• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시간 변동 소득탄력성

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Time-Varying Income Elasticity of CO2 emission Using Non-Linear Cointegration (비선형 공적분모형을 이용한 이산화탄소 배출량의 소득탄력성 추정)

  • Lee, Sungro;Kim, Hyo-Sun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.473-496
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    • 2014
  • This paper intends to test the non-linear relationship between $CO_2$ emissions and income by employing cointegration model of the time-varying income elasticity. We select France, UK, Italy, Japan, US, China, India, Mexico and Korea and use non-parametric time series analysis on each country in order to estimate its own effect of income on $CO_2$ emission. The main results indicate that the $CO_2$ emission-income elasticities vary over time and the income elasticities of the Annex I countries tend to be higher in absolute terms than those of developing countries. In addition, we find that emission-income elasticities decrease for Annex I countries over time, whereas those for developing countries increase.

Long-term Energy Demand Forecast in Korea Using Functional Principal Component Analysis (함수 주성분 분석을 이용한 한국의 장기 에너지 수요예측)

  • Choi, Yongok;Yang, Hyunjin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.437-465
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we propose a new method to forecast long-term energy demand in Korea. Based on Chang et al. (2016), which models the time varying long-run relationship between electricity demand and GDP with a function coefficient panel model, we design several schemes to retain objectivity of the forecasting model. First, we select the bandwidth parameters for the income coefficient based on the out-of-sample forecasting performance. Second, we extend the income coefficient using the functional principal component analysis method. Third, we proposed a method to reflect the elasticity change patterns inherent in Korea. In the empirical analysis part, we forecasts the long-term energy demand in Korea using the proposed method to show that the proposed method generates more stable long term forecasts than the existing methods.

Incheon's Import Behaviors of the Major Items (인천항 주요품목의 수입행태)

  • Lim, Jun-Hyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.228-243
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    • 2007
  • This study porvides an empirical overview of the import patterns of Incheon port using an Engle-Granger cointegration technique and Johansen's multivariate cointegraion methodology test to check the stationarity of the model. The empirical results show that the import in Incheon port related to the economic variables. This paper also applies rolling regression to our model, indicating that import are endogeneous to the economic variable.

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