• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.229-239
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• 2018

This paper introduces how to adopt the concept of temporal hierarchies to forecast time series data. Similarly as in hierarchical cross-sectional data, temporal hierarchies can be constructed for any time series data by means of non-overlapping temporal aggregation. Reconciliation forecasts with temporal hierarchies result in more accurate and robust forecasts when compared with the independent base and bottom-up forecasts. As an empirical example, we forecast traffic accident counts with temporal hierarchies and observe that reconciliation forecasts are superior to the base and bottom-up forecasts in terms of forecast accuracy.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.21-29
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• 1980

In the present study, it was found that the susceptible variety Khao-tah-haeng 17, at all four predisposing temperature regimes, produced more typical lesions than hypersensitive lesions when inoculated with most of the blast fungus isolates. Tetep, Carreon, IR36 and Sensho produced more hypersensitive lesions than typical lesions at all four predisposing temperature regimes. Highly significant differences among predisposing temperature regimes and rice varieties for number of hypersensitive lesions and number of typical lesions were found. Symptom occurrence on a specific variety, as measured by the number of typical lesions, was more affected by predisposition temperature or blast isolate than by temperature and isolate combined. Symptom occurrence on a specific variety, as measured by the number of hypersensitive lesions, was more affected by blast isolate than by predisposition temperature.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.115-119
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• 1977

Fusarium spp. were isolated from field grown rice, wheat and barley in 1976. The pathogens isolated included Fusarium (Calonectria) nivale, F. (Gibberella) moniliforme and F. (Gibberella) roseum 'Graminearum' and 'Avenaceum'. Among the saprophytes F. (Nectria) episphaeria was isolated. In each of these isolated both the Fusarium and perfect stages were found. F. nivale, and F. episphaeria with there Calonectria, and Nectria stages do not seem to have been recorded previously in Korea. Of the Fusaria isolated, $66.3\%$ from rice were F. moniliforme, and $68.2\%$ from wheat and barley were F. roseum 'Graminearum'. Perithecia also were produced under laboratory conditions. F. moniiforme was recovered wheat heads and also from barley seed.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.829-837
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• 2011

Since Harvey (1989), many approaches for applying unobserved components (UC) models to both univariate and multivariate time series analysis have been developed. However, practitioners still tend to use traditional methods such as exponential smoothing or ARIMA models for modeling and predicting time series data. It is well known that the UC model combines the flexibility of ARIMA models and the easy interpretability of exponential smoothing models by using unobserved components such as trend, cycle, season, and irregular components. This study reviews the UC model and compares its relative performances with those of the other models in modeling and predicting the real gross domestic products (GDP) in Korea. We conclude that the optimal model is the UC model on basis of root mean squared error.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.187-193
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• 2017

In order to investigate the relationship between HIV / AIDS and the malformed entertainment industry caused by the prostitution after the prostitution law, this paper visualizes the number of entertainment industry relative to the population density and the number of infected persons using the R program. Also, let's try to grasp the cause of whether any unexpected variable acts via correlation and whether the numerical value of HIV / AIDS-infected person is high in the vicinity of a secret store due to external factors. therefore, In order to create a healthy society, let us examine the goals and attitudes that we should aim for big data analysis through R, and discuss the areas that need further research in the future.

• Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.706-711
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• 1996

다발성 골수증은 다양한 증세를 보이는 형질세포로부터 기원하는 악성종양으로 40세이상의 남성에서 호발되며 alkylating agent 단독, 혹은 corticosteroid와 병용하는 항암제 치료로 생존율이 크게 증가되기는 하였지만 치료후 평균생존기간의 20개월 내외로 완치율이 그다지 높지않은 형편이다. 악골에서의 발생은 극히 드물고 대개 늑골, 편평골, 척추, 골반, 두개골등에 광범위한 patchy destruction의 형태로 나타나는데 악골에 발생할 경우 임상증상은 장기적인 무통성 종창이 가장 흔하며 때로는 동통, 악골의 팽창, 감각이상, 치아의 동요, 악골골절등을 보이기도 한다. 전신적증상으로 무력감, 체중감소, 빈혈, 신부전, hypercalcemia, hyperiviscosity syndrome을 나타내기도 하는데 약 10%의 환자에서 전신적인 amyloidosis를 보인다. 진단은 골수생검상 골수의 plasmacytosis가 10% 이상이면서 혈장이나 뇨전기영동법에서 monoclonal globulin peak이 있을 때 가능하다. 여러 학자들은 처음에는 독립적인 고립성병소로 나타났다가 장기적으로 다발성골수종으로 이행됨을 주장하면서 장기적인 추적을 권하고 있지만 골내 고립성 형질세포종(solitary plasmacytoma in bone), 수질외 형질세포종(extramedullary plasmacytoma) 등은 다발성골수종과는 다른 질환이라 주장하는 등 아직 많은 논란이 있는 형편이다. 치료는 $4000{\sim}6000$ rad의 방사선치료와 여러 가지 약제의 복합적인 항암요법이 사용되고 있으며 국소적인 병소의 경우 외과적 절제술이 추천되기도 한다. 저자들은 59세 여자환자에서 하악골에 발생된 다발성골수종을 치험하였기에 문헌고찰과 함께 보고하는 바이다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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• 한국지반공학회 2004년도 춘계학술발표회
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• pp.58-65
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• 2004

Recently, the top & down method with drilled shafts as a foundation of high rise building is often adopted for the purpose of construction period reduction and construction cost effectiveness. It is common to omit the loading test as a Quality assurance on account of the high capacity of drilled shafts for the top & down method. It seems that the capacity of drilled shaft in recent top & down method is beyond that of conventional loading test method.However, the quality assurance for the drilled shaft as foundation of high rise building becomes much more important since the drilled shaft should bear much higher working load. It may be a small scale test pile could be an alternative as a quality assurance for the drilled shaft with high capacities. Through a case study, this paper gives an idea for solving the limitation of the conventional loading test method for the quality assurance of drilled shaft with high capacities. In particular, this paper analyzed the scale effect for a small drilled shaft installed into bedrock, which could be used for an alternative.

• 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 유체기계공업학회 2006년 제4회 한국유체공학학술대회 논문집
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• pp.483-486
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• 2006

The fan is widely used to cool high heat flux generated as of the electronic communication device consoles. It, however, makes a lot of noises that interfere considerably with the operation environment. This study was conducted to obtain the cooling design technology of the consoles through being equipped with the Heat Pipe Heat Exchangers (HPHE) together with low revolution fans in place of existing fans for the cooling technology of the forced convection. Not only the sealed type consoles but the HPHE were also designed so as to cool effectively the heat generated from the inside of the console. The simulation was conducted by computational numerical analysis along with its experiments. The results of the numerical analysis and experiments were compared in order to improve the cooling technology of the consoles mounted with the HPHE. Consequently, instead of loud fan noise generated as of existing forced convection methods, the cooling technology of HPHE can remarkably improve many problems such as the operation environment, indoor dust, malfunction caused by pollution sources and so on.

• Journal of the KSME
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• 제35권7호
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• pp.593-602
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• 1995

수출주도형 산업구조를 가지고 있는 우리 나라의 경제여건은 1960년대 초 경제개발 5개년 계획을 수립한 이래 지속적인 성장을 기록하여 왔다. 그러나 1986년도에 3저라는 국제경제여건을 호기로 삼아 국제무역수지 흑자를 기록한 이후 선진국의 보호장벽 강화, 세계적인 BLOCK 경제화, WTO 출범에 따른 국내시장 개방압력, 국내임금의 급속한 상승 등 수많은 대내외적 여건으로 인하여 우리경제의 성장에 큰 부담으로 작용하고 있다. 1994년의 경우 전체무역적자가 63억 3천만 달 러를 기록함으로써 한국경제의 계속적인 무역역조현상이 큰 문제점으로 대두되고 있고 1994년 기준으로 전체무역적자의 188%이상에 해당하는 118억 7천만 달러가 대일무역에서 발생한 대일 역조라는 사실과 최근 몇년간 대일무역적자는 다소 개선되고 있으나 전체 무역적자에서 차지하는 비중이 더욱더 높아가고 있는 것에 대한 대책이 시급한 실정이다. 이같은 대일무역적자 문제는 1960년대 이후 급속한 경제성장만을 추구하여 노동집약형 사업이 주가된 경제성장의 결과이며, 산업재, 특히 기계분야에 대한 기술축적의 부족으로 대부분의 자본재 및 중간재와 기술력에 대한 대일의존도의 심화 등에 그 원인이 있다고 할 수 있다. 이러한 점에서 수출 주도형의 한국경제 하에서는 대일무역역조 특히 기계공업분야의 역조현상은 반드시 해결해야 할 중요한 정책과제 임을 인식해야 하며, 이 글에서는 이에 대한 다각적인 대책을 검토하여 해결방안을 제시해 보 고자 한다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.293-298
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• 1974

This study was carried out to contribute to the control of Venereal diseases amnog prostitutes living aroung US army camps in Daegu area. The status of those who registrated in our Bongdeok Venereal Diseases Clinic was observed during a year from October 1, 1973 to September 31, 1974. Most of them were playmates of foreign soldiers. Forty eight percent of the total 241 were 20 to 24 years in age. About 70 percent were under elementary school level in educational background. The reason for prostitution was hard living and economic problems in about 94 percent of the cases studied. The cases studied within one year from the present time were 104, 43.3 percent. Although the full number of monthly vistits in eight or nine (Two times a week), the monthly mean was found to be 5.5. The result of cardiolipin test was 4.6 percent positive and 9.3 percent, false positive. Gram negative diplococci was found to be 4.3 percent, pus cell, 49 percent and staphylocci 18.1 percent. The patients were chiefly cured by ampicillin and kanamycin, although procain penicillin was also used. More control mathods must be introduced and promoted along with tracing methods and cultures for gonorrhea.