• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요확산

Search Result 532, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

A Study on the Delay Effect of Smoke Diffusion by the Installation Intervals and the Blockage Ratio of the Fire Smoke Diffusion Delay Device in a Great Depth Underground Double-Deck Tunnel (대심도 복층터널 화재연기 확산지연장치 설치간격 및 차폐율에 따른 화재연기 지연효과 연구)

  • Yang, Yongwon;Han, Jaehee;Lee, Yuntaek;Moon, Jungjoo;Shin, Taegyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
    • /
    • v.55 no.6
    • /
    • pp.596-603
    • /
    • 2018
  • The traffic congestion is frequently occurring due to increasing demand for vehicles and development of subcenter in roads of domestic-downtown. The design of a Great depth underground double-deck tunnel planned for construction as a solution however it's mainly for a compact-car. Its low height and small section cause causalities when fire occurs. From this study, the delay system for fire smoke diffusion is developed to minimize the occurrence of casualties when fire occurs in the Great depth underground double-deck tunnel and the CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics) is used to find the optimal installation interval and the blockage ratio to maximize the system effects. The study analyzed the shorter the installation interval of the system, the higher the smoke delay effect but the efficiency-change tends to be slight above a certain distance and the larger the blockage ratio, the higher the effect but the efficiency-difference is slight according to installation interval.

A Financial Theory of the Demand for Insurance With Simultaneous Investment Opportunities (투자(投資)와 보험수요(保險需要)의 상관관계(相關關係)에 관한 재무경제학적(財務經濟學的) 연구(硏究))

  • Witt, Robert C.;Hong, Soon-Koo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.223-262
    • /
    • 1992
  • This paper develops a theory of the demand for insurance. The present model incorporates insurance demand time value of insurance premium, and demand for listless and risky assets simultaneously within the expected utility framework. For a special case of CARA, an insurance decision can be made separately from other portfolio decisions. However, in general, the interactions of both decisions cannot be ignored even when insurable and speculative risks are stochastically independent. In particular, the role of risky investment in hedging insurable risk is demonstrated and it is shown that this role cannot be duplicated by an insurance contract. When the investment decision is made simultaneously with the insurance decision, some of the classic theory on insurance should be modified. As an example, the authors characterize the sufficient conditions, under which the Bernoulli criteria (without and with premium loadings) hold or are violated in terms of the net gain of risky investment, the net cost of insurance, and the stochastic relationship between insurable and speculative risks. The authors interpret the results using the Rothschild and Stiglitz's (1970) notion of 'increase in riskiness'.

  • PDF

A Study on Forecasting of the Manpower Demand for the Eco-friendly Smart Shipbuilding (친환경 스마트 선박 인력 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sang-Hoon;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-13
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study forecasted the manpower demand of eco-friendly smart shipbuilding, whose importance and weight are increasing according to the environmental regulations of the IMO and the spread of the 4th industrial revolution technology. It predicted the shipbuilding industry manpower by applying various models of trend analysis and time series analysis based on data from 2000 to 2020 of Statistics Korea. It was found that the prediction applying geometric mean had the smallest gap among the trend and time series analysis methods in comparing between forecast results and actual data for the past 5 years. Therefore, the demand for manpower in the shipbuilding industry was predicted by using the geometric mean method. In addition, the manpower demand of smart eco-friendly ships wast forecasted by using the 2018 and 2020 manpower survey results of the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy and reflecting the trend of manpower increase in the shipbuilding industry. The result of forecasting showed that 62,001 person in 2025 and 85,035 people in 2030. This study is expected to contribute to the adjustment of manpower supply and demand and the training professional manpower in the future by increasing the accuracy of forecasting for high value-added eco-friendly smart ships.

다세대 확산모형을 활용한 기업용 전용선 서비스 시장 수요예측

  • 전효리
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2001.10a
    • /
    • pp.338-341
    • /
    • 2001
  • 본 연구는 현재 정부의 규제완화 및 다양한 대체서비스의 등장으로 인해 점차 시장내 경쟁이 심화되어 가고 있는 기업용 전용선 서비스 시장에 있어 향후 경쟁상황이 어떻게 진행될지에 대한 연구를 통하여 이에 속한 기업들의 향후 시장전략을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 향후 경쟁상황을 예측하는데 있어 본 연구에서는 사용하는 방법론으로 첫째, 기업용 전용선 서비스 시장의 전체 수요예측을 우선적으로 실시한 후 둘째, 전체 시장의 수요를 바탕으로 이에 속하는 개별 서비스간의 경쟁관계와 대체관계에 의한 개별 서비스 수요를 예측하게 된다. 이상과 같은 서비스간의 수요를 도출함으로써 시장내 경쟁상황과 경쟁정도를 파악하게 된다. 현재 기업용 전용선 서비스 시장의 경우 가장 큰 특징이 바로 신규 대체 서비스들의 등장이고, 이들 서비스에 의해 전체 시장규모가 얼마나 성장할 것인지, 전체 시장에서 개별 서비스들의 기여도는 어느 정도가 되는지가 최대 관심사이다. 이에 대한 문제를 해결하기 위해 본 연구에서는 신규 대체 서비스가 시장에 진입하였을 때 파급효과가 얼마나 되는지를 추정하여 수요를 예측하였다. 이에 대한 추정결과 연구대상으로 하고 있는 전용회선서비스, 프레임릴레이서비스, 가상사설망서비스에서 전용회선서비스에 대한 타 유사서비스들의 영향력은 그리 크지 않는 것으로 나타났으며, 이에 반해 가상사설망서비스는 프레임릴레이서비스를 대체하고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 연구 결과를 통해 사업자들은 향후 시장경쟁 상황을 예측할 수 있기 때문에 이에 대해 적절한 사업전략을 수립하는데 큰 도움을 얻게 되리라 기대한다.적 분할납품 전략 적용 수요지로 선택하고 사이버 거래를 통해 생성된 물류가 부분적 분할납품 전략 적용 수요지에 분배되게 함으로써 각 분배 센타의 재고 완충역할을 수행하게 한다. 이에 따라 안전 재고 및 역 배송을 최소화 할 수 있을 뿐 아니라 미 출고로 인한 손실을 최소화하며 고객의 서비스를 일정하게 유지시킬 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.증진, 페기물 발생 억제 분야에 상당한 성공을 거두었으며, 지금도 지속적으로 유지 관리 및 미비한 부분(CAER, 등)의 향상에 노력하고 있다. Dow Korea의 수입 판매 부분에 주로 관련된 Product Stewardship 및 Distribution Code는 여러 사업부 및 여러 지역(미국, 유럽, 아시아 등)에 위치한 담당자가 관련된 까닭에 가장 복잡한 부분이어서 많은 인력과 시간을 소비하면서 노력하고 있으나 아직까지 소정의 목표에 도달하지 못했으며, 2000년 말에 모든 실행지침이 실행되도록 목표, 실행 계획 및 조직을 수정하여 노력하고 있다.lumn density at distant position from MD5 is larger than that in the (:entral region. We have deduced that this hot-core has a mass of 10sR1 which i:s about an order of magnitude larger those obtained by previous studies.previous studies.업순서들의 상관관계를 고려하여 보다 개선된 해를 구하기 위한 연구가 요구된다. 또한, 준비작업비용

  • PDF

A Study on a Long-term Demand Forecasting and Characterization of Diffusion Process for Medical Equipments based on Diffusion Model (확산 모형에 의한 고가 의료기기의 수요 확산의 특성분석 및 중장기 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Jung-Sik;Kim, Tae-Gu;Lim, Dar-Oh
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.85-110
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this study, we explore the long-term demand forecasting of high-price medical equipments based on logistic and Bass diffusion model. We analyze the specific pattern of each equipment's diffusion curve by interpreting the parameter estimates of Bass diffusion model. Our findings are as follows. First, ultrasonic imaging system, CT are in the stage of maturity and so, the future demands of them are not too large. Second, medical image processing unit is between growth stage and maturity stage and so, the demand is expected to increase considerably for two or three years. Third, MRI is in the stage of take-off and Mammmography X-ray system is in the stage of maturity but, estimates of the potential number of adopters based on logistic model is considerably different to that based on Bass diffusion model. It means that additional data for these two equipments should be collected and analyzed to obtain the reliable estimates of their demands. Fourth, medical image processing unit have the largest q value. It means that the word-of-mouth effect is important in the diffusion of this equipment. Fifth, for MRI and Ultrasonic system, q/p values have the relatively large value. It means that collective power has an important role in adopting these two equipments.

Evaluation and Facilitation of the Korean Smart Grid Market (국내 전력부문의 스마트그리드 시장의 현주소와 활성화 방안)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Suk-Jun;Kim, Ki-Yoon;Jeong, Suk-Jae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.11 no.11
    • /
    • pp.37-52
    • /
    • 2013
  • Prior to full-scale implementation of smart grid, the Korean government is conducting a smart grid testbed in Jeju island. However, the participants of the ongoing program are skeptical about the success of the expansion of smart grid. The concern rises from various reasons; the limits of the Korean electricity market mainly led by both the government and KEPCO, high stability and reliability of the existing electricity grid, insufficient utilization of renewable energy, and public fear of raised electricity bills. Five key issues in regards to facilitating the Korean smart grid market are extracted and evaluated. The issues are conflict of interest among participants, the effect of introducing real-time pricing, lack of customer participation of demand response, and absence of business models.

A Research on Entrepreneurship Education Recognition Based on Grounded Theory (근거이론에 따른 창업교육 인식에 관한 고찰)

  • Seol, Byung Moon;Park, Sang Hyeok;Park, Jong Bok;Kim, Sang Pyo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.23-32
    • /
    • 2014
  • Recently in the field of entrepreneurship education is the government's quantitative diffusion being deployed. University and other entrepreneurship education institutions that provide education services and establish purpose and methods. It means that they supply appropriate curriculum and educational program, schedule etc. Education systems should established to meet the target progress. Definitely the definition of entrepreneurship education and training is required for the direction of the various studies point. This research discusses the thing that might be overlooked in terms of parts suppliers. Grounded theory study was performed. We want to contributes to the theoretical foundation to help understanding the entrepreneurship education. Policy implications for organizations providing entrepreneurship education are expected.

  • PDF

A Study on the Energy Usage Prediction and Energy Demand Shift Model to Increase Energy Efficiency (에너지 효율 증대를 위한 에너지 사용량 예측과 에너지 수요이전 모델 연구)

  • JaeHwan Kim;SeMo Yang;KangYoon Lee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.57-66
    • /
    • 2023
  • Currently, a new energy system is emerging that implements consumption reduction by improving energy efficiency. Accordingly, as smart grids spread, the rate system by timing is expanding. The rate system by timing is a rate system that applies different rates by season/hour to pay according to usage. In this study, external factors such as temperature/day/time/season are considered and the time series prediction model, LSTM, is used to predict energy power usage data. Based on this energy usage prediction model, energy usage charges are reduced by analyzing usage patterns for each device and transferring power energy from the maximum load time to the light load time. In order to analyze the usage pattern for each device, a clustering technique is used to learn and classify the usage pattern of the device by time. In summary, this study predicts usage and usage fees based on the user's power data usage, analyzes usage patterns by device, and provides customized demand transfer services based on analysis, resulting in cost reduction for users.

Spatial Diffusion Patterns of the Organic Farms in Korea and the Geographical Characteristics (한국 친환경농업의 공간적 확산 양상과 그 지리적 함의)

  • Hyun, Ki-Soon;Lee, Keum-Sook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.377-393
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study aims to indicate the spatial characteristics of the changes in the Korean farm land. In particular, we analyze the spatial diffusion patterns of organic farms increasing rapidly with the growth in the agricultural product markets as well as the demand for safe food and sustainable growth. For the purpose, we examine the changes in the distribution patterns of organic farms between year 2000 and 2005. We analyze the agglomeration pattern by Location Quotient (LQ) and Local indicator of spatial association (LISA). Organic farms have been spread out from the outscuirts of Seoul, the capital city, to the traditional agriculture spetilized area in the southern parts of the nation. In order to analyze the relationships between organic farm distribution and the geographical variables affecting the organic farming, we develop multivariate regression models. Our findings indicate that organic farming is related with the number of agriculture-based business and information technique adaptation as well as the level of education and farmers age.

  • PDF

Forecasting the Number of GMPCS Subscribers in Korea (범세계위성이동통신(GMPCS) 서비스 국내가입자수 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 주영진;박명철
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.24 no.8A
    • /
    • pp.1115-1125
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper forecasts the number of GMPCS(Global Mobile Communications by Satellite) subscribers in Korea. Since GMPCS adopts nor only a new tecnology cor proved in the market yet, bot also a global service principle, it's service market involves a great deal of nucertainties in terms of technological and regulatory perspectives. This paper develops a modified diffusion which considers those uncertainties by identifying three environmental group of tactors. The parameters of the model are estimated through a scenario-based approach. By assuming a pessimistic and an optimistic scenarios with three environmental group of factors, the model forecasts 4,000 and 7,000 substcribers in the first year, and then 100,000 and 600,000 subscribers in 2005 respectively. The sensitivity analysis of the model also gives an implication of the future market growth. In the early period, regulatoyu and technological issues are found to be relatively important, but, in the later period, the interconnection issues and price-competitiveness will become increasingly important.

  • PDF