion in the mid-east Korea. Simulated precipitation by CCCma climate model during 2030-2050 is used to model predicted soil erosion, and results are compared to observation. Simulation results allow relative comparison of the impact of climate change on soil erosion between current and predicted future condition. Expected land use changes driven by socio-economic change and plant growth driven by the increase of temperature and are taken into accounts in a comprehensive way. Mean precipitation increases by 17.7% (24.5%) for A2 (B2) during 2030-2050 compared to the observation period (1966-1998). In general predicted soil erosion for the B2 scenario is larger than that for the A2 scenario. Predicted soil erosion increases by 48%~90% under climate change except the scenario 1 and 2. Predicted soil erosion under the influence of temperature-induced fast plant growth, higher evapotranspiration rate, and fertilization effect (scenario 5 and 6) is approximately 25% less than that in the scenario 3 and 4. On the basis of the results it is said that precipitation and the corresponding soil erosion is likely to increase in the future and care needs to be taken in the study area.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
• /
• v.14 no.spc
• /
• pp.1096-1127
• /
• 2011

This research focus on estimating the economic effects of TOD system development from the perspective of new market creation, R&D planning cost reduction and increase of R&D projects' commercialization success rates. The research is conducted through simulation and scenario analysis with assumptions about economic effect parameters. Scenario analysis shows that scenario 1 (the application ratio of the new TOD system to total Korean R&D programs' planning is 1.4%) results in total economic effects, 921.3 billion won in 2011 price with B/C ratio 6.15, that scenario 2 (the application ratio is 1.9%) results in total economic effects, 1,250.3 billion won in 2011 price with B/C ratio 8.34, and that scenario 3 (the application ratio is 0.9%) results in total economic effects, 592.2 billion won in 2011 price with B/C ratio 3.95. The research contributed to the prior evaluation of economic validity of "R&D on Technology Opportunity Development (TOD) system" and to cultivating the new methodology of economic benefit estimation in the area of R&D on system development.

• Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
• /
• v.10 no.1
• /
• pp.12-16
• /
• 2015

In this paper, we introduce a wireless package system based on the amateur radio HR(HAM Radio) and satellite communication as a novel wireless disaster communication system and have configured a interference scenario receiving interference from adjacent base stations and D2D groups in the disaster network. In such interference scenarios, we propose a frequency re-allocation method to avoid interference and communicate with disaster networks by securing the channel capacity required between D2D terminals. As a result of computer simulation, we can find the proposed method has improved BED performance of a gain of 1.5dB and overall system throughput than conventional methods.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
• /
• v.19 no.5
• /
• pp.492-501
• /
• 2007

Coastal disasters have become one of the most important issues in every coastal country. In Korea, coastal disasters such as storm surge, sea level rise and extreme weather have placed many coastal regions in danger of being exposed or damaged during subsequent storms and gradual shoreline retreat. A storm surge is an onshore gush of water associated with a tow pressure weather system, typically in typhoon season. However, it is very difficult to predict storm surge height and inundation due to the irregularity of the course and intensity of a typhoon. To provide a new scheme of typhoon damage prediction model, the scenario which changes the central pressure, the maximum wind radius, the track and the proceeding speed by corresponding previous typhoon database, was composed. The virtual typhoon scenario database was constructed with individual scenario simulation and evaluation, in which it extracted the result from the scenario database of information of the hereafter typhoon and information due to climate change. This virtual typhoon scenario database will apply damage prediction information about a typhoon. This study performed construction and analysis of the simulation system with the storm surge/coastal inundation model at Masan coastal areas, and applied method for predicting using the scenario of the storm surge.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.38 no.6
• /
• pp.809-818
• /
• 2018

In this paper, in order to evaluate the impact of future climate change in North Korea, we collected the climate data of each station in North Korea provided by WMO and expanded the lack of time series data. Using the RCP climate change scenario, And the impact of climate change on disasters using local vulnerability to disasters in the event of a disaster. In order to evaluate this, the 11 cities in North Korea were evaluated for Design Rainfall Load, human risk index (HRI), and disaster impact index (DII) at each stage. As a result, Jaffe increased from C grade to B grade in the Future 1 period. At Future 2, North Hwanghae proved to be dangerous as it was, and Gangwon-do and Hwanghae-do provincial grade rose to C grade. In the case of Future 3, Pyongyang City dropped from C grade to D grade, Hamgyong and Gyeongsang City descend from B grade to C grade, Gangwon-do and Jagangdo descend from C grade to D grade and Pyongyang city descend from C grade to D grade. Respectively.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
• /
• 2011.11a
• /
• pp.454-457
• /
• 2011

본 연구에서는 소방시설의 성능위주의설계를 수행하기 위하여 ETA(Event Tree Analysis) 기법을 적용하는 방안을 고찰하였다. ETA기법에서는 화재시나리오를 사건(Event)의 인과관계로 된 각 단계의 사건으로 구성한다. 본 연구에서는 ETA에서 구성된 시나리오에 따른 심각도를 화재시뮬레이션과 피난 시뮬레이션을 통한 수행으로 사망자수를 도출하는 방안을 적용하였고, 각 시나리오의 빈도(확률)은 FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) 기법을 적용하여 분기 확률을 도출하도록 하였다. ETA에서 도출한 사망자수와 빈도를 이용하여 F-N 커브를 작성하여 위험도를 평가하여 소방설계의 보완 및 대책을 수립하는 방안을 제시하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2011.05a
• /
• pp.371-371
• /
• 2011

본 연구에서는 한강유역 내 관측기간이 충분한 기상청 지상관측소 10개소를 선정하고 CCCma(Canadian Century for Climate modeling and analysis)에서 제공하는 자료에 대한 인공신경망기법 상세화 적용을 실시하였다. 인공신경망의 학습을 위해 CGCM3.1/T63 20C3M시나리오(reference scenario)의 22개 2D변수 중 물리적으로 민감도가 높다고 판단되는 GCM_Prec, huss, ps를 입력변수로 선정하였으며 인공신경망 학습기간은 1991년~1995년, 검증기간은 1996년~2000년, 예측기간은 2011년~2100년으로 A1B, A2 B1 시나리오 등 다양한 기후변화 시나리오를 통해 예측band를 제시하고자 하였다. 하지만 공간상관을 고려하기 위하여 각 관측소에 대하여 인공신경망 학습을 하는 경우 관측소간 spatial correlation 및 spatial cluster구현이 어렵기 때문에 Spatial Rectangular Pulse모형을 이용하고자 하였으나, 강수면적에 대한 scale의 결정이 어렵다는 단점을 확인 하고 본 연구에서는 Random Cascade 모형을 이용하여 ${\beta}$를 통한 강수면적 scale(rainy area fraction)을 결정하고자 하였다. Random Cascade모형의 기법은 격자단위의 downscaling기법으로 강수대의 공간적 형상을 재현하며 스케일에 비종속적인(scale-invariant)프랙탈 특성을 이용하여 매개변수를 최소화 할 수 있는 장점을 가진 기법으로 한강유역 1Km내외 강우장을 만들어 topographic effect를 첨가하고자 한다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
• /
• v.23 no.6
• /
• pp.11-20
• /
• 2019

A Radome protects the radar from the external environment, and as a part of the stealth technology, a frequency-selective surface (FSS) was applied to the radome. Our study investigates the changes in the electrical transmission characteristics of the missile's FSS radome due to aerodynamic heating in various flight scenarios. Accordingly, we designed a FSS radome with a Jerusalem-cross(JSC) geometry and referred the missile flight scenario in the precedent research. Subsequently, electrical transmission characteristics affected by aerodynamic heating were numerically analyzed over time according to the position of radome. As a result, we found that the average transmission value maximally varies -14.3 dB compared to the initial bandwidth owing to changes in electrical transmission characteristics in flight scenarios.

• Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
• /
• 1997.07a
• /
• pp.286-306
• /
• 1997

This paper analyses the B-ISDN evolution strategy based on economic perspective, in terms of its effect on national competitiveness and quality of life. In the beginning, it considers the economic characteristic related with the emergences of B-ISDN services. The economic goods resulting from their services is classified by producer and consumer goods. The time difference between R&D and investment is also included to identify the technology gap between countries. And then, this paper intensifies the economic approach by complementing the technical factors which include both the network evolutionary characteristic and cost-effective implementation. The feasible scenarios are thereby obtained, one for technologically advanced countries and two for technologically unadvanced countries. The result of this study shows that technologically advanced countries can not only intensify their national competitiveness but also enhance quality of life, but not in the case of technologically less advanced countries.

• Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
• /
• 2008.11a
• /
• pp.290-293
• /
• 2008

본 논문은 이종의 이동통신 시스템에서 멀티미디어 서비스의 QoS를 보장하기 위한 D-ISHO(Degradation reason Intra-System Handover)를 다룬다. 이를 위하여 D-ISHO 시, QoS 보장하기 위한 제어 모듈을 제시한다. 이를 위하여, 각 모듈간의 상관 관계를 갖는 순서도를 기술하고, D-ISHO 시나리오가 고려된다. 시뮬레이션을 위하여 평균 지연과 패킷 손실율을 평가한다. 제안된 QGRM(QoS Guaranteed Resource Management)를 적용한 시스템이 각각의 서로 다른 이동통신 망보다 더 좋은 성능을 보인다.