• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수질모델링

Search Result 292, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Uncertainty of the operational models in the Nakdong River mouth (낙동강 하구 환경변화 예측모형의 불확실성)

  • Cho, Hong Yeon;Lee, Gi Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.4-4
    • /
    • 2022
  • 낙동강 하구 환경/생태 복원을 위하여 "해수유입"으로 하구환경을 조성하는 사업이 추진되고 있으며, 해수 유입 규모와 빈도에 따른 생태환경변화를 예측하는 연구수요가 증가하고 있는 상황이다. 보다 구체적으로는 단기간의 해수유입에 의한 흐름 및 염분 확산범위 예측과 더불어 보다 장기간의 지형변화, 수질환경 변화, 생태환경 변화 등에 대한 예측이 필요한 상황이다. 그리고 그 예측의 대부분을 수치모델에 크게 의존하고 있는 상황이다. 그러나, 수치모형을 이용한 단기 예측은 가까운 미래에 대한 입력조건을 사용하여야 하기 때문에 입력조건에 대한 불확실성이 포함되고, 환경생태모형의 불확실성에 따른 예측 한계 등으로 인하여 오차가 누적되기 때문에 직접적인 활용에 크게 제한이 따를 수 있다. 또한 운영과정에서 어떤 분산, 편향 오차 등이 지속적으로 발생하는 경우, 모델 예측 결과에 대한 신뢰수준이 크게 감소하기 때문에 모델의 적절한 운영기법이 요구된다. 모델은 관심을 가지는 자연현상에 대한 근사(approximation)이고, 예상하지 못한 오차가 발생할 수 있기 때문에 관측 자료를 이용한 자료동화(data assimilation) 과정이 운영모델에서는 필수적인 부분이다. 이론적인 기반이 탄탄한 유체역학 기반 기상예측의 경우에도, 가용한 모든 지점의 관측 자료를 이용한 자료 동화과정을 통하여 모델 예측 결과를 개선하여 나가는 과정을 포함하여 운영하고 있다. 이 과정이 포함하는 중요한 개념은 수치모델이 가지고 있는 (예측 수준의) 한계를 인정하고, 수치모델에 전적으로 의존하는 것이 아니라 관측 자료를 이용하여 그 한계를 저감하여 나가는 과정이다. 모니터링은 모델의 한계를 알려주는 지표이다. 모델링과 모니터링의 불가피한 상호의존 관계를 의미하는 이 개념은 단기간의 흐름, 염분 확산 예측으로 한정되지 않고, 장기적인 변화가 예상되는 생태환경변화 모델에도 적용이 된다. 즉각적인 변화보다는 장기적인 관점에서 파악하여야 하는 생태학적인 변화는 보다 다양한 인자가 관여하기 때문에 어떤 측면에서는 모델보다는 적절한 빈도와 항목에 대한 관측계획 수립(monitoring design)이 더 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 이론적인 질량보존(mass conservation) 방정식을 기반으로 하는 모델은 다양한 현실적인 인자의 영향을 받기 때문에 모델의 한계를 인정하고, 모니터링 자료를 적극적으로 활용하여 불확실성을 저감하는 접근방식이 요구된다.

  • PDF

Geoacoustic characteristics of Quaternary stratigraphic sequences in the mid-eastern Yellow Sea (황해 중동부 제4기 퇴적층의 지음향 특성)

  • Jin, Jae-Hwa;Jang, Seong-Hyeong;Kim, Seong-Pil;Kim, Hyeon-Tae;Lee, Chi-Won;Chang, Jeong-Hae;Choi, Jin-Hyeok;Ryang, Woo-Heon
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-92
    • /
    • 2001
  • According to analyses of high-resolution seismic profiles (air gun, sparker, and SBP) and a deep-drill core(YSDP 105) in the mid-eastern Yellow Sea, stratigraphic and geoacoustic models have been established and seismo-acoustic modeling has been fulfilled using ray tracing of finite element method. Stratigraphic model reflects seismo-, litho-, and chrono-stratigraphic sequences formed under a significant influence of Quaternary glacio-eustatic sea-level fluctuations. Each sequence consists of terrestrial to very-shallow-marine coarse-grained lowstand systems tract and tidal fine-grained transgressive to highstand systems tract. Based on mean grain-size data (121 samples) of the drill core, bulk density and P-wave velocity of depositional units have been inferred and extrapolated down to a depth of the recovery using the Hamilton's regression equations. As goo-acoustic parameters, the 121 pairs of bulk density and P-wave velocity have been averaged on each unit of the stratigraphic model. As a result of computer ray-tracing simulation of the subsurface strata, we have found that there are complex ray paths and many acoustic-shadow zones owing to the presence of irregular layer boundaries and low-velocity layers.

  • PDF

Estimation of irrigation return flow from paddy fields on agricultural watersheds (농업유역의 논 관개 회귀수량 추정)

  • Kim, Ha-Young;Nam, Won-Ho;Mun, Young-Sik;An, Hyun-Uk;Kim, Jonggun;Shin, Yongchul;Do, Jong-Won;Lee, Kwang-Ya
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2022
  • Irrigation water supplied to the paddy field is consumed in the amount of evapotranspiration, underground infiltration, and natural and artificial drainage from the paddy field. Irrigation return flow is defined as the excess of irrigation water that is not consumed by evapotranspiration and crop, and which returns to an aquifer by infiltration or drainage. The research on estimating the return flow play an important part in water circulation management of agricultural watershed. However, the return flow rate calculations are needs because the result of calculating return flow is different depending on irrigation channel water loss, analysis methods, and local characteristics. In this study, the irrigation return flow rate of agricultural watershed was estimated using the monitoring and SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) modeling from 2017 to 2020 for the Heungeop reservoir located in Wonju, Gangwon-do. SWMM modeling was performed by weather data and observation data, water of supply and drainage were estimated as the result of SWMM model analysis. The applicability of the SWMM model was verified using RMSE and R-square values. The result of analysis from 2017 to 2020, the average annual quick return flow rate was 53.1%. Based on these results, the analysis of water circulation characteristics can perform, it can be provided as basic data for integrated water management.

Parameter estimations to improve urban planning area runoff prediction accuracy using Stormwater Management Model (SWMM) (SWMM을 이용한 도시계획지역 유출량 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 매개변수 산정)

  • Koo, Young Min;Seo, Dongil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.50 no.5
    • /
    • pp.303-313
    • /
    • 2017
  • In environmental impact assessments for large urban development projects, the Korean government requires analysis of stormwater runoff before, during and after the projects. Though hydrological models are widely used to analyze and prepare for surface runoff during storm events, accuracy of the predicted results have been in question due to limited amount of field data for model calibrations. Intensive field measurements have been made for storm events between July 2015 and July 2016 at a sub-basin of the Gwanpyung-cheon, Daejeon, Republic of Korea using an automatic monitoring system and also additional manual measurements. Continuous precipitation and surface runoff data used for utilization of SWMM model to predict surface runoff during storm events with improved accuracy. The optimal values for Manning's roughness coefficient and values for depression storage were estimated for pervious and impervious surfaces using three representative infiltration methods; the Curve Number Methods, the Horton's Method and the Green-Ampt Methods. The results of the research is expected to be used more efficiently for urban development projects in Korea.

The evaluation of Soil Erosion Risk of Urban Area based on Geospatial Information (공간정보를 활용한 도심지 토사유실 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
    • /
    • v.45 no.2
    • /
    • pp.57-70
    • /
    • 2015
  • Recently, soil erosion have been thickening from heavy rainfall according to climate change. These soil erosion is main reason to cause landslide, the water quality, agricultural counterproductivity and so on. Therefore, it is important to find out the main source area to cause soil erosion using geospatial data including DEM, soil map and land cover those are very sensitive to soil erosion modeling. This study evaluated soil erosion using RUSLE model. Hyoja 4-Dong and Pyonghwa 2-Dong among Wansan-Gu showed high as 10,869 ton/yr and 10,477 ton/yr respectively and Ua 2-Dong of Deokjin-Gu showed high as 17,603 ton/yr in soil erosion. And Hyoja 1-Dong and Pyonghwa 1-Dong among Wansan-Gu showed high as $1,485.7ton/km^2$ and $1,297.0ton/km^2$ respectively and Inhu 3-Dong of Deokjin-Gu showed high as $2,557.7ton/km^2$ in unit soil erosion that was applied to the evaluation of soil erosion potential. It is anticipated that achievement of this study can apply to forecast and prepare the risk of soil erosion and debris flow in urban area.

A Method of Estimating the Volume of Exploitable Groundwater Considering Minimum Desirable Streamflow (최소하천유출량을 고려한 지하수 개발가능량 산정방안)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Lee, Jeongwoo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.375-380
    • /
    • 2013
  • The concept of safe yield places an emphasis on balancing groundwater withdrawal with groundwater recharge but ignores naturally occurring groundwater discharge. Because streams and their alluvial aquifers are closely linked in terms of water supply and water quality, to be properly understood and managed they must be considered together. Therefore, some districts in Kansas have reevaluated their safe-yield policies to account for natural groundwater discharge and stream-aquifer interactions by amending their safe-yield regulations to include a portion of baseflow as the minimum desirable streamflow (MDS). This study proposes a modified safe-yield policy in which the drought flow is chosen as the MDS. Baseflow separation was conducted from streamflow hydrograph and the results are presented as a flow-duration curve. The exploitable groundwater can be determined by subtracting MDS from the cumulative baseflow. This method was tested in the Musimcheon watershed, which was validated for streamflow using the SWAT-K model. The annually averaged exploitable groundwater in the whole watershed was estimated to be 86 mm. The exploitable groundwater amounts were also estimated for each subwatershed in the Musimcheon watershed.

Prediction on the amount of river water use using support vector machine with time series decomposition (TDSVM을 이용한 하천수 취수량 예측)

  • Choi, Seo Hye;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Park, Moonhyung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.52 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1075-1086
    • /
    • 2019
  • Recently, as the incidence of climate warming and abnormal climate increases, the forecasting of hydrological factors such as precipitation and river flow is getting more complicated, and the risk of water shortage is also increasing. Therefore, this study aims to develop a model for predicting the amount of water intake in mid-term. To this end, the correlation between water intake and meteorological factors, including temperature and precipitation, was used to select input factors. In addition, the amount of water intake increased with time series and seasonal characteristics were clearly shown. Thus, the preprocessing process was performed using the time series decomposition method, and the support vector machine (SVM) was applied to the residual to develop the river intake prediction model. This model has an error of 4.1% on average, which is higher accuracy than the SVM model without preprocessing. In particular, this model has an advantage in mid-term prediction for one to two months. It is expected that the water intake forecasting model developed in this study is useful to be applied for water allocation computation in the permission of river water use, water quality management, and drought measurement for sustainable and efficient management of water resources.

Consideration on the Operation of water level management and Environmental Change Associated with Inner Dike Constructions in Saemangeum Reservoir (새만금호 방수제 공사에 따른 관리수위 운영과 환경변화에 관한 고찰)

  • Choi, Jung-Hoon;Oh, Chan-Sung;Cho, Young-Kweon;Ahn, Chi-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.290-298
    • /
    • 2013
  • A Saemangeum Development Project, which is a national project in South Korea, has started with the objective of developing the reclaimed area mainly agricultural land use since the mid'80s. To develop a model of the global eco-reclamation, constructions of the eco-friendly counter facilities such as sluice gates and inner dikes, as well as environmental preservation measures for an estuary reservoir, have been carried out. However, reasonable measures of the water quality management for the Saemangeum area are required. Thus, the purpose of this study is to rigorously analyze and quantitatively evaluate the environmental problems due to the water level management associated with inner dike constructions. To achieve these objectives, the affecting factors on determination of water level management are described and a series of calibrated transient-state numerical simulations was performed to demonstrate the salinity distribution difference in the estuary before and after the construction of inner dikes. The overall salinity reduced about 2~5 psu, and the seawater intrusion was weakened by a well-regulated waterway after construction of the inner dikes compared to before construction of them.

Transportation Modeling of Conservative Pollutant in a River with Weirs - The Nakdong River Case (수중보를 고려한 하천에서 보존성 오염물질의 이송특성 분석 - 낙동강을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jungwoo;Bae, Sunim;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Seo, Dongil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.36 no.12
    • /
    • pp.821-827
    • /
    • 2014
  • The 4major river project has caused changes in flow and water quality patterns in major rivers in Korea including the Nakdong River where several toxicant release accidents have had occurred. Three dimensional hydrodynamic model, the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC), was applied to evaluate the effect of geomorphological change of the river on the advection and dispersion patterns of a conservative toxic pollutant. A hypothetical scenario was developed using historical data by assuming a toxic release from an upstream location. If there is a toxic release at the Gumi Industrial Complex, the toxic material would be detected after 2.22 and 9.83 days at Chilgok and Gangjung weir, respectively, in the new river system. It was estimated that they took at least 12 times longer than those with the river conditions before the project. Effect of relocation of intake towers for Daegu Metro City to upstream of Gumi City was also evaluated using the developed modeling system. It was observed that hydraulic residence time would be increased due to decreased flow rate and thus due to lowered water level. However, peak concentration differences were found to be about 2% lower in both places due to increased dispersion effect after the relocation.

Creating Electrochemical Sensors Utilizing Ion Transfer Reactions Across Micro-liquid/liquid Interfaces (마이크로-액체/액체 계면에서의 이온 이동 반응을 이용한 전기화학 센서 개발)

  • Kim, Hye Rim;Baek, Seung Hee;Jin, Hye
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.443-455
    • /
    • 2013
  • Electrochemical studies on charge transfer reactions across the interface between two immiscible electrolyte solutions (ITIES) have greatly attracted researcher's attentions due to their wide applicability in research fields such as ion sensing and biosensing, modeling of biomembranes, pharmacokinetics, phase-transfer catalysis, fuel generation and solar energy conversion. In particular, there have been extensive efforts made on developing sensing platforms for ionic species and biomolecules via gelifying one of the liquid phases to improve mechanical stability in addition to creating microscale interfaces to reduce ohmic loss. In this review, we will mainly discuss on the basic principles, applications and future aspects of various sensing platforms utilizing ion transfer reactions across the ITIES. The ITIES is classified into four types : (i) a conventional liquid/liquid interface, (ii) a micropipette supported liquid/liquid interface, (iii) a single microhole or an array of microholes supported liquid/ liquid interface on a thin polymer film, and (iv) a microhole array liquid/liquid interface on a silicon membrane. Research efforts on developing ion selective sensors for water pollutants as well as biomolecule sensors will be highlighted based on the use of direct and assisted ion transfer reactions across these different ITIES configurations.