• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수확량 예측

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Dynamic Growth Model for Pinus densiflora Stands in Anmyun-Island (안면도(安眠島) 소나무 임분(林分)의 동적(動的) 생장(生長)모델)

  • Seo, Jeong-Ho;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Son, Yowhan;Ham, Bo-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.90 no.6
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    • pp.725-733
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the relationship between growth factors for Pinus densiflora stands in Anmyun-Island was analyzed and dynamic growth model was prepared. A total of 96 sample plots was investigated in which dbh and height of individual trees were measured. From these plot data, quadratic mean dbh, mean height, dominant tree height, stem number per ha, basal area per ha and volume per ha were estimated. Several regression equations between growth factors were derived using NLIN and REG procedure of SAS. And dynamic growth model, in which the equations were interactively linked, was prepared for the prediction of stand growth and yield under different management regime. The predictions of dynamic growth model were found to be coincided with general growth principles. The dynamic growth model was considered as adequate for predicting growth and yield of Pinus densiflora stand in Anmyun-Island. In practice, the dynamic growth model can be applied for predicting the growth and development of stand for various forest treatments and for decision-making in forest management.

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Influences of Forest Management Activity on Growth and Diameter Distribution Models for Larix kaempferi Carriere Stands in South Korea (산림시업이 일본잎갈나무 임분의 생장과 직경분포모형에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sun Joo;Lee, Young Jin
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the influences of forest management activity on the diameter distribution of Larix kaempferi Carriere stands in South Korea. We used 232 managed stands data, 47 unmanaged stands data of National Forest Inventory for this study. We employed the Weibull distribution function for estimating diameter based on percentiles and parameter recovery method. The results revealed that the average diameter breast height movements and growth of tree in the managed stands higher than the unmanaged stands according to the scenario: age, site index, and tree density change. The finding shows the percentage of the total amount of large class diameter was also high in the managed stands. The results of this study could be apply for the estimation of multi-products of timbers per diameter classes and stand structure development for Larix kaempferi Carriere stands in South Korea.

Evaluation of agricultural drought vulnerability using Entropy weight method (엔트로피 가중치 기법을 활용한 농업가뭄 취약성 평가)

  • Young-Sik Mun;Won-Ho Nam;Tae-Hyun Ha;Young-Jun Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.51-51
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    • 2023
  • 최근 기후의 급격한 변화 및 이상기후로 인해 전 세계적으로 가뭄의 발생빈도가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 우리나라의 경우 지역·계절별 강수량의 편차로 인해 국지적으로 극심한 가뭄이 발생하고 있으며, 향후 피해는 더욱 증가할 것으로 예측하고 있다. 농업가뭄은 농작물 생육에 따른 수확량 및 수자원 이용에 직접적인 영향을 미치고 있으며, 농업수리시설물의 의존도가 높기 때문에 저수지의 대응능력과 농경지의 수리답 시설이 농업가뭄 대응을 위한 중요한 지표로써 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 수리시설물의 가뭄대응능력과 평야부 농경지의 가뭄빈도를 이용하여 농업가뭄 취약성 평가를 수행하였다. 2015년 이후 매년 가뭄이 발생하는 충청남도 태안군을 시범지역으로 선정하였으며, 논 중심의 농업가뭄을 평가하기 위해 기상영향, 가뭄발생현황, 보조수원능력, 가뭄대응능력 4가지의 관련 항목을 선정하였다. 기상영향, 가뭄발생현황, 보조수원현황 항목은 계수화를 위해 데이터 속성 정보만을 이용하여 가중치를 산정하는 엔트로피 (Entropy) 방법을 적용하였으며, 가뭄대응능력 항목은 농업수리시설물과 농경지 평균 가뭄빈도 분석을 통해 점수화를 수행하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 지역별로 선제적인 가뭄대응 우선순위를 결정할 수 있고, 용수공급의 효율화 등 논 중심의 농업가뭄 대응을 위한 기초자료로써 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Stand Yield Table and Commercial Timber Volume of Eucalyptus Pellita and Acacia Mangium Plantations in Indonesia (인도네시아 유칼립투스 및 아카시아 조림지의 임분수확표 및 이용가능 목재생산량 추정)

  • Son, Yeong-Mo;Kim, Hoon;Lee, Ho-Young;Kim, Cheol-Min;Kim, Cheol-Sang;Kim, Jae-Weon;Joo, Rin-Won;Lee, Kyeong-Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.99 no.1
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to develop a stand growth model and a stand yield table for Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium plantations in Kalimantan, Indonesia. To develop a stand growth model, Weibull robability density function, a diameter class model, was applied in this study. In the development of stand growth model by site index and stand age, a hierarchy is generally required - estimation, recovery and prediction of the diameter class model. A number of grow equations were also involved in each process to estimate diameter, height, basal area, minimum or maximum diameter. To examine whether the grow equations are adequate for Eucalyptus pellita or Acacia mangium plantations, a fitness index was analyzed for each equation. The results showed that fitness indices were ranged from 65 to 89% for Eucalyptus pellita plantations and from 72 to 95% for Acacia mangium plantations. As being highly adequate for the plantations, a stand yield table was developed based on the resulted growth model, and applied to estimate the stand growth with midium site index for 10-year period. The highest annual stand growth of Eucalyptus pellita plantations was estimated to be 21.25 $m^3$/ha, while that of Acacia mangium plantations was 27.5 $m^3$/ha. In terms of annual stand growth, Acacia mangium plantations appeared to be more beneficial than Eucalyptus pellita plantations. Also, to estimate commercial timber volume available from the plantations, an assumption that a log would be cut by 2.7 m in length and the rest of the log would be cut by 1.5m was involved. The commercial timber volume available from Eucalyptus pellita plantations was 68.0 $m^3$/ha, 33% from the total stand volume, 203.2 $m^3$/ha. Also 96.7 $m^3$/ha of commercial timbers were available from Acacia mangium plantations, which was 42% from the 232.9 $m^3$/ha in total. Presenting a good information about the stand growth in Eucalyptus pellita and Acacia mangium plantations, this study might be useful for whom proceeds or considers an abroad plantation for merchantable timber production or carbon credit in tropical regions.

Residual Characteristics of Etofenprox and Methoxyfenozide in Chinese Cabbage (Etofenprox와 Methoxyfenozide의 배추 중 잔류특성)

  • Lee, Eun-Young;Noh, Hyun-Ho;Park, Young-Soon;Kang, Kyung-Won;Kim, Joo-Kwang;Jin, Yong-Duk;Yun, Sang-Soon;Jin, Chung-Woo;Han, Sang-Kuk;Kyung, Kee-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2009
  • Two insecticides, commonly used for Chinese cabbage, etofenprox and methoxyfenozide, were subjected to a field residue trial to evaluate safeties of the residues at harvest. The pesticides were sprayed onto the crop at recommended and double doses 10 days before the prearranged harvest and then sampling was done at 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, and 12 days after spraying. The amounts of pesticides residues in the crop were analyzed by chromatographic methods. Limits of detection (LODs) of both etofenprox and methoxyfenozide were $0.01mg\;kg^{-1}$ and mean recoveries were $96.76{\pm}2.67$ (CV=2.76%) and $95.84{\pm}2.57%$(CV=2.69%) in case of etofenprox and $103.26{\pm}3.21$ (CV=3.11%) and $94.50{\pm}1.35%$(CV=1.43%) in case of methoxyfenozide, respectively. Biological half-lives of etofenprox and methoxyfenozide were 3.2 and 3.5 days at the recommended dose and 2.7 and 3.5 days at the double dose, respectively. Initial residue levels of the pesticides at the recommended and double doses exceeded their MRLs, but final residue levels of the pesticides in the crop samples at harvest were less than their MRLs. The ratios of the EDI to ADI by intake the crop harvested 10 days after spraying were less than 4% of their ADIs, representing that residue levels of two pesticides at harvest were evaluated as safe.

Adjustment System for Outlier and Missing Value using Data Storage (데이터 저장소를 이용한 이상치 및 결측치 보정 시스템)

  • Gwangho Kim;Neunghoe Kim
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2023
  • With the advent of the 4th Industrial Revolution, diverse and a large amount of data has been accumulated now. The agricultural community has also collected environmental data that affects the growth of crops in smart farms or open fields with sensors. Environmental data has different features depending on where and when they are measured. Studies have been conducted using collected agricultural data to predict growth and yield with statistics and artificial intelligence. The results of these studies vary greatly depending on the data on which they are based. So, studies to enhance data quality have also been continuously conducted for performance improvement. A lot of data is required for high performance, but if there are outlier or missing values in the data, it can greatly affect the results even if the amount is sufficient. So, adjustment of outlier and missing values is essential in the data preprocessing. Therefore, this paper integrates data collected from actual farms and proposes a adjustment system for outlier and missing values based on it.

Prediction of Greenhouse Strawberry Production Using Machine Learning Algorithm (머신러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 온실 딸기 생산량 예측)

  • Kim, Na-eun;Han, Hee-sun;Arulmozhi, Elanchezhian;Moon, Byeong-eun;Choi, Yung-Woo;Kim, Hyeon-tae
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • Strawberry is a stand-out cultivating fruit in Korea. The optimum production of strawberry is highly dependent on growing environment. Smart farm technology, and automatic monitoring and control system maintain a favorable environment for strawberry growth in greenhouses, as well as play an important role to improve production. Moreover, physiological parameters of strawberry plant and it is surrounding environment may allow to give an idea on production of strawberry. Therefore, this study intends to build a machine learning model to predict strawberry's yield, cultivated in greenhouse. The environmental parameter like as temperature, humidity and CO2 and physiological parameters such as length of leaves, number of flowers and fruits and chlorophyll content of 'Seolhyang' (widely growing strawberry cultivar in Korea) were collected from three strawberry greenhouses located in Sacheon of Gyeongsangnam-do during the period of 2019-2020. A predictive model, Lasso regression was designed and validated through 5-fold cross-validation. The current study found that performance of the Lasso regression model is good to predict the number of flowers and fruits, when the MAPE value are 0.511 and 0.488, respectively during the model validation. Overall, the present study demonstrates that using AI based regression model may be convenient for farms and agricultural companies to predict yield of crops with fewer input attributes.

Growth and Fruit Quality of 'Lapins' Sweet Cherry (Prunus avium) in Forest (체리나무(Prunus avium) '라핀'의 생육 및 과실 품질)

  • Sung-Il Oh;MinHo Na;Chul-Woo Kim;Man-Jo Kim;Uk Lee
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2020.08a
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    • pp.62-62
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    • 2020
  • 체리나무는 앵두나무아과(Drupaceae) 벚나무속(Prunus) 앵두나무아속에 속하며 유럽 중남부와 소아시아가 원산지이다. 특히 온대지역에 잘 적응하는 체리나무는 재배기간 중 비가 적은 건조한 기후에 적합하다. 최근 국내에서 체리 소비가 급격히 증가함에 따라 체리 수입량[6,454톤('11)→15,855톤('19)]이 꾸준히 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 또한 국내에서 체리나무 재배에 대한 관심이 높아지면서 농경지 및 산지에 식재되어 생산량[289톤('09)→656톤('14)] 및 재배면적[60ha('08)→144ha('14)]도 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 그러나 체리나무의 산지재배관련 연구는 전무한 실정으로 고품질 체리의 안정적 생산이 가능한 재배기술 개발이 시급히 요구되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 산지재배 체리나무의 생육, 결실 및 과실품질에 대한 기초자료를 확보하기 위하여 실시하였다. 공시품종은 '라핀(Lapins)'으로 대목은 '기셀라 6(Gisela 6)'을 사용한 3년과 4년생 체리나무를 조사하였다. 체리나무의 생육특성 조사 결과, 수고 및 근원경은 3년생 체리나무 234.0±23.0 cm, 5.1±0.7 cm로 나타났고 4년생 체리나무는 346.0±27.0 cm, 7.3±0.9 cm으로 조사되었다. 본당 착과수는 3년생 체리나무의 경우 과실이 착과되지 않았고 4년생 체리나무는 563.6±42.9개로 조사되었다. 4년생 체리나무의 과실특성을 조사한 결과, 입중 8.1±0.9 g, 당도 16.3 °Brix, 경도 9.8 N, 산도 1.3%로 조사되었으며, 본당 수확량은 4.6±0.3 kg으로 예측할 수 있었다.

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Estimation for N Fertilizer Application Rate and Rice (Oriza sativa L.) Biomass by Ground-based Remote Sensors (지상원격탐사 센서를 활용한 벼의 질소시비수준 및 생체량 추정)

  • Shim, Jae-Sig;Lee, Joeng-Hwan;Shin, Su-Jung;Hong, Soon-Dal
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.749-759
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    • 2012
  • A field experiment was conducted to selection of ground-based remote sensor and reflectance indices to estimate rice production, estimation of suitable season for ground-based remote sensor and N top dressing fertilizer application rate in 2010. Fertilizer application was determined by "Fertilizer management standard for crops" (National Academy of Agricultural Science, 2006). Four levels of N-fertilizer were applied as 0%, 70%, 100% and 130% by base N-fertilizer application and were fertilized as 70% of basal dressing and 30% as top dressing. Rice (Oryza sativa L.) of Chucheong and Joonam (Korean cultivar) were planted on May 22, 2010 in sandy loam soil and harvested on October 6, 2010. Reflectance indices were measured 7 times from July 5 to August 23 by Crop circle-amber and red version and GreenSeeker-green and red version. Remote sensing angle from the sensor head to the canopy of rice was adjusted to $45^{\circ}$, $70^{\circ}$ and $90^{\circ}$ degree because of difference in the density of plant and the sensing angle. The reflectance indices obtained ground-based remote sensor were correlated with the biomass of rice at the early growth stage and at the harvest with $70^{\circ}$ and $90^{\circ}$ degree of sensor angle. The reflectance indices at the 52th Day After Transplanting (DAT) and the 59th DAT, critical season, were positively correlated with dry weight and nitrogen uptake. Specially NDVI at the 59th was significantly correlated with the mentioned parameters. Based on the result of this study, rNDVI by GreenSeeker on $70^{\circ}$ degree of angle at the 59th DAT in Chucheong and rNDVI by Crop Circle on $70^{\circ}$ degree of angle and gNDVI by GreenSeeker on $70^{\circ}$ degree of angle at the 59th DAT in Joonam can be useful for estimation of dry weight and nitrogen uptake. Moreover, sufficiency index estimated by reflectance index at the 59th DAT can be useful for the estimation of N-fertilizer level application and can be used as a model for N-top dressing fertilizer management.

A Study to Develop Monthly C Factor Database for Monthly Soil Loss Estimation (월단위 토양유실량 산정을 위한 식생피복인자 산정 방안 연구)

  • Sung, Yunsoo;Kum, Donghyuk;Lim, kyoung Jae;Kim, Jonggun;Park, Youn Shik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.279-279
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    • 2017
  • 토양유실로 인해 발생된 토사는 강우 유출수와 함께 하류로 흘러들어 하천 및 호소의 탁수문제를 야기시킨다. 토양유실에 관한 현황을 파악하기 위해서는 유역 내 토지이용현황과 피복되어 있는 작물 등의 현황조사와 더불어 유역 내 발생되는 토양유실량에 대한 장기모니터링을 수행할 필요가 있다. 하지만 유역 내 발생되는 토양유실량에 대한 장기모니터링을 수행하기에는 많은 시간과 인력이 필요하므로 토양유실량 산정 및 유사거동특성을 계산하는 모형을 활용한 연구가 국내외 많은 연구자들에 의해 수행되고 있다. 토양유실량을 산정하는 모형 중 가장 많이 사용되고 있는 범용토양유실량산정공식(Universal Soil Loss Equation, USLE)은 5개의 인자를 사용하여 연평균 토양유실량을 산정한다. 국내의 경우 환경부에서 제정한 '표토의 침식 현황 조사에 관한 고시'에 표토침식현황을 조사하는 방법으로 USLE 공식을 사용한다. USLE 모형을 구성하는 인자 중 식생피복인자는 작물의 생육과정에 따른 변화를 고려하지 않고 작물에 대한 획일적인 값을 제시하고 있어 밭에서 발생되는 정확한 토양유실현황을 예측하는데 한계가 있다, 따라서 본 연구에서는 국내에서 사용하는 USLE 모형의 구성인자인 식생피복인자의 한계점을 인식하고 이를 유역별 월단위 인자값으로 산정하는 방법을 제시하기 위해 국내의 4대상 유역 중 대청호 유역, 소양호 유역, 주암호 유역, 임하호 유역을 선정하여 각 유역의 기후 및 지역특성을 고려한 식생피복인자를 제안하였다. 월단위 식생피복인자를 제안하기 위해 SWAT모형을 사용하여 일단위 식생피복인자를 출력하도록 모형을 구성하였으며, 구축된 인자의 지역적 한계를 보완하기 위해 4대강 유역에 대한 작물 재배일정을 조사하여 모형에 반영하여 모의하였다. 모의 결과 산정된 월단위 식생피복 인자는 모든 작물에 대해 작물이 파종되는 시점에서 수확되기까지 점차 감소하는 경향을 보였으며, 작물에 따라서 그리고 동일한 작물일지라도 유역에 따라 다소 차이가 있는 것으로 확인되었다. 따라서 본 연구를 통해 제안된 월단위 식생피복인자는 토양유실에 직접적인 영향을 주는 지표피복변화를 고려한 식생피복인자로써 정확한 토양유실량을 산정하는데 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

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