• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시계열 분석기법

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Improvement of SOC Structure Automated Measurement Analysis Method through Probability Analysis of Time-History Data (시계열 데이터의 확률분석을 통한 SOC 구조물 자동화계측 분석기법 개선)

  • Jung-Youl Choi;Dae-Hui Ahn;Jae-Min Han;Jee-Seung Chung;Jung-Ho Kim;Bong-Chul Joo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.679-684
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    • 2023
  • Currently, large-scale and deep-depth excavation construction is being carried out in the vicinity of structures due to overdensity in urban areas in Korea. It is very important to secure the safety of retaining structures and underground structures for adjacent excavation work in urban areas. The safety of facilities is managed by introducing an automated measurement system. However, the utilization of the results of the automated measurement system is very low. Conventional evaluation techniques rely only on the maximum value of the measured data, and can overestimate abnormal behavior. In this study, we intend to improve the analysis technique for the automation measurement results. In order to identify abnormal behavior of facilities, a time-series analysis method for automated measurement data was presented. By applying a probability statistical analysis technique to a vast amount of data, highly reliable results were derived. In this study, the analysis method and evaluation method that can process the vast amount of data of facilities have been improved.

Nonlinear Forecasting of Daily Runoff Using Inverse Approach Method (가역접근법을 이용한 일유출량 자료의 비선형 예측)

  • Lee, Bae-Sung;Jeong, Dong-Kug;Jung, Tae-Sung;Lee, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.3 s.164
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    • pp.253-259
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    • 2006
  • In almost all previous hydrological studies, the standard approach adopted for nonlinear time series analysis is to perform system characterization first followed by forecasting. However, a practical inverse approach for forecasting nonlinear hydrological time series was proposed recently To investigate the applicability standard approach method and inverse approach, this study used a theoretical time series (Mackey-Glass time series) and daily streamflows of the Bear River in Idaho. To predict a theoretical time series and daily streamflow, this study used local approximation method. From chaos analysis, chaotic characteristics are found in daily streamflow of the Bear River in Idaho. Resulting from 1, 3 and 5-day prediction, inverse approach method is shown to be better than the standard approach for a theoretical chaotic time series and daily streamflow.

다중 시기 원격탐사 자료를 이용한 태풍 루사로 인한 강릉 사천천 주변 환경 변화 탐지

  • Park, No-Uk;Ji, Gwang-Hun
    • 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.09a
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    • pp.408-413
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    • 2005
  • 이 논문에서는 2002년 여름 태풍 루사로 인해 많은 재해 피해를 입은 강원도 강릉시 사천천 주변의 변화 정보를 추출하고자 다중 시기 원격탐사 자료를 이용하였다. 태풍 루사 이전과 이후의 다중 시기 원격탐사 자료를 이용하여 변화 탐지 기법을 적용하여 사천천 주변의 환경 변화 정보를 추출하고 분석하였다. 시계열 자료를 이용함으로써 태풍 루사로 인한 재해 현황 정보뿐만 아니라 그 이후의 복구 과정을 확인할 수 있었으며, 앞으로 재해분야에 시계열 원격탐사 자료의 많은 활용이 기대된다.

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The Application of InSAR Signature Time Series for Landcover Classification (InSAR Signature 시계열 분석을 통한 토지피복분류)

  • Yun, Hye Won;Choi, Yun Soo;Yoon, Ha Su;Ko, Jong Sik;Cho, Seong Kil
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2014
  • Considering the wide coverage, the transparency from climate condition, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) possesses a great potential for the landcover classification as shown in many precedent researches. In addition to the merits of InSAR products for the landcover classification, the time series analysis of InSAR pairs can provide a highly reliable basis to interpret landcover. We applied such idea with the test site in Mountain Baekdu located on the border between North Korea and China. Since it is recently noted as the potential volcanic activation site, the landcover especially the vegetation distribution information is highly essential to validate the reliability of Differential Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (DInSAR) over Mt. Baekdu. The algorithms combining the auxiliary information from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to analyze the phase coherence and backscatter coefficient of Observing Satellite (ALOS) Phased Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (PALSAR) was established. The results using InSAR signatures from two polarization modes of ALOS PALSAR showed high reliability for mining landcover and spatial distribution.

Improving prediction performance of network traffic using dense sampling technique (밀집 샘플링 기법을 이용한 네트워크 트래픽 예측 성능 향상)

  • Jin-Seon Lee;Il-Seok Oh
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2024
  • If the future can be predicted from network traffic data, which is a time series, it can achieve effects such as efficient resource allocation, prevention of malicious attacks, and energy saving. Many models based on statistical and deep learning techniques have been proposed, and most of these studies have focused on improving model structures and learning algorithms. Another approach to improving the prediction performance of the model is to obtain a good-quality data. With the aim of obtaining a good-quality data, this paper applies a dense sampling technique that augments time series data to the application of network traffic prediction and analyzes the performance improvement. As a dataset, UNSW-NB15, which is widely used for network traffic analysis, is used. Performance is analyzed using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. To increase the objectivity of performance measurement, experiment is performed independently 10 times and the performance of existing sparse sampling and dense sampling is compared as a box plot. As a result of comparing the performance by changing the window size and the horizon factor, dense sampling consistently showed a better performance.

Target Classification in Sparse Sampling Acoustic Sensor Networks using DTW-Cosine Algorithm (저비율 샘플링 음향 센서네트워크에서 DTW-Cosine 알고리즘을 이용한 목표물 식별기법)

  • Kim, Young-Soo;Kang, Jong-Gu;Kim, Dae-Young
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.221-225
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, to avoid the frequency analysis requiring a high sampling rate, time-warped similarity measure algorithms, which are able to classify objects even with a low-rate sampling rate as time- series methods, are presented and proposed the DTW-Cosine algorithm, as the best classifier among them in wireless sensor networks. Two problems, local time shifting and spatial signal variation, should be solved to apply the time-warped similarity measure algorithms to wireless sensor networks. We find that our proposed algorithm can overcome those problems very efficiently and outperforms the other algorithms by at least 10.3% accuracy.

연안여객수요 예측에 관한 연구 (인천-제주항로를 중심으로)

  • Gwon, Gyu-Ri;Kim, Yul-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.1-3
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    • 2016
  • 연안여객운송은 도서와 육지의 인적 및 물적 교류가 이루어질 수 있도록 하는 유일한 교통수단으로서 그 중요성이 매우 크다. 그럼에도 불구하고 연안여객선에서의 수익성이 낮다는 이유로 그 중요성을 인식하지 못하고 있는 것이 사실이다. 그렇지만 앞으로의 연안여객 수요에 따라 향후 도서민들에게 안정적인 서비스를 제공하기 위해 선박의 추가 투입 및 시설 확충을 위한 의사결정에서 가장 기본이 되는 것이 연안여객의 수요를 예측하는 것이다. 본 논문 에서는 가장 많은 여객 수요를 가지고 있는 제주지역 중에서도 세월호 이후에 끊긴 인천과 제주 항로에 초점을 맞추어 연구를 진행할 것이다. 2007년 1월부터 2013년 12월 까지 84개의 월별 자료를 바탕으로 예측 기법 중에서도 계량적 기법인 시계열 분석을 통해 여객 수요를 예측하고자 한다. 예측 작업에 있어 항상 우수한 성과를 보이는 단 하나의 모형은 존재하지 않기 때문에 예측에 수반된 불확실성을 줄이기 위해 다양한 예측모형을 사용한다. 여러 방법론 중에서 가장 적합도가 높은 모형을 찾아 여객 수요를 예측하고 결과를 도출하였다.

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Design of Multiple Model Fuzzy Prediction Systems Based on HCKA (HCKA 기반 다중 모델 퍼지 예측 시스템의 구현)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Shim, Jae-Son;Park, Ha-Yong;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.1642_1643
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    • 2009
  • 일반적으로, 퍼지 예측 시스템의 성능은 데이터의 특성과 퍼지 집합을 생성하기 위한 클러스터일 기법에 매우 의존적이다. 하지만, 예측을 위한 시계열 데이터들은 자연현상에 기인하는 강한 비선형적 특성을 가지고 있으므로 적합한 시스템을 구현하는 것에 많은 제약이 따른다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 시계열의 비선형적 특성을 적절히 취급하기 위하여, 그들로부터 생성 가능한 차분 데이터 중, 유효한 차분데이터를 이용하여 다중 모델 퍼지 예측 시스템을 구현함으로써, 보다 우수한 예측이 가능하도록 하였으며, 퍼지 시스템의 모델링에는 교차 상관분석기법에 따른 계층적 구조의 클러스터링 기법 (Hierarchical Cross-correlation and K-means Clustering Algorithms: HCKA)을 적용하여, 시스템을 위한 규칙기반의 적합성을 높일 수 있도록 하였다.

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A Study on Online Detection Schemes of Earthquake Induced Shifts in Coordinate Time Series of GNSS Continuous Operation Reference Station by Kalman Filtering (칼만필터에 기반한 GNSS 상시관측소 좌표 시계열의 지진에 따른 편의검출 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hungkyu
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.662-671
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    • 2020
  • It is crucial to manage and maintain the geodetic reference coordinates of GNSS continuously operating reference stations (CORSs) in consideration of their fundamental roles in geodetic control and positioning navigation infrastructure. Earthquake-induced crustal displacement directly impacts the reference coordinates, so such events should be promptly detected, and appropriate action should be made to maintain the target accuracy, including update of the geodetic coordinates. To this end, this paper deals with online schemes for the detection of persistent shifts in the coordinate time-series produced by an automatic GNSS processing system. Algorithms were implemented to test filtered results, such as hypothesis tests of the innovation sequence of a Kalman filter and a cumulative sum (CUSUM) test. The results were assessed by the time-series of coordinates of 14 CORS for two years, including the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. The results show that the global hypothesis test is practical for detecting abrupt jumps, whereas CUSUM is effective for identifying persistent shifts.

Compound Outlier Assessment and Verification for Multiple Field Monitoring Data (다수 계측 데이터에 대한 복합 이상치 평가 및 검증)

  • Jeon, Jesung
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2018
  • All kinds of monitoring data in construction site could have outlier created from diverse cause. In this study generation technique of synthesis value, its regression, final outlier detection and assessment are conducted to distinct outlier data included in extensive time series dataset. Synthesis value having weight factor of correlation between a number of datasets consist of many monitoring data enable to detect outlier by increasing its correlation. Standard artificial dataset in which intentional outliers are inserted has been used for assessment of synthesis value technique. These results showed increase of detection accuracy for outlier and general tendency in case of having different time series models in common. Accuracy of outlier detection increased in case of using more dataset and showing similar time series pattern.