• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수명예측 모델

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The Prediction of Fatigue Life According to the Determination of the Parameter in Residual Strength Degradation Model (잔류강도 저하모델의 파라미터결정법에 따른 피로수명예측)

  • 김도식;김정규
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.2053-2061
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    • 1994
  • The static and fatigue tensile tests have been conduted to predict the fatigue life of 8-harness satin woven and plain woven carbon/epoxy composite plates containing a circular hole. A fatigue residual strength degradation model, based on the assumption that the residual strength for unnotched specimen decreases monotonically, has been applied to predict statistically the fatigue life of materials used in this study. To determine the parameters(c, b and K) of the residual strength degradation model, the minimization technique and the maximum likelihood method are used. Agreement of the converted ultimate strength by using the minimization technique with the static ultimate strength is reasonably good. Therefore, the minimization technique is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter and the prediction of the fatigue life than the maximum likelihood method.

LED 칩 열화특성에 적합한 열화모델 기반의 수명예측 시스템 구현

  • Yu, Gi-Hun;Lee, Jae-Hun;Kim, Dal-Seok;Lee, Mu-Seok;Yun, Yang-Gi;Han, Ji-Hun;Jang, Jung-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2011
  • LED(Light Emitting Diode) is a powerful device used in applications as diverse as replacements for aviation lighting, automotive lighting as well as in traffic signals. This study is to propose a prediction system based on the degradation model of LED which is determined by combining scale and shape parameter. The degradation model is analysed goodness of fit test using calculated R-square, and is compared with previous models. A LED prediction system using degradation model is developed to automate estimations of degradation parameters and lifetimes.

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A Study on Predictin of Die Life of Warm Forging by Wear(II) -Application of Suggested Die Wear Model- (마멸에 의한 온간단조의 금형수명 예측에 관한 연구(II) -금형 마멸 모델의 적용-)

  • 강종훈;박은우;제진수;강성우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.94-99
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    • 1998
  • In bulk metal forming processes prediction of tool life is very important for saving production cost and achieving good material properties. Generally the service life of tools in metal forming process is limited to a large extent by wear, fracture and plastic deformation of tools. In case of hot and warm forging processes, tool life depends on wear over 70%. In this study finite element analyses are applied to warm forging and hot forging by adopting suggested wear model. By comparision of simulation and real profile of die, suggested model is verified

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A Study on Prediction of Die Life of Warm Forging by Wear(I) -Construction of Die Wear Model- (마멸에 의한 온간단조의 금형수명 예측에 관한 연구(I) -금형 마멸 모델의 정립-)

  • 강종훈;박인우;제진수;강성수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 1998
  • The service life of tools in metal forming process is to a large extent limited by wear, fatigue fracture and plastic deformation. In warm forging processes wear is the predominant factor for operating lives of tools. To predict tool life by wear, Archard's wear model is generally applied. Usually hardness of die is considered to be a function of temperature in Archard's wear model. But hardness of die is a function of not only temperature but also operating time of die. To consider softening of die by repeated operations, it is necessary to express hardness of dies by a function of temperatures and operating time. By experiment of reheating of dies, die softening curves were obtained. Finally modified Archard's wear model in which hardness of die was expressed as a function of main tempering curve was proposed.

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New Considerations on Variability of Creep Rupture Data and Life Prediction (크리프 파단 데이터의 변동성에 대한 새로운 고찰과 수명예측)

  • Jung, Won-Taek;Kong, Yu-Sik;Kim, Seon-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.1119-1124
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with the variability analysis of short term creep rupture test data based on the previous creep rupture tests and the possibility of the creep life prediction. From creep tests performed by constant uniaxial stresses at 600, 650 and $700^{\circ}C$ elevated temperature, in order to investigate the variability of short-term creep rupture data, the creep curves were analyzed for normalized creep strain divided by initial strain. There are some variability in the creep rupture data. And, the difference between general creep curves and normalized creep curves were obtained. The effects of the creep rupture time (RT) and steady state creep rate (SSCR) on the Weibull distribution parameters were investigated. There were good relation between normal Weibull parameters and normalized Weibull parameters. Finally, the predicted creep life were compared with the Monkman-Grant model.

A Study for Prediction of Fatigue Life in Membranes of LNG Storage Tanks (LNG 저장탱크용 멤브레인의 피로수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon I.S.;Kim J.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.9 no.2 s.27
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 2005
  • The membrane for LNG storage tank behaves linearly in macroscopic view, but behaves elasto-plastically in some local areas, and has the structure undergoing both tension and bending. That is, the membrane is not able to be evaluated with the fatigue characteristics of the material, and it is so difficult to evaluate the membrane with a real big model because of the difficulty of imposing complex loads. Therefore, a prediction formula fur the fatigue life of the membrane is proposed to use for the design of LNG storage tank.

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Application of Regularized Linear Regression Models Using Public Domain data for Cycle Life Prediction of Commercial Lithium-Ion Batteries (상업용 리튬 배터리의 수명 예측을 위한 고속대량충방전 데이터 정규화 선형회귀모델의 적용)

  • KIM, JANG-GOON;LEE, JONG-SOOK
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.592-611
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    • 2021
  • In this study a rarely available high-throughput cycling data set of 124 commercial lithium iron phosphate/graphite cells cycled under fast-charging conditions, with widely varying cycle lives ranging from 150 to 2,300 cycles including in-cycle temperature and per-cycle IR measurements. We worked out own Python codes which reproduced the various data plots and machine learning approaches for cycle life prediction using early cycles and more details not presented in the article and the supplementary information. Particularly, we applied regularized ridge, lasso and elastic net linear regression models using features extracted from capacity fade curves, discharge voltage curves, and other data such as internal resistance and cell can temperature. We found that due to the limitation in the quantity and quality of the data from costly and lengthy battery testing a careful hyperparameter tuning may be required and that model features need to be extracted based on the domain knowledge.

Work Roll Diagnosis by Roll Life Prediction Model in Hot Rolling Process (Roll 수명예측모델에 의한 열연작업롤 진단)

  • Bae, Yong-Hwan;Jang, Sam-Kyu;Lee, Seok-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 1993
  • It is important to prevent roll failure in hot rolling process for reducing maintenance coat and production loss. Roll material and rolling conditions such as the roll force and torque have been intensively investigated to overcome the roll failures. In this study, a computer roll life prediction system under working condition is developed and evaluated on IBM-PC level. The system is composed and fatigue estimation models which are stress analysis, crack propagation, wear and fatigue estimation. Roll damage can be predicted by calculating the stress anplification, crack depth propagation and fatigue level in the roll using this computer model. The developed system is applied to a work roll in actual hot rolling process for reliability evaluation. Roll failures can be diagnosed and the propriety of current working condition can be determined through roll life prediction simulation.

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Degradation-Based Remaining Useful Life Analysis for Predictive Maintenance in a Steel Galvanizing Kettle (철강 도금로의 예지보전을 위한 열화 기반 잔존수명 분석)

  • Shin, Joon Ho;Kim, Chang Ouk
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2019
  • Smart factory, a critical part of digital transformation, enables data-driven decision making using monitoring, analysis and prediction. Predictive maintenance is a key element of smart factory and the need is increasing. The purpose of this study is to analyze the degradation characteristics of a galvanizing kettle for the steel plating process and to predict the remaining useful life(RUL) for predictive maintenance. Correlation analysis, multiple regression, principal component regression were used for analyzing factors of the process. To identify the trend of degradation, a proposed rolling window was used. It was observed the degradation trend was dependent on environmental temperature as well as production factors. It is expected that the proposed method in this study will be an example to identify the trend of degradation of the facility and enable more consistent predictive maintenance.

Development and Evaluation of Accelerated Reflection Cracking Test System in Shear Mode (전단 반사균열 모사 실험방법 개발 및 적용성 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Woo;Yim, Sung-Bin;Doh, Young-Soo;Rhee, Suk-Keun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to develop a test system for evaluating resistance against reflection cracking in shear mode caused by wheel load in asphalt concrete overlaid on the deteriorated cement concrete pavement. Reflection cracking resistance of selected polymer modified asphalt(PMA) mixtures with and without reinforcement was evaluated using this test system. It was shown that the test results accounted for the effectiveness of materials and reinforcement characteristics in terms of the difference in the resistance against reflection cracking. A shear failure life of a certain mixture was estimated with a high coefficient of determination. when the test results were used in a well known prediction model. Therefore, it seemed to be possible to use this technique for predicting a relative service life of on overlay.

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