• The Southeast Asian review
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.41-76
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• 2017

This paper analyses the market shares and the export similarity indexes (ESI) of Korea, Japan and China in ASEAN, and then identifies the determinants of Korea's exports to ASEAN countries using single equation cointegration approaches, such as fully modified OLS (FMOLS), dynamic OLS (DOLS), and canonical cointegration regression (CCR). Various regression results are as follows: As expected, Korea's real exports tend to increase as importing country's GDP grows. The competing third country's currency depreciation affects Korea's exports differently from country to country. Most notably, it doesn't significantly affect Korean exports in Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand. These results suggest that bilateral or third country exchange rates are not that important or decisive factors to determine Korea's exports to ASEAN countries in the long-run while economic growth in ASEAN countries matters most.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.06a
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• pp.403-406
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• 2006

최근 막대한 매장량으로 인해 미래의 비재래형 에너지원으로 주목받고 있는 천여가스 하이드레이트는 고압 저온 환경에서 수소결합을 하는 고체상 격자 내에 객체분자인 가스분자가 포획되어 형성된 가스하이드레이트의 일종으로 영구 동토지역과 심해저의 퇴적층에 광범위하게 분포되어 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 가스하이드레이트의 개발기술과 천연가스의 저장과 운송기술에 관한 미국 일본 유럽 등 특허 3극 및 한국 특허 총 357건을 추출하고 특허정보 분석을 실시하여 국내외 기술개발 동망 및 기술변화 추이를 살펴보았다. 특허 검색에 사용된 DB와 분석도구는 특허청 선행기술 전문조사기관 등으로 지정된 (주)윕스사의 WIPS와 ThinKlear이며, 미국/일본/유럽 등 특허 3극과 한국에서 공개 또는 등록된 특허를 검색대상으로 하였다 자원으로서 천연가스 하이드레이트를 개발하는 기술과 관련하여 총 193건의 특허가 추출되었으며, 이 때 사용하는 방법에는 감압법, 열처리법, 억제제 주입법 등이 있었다. 또한 연료용 가스, 특히 메탄가스의 수송 및 저장에는 통상 액화하여 액화천연가스로 수송하는 방법이 사용되고 있으나 가스하이드레이트를 이용할 경우 액화천연가스를 이용하는 것보다 더 경제적임이 보고되면서 이와 관련된 연구가 활발히 진행 중이며, 총 164건의 특허가 추출되었다. 상기 추출된 총 357건을 대상으로 연도별 출원동향, 국가별 점유율 및 시계열 분석, 분류기술별 출원동향 등의 특허정보 분석을 수행하였다.

• Journal of Service Research and Studies
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.35-49
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• 2015

The purpose of this paper is to see what the problem is and what the direction of the strategy of asset management after this study has analyzed asset management status of nonlife insurance companies according to interest rate trends, analyzing in time series asset state, management asset lists, asset distribution state, securities list and total asset yield of Nonlife insurance companies during year 2009~2014. As the study result, nonlife insurance companies have managed assets in stability than profitability according to safety asset was increased, but risky asset was decreased. Performance rate of total asset was dropped according to interest rate declined trends. Trend between stock index and performance rates of total asset was not accord. The correlation coefficient between interest rate and performance rates of total asset was highly plus, but the correlation coefficient of KOSPI and performance rate of total asset showed minus.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.13-23
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• 2010

According to recent researches on climate change, the global warming is obvious to increase rainfall intensity. Damage caused by extreme hydrologic events due to global change is steadily getting bigger and bigger. Recently, frequently occurring heavy rainfalls surely affect the trend of rainfall observations. Probability precipitation estimation method used in designing and planning hydrological resources assumes that rainfall data is stationary. The stationary probability precipitation estimation method could be very weak to abnormal rainfalls occurred by climate change, because stationary probability precipitation estimation method cannot reflect increasing trend of rainfall intensity. This study analyzed temporal variation of trend in rainfall time series at 51 stations which are not significant for statistical trend tests. After modeling rainfall time series with maintaining observed statistical characteristics, this study also estimated whether rainfall data is significant for the statistical trend test in near future. It was found that 13 stations among sample stations will have trend within 10 years. The results indicate that non-stationary probability precipitation estimation method must be applied to sufficiently consider increase trend of rainfall.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.123-131
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• 2011

Characteristics of sea surface temperature(SST) difference around Gwang-Yang steel Mill where can affect marine ecosystem in Gwang-Yang bay using 25 collected Landsat-7 ETM+ thermal infrared band data from 2000 to 2010. To analyze accuracy of SST from the Landsat-7 ETM+ thermal infrared image， satellite-induced SST was verfied by compared Yeo-Su tide station and Landsat thermal image. As a result, SST from Landsat-7 ETM+ is $1.22^{\circ}C$ lower than sea temperature from Yeo-Su tide station and correlation coefficient resulted in above 0.991 which means that correlation coefficient between Landsat image temperature and field sea temperature is relatively high. Five regions were selected to analyze sea surface temperature between near Gwang-Yang steel mill and the open sea and analyzed timeseries of sea surface temperature seasonally and regionally. Moreover, the additional analysis has been carried out by comparing the averaged temperatures of Gwang-Yang and Soon-Cheon bays using the dataset over a year.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.456-463
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• 2018

Increases in disasters and damage caused by the disasters in modern society, have a negative impact on local economy. In particular, a local economic downturn leads to a deterioration in quality of life of local residents and causes mental and material damage. Therefore, in order to achieve stable and sustainable local economic development, it is necessary to strengthen the resilience of the local economy. This study aims to estimate indicators of local economic resilience of Jindo County after the Sewol Ferry disaster, analyze a trend of the economic level after the disaster through time series data and suggest improvement plans of the local crisis management and restoration policy that considers future economic resilience. Results of this study showed that a decrease in the number of tourists and of workers in related industries hit tourism industry, causing a loss to the local economy and that an increase in a drinking rate of and stress awareness rate of local residents was a stress factor due to disaster impacts. These findings provides policy implications that it is necessary to make efforts for improving the depressed local image by utilizing local resources in the area, to build a sustainable long-term economic recovery policy and to provide psychological treatment and the relevant government and local government's support for relieving the stress of local residents due to the disaster impacts.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.171-191
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• 1997

83년 7월부터 NYMEX 선물시장에서 거래되기 시작한 원유선물은 90년대 들어 주식 채권 외환 등의 금융시장과 관련하여 크게 성장하고 있으며, 원유선물가격이 현물시장에서의 가격형성에 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 따라서, 원유선물가격이 미래의 현물가격에 대한 최적의 예측치라고 하는 합리적기대모형(合理的期待模型)에 의거하여 원유선물 가격과 현물가격의 변화추이 및 그들 사이의 장(長) 단기(短期) 균형관계(均衡關係)(동태적통합(動態的統合))와 효율성(效率性)등을 일별(日別) NYMEX 선물유가(근월도래선물(近月到來先物)의 종가(終價))와 WTI 현물유가의 자료를 이용하여 계량분석하였다. 원유선물가격과 현물가격은 단위근(單位根)을 갖는 불안정(不安定)한 시계열이지만, 선물유가와 현물유가사이에는 공적분관계(共積分關係)(공통확률적추세(共通確率的趨勢))가 있어 장기적(長期的) 균형관계(均衡關係)가 존재하며, 또한 공시계열상관관계(共時系列相關關係)(공통안정적순환(共通安定的循環))가 있어 단기적(短期的) 균형관계(均衡關係)도 존재하는 것으로 보여진다. 그리고 선물유가는 미래의 현물유가에 대한 예측력이 있는 것으로 보여진다. 따라서, 원유선물가격이 미래의 현물가격에 대한 최적의 예측치라고 히는 합리적기대모형(合理的期待模型)과 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 원유선물가격이 현물가격과 장(長) 단기적(短期的)으로 동태적(動態的)인 균형관계를 보이고 있으므로 정부의 합리적인 수입선다변화정책과 유가자유화에 따른 석유업계의 효율적인 운영방안의 하나로 원유선물시장의 활용이 더욱 더 필요할 것으로 생각된다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.6 no.1 s.23
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• pp.151-161
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• 2005

This paper analyzes the technical efficiencies of 38 Korean engineering and construction firms and the efficiency changes from 1999 to 2003 using data envelopment analysis (DEA). Best practice firms in terms of technical efficiency and profit are identified. For inefficient firms, performance targets to be efficient are suggested. Technical efficiencies had been increased over the five year period, and the efficiency difference between firms had been reduced during this period. The differences in efficiency due to the differences in cooperate governance structures are statistically significant. In addition, the technical efficiency is correlated with product portfolios, degree of subcontract, rates of value added, returns on invested capital, and EBITDA.

• Particle and aerosol research
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.49-57
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• 2011

High concentration of PM10 was reported on late July, 2005 in Seoul along with high particulate ion concentrations in PM2.5. To identify the reason for the severe air pollution episode, time series analysis of the PM10 concentration in the monitoring sites over Korea, wind sector analysis, trend analysis of the ion concentrations, and air mass trajectory analysis were carried out. It was found that the episode could be classified into two separate periods; first one between July 22 and 27 and second one between July 28 and 31. During the first period, the PM10 concentrations at Seoul were in good correlation with the PM10 concentration three hours before at Chuncheon. Trajectory analysis showed that air mass moved from north and turned to west at Kangwon province to Seoul. The concentrations of PM10 mass and ionic species were lower than the second period. During the second period, air mass moved from northern China to Seoul directly and the PM10 concentrations all over the mid-Korean peninsula showed the same trend. These observations suggest that the air pollution during the second period was affected by direct transport of air pollutants from northern China. Thus, the air quality at Seoul during both periods were influenced by long-range transport from outside rather than by local sources, but with different transport patterns.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.151-157
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• 2014

Diverse and complex facilities have been on the increase in urban areas in accordance with rapid urbanization. Along the lines of the increase in facilities, the risk of fire has increased. In particular, fire accidents as well as traffic accidents accounted for the highest rate in artificial disasters. Therefore, the National Fire Information Systems managed by the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) appeared for the effective fire management. The NEMA has provided the public with the Internet services regarding information about fire outbreak since 2007. This study acquired data from both NEMA and the Jinju City Fire Department. It constructed the fire data of Jinju City and calculated the change in spatial density targeting fire, occurred in Jinju city with a view to examining the fire risk of facilities by conducting a time series analysis on the trends of fire outbreak over a span of periods between 2007 and 2013. It also conducted an analysis of Moran's I, Getis-Ord Gi. Therefore, it came to select higher hot spots in terms of fire location and fire density. In addition, it attempted to calculate the levels of fire hazard by drawing up the matrix of personal injury and property damage, depending on facilities to present the methods, which can predict the risk of fire occurrence in urban areas.