• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요전망

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The Meaning of the Oil Market Supply and Demand in three Northeast Asian Countries (동북아 3국의 석유수급 의미의 재검토 : 원유, 석유제품 생산과 수출입, 그리고 정제시설을 중심으로)

  • Ahn, II-Hwan;Doh, Hyun-Jae;Lee, Seung-Hoon;Sonn, Yang-Hoon;Kim, Suduk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.381-418
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    • 2008
  • This study revisits the meaning of energy security by examining the oil market supply and demand conditions of petroleum products and refinery capacity of three Northeast Asian countries(Korea, China, Japan). In 2006, 10.6 million bid of excess demand occurred and is expected to be 15~22 million bid by the year 2030 in this regional oil market. Different oil demand is caused mainly by the different demands for various petroleum products based on each country's economic structures. If the demands are ranked according to their petroleum products, Chinese case shows gasoil > gasoline > fuel oil> LPG > naphtha > Kero/jet and Japanese case shows gasoil > gasoline> naphtha> Kero/jet > fuel oil > LPG, while Korean case shows naphtha> gas oil > fuel oil > LPG > Kero/jet > gasoline, respectively. Total CDU(Crude Distillation Unit) capacity of three northeast asian countries also have been examined in this respect. This study points out the importance of the information on oil demand and supply, on petroleum products and refinery capacities of the three Northeast Asian countries to enhance the security of the oil market in this region.

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Demand Analysis of the Home Ubiquitous Network Services Using Conjoint Method (컨조인트 분석방법을 이용한 홈 유비퀴터스 네트워크 서비스의 수요 분석)

  • 이종수;안지운;이정동;신혜영
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.101-114
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    • 2003
  • 홈 유비퀴터스 네트워크란 PC, 휴대 전화, 디지털TV, 냉장고, 에어컨, 개인 휴대 정보 단말기(PDA), 게임기 등 가정 내의 정보기기들 사이에 통합된 네트워크를 형성해 데이터를 공유할 수 있는 환경을 구성한 것이다. 홈 네트워크 서비스를 가능케 한 요인은 기술적 측면에서 가전기기의 디지털화 및 초고속망의 보급, 수요측면에서 가전기기를 통한 다양한 서비스를 이용하고자 하는 소비자의 요구, 공급측면으로 포화된 정보통신기기 시장에서 새로운 수요창출이 필요한 환경 등으로 요약될 수 있다. 이와 같이 현재 정보통신산업은 지금까지 구축된 정보통신 인프라를 바탕으로 새롭게 등장한 홈 네트워크 서비스 분야에 주목하고 있다. 홈 네트워크는 정보통신기술을 가전기기에 융합시킴으로써 새로운 서비스를 창출한다는 점에서 정보통신산업은 물론, 기존의 백색가전 산업까지 포괄하여 관련 산업의 전후방 효과가 매우 크다. 본 연구에서는 홈 네트워크 서비스에 관련한 핵심 속성을 분석하고, 핵심 속성에 대한 소비자의 선호를 분석하는 실증연구를 수행하였다. 현재 홈 네트워크 시장이 본격적으로 형성되지 않아 현시선호(revealed preference) 자료의 구득이 불가능하므로, 소비자에게 향후 제공될 수 있는 서비스 특성을 지닌 가상적인 제품 조합을 제시하고, 이에 대해 소비자가 실제 시장에서와 같은 구매행위를 가정하도록 한 후, 각 제품 조합에 대한 선호 순위를 매기게 함으로써 소비자의 진술선호(stated preference)를 측정하는 컨조인트(conjoint) 방법론을 사용하였다. 이러한 분석을 통해서 홈 네트워크 서비스의 각 속성에 대한 소비자의 선호구조를 파악하고 지불의 사액(Willingness To Pay, WTP)을 분석하도록 한다. 본 연구의 결과를 이용하여 향후 전개될 홈 네트워크 서비스 및 관련시장의 발전 방향을 전망해 보고 이에 따른 기업이나 정부차원의 대응전략을 파악하고자 한다.육구에서는 큰 변화를 나타내고 있지 않았다(p<0.05). 운동과 비운동시킨 참돔의 지질 함량의 변화는 운동시킨 참돔은 운동으로 인한 에너지 소비로 인하여 함량이 유의적으로 감소했으며(r=-0.35), 비운동사육구에서는 절식으로 인하여 지질함량이 감소하였다(r=-0.38). 파괴강도와 가장 밀접한 영향을 가지는 콜라겐은 운동과 비운동 모두 사육기간동안 큰 변화는 보이지 않았다. 초기의 파괴강도값은 1.45±0.02kg(운동사육구), 1.36±0.18kg(비운동사육구)이였으며 사육기간동안 운동사육구는 파괴강도값이 증가한 반면, 비운동수조에서는 참돔의 파괴강도는 사육기간동안 큰 유의차가 없었다. 각 성분간의 상관도를 살펴보면, 수분함량과 파괴강도는 상관성을 가졌으며, 지질함량과 파괴강도도 같은 경향은 나타내었다. 운동기간동안의 파괴강도와 콜라겐 사이에는 상관성의 거의 없었다. 이는 운동기간에 따른 파괴강도의 증가가 콜라겐의 함량의 증가보다는 지질함량의 감소와 수분함량의 증가와 같은 성분과의 상관성이 크다고 판단된다. 다음으로는, 운동횟수에 의한 영향으로써 운동시간을 1일 6시간으로 설정하여, 운동횟수를 결정하기 위하여 오전, 오후에 각 3시간씩 운동시키는 방법과 오전부터 6시간동안 운동시키는 두 방법을 이용하여 품질을 비교하였다. 각 조건에 따라 운동시킨 참돔의 수분함량을 나타낸 것으로, 2회(오전 3시간, 오후 3시간)에 나누어서 운동시키기 위한 육의 수분함량은 73.37±2.02%를 나타냈으며, 1회(6시간 운동)운동시키기 위한 육은 71.74±1.66%을 나타내었다. 각각의 운동조건에서 양식된 참돔은 사육초기에는 큰 변화가 없었으나, 사육 5일 이후에는 수분함량이 증가하여 15일에는 76.40±0.14, 75.62±0.98%의 수분함량을 2회와 1회 운동시킨 참돔의 육에서 각각 나타났다. 운동횟수에 따른 지질함량은 2회 운동시킨 참돔은 5.83±2.08, 1회 운동시킨 참돔은 6.72

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Components and Pharmaceutical Effect of Beverage Extracted from Sugar-treated Tartary buckwheat (타타리메밀 당절임 추출음료의 성분 및 약리효능)

  • Park, J.J.;Chang, K.J.;Seo, G.S.;Lee, H.S.;Lee, G.S.;Park, C.H.;Lee, M.H.
    • Journal of Practical Agriculture & Fisheries Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2008
  • Tartary buckwheat is one of specialized plants in Pyeongchang county, Korea and contains rutin much more than common buckwheat. Rutin is a kind of flavonoid (polyphenol compound) that has effects on blood vascular disease, strengthen capillary, and anti-inflammatory effect. This study was conducted to determine the possibility of development of beverage extracted from sugar-treated plants and sprouts of tartary buckwheat. By using two types of undiluted solution extracted from plant and sprouts of tartary buckwheat, we analyzed their nutrition components and did experiment on mice to find out pharmaceutical effects. In an experiment on mice, we administered various concentration of buckwheat to induced diabetic mellitus mice for 1 weeks. As a result, the buckwheat effected finely on lowering blood sugar and decreased LDL-cholesterol and total lipid level but increased HDL-cholesterol level.

Rubidium Market Trends, Recovery Technologies, and the Relevant Future Countermeasures (루비듐 시장 및 회수 동향에 따른 향후 관련 대응방안)

  • Sang-hun Lee
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2023
  • This study discussed production, demand, and future prospects of rubidium, which is an alkali group metal that is highly reactive to various media and requires carefulness in handling, but no significant environmental hazard of rubidium has been reported yet. Rubidium is used in various fields such as optoelectronic equipment, biomedical, and chemical industries. Because of difficulty in production as well as limited demand, the transaction price of rubidium is relatively high, but its detail information such as market status and potential growth is uncertain. However, if the mass production of versatile ultra-high-performance equipment such as quantum computers and the necessity of rubidium use in the equipment are confirmed, there is a possibility that the rubidium market will expand in the future. Rubidium is often found together with lithium, beryllium, and cesium, and may be present in granite containing minerals such as lepidolite and pollucite, as well as in seawater and industrial waste. Several technologies such as acid leaching, roasting, solvent extraction, and adsorption are used to recover rubidium. The maximum recovery efficiency of the rubidium from the sources and the processing above is generally high, but, in many practices, rubidium is not the main recovery target, and therefore the actual recovery effects should depend on presence of other valuable components or impurities, together with recovery costs, energy consumption, environmental issues, etc. In conclusion, although the current production and consumption of rubidium are limited, with consideration of the possible market fluctuations according to the emergence of large-scale demand sources, etc., further investigations by related institutions should be necessary.

Scenario Analysis, Technology Assessment, and Policy Review for Achieving Carbon Neutrality in the Energy Sector (에너지 부문의 탄소중립 달성을 위한 국내외 시나리오 분석 및 기술, 정책현황 고찰)

  • Han Saem Park;Jae Won An;Ha Eun Lee;Hyun Jun Park;Seung Seok Oh;Jester Lih Jie Ling;See Hoon Lee
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.496-504
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    • 2023
  • Countries worldwide are striving to find new sources of sustainable energy without carbon emission due to the increasing impact of global warming. With the advancement of the fourth industrial revolution on a global scale, there has been a substantial rise in energy demand. Simultaneously, there is a growing emphasis on utilizing energy sources with minimal or zero carbon content to ensure a stable power supply while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. In this comprehensive overview, a comparative analysis of carbon reduction policies of government was conducted. Based on international carbon neutrality scenarios and the presence of remaining thermal power generation, it can be categorized into two types: "Rapid" and "Safety". For the domestic scenario, the projected power demand and current greenhouse gas emissions in alignment with "The 10th Basic Plan for Electricity Supply and Demand" was examined. Considering all these factors, an overview of the current status of carbon neutrality technologies by focusing on the energy sector, encompassing transitions, hydrogen, transportation and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) was offered followed by summarization of key technological trends and government-driven policies. Furthermore, the central aspects of the domestic carbon reduction strategy were proposed by taking account of current mega trends in the energy sector which are highlighted in international scenario analyses.

Estimation of Fertilizer Demand (비료수요(肥料需要)에 대(對)한 전망(展望))

  • Oh, Wang-Keun;Lee, Choon-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.2-15
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    • 1982
  • In this report, a total domestic demand for major commercial fertilizer for crop production in Korea up to 1996 was estimated. The agricultural products and area for demand for both 1982 and 1986 was quoted from the estimate of the 5th Five-year Economic plan. And the demands estimated for 1991 and 1996 reflected possible changes of diet from cereal to meat and their indirect effects on the increase of cereal consumption. As the advanced countries followed, consequently, the demands for soybean, corn and other feed grains were expected to be increased as well as the land for growing those crops. 1. Total annual demands for nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium fertilizers were estimated 1,050,000M/T, 1,110,000M/T, 1,280,000M/T and 1,010,000M/T for the year 1982, 1986, 1991, and 1996 respectively. 2. It was assumed that there would be difficulties in self-sufficiency of grains at the cost of the maximum utilization of land and fertilizers in 1996. 3. It was clear that the increase of the productivity per unit area is possible by improving the conditions of arable land which could resulted a self-sufficiency of food in Korea. As a consequence, the demand for fertilizers at that time would exceed the level of estimates. 4. The recent decrease in demand for commercial fertilizers (currently estimated 850,000M/T) was due to an inadequate application of fertilizers for respective crop reqirement. This inadequacy should be checked and encouraged the consumptions of fertilizers to be increased by supporting the price of grain.

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Outlook for a New International Agreement on Climate Change Adaptation: How to Approach (기후변화 적응의 신기후체제 합의: 전망을 위한 접근방법)

  • Lee, Seungjun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.75-94
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the major issues discussed among Parties and provide a framework for predicting the agreements on those issues, prior to the final negotiation on a new legally-binding agreement on climate change adaptation in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The analyses of documents, adaptation actions, and work of the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action (ADP) under the UNFCCC informed that the adaptation issue has primarily been focused on the support of developed country Parties for the adaptation of developing country Parties following the principle of the Convention, Common but Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities (CBDR-RC). Three-year work of the ADP acknowledged the major issues on adaptation in the new climate agreement, which would be categorized as long-term and global aspects, commitments/contributions/actions, monitoring and evaluation, institutional arrangements, and loss and damage. A final agreement on each issue could be predicted by setting a zone of possible agreement in-between the two extremes of developing and developed country Parties and considering three major elements affecting the Parties' positions, national priority, adaptation action, and social expectation, which are proposed in this study. The three major elements should be considered in a balanced manner by Parties to draw a durable agreement that will enhance global adaptation actions from a long-term perspective. That is, the agreement needs to reflect adaptation actions occurring outside the Convention as well as social expectations for adaptation. It is expected that the new agreement on climate change adaptation, from a long-term and global perspective, would be an opportunity to reduce vulnerability and build resilience to climate change by incorporating global expectations.

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Expressway Greenhouse Gas Reduction Effect Analysis According to the Electric Vehicle Supply (전기차 보급전망에 따른 고속도로 온실가스 저감효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jin Kak;Han, Dong Hee;Oh, Chang Kwon;Jung, Chul Ki;Oh, Kwan Kyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2013
  • This Study analyzed the electric car effect on the Korea Expressway System in terms of year 2020 $CO_2$ emission. The analysis was based on the green car dissemination goal by the government and year 2010 emission statistics. Major contents performed in the study area were as follows. First, the greenhouse gases emitted from the highways were found to be approximately 17.3 million tons of $CO_2$ as of 2010. Analysis showed the emission would be 17.4 million tons in 2015 and 16.2 million tons in 2020. The results in the pattern reflect the effect of O/D on the KTBD and the trend of traffic increase from 2015 to 2020 followed by decrease in 2020. Second, in the case of greenhouse gas emission with the anticipated supply of electric cars, the amount of emission in 2015 will be 17.1 million tons, which is about 2.0% reduction compared to the lack of introduction of electric cars. The analysis also showed that in 2020, the amount of emission will be 14.2 million tons, which indicates the effect of reduction is 12.8% compared to non implementation of the program.

Estimation of Flood Discharge using Satellite-derived Rainfall in Abroad Watershed - A Case Study of Pasig-Marakina, Phillippines - (위성강우를 이용한 해외 유역 홍수량 추정 - 필리핀 파시그-마라키나강 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Joo Hun;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyeong Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.398-398
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    • 2018
  • OECD 발표에 의하면 물산업 관련 인프라 투자 전망은 전세계 GDP 대비 2010~2020년 약 1.01%에서 2020~2030년 약 1.03%로 확대될 전망으로 다른 통신, 전력, 철도 인프라 투자수요보다 많을 것으로 전망하고 있다(파이넨셜 뉴스, 2013.3.21.). 우리나라는 2005년 베트남 홍강종합개발사업을 시작으로 2015년 기준으로 세계 35개국에 진출하고 있다. 그러나 대부분의 물 산업 진출 대상 국가는 미계측 유역이 많고 지상에서 계측된 수문 자료가 부족한 실정이다. Namgung and Lee(2014)에 의하면 네팔의 수력발전소 건설에 관측된 강우량 자료가 없어 발전소 하류 10km 지점의 유하량 자료를 이용하여 자료의 정확도 검증을 대신하여 적용한 바 있다. 이와 같이 계측자료가 없거나 부족한 지역에 대하여 기상 위성을 이용하여 추정된 강수량 자료가 해당 지역의 강수 특성을 파악하는데 중요한 자료로 이용될 수 있다. 글로벌 위성 기반의 강수량 관측에 대한 역사는 1979년에 IR방법에 의해 위성으로부터 강우자료를 유도하는 개념이 도입된 이후 1987년 다중 채널의 마이크로파(MW) 복사계를 이용한 방법, 이후 두 IR과 MW를 혼합한 방법에서, 1997년 TRMM위성의 PR(Precpipitation Radar)의 레이더를 이용하는 방법, 그리고 2014년 GPM 핵심 위성(GPM Core Observatory)에 탑재된 Dual PR에 의한 방법으로 위성강수의 정확도를 매우 높여가고 있다. 본 연구는 KOICA 사업으로 진행중인 필리핀 메트로 마닐라 홍수조기경보 및 모니터링 체계 구축사업 중 파시그-마라키나강(Pasig-Marakina) 유역의 2012년 8월의 홍수사상에 대한 위성강우 및 글로벌 지형자료를 이용하여 홍수 유출량을 추정하는 것으로 목적으로 하고 있다. 유역내 6개 관측소의 일일 강우량 자료와 GPM IMERG 일강우량 자료 상관분석 결과 약 0.623, Bias는 -0.147, RMSE는 15.7정도로 분석되었다. 홍수량 분석은 2012년 8월 홍수가 발생한 시기인 2012년 8월 1일 00(UTC)부터 2012년 8월 16일 00(UTC)까지의 1시간 간격의 위성강우자료와 글로벌 지형자료를 이용하였고, 한국건설기술연구원의 MapWindow 기반 GRM 모형(mwGRM)을 이용하였다. 분석 결과 첨부홍수가 발생한 시기는 8월 7일 18:00(UTC)였고, 첨두 홍수량은 $4,073.9m^3/sec$로 분석되었다. 향후 수위-유량 관계식에 의해 정확도평가를 수행할 계획이다.

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An Analysis for the Skill Mismatching of IT Service Sector by Technology Changes (기술변화에 따른 IT 서비스업의 숙련 미스매칭 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Dal;Jeong, Soon-Ki;Ahn, Jong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates for skills mismatching of the IT service sector in the flows of fast technology changes. It was conducted through an in-depth interview method for professional groups. There were differences in demand for skilled labor by business organizations and educators as providers of skilled labor. A five-point Likert scale was used. The degree of importance of 3.7 average point and the degree of satisfaction of 3.4 average point were responded for the set items in case of matching. In addition, the degree of importance of 3.79 average point and the satisfaction of 3.12 were responded in case of non-majored education students for IT. The skills desired from business organizations included multi-dimensional competencies and soft-skill items. For the reason of skills mismatching, business organizations presented ineffective specifications or divisions of the industrial manpower structure, and educational institutions selected the mismatching of time. Professional groups forecasted that the mismatching gap would expand in the future. To solve the gap, the participated professionals selected an industry-university institute collaboration course and gave an opinion to seek a method to foster manpower in the long-term perspective.