• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.531-565
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• 2011

All previous studies analyzing multivariate time series data of EUA (European Union Allowance) price commonly used endogenous variables within the four variables and included the period from April to June of 2006 in the analysis, when the price distortion occurred. This study uses graph theory and structural vector error correction model (SVECM) to analyze the daily time series data of the EUA (European Union Allowance) price. As endogenous variables, five variables are considered for the analysis, including prices of crude oil, natural gas, electricity and coal in addition to carbon price. Data period is Phase 2 period (April 21, 2008 to March 31, 2010) to avoid the EUA price distortion of Phase 1 period (2005~2007). Further, the monthly data including the economic variables as endogenous variables are analyzed.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.58 no.4
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• pp.588-595
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• 2020

Prediction and control of nitrogen oxides (NO_x) emission is of great interest in industry due to stricter environmental regulations. Herein, we propose an artificial intelligence (AI)-based framework for prediction of NO_x emission. The framework includes pre-processing of data for training of neural networks and evaluation of the AI-based models. In this work, Long-Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one of the recurrent neural networks, was adopted to reflect the time series characteristics of NO_x emissions. A decision tree was used to determine a time window of LSTM prior to training of the network. The neural network was trained with operational data from a heating furnace. The optimal model was obtained by optimizing hyper-parameters. The LSTM model provided a reliable prediction of NO_x emission for both training and test data, showing an accuracy of 93% or more. The application of the proposed AI-based framework will provide new opportunities for predicting the emission of various air pollutants with time series characteristics.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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• no.37
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• pp.117-144
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• 2008

This is a timeseries study on the riving forces behind the changes of Korean welfare state. There are a few previous studies on the determinants of korean welfare state. These previous studies have some limitations in terms of reliability of the data source and validity of the statistical method used. Using the Comparative Social Policy Data-set(CSPD), we try to overcome the limitation of these previous studies. And adapting the time series regression, we examine the hypotheses about the changes of korean welfare state. In this study, four dependent variables are examined: the ratio of public social welfare expenditure to the GDP(WELGDP), the ratio of public social welfare expenditure to the government budget(WELGOV), the ratio of social expenditure to the GDP(SOCX), social welfare expenditure per capita. And independent variables were selected based on the theoretical background on the changes of welfare state. The results of this study as follows: First, the variables based on structural functionalism (industrialization) are the major driving forces behind the changes of korean welfare state since 1960s. Second, the effect of unemployment variable may be reasonably interpreted as reflecting the residual characteristics of korean welfare state. Third, the politics of the left based on power resource theory should be restrictedly interpreted. Ultimately, korean welfare state is still at rudimentary stage where the theory of industrialization is well applied as a driving forces behind the changes of welfare state.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.171-191
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• 2020

This study focused on digital music, which is the most valuable cultural asset in the modern society and occupies a particularly important position in the flow of the Korean Wave. Digital music was collected based on the "Gaon Chart," a well-established music chart in Korea. Through this, the changes in the ranking of the music that entered the chart for 73 weeks were collected. Afterwards, patterns with similar characteristics were derived through time series cluster analysis. Then, a descriptive analysis was performed on the notable features of each pattern. The research process suggested by this study is as follows. First, in the data collection process, time series data was collected to check the ranking change of digital music. Subsequently, in the data processing stage, the collected data was matched with the rankings over time, and the music title and artist name were processed. Each analysis is then sequentially performed in two stages consisting of exploratory analysis and explanatory analysis. First, the data collection period was limited to the period before 'the music bulk buying phenomenon', a reliability issue related to music ranking in Korea. Specifically, it is 73 weeks starting from December 31, 2017 to January 06, 2018 as the first week, and from May 19, 2019 to May 25, 2019. And the analysis targets were limited to digital music released in Korea. In particular, digital music was collected based on the "Gaon Chart", a well-known music chart in Korea. Unlike private music charts that are being serviced in Korea, Gaon Charts are charts approved by government agencies and have basic reliability. Therefore, it can be considered that it has more public confidence than the ranking information provided by other services. The contents of the collected data are as follows. Data on the period and ranking, the name of the music, the name of the artist, the name of the album, the Gaon index, the production company, and the distribution company were collected for the music that entered the top 100 on the music chart within the collection period. Through data collection, 7,300 music, which were included in the top 100 on the music chart, were identified for a total of 73 weeks. On the other hand, in the case of digital music, since the cases included in the music chart for more than two weeks are frequent, the duplication of music is removed through the pre-processing process. For duplicate music, the number and location of the duplicated music were checked through the duplicate check function, and then deleted to form data for analysis. Through this, a list of 742 unique music for analysis among the 7,300-music data in advance was secured. A total of 742 songs were secured through previous data collection and pre-processing. In addition, a total of 16 patterns were derived through time series cluster analysis on the ranking change. Based on the patterns derived after that, two representative patterns were identified: 'Steady Seller' and 'One-Hit Wonder'. Furthermore, the two patterns were subdivided into five patterns in consideration of the survival period of the music and the music ranking. The important characteristics of each pattern are as follows. First, the artist's superstar effect and bandwagon effect were strong in the one-hit wonder-type pattern. Therefore, when consumers choose a digital music, they are strongly influenced by the superstar effect and the bandwagon effect. Second, through the Steady Seller pattern, we confirmed the music that have been chosen by consumers for a very long time. In addition, we checked the patterns of the most selected music through consumer needs. Contrary to popular belief, the steady seller: mid-term pattern, not the one-hit wonder pattern, received the most choices from consumers. Particularly noteworthy is that the 'Climbing the Chart' phenomenon, which is contrary to the existing pattern, was confirmed through the steady-seller pattern. This study focuses on the change in the ranking of music over time, a field that has been relatively alienated centering on digital music. In addition, a new approach to music research was attempted by subdividing the pattern of ranking change rather than predicting the success and ranking of music.

• Journal of Convergence Society for SMB
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.25-30
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• 2016

This paper presents on the development of a compact anti-lost device requested recently. The proposed device consists of the master and slave modules based on Bluetooth4.1 technology. To implement a low-power characteristic, an algorithm has been also developed. The transmitting and receiving circuits are designed by using BoT CLE110 module supporting Bluetooth 4.1. The ATmega 328P-AU was used for the control and LP3874EMP was used as a linear regulator. Power consumption of the fabricated product in operating mode is only 10mAh and 35mAh for MCU operating state. Alarm operation distance is $10m{\pm}30%$, the effective radiated power is less than 10mW, the frequency band is designed to operate in the Bluetooth band with 26MHz bandwidth. And algorithms have been developed to extend the battery life. The size of the product was obtained as $45{\times}45{\times}15mm$ for master and $35{\times}35{\times}10mm$ fr slave. After the optimization process, it is expected to be commercialized as a wristwatch for anti-lost device.

• Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.120-126
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• 2011

The fatigue damages in structural details of offshore plants can be accumulated due to various environmental loadings such as swell, wave, wind and current. It is known that load histories acting on mooring and riser systems show stationary and ergodic bimodal wide-banded process. This paper provides refined approach to obtain time signals representing stress range histories from wide-banded bimodal spectrum which consists of ideally narrow-banded and fully separated two spectrums. Variations of the probabilistic characteristics for time signals according to frequency and sampling time increments are compared with the reference data to be the probabilistic characteristics such as zero-crossing period, peak period, and irregularity factor obtained from an assumed ideal spectrum. It is proved that the sampling time increment more affects on the probabilistic characteristics than frequency increment. The fatigue damages according to the frequency and sampling time increments are also compared with the ones with minimum increment condition which are thought to be exact fatigue damage. It is concluded that the maximum sampling time increment to obtain reliable time signals should be determined that ratio of applied maximum sampling time increment and minimum period is less than approximately 0.08.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1117-1120
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• 2009

최근 이상기후와 같은 기후변화로 인한 기온, 강수 등의 변화는 안정적인 수자원 확보에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 판단되고 수자원을 필요로 하는 사회 모든 분야에 있어 큰 영향을 끼친다. 특히 농업, 공업, 도시의 용수 공급에 있어 변화는 더욱 심해질 것으로 판단되며 기후변화로 인한 기온, 강수 등의 변화의 정확한 분석이 필요로 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 동아시아 해수면 온도와 우리나라 강수량에 대한 MSSA (Multi-channel Singular Spectrum Analysis)를 실시함으로 두 시계열 사이에 공통적으로 나타나는 변화, 즉 특정 상관 주기 변동을 분석함으로 두 변수 사이에 변화 상관 분석을 실시하였다. 우리나라 강수량 자료로는 현재 기상청에서 운영 중인 지상 기상관측소 76개소 중 가용관측소 61개소 자료에 대하여 1973년 1월부터 2008년 12월까지의 자료를 수집하여 월 평균값을 사용하였고 동아시아 해수면 온도 자료로는 한반도 근해 해수면 온도 변화, 남중국해 해수면 온도 변화, 인도양 해수면 온도 변화, 적도 해수면 온도 변화 등을 선택하여 관측시점부터 2008년 12월까지 자료를 수집하여 사용하였다. 분석 자료에 대해 선형 회귀분석을 통한 선형추세 제거와 정규화한 자료를 사용하여 각각의 지수에 대해 MSSA 분석을 실시하였다. 이때 window length는 Vautard 등(1992)이 제시한 N/5$^{\sim}$N/3의 값인 108의 값을 사용하였고 이때 각각의 고유치는 전체 공분산에 대한 각 요소의 비율을 설명한다. 상관분석 결과는 각 지수와 강수자료 사이에 높은 상관성을 가지는 장단주기 변화가 존재함을 보여주었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 우리나라 월강수자료의 전체 변화는 계절변화를 제외하고도 장단 주기를 가지는 시간변화가 자료 전체 변화의 절반에 해당하며 장주기 변화가 나타내는 부분이 미미하다. 이는 계절 주기를 제외한 자료들 사이의 상관변화가 설명할 수 있는 부분이 미미 하며 여러 기상지수들과 국내 강수량사이의 MSSA 분석을 통하여 제시 할 수 있는 변화의 정량적 정도가 매우 제한됨을 보여준다. 그럼에도 불구하고 이러한 접근을 통하여 강수 변화의 불확실성을 줄여나가는 노력이 필요하다고 하겠다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.11
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• pp.202-207
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• 2016

An auxiliary real-time train communications system among drivers, train-traffic controllers and field workers is necessary to share hazard information (i.e. rockfall detection, track maintenance) in low visibility zones (long tunnels and steep curved track). To develop the appropriate communication system, this paper proposes a new way of power line communication using the rail track (Rail - PLC), which has little noise and distortion of attenuation. Therefore, it is important to measure the impedance of the rail and to apply an impedance matching technique to increase the transmission characteristic of the Rail - PLC. This study would evaluate the reflection and the transmission characteristics of the rail using a network analyzer and an impedance matching transformer. The suitable impedance matching ratio was 1:3.28 from the result of back-to-back testing. The results confirmed that the transformer can improve the performance of the transmission signal in Rail - PLC using an impedance matching technique.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.14-24
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• 2006

There are many problems and limits in equipments being used for traffic-volume analysis in the country. And traffic-volume information acquired through existing equipments is not provided in real-time. In the case of urban, there are limits on guarantee of trust on comprehending a appropriate road-volume because of difficulty on analyzing traffic-volume density and time series. And it is difficult to applicate in deciding a road policy as existing equipments don't provide the control information of traffic-flow. Therefore, it is necessary to build a road-flow policy rapidly and accurately through the road-flow information that analyze post-processed statistics data using traffic-flow investigation based on real time. In this study, we developed TICS(Traffic Information Collection System) based on GPS which could transmit traffic information transformed from car location information to traffic control center. And we developed TCS(Traffic Control System) based on Web GIS, which could manage and analyze transmitted traffic information, and it could offer handled road-flow information to Web-site in realtime.

• Spatial Information Research
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.117-134
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• 1994

The problems of urban land use are becoming worse by the increase of population and facilities. Land use planning is the major part of comprehensive city plan¬ning. Understanding and forecasting the present and future conditions of land use are the main process of land use planning. In order to comprehend the various phenomena which occured on the land, collecting accurate land information is the most important thing for the effective management of land use. Therefore, it is necessary for us to establish the land information systems. In this study, theories of functions, objectives, components and applications of land information systems were investigated as the basis of this research. Case studies of Korea and Japan were examined, not only for the desirable selection of input data items, but also for the effective land use anslysis in land information systems. Through this kind of study, we can anslize and understand the changing patterns of land use over time, and we can also prepare a more desirable and adjustable land use plan-ning programs for the future.