• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.432-447
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• 2016

The increased frequency of drought and flood due to climate change was a global problem. In particular, drought was recognized as a serious environmental, ecological, social, and economic disaster. Therefore, it is necessary to study the measures to prevent it. In this study, we will estimate the meteorological drought index in the Han River Basin and analyze the impact of climate change on drought. The change of the meteorological drought occurrence due to climate change in the Han River separated by the common drought and severe drought was analyzed using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The years 1973 - 2010 were selected for analysis in the current period. Using the scenario, we separated the future period (Target I: 2011 - 2039, Target II: 2040 - 2069, Target III : 2070 - 2099). The number of occurrences of less than -1.0 and -1.5 standard precipitation index were analyzed by SPI 3, 6, 12. Looking at the results, trends in rainfall in the Han River was expected to increase from the current figures, the occurrence of drought is predicted to decline in the future. However, the number of drought occurrence was analyzed to increase toward long-term drought. The number of severe drought occurrences was usually larger than the common drought estimated. Additional studies may be considered in addition to the agricultural drought, hydrological drought, socio-economic drought. This will be done by using efficient water management. The results can be used as a basis for future drought analysis of the Han River.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.1209-1218
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• 2015

As the drought disasters are increased in the world, the need of study using satellite image data is on the rise. This study is conducted to analyze the drought in the region using satellite image, and to analyze the correlation with the standard precipitation index (SPI) and the actual drought cases. We selected Dongducheon and Taebaek region for domestic major drought (2001, 2008-2009). The correlation with the SPI and the observed water level data was analyzed using the $0.05^{\circ}$ spatial resolution and 8days MODIS DSI (Drought Severity Index). In Dongducheon, 6-months DSI has a correlation of 0.71 with the SPI (30). In Taebaek, the correlation between 6-months DSI and SPI (90) was a 0.40 and showed an average hit ratio of 65.7% in comparing with the observed water level of study area. In summary, this study showed a limited correlation between DSI based on satellite images and meteorological drought index SPI and confirmed the possibility of using DSI for the domestic study.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.91-102
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• 2007

Through lessons in recent earthquakes, the bridge engineering community recognizes the need for new seismic design methodologies based on the inelastic structural performance of RC bridge structures. This study represents results of performance-based fragility analysis of reinforced concrete (RC) bridge. Monte carlo simulation is performed to study nonlinear dynamic responses of RC bridge. Two-parameter log-normal distribution function is used to represent the fragility curves. These two-parameters, referred to as fragility parameters, are estimated by the traditional maximum likelihood procedure, which is treated each event of RC bridge pier damage as a realization of Bernoulli experiment. In order to formulate the fragility curves, five different damage states are described by two practical factors: the displacement and curvature ductility, which are mostly influencing on the seismic behavior of RC bridge piers. Five damage states are quantitatively assessed in terms of these seismic ductilities on the basis of numerous experimental results of RC bridge piers. Thereby, the performance-based fragility curves of RC bridge pier are provided in this paper. This approach can be used in constructing the fragility curves of various bridge structures and be applied to construct the seismic hazard map.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.50-55
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• 2018

Earthquakes are almost impossible to predict and take place in a short time. In addition, there is little time to take aggressive action when an earthquake occurs. Therefore, there are more casualties and property damage than with other natural disasters. Recently, earthquakes have been occurring all over the world. As the number of earthquakes increase, studies on the safety of structures are being carried out. On the other hand, there are few studies on the electric facilities, which are relatively non - structural factors. Currently, electrical equipment in Korea is often not designed for earthquake safety and is quite vulnerable to damage when an earthquake occurs. Therefore, in this study, modeling was conducted through ABAQUS similar to an actual cabinet panel and 3D dynamic nonlinear analysis was performed using a natural seismic. According to seismic zone I and normal ground rock conditions of the power transmission and transmission facility seismic design practical guide, the maximum response acceleration of the performance level was 0.157g. In this study, however, it was not safe to reach the limit state of 30% of the analytical result at 0.1g for the general cabinet panel. From the results, the seismic fragility curve was derived and analyzed. The derived seismic fragility curve is presented as a quantitative basis for determining the limit state of the cabinet panel and can be utilized as basic data in related research.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.69-80
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• 1995

As Korean traditional peasant farming has come to a commercialization since 1970s, the spatial structure of Korean agriculture also has been gradually restructured by principle of not subsistance but economy. This epochal transformation of agriculture and its spatial structure in Korea are comparable with the first agricultural revolution in Europe. Facing this turning point, it is essential to redefine the nature and significance of agricultural geography in Korea through the review of the outcomes of about 200 studies published since 1950s in Korea of which twelve is concerned with locational analysis. The purpose of this study is to review the trend and characteristics of location studies on Korean agriculture. Major findings are as follows: (1) Since 1950s the location studies of agriculture recorded only 12 papers which occupy no more than 6% of studies of agricultural geography in Korea. This fewness suggests that the location study of agriculture in Korea is yet at the stage of beginning. (2) In spite of the fewness the studies, carried out mainly in 1980s, contributed considerably to clarify the locational characteristics of Korean agriculture especially in the spatial variations of crops, dairy farming and cropping system, the impacts of agricultural labors, the location strategy of mountain agriculture, and the responses of farmers to hazard. (3) In approach and methodology, two thirds of the studies has taken traditional empiricist view and other, positivist. And most studies adopted classic and neo-classic locational theories as their theoretical base in description and explanation. In degree of development, the location studies of agriculture in Korea seems to be about 20 years delayed compared to that of the advanced countries in terms of approach and methodology. (4) Such tradition of the location studies reflects not only the conservative nature of agricultural geography of Korea but also the early stage of capitalism of Korean agriculture.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.61-69
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• 2010

Disasters have been diversifying and the scale of disaster has been increasing worldwide due to the global warming and urbanization. Consequently, it is essential to establish the systematic disaster management because the scale of damages has been rapidly increasing. Nowadays, the importance of the standardized disaster management have been realized internationally due to the 9.11 terror and Tsunami. Also, the activities of research and development to utilize and establish the disaster management standards have been increasing. This study mainly focused on generating an efficient operating manual to support the systematic disaster management of the central administration office based on disaster management standard in South Korea. Firstly, the activities and status of disaster management performed by the central administration office were investigated. Accordingly, libraries of work, functions, organizations, references and behavior for disaster management were designed. Then, a method to make the efficient operation manual based on the constructed libraries was presented to maximize the efficiency of disaster management. This emergency operation manual could support the systematic disaster management by defining the work, function, references and the codes of conduct. Thus, central administration office would be able to define methods and procedures from preparation to recovery through the utilization of the operation manual.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.52-60
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• 2016

Many hidden aspects of society around the world that has been lurking as risk factors have been ultimately connected to disasters. Such connection did not just stop with massive damages to properties and loss of lives but became a serious social issue. Especially in the case for Korea, because the country has gone through abrupt economic growth which has resulted in rapid urbanization and expansion of economic scale, Korea has been caught in a vicious cycle of experiencing human and social calamities repeatedly. Due to the seriousness of such problem, there's been continued research in various fields for managing disasters, and the domain of knowledge has been expanding with complexity. The following study went beyond the perspectives of disaster prevention study, disaster prevention engineering and social sciences suggested from previous research directions in disaster and disaster prevention, and attempted an alternative research method by approaching from a service design perspective. During the process, the paper looked over the summary on disaster and service design. By applying it on disaster prevention projects, the research sets forth and discusses effective and practical disaster prevention service design. Through specific case studies, the research methodology applied was verified, and the purpose of the study was carried out in the perspective of real world applications different from textbook type discussions. It is expected that through the disaster prevention service design process and platform that were discovered during the research result, defining and understanding disaster prevention service design will be made apparent. Additionally, the research is expected to be used as a basic building block for building a visualized plan for tangible and intangible factors related to disasters before the disaster process through such proposed disaster prevention service design.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.28-28
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• 2011

치수는 고대국가로부터 현재의 국가에 이르기까지 중차대한 국가사업이다. 근대를 지나면서 산업화가 가속화되었고 수자원의 사용과 관리는 더욱 세분화 되었다. 또한 수자원의 사용과 관리에 앞서 기후와 밀접한 관계가 있는 수자원의 물리적 특성을 분석하는 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 최근 우리나라도 급격한 산업화로 인한 환경파괴와 지구온난화로 인한 강수의 편중이 더욱 심해지고 있다. 즉, 한반도도 전 세계가 직면한 기후변화로 인한 자연재해로 부터 안전하지 않다는 것을 의미한다. 특히 수자원을 관리함에 있어 가뭄의 경우에는 장기적으로 진행되는 경우가 많고 피해 규모와 복구 등도 가뭄의 진행 기간과 밀접한 관계를 가지므로 적극적인 대비가 필요하다. 따라서 가뭄을 연구함에 앞서 과거 한반도의 가뭄의 경향성 및 주기성 같은 특성을 분석할 수 있는 연구가 수반되어야 할 것으로 사료된다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 과거 한반도 가뭄 사상의 특성분석을 위해 대표 가뭄지수로 SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)와 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index)를 선정하여 우리나라 전역에 위치한 총 59개 기상관측소의 1980년~2009년까지의 기상자료를 수집하여 유역별 월평균 가뭄지수를 산정하였다. 또한 이를 이용하여 가뭄발생의 경향성 및 주기성을 중심으로 과거한반도 가뭄의 통계학적 특성분석을 실시하였다. 각 지수의 경향성을 분석한 결과, SPI3와 SPI6는 봄과 겨울에는 가뭄이 심화되는 경향을 보였고 여름철에는 가뭄이 완화되는 경향을 보였다. 반면 SPI12의 경우는 섬진강과 영산강은 유의하지는 않으나 전 기간에 걸쳐 가뭄이 심화되는 경향을 보였고 한강, 낙동강, 금강유역은 가뭄이 완화되는 것으로 나타났다. PDSI의 경우에는 SPI와는 반대로 섬진강과 영산강은 전 기간에 걸쳐 가뭄이 완화되는 경향을 보였고 한강, 낙동강, 금강유역은 유의한 수준에서 가뭄이 심화되는 경향을 보임으로써, SPI와 PDSI에 의한 가뭄평가 경향성이 유역별로 다소 다르게 나타나는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 한편, 각 유역의 주기성을 분석한 결과로는 모든 유역에서 1년~3년 또는 6년 이하의 주기성을 나타냈으며, SPI의 경우 지속기간이 길어질수록 6년 이상의 저빈도 주기성을 나타냈고, SPI3는 짧게는 1년 미만의 고빈도 주기를 보이는 경우도 있었으며, SPI6와 SPI12는 4년~6년 주기를 나타냈다. 또한 PDSI도 마찬가지로 6년 내외의 장주기를 보였다. 특히 유역별로 분석할 경우 남부지역의 가뭄발생 주기가 중부지역보다 길게 나타나는 성향을 보였다. 그리고 SPI와 PDSI, 두 가뭄지수의 공통주기를 분석한 결과에서는 상관관계가 적은 것으로 확인 되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.93-93
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• 2011

전 세계적으로 기후변화로 인한 기상재해의 피해가 매년 증가하고 있으며, 기후변화로 인한 시민들의 안전, 재산, 인명피해 또한 늘어나고 있다. 이러한 피해를 최소화하기 위해서는 도시지역을 중심으로 한 신뢰성 높은 미래 기후전망 기법이 필수적이며, 미래 기후전망을 바탕으로 하여 기후변화로 인한 향후 발생할 수 있는 위험성의 정도를 전망하여 적응대책을 수립할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 도시지역의 미래 기후전망 기법을 개발하여 서울시의 미래기후를 전망한다. 본 연구를 수행하기 위하여 먼저 IPCC 기후시나리오에 대한 조사를 수행하여 자료를 수집한다. 수집한 자료를 바탕으로 역학적 상세화와 통계적 상세화 기법을 이용하여 고해상도 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 역학적 상세화 기법은 A2시나리오의 ECHO-G/S에서 생산된 기후 시나리오를 이용하여 지역 기후모델인 RegCM3에 적용하여 상세화 과정을 수행하였다. RegCM3를 이용하여 60km로 상세화한 후에 one-way double-nested system을 구축하여 20km까지 상세화 하였다. 20km 해상도의 기후 시나리오는 서울시와 같은 좁은 지역의 기후를 분석하기에는 어려움이 있으므로, RegCM3에 사용할 수 있는 Sub-BATS라는 기법을 이용하여 5km의 고해상도 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 역학적 상세화 결과는 관측결과에 비해 과소 추정되는 경향이 있어, 편차보정을 통하여 관측값에 가까운 자료를 만들어 주었다. 역학적 상세화 결과를 분석한 결과, 기준기간에 비해 미래기간(S3)에는 전체적으로 약 4.9도의 기온상승과 강수량 증가가 나타났으며, 특히 9월에 가장 큰 상승폭을 나타내고 있었다. 강수량의 경우 증가 경향이 뚜렷이 나타나고 있었으며, 여름철에 큰 증가폭을 나타내고 있었다. 통계적 상세화 기법은 역학적 상세화 기법에서 사용된 ECHO-G/S를 포함한 13개의 GCM결과와 우리나라의 57개 지점에 대한 CSEOF기법을 이용하여 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 이 자료는 서울시에 대하여 하나의 지점밖에 존재하지 않아, 서울시내의 지역별 미래 기후전망에는 문제가 있었으므로, Delta method라는 기법을 이용하여 서울 및 인근지역의 AWS 35개 지점에 대하여 미래 기후시나리오를 생산하였다. 통계적 상세화 결과, 13개 GCM의 기온변화는 전체평균 약 3.1도 상승하였고, 겨울과 여름철의 변화폭이 가장 크며, 모델의 불확실성 또한 겨울과 여름에 가장 큰 특징을 가지고 있다. 강수량의 경우 MME에서는 약간의 상승은 나타나고 있었지만 모델간의 불확실성은 여름철에 크게 나타나고 있었다. 역학적 및 통계적 상세화 기후 시나리오(ECHO-G/S, A2)를 비교 분석한 결과, 기온은 역학적 상세화 결과가 약간 크게 나타났으며, 전체적으로 유사한 패턴을 보이고 있었다. 강수량 또한 역학적 상세화 결과가 크게 나타나고 있었다. 역학적 및 통계적 상세화 결과는 S1의 경우 유사한 특징을 보이고 있었지만 S3로 갈수록 차이가 크게 나타나고 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.32-40
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• 2008

In this study, we monitor ice cap using calculated NDSI from September to December in 2001, 2003, 2006, 2007 and snow cover area in 2007 decrease by compare with 2001. Global warming is one of the most important issue in this world. Because global-warming is the reason of various meteorological disasters and extreme weather events in these days and snow and glaciers showed that global warming effect most easily. Snow and glaciers play an important role in Earth cooling system because of their high reflectance. The present study has been carried out monitoring ice cap in Himalayas, using MODIS(Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer)data. Indicator to monitoring ice cap, NDSI(Normalized Differenced Snow Index) was used in this study. The NDSI is a spectral band ratio that takes advantage of the spectral differences of snow in visible and short-wave infrared domain to detect snow cover area versus non-snow cover area in a scene. This study is quantitative evaluation about effect of global warming for icecap.