• Title/Summary/Keyword: 손실비용 산정방법

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Evaluating the Levels of Port Services by the Average Waiting Cost of Ships (선박당 평균대기비용에 의한 항만의 서비스 수준 평가)

  • Park, Byung-In;Bae, Jong-Wook;Park, Sang-June
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.183-202
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    • 2009
  • This study estimates the port waiting cost of international trade ports in Korea by an opportunity cost approach. In the next step, we present a method to assess the levels of port services by the average waiting cost of ships derived from the results of the first step. Because the port waiting cost reflects the social cost, it is difficult to use as a service indicator even though it is the decision support information for a particular port facility expansion. The percentages of waiting ships and time also are insufficient indicators to reflect only the quantitative aspects by the time. However, the average waiting cost of ships in this study can be utilized as a service indicator to reflect waiting time and the loss of economic value simultaneously. It is also very useful information for a shipper and a carrier to select a port. Based on the average waiting cost of ships in 2007, it is analyzed in order of lowest service ports sequentially such as Pyeongtaek-Dangjin, Pohang, Donghae, and Samcheonpo. It is different from the sequential order of ports by the port waiting cost such as Pohang, Incheon, Gwangyang, Pyeongtak-Dangjin, and Ulsan. The port waiting cost is to a port authority as a key indicator what the average waiting cost of ships is to a port user as a useful indicator to evaluate the levels of port services.

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Seismic Performance Management of Aged Road Facilities Using Deterministic Method vs. Probabilistic Method (확률론적 및 결정론적 방법을 이용한 노후도로시설물 내진성능관리)

  • Kim, Dong Joo;Choi, Ji Hye;Lee, Do Hyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.455-463
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    • 2020
  • Road facilities with a service life of more than 30 years are expected to triple in the next ten years. The seismic performance of road facilities should be reviewed with consideration of the "Common Application of Seismic Design Standards" issued by Korea's Ministry of Public Administration and Security in 2017. These standards should be applied to all existing road facilities, including retrofitted or seismic-designed facilities, for evaluating seismic performance. In order to manage seismic performance for a large number of facilities, decision-support technology that can provide economic and reliable results is needed. However, the indices method currently used in Korea is a deterministic method, and the seismic performance of individual facilities is evaluated based on qualitative indices so that only retrofitting among road facilities is prioritized. In turn, with the indices method, it is difficult to support decisions other than the decision to prioritize retrofitting. Therefore, it is necessary to use the seismic risk assessment method to overcome such shortcomings and provide useful information such as direct loss, indirect socio-economic loss, and benefit of the investment.

A study of Modeling and Simulation for Analyzing DDoS Attack Damage Scale and Defence Mechanism Expense (DDoS 공격 피해 규모 및 대응기법 비용분석을 위한 모델링 및 시뮬레이션 기술연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Ju-Li;Park, Eun-Ji;Jang, Eun-Young;Kim, Hyung-Jong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the threat of DDoS attacks is increasing and many companies are planned to deploy the DDoS defense solutions in their networks. The DDoS attack usually transmits heavy traffic data to networks or servers and they cannot handle the normal service requests because of running out of resources. Since it is very hard to prevent the DDoS attack beforehand, the strategic plan is very important. In this work, we have conducted modeling and simulation of the DDoS attack by changing the number of servers and estimated the duration that services are available. In this work, the modeling and simulation is conducted using OPNET Modeler. The simulation result can be used as a parameter of trade-off analysis of DDoS defense cost and the service's value. In addition, we have presented a way of estimating the cost effectiveness in deployment of the DDoS defense system.

Social Impact Assessment of Introduction of Best Available Technology in Marine Industrial Facilities (해양산업시설 적용 가능한 최적기술 도입의 사회영향평가)

  • Wonsoo Kang;Moonjin Lee;Hoon Choi;Kyewon Kim;Youngkyu Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.106-117
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    • 2023
  • The social impact of hazardous and noxious substances from marine industrial facilities was evaluated, and implications for the application of social impact assessment items and methods required in the process of setting technology-based effluent limitations were derived. The scope of the study was based on marine industrial facilities in Incheon Metropolitan City. The analysis results are as follows. First, the impact on companies and industries was evaluated as "great," but large companies had little impact on operating profit losses, bankruptcy possibilities, and employment losses, while small and medium-sized companies had a large impact. Second, the impact on the community and economy was evaluated as "less," but it is judged that careful policy intervention is needed because the impact of fishing producers, local tourism workers, and the region can be concentrated and large. Third, it is judged that items and methods for calculating social loss costs and social benefits can be usefully applied in the method of setting technology-based effluent limitations.

Proposal of Performance Evaluation Methodology for Hydropower Reservoirs with Resilience Index (회복탄력성을 고려한 발전용댐의 성능평가 방법론 제안)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun;Yoo, Hyung Ju;Shin, Hong-Joon;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2022
  • Recently, water resources and energy policies such as integrated water management and carbon neutrality are changing rapidly. There is an opinion that the value of hydropower reservoirs related to these policies should be re-evaluated. In the past, they have contributed to flood control in addition to electricity generation, such as operating at a limited water level during the flood season, but loss of power generation is inevitable with this operation. Therefore, this study introduced the concept of resilience to the hydropower generation system to minimize the power loss. A framework for evaluating the power generation performance of them was presented by defining the maximization of electricity sales as performance. Based on the current procedure of multiple operation plan, a scenario was established and simulation was performed using HEC-5. As a result of applying to the framework, it was confirmed that the power generation performance according to each scenario was evaluated as an important factor. And it was confirmed that the performance of flood control and water use could also be evaluated.

Economic Feasibility Analysis of Marine Ecosystem Restoration Technology Program (해양생태계 복원기술개발 사업의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Kwon, Young-Ju;Paik, Sang-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.130-142
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    • 2014
  • The Korean government is considering implementation of the marine ecosystem restoration technology program (MERTP) to analyze the current status of the marine ecosystems and causes for the ecosystem deterioration as well as to eventually establish a master strategic plan for restoring ecosystem functions and preventing ecosystem functional loss. In order to determine likelihood of successful implementation, it is essential to perform an analysis of the economic feasibility of the program. The present study assessed economic feasibility of the MERTP. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation (CV) method is used. In particular, dichotomous choice (DC) format is employed as a method of eliciting willingness-to-pay (WTP) response to incentive-compatible mechanisms. The study also employed the spike model to deal with zero WTP responses from the DC CV survey. This survey of 1,000 randomly selected households in accordance with the guidelines provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (USA) was carried out nationwide in 2013. And, the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about their WTP for implementing the MERTP. The results showed that the annual mean WTP was estimated to be 5,414 won per household. Consequently, the annual benefit from the MERTP would be about 98.6 billion won for the next five years. Economic feasibility assessment utilizing the MERTP investment cost and expansion cost of the value provided that net present value, benefit/cost ratio, and internal rate of return are 337.8 billion won, 5.20, and 65.9 %, respectively, which are bigger than 0, 1.0, and 5.5 %, and that the MERTP passes the cost-benefit analysis.

Technical Application and Analysis for Reduction of Water Loss in Water Distribution Systems (상수도 관망의 유수율 제고 기술의 적용 및 분석)

  • Kim, Ju-Hwan;Lee, Doo-Jin;Bae, Cheol-Ho;Woo, Hyung-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2009
  • Non-revenue water reduction(NRW) technologies are implemented to evaluate and manage leakages scientifically in water distribution systems under local governments. A development of quantitative leakage indicator by measuring minimum night flow, pressure control policy by installation of PRV(pressure reducing valve) and the establishment of leakage prevention schemes by residual life modeling of deteriorated water pipes are reviewed and studied. Estimation models of allowable leakage are developed by measuring and analyzing minimum night flow at residential and commercial area in Nonsan city, which is suggested from UK water industry and can improve an existing leakage indicator for the evaluation of non-revenue water. Also, pressure control method is applied and analyzed to Uti distribution area in Sacheon city in the operation aspect. As results, $466\;m^3/day$ of leakage can be reduced and it is expected that 113million won of annual cost can be saved. In the part of corrosion velocity and residual life assessment, non-linear prediction models of residual thickness are proposed by assessment of corrosion velocity based on exposure years, soil and water quality etc., since the deteriorated water pipe play a major role to increase leakage. It is expected that collection data and analyzing results can be applied effectively and positively to reduce non-revenue water by accumulating surveying data and verifying the results in the business field of water distribution systems under local governments.

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A Study on Evaluating the Level of Service for Bridges using Fuzzy Approximate Reasoning (퍼지근사추론을 이용한 교량 서비스 수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Byung-Wan;Kim, Heon;Kim, Jang-Wook;Chi, Se-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.8-17
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    • 2017
  • Infrastructures such as bridges and tunnels are crucial elements of national economic growth, and sudden collapses may lead to great catastrophes with significant social and economic losses, as well as a loss of lives. Hence, an efficient maintenance technique must be applied to guarantee safety, secure budgets to maintain a certain level of service, and prevent maintenance expenditures from being concentrated in a specific time period. Developed countries have experienced rapid increases in maintenance budgets, and maintenance costs now account for about 40% of the total maintenance budget. The level of service in asset management systems is an essential element for setting management goals and making priority decisions. Therefore, this study uses fuzzy theory to develop a new way to assess the level of service.The assessment model was applied to an actual bridge to evaluate the level of service for users.

Development of SVM-based Construction Project Document Classification Model to Derive Construction Risk (건설 리스크 도출을 위한 SVM 기반의 건설프로젝트 문서 분류 모델 개발)

  • Kang, Donguk;Cho, Mingeon;Cha, Gichun;Park, Seunghee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.841-849
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    • 2023
  • Construction projects have risks due to various factors such as construction delays and construction accidents. Based on these construction risks, the method of calculating the construction period of the construction project is mainly made by subjective judgment that relies on supervisor experience. In addition, unreasonable shortening construction to meet construction project schedules delayed by construction delays and construction disasters causes negative consequences such as poor construction, and economic losses are caused by the absence of infrastructure due to delayed schedules. Data-based scientific approaches and statistical analysis are needed to solve the risks of such construction projects. Data collected in actual construction projects is stored in unstructured text, so to apply data-based risks, data pre-processing involves a lot of manpower and cost, so basic data through a data classification model using text mining is required. Therefore, in this study, a document-based data generation classification model for risk management was developed through a data classification model based on SVM (Support Vector Machine) by collecting construction project documents and utilizing text mining. Through quantitative analysis through future research results, it is expected that risk management will be possible by being used as efficient and objective basic data for construction project process management.