• Title/Summary/Keyword: 성공예측

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Fire Extinguishing Ability of Binary Gaseous Extinguishing Agents Evaluated by Cup Burner and Numerical Studies (이성분계 가스계소화약제 소화성능의 컵버너실험 및 이론적 고찰)

  • Kwon, Kyung-Ok;Won, Dong-Bin;Choi, Keun-Joo;Kim, Jong-Won;Shin, Dong-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2007
  • The search for a new fire-extinguishing agent with all the desirable properties of halon 1301 has not been successful. To study binary gaseous extinguishing agents instead, one has to determine the extinguishing concentrations for several compositions of a given chemical in an inert gas. This process is expensive and time consuming. The fire suppression efficiencies of gas mixtures of HFC 125 and HFC 227ea with nitrogen as total flooding agents were studied by cup burner method. It was shown that addition of small amounts of those extinguishants to nitrogen can enhance the suppression effectiveness of the inert gas. As expected, the degree of synergism was highest at low concentrations of the chemical. For each binary system, extinguishing concentrations of the pure compounds and one binary data were used to predict the extinguishing concentrations for the entire range of binary composition. The predicted values were very close to experimental data.

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Minimizing the Risk of an Open Computing Environment Using the MAD Portfolio Optimization (최적포트폴리오 기법을 이용한 개방형 전산 환경의 안정성 확보에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hak-Jin;Park, Ji-Hyoun
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.15-31
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    • 2009
  • The next generation IT environment is expected to be an open computing environment based on Grid computing technologies, which allow users to access to any type of computing resources through networks. The open computing environment has benefits in aspects of resource utilization, collaboration, flexibility and cost reduction. Due to the variation in performance of open computing resources, however, resource allocation simply based on users' budget and time constraints often fails to meet the Service Level Agreement(SLA). This paper proposes the Mean-Absolute Deviation(MAD) portfolio optimization approach, in which service brokers consider the uncertainty of performance of resources, and compose resource portfolios that minimize the uncertainty. In order to investigate the effect of this approach, we simulate an open computing environment with varying uncertainty levels, users' constraints, and brokers' optimization strategies. The simulation result concludes threefolds. First, the MAD portfolio optimization improves the success ratio of delivering the required performance to users. Second, the success ratio depends on the accuracy in predicting the variability of performance. Thirdly, the measured variability can also help service brokers expand their service to cost-critical users by discounting the access cost of open computing resources.

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A Defect Prevention Model based on SW-FMEA (SW-FMEA 기반의 결함 예방 모델)

  • Kim Hyo-Young;Han Hyuk-Soo
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.605-614
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    • 2006
  • The success of a software development project can be determined by the use of QCD. And as a software's size and complexity increase, the importance of early quality assurance rises. Therefore, more effort should be given to prevention, as opposed to correction. In order to provide a framework for the prevention of defects, defect detection activities such as peer review and testing, along with analysis of previous defects, is required. This entails a systematization and use of quality data from previous development efforts. FMEA, which is utilized for system safety assurance, can be applied as a means of software defect prevention. SW-FMEA (Software Failure Mode Effect Analysis) attempts to prevent defects by predicting likely defects. Presently, it has been applied to requirement analysis and design. SW-FMEA utilizes measured data from development activities, and can be used for defect prevention on both the development and management sides, for example, in planning, analysis, design, peer reviews, testing, risk management, and so forth. This research discusses about related methodology and proposes defect prevention model based on SW-FMEA. Proposed model is extended SW-FMEA that focuses on system analysis and design. The model not only supports verification and validation effectively, but is useful for reducing defect detection.

An Economic Ship Routing System Based on a Minimal Dynamic-cost Path Search Algorithm (최소동적비용 경로탐색 알고리즘 기반 선박경제운항시스템)

  • Joo, Sang-Yeon;Cho, Tae-Jeong;Cha, Jae-Mun;Yang, Jin-Ho;Kwon, Yung-Keun
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2012
  • An economic ship routing means to sail a ship with a goal of minimizing the fuel consumption by utilizing weather forecast information, and various such systems have been recently studied. For a successful economic ship routing system, an efficient algorithm is needed to search an optimal geographical path, and most of the previous systems were approaching to that problem through a minimal static-cost path search algorithm based on the Dijkstra algorithm. To apply that kind of search algorithm, the cost of every edge assigned with the estimated fuel consumption should be constant. However, that assumption is not practical at all considering that the actual fuel consumption is determined by the weather condition when the ship will pass the edge. To overcome such a limitation, we propose a new optimal ship routing system based on a minimal dynamic-cost path search algorithm by properly modifying the Dijkstra algorithm. In addition, we propose a method which efficiently reduces the search space by using the $A^*$ algorithm to decrease the running time. We compared our system with the shortest path-based sailing method over ten testing routes and observed that the former reduced the estimated fuel consumption than the latter by 2.36% on average and the maximum 4.82% with little difference of estimated time of arrival.

High Resolution Gyeonggi-do Agrometeorology Information Analysis System based on the Observational Data using Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) (LAPS와 관측자료를 이용한 고해상도 경기도 농업기상정보 분석시스템)

  • Chun, Ji-Min;Kim, Kyu-Rang;Lee, Seon-Yong;Kang, Wee-Soo;Park, Jong-Sun;Yi, Chae-Yon;Choi, Young-Jean;Park, Eun-Woo;Hong, Sun-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2012
  • Demand for high resolution weather data grows in the agriculture and forestry fields. Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) can be used to analyze the local weather at high spatial and temporal resolution, utilizing the data from various sources including numerical weather prediction models, wind or temperature profilers, Automated Weather Station (AWS) networks, radars, and satellites. LAPS has been set to analyze weather elements such as air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and wind direction every hour at the spatial resolution of $100m{\times}100m$ for Gyeonggi-do on near real-time basis. The AWS data were revised by adding the agricultural field AWS data (33 stations) in addition to the KMA data. The analysis periods were from 1 to 31 August 2009 and from 15 to 21 February 2010. The comparison of the LAPS output showed the smaller errors when using the agricultural AWS observation data together with the KMA data as its input data than using only either the agricultural or KMA AWS data. The accuracy of the current system needs improvement by further optimization of analyzing options of the system. However, the system is highly applicable to various fields in agriculture and forestry because it can provide site specific data with reasonable time intervals.

The Agriculture Decision-making System(ADS) based on Deep Learning for improving crop productivity (농산물 생산성 향상을 위한 딥러닝 기반 농업 의사결정시스템)

  • Park, Jinuk;Ahn, Heuihak;Lee, ByungKwan
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.521-530
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    • 2018
  • This paper proposes "The Agriculture Decision-making System(ADS) based on Deep Learning for improving crop productivity" that collects weather information based on location supporting precision agriculture, predicts current crop condition by using the collected information and real time crop data, and notifies a farmer of the result. The system works as follows. The ICM(Information Collection Module) collects weather information based on location supporting precision agriculture. The DRCM(Deep learning based Risk Calculation Module) predicts whether the C, H, N and moisture content of soil are appropriate to grow specific crops according to current weather. The RNM(Risk Notification Module) notifies a farmer of the prediction result based on the DRCM. The proposed system improves the stability because it reduces the accuracy reduction rate as the amount of data increases and is apply the unsupervised learning to the analysis stage compared to the existing system. As a result, the simulation result shows that the ADS improved the success rate of data analysis by about 6%. And the ADS predicts the current crop growth condition accurately, prevents in advance the crop diseases in various environments, and provides the optimized condition for growing crops.

The Forecasting a Maximum Barbell Weight of Snatch Technique in Weightlifting (역도 인상동작 성공 시 최대 바벨무게 예측)

  • Hah, Chong-Ku;Ryu, Ji-Seon
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to predict the failure or success of the Snatch-lifting trial as a consequence of the stand-up phase simulated in Kane's equation of motion that was effective for the dynamic analysis of multi-segment. This experiment was a case study in which one male athlete (age: 23yrs, height: 154.4cm, weight: 64.5kg) from K University was selected The system of a simulation included a multi-segment system that had one degree of freedom and one generalized coordinate for the shank segment angle. The reference frame was fixed by the Nonlinear Trans formation (NLT) method in order to set up a fixed Cartesian coordinate system in space. A weightlifter lifted a 90kg-barbell that was 75% of subject's maximum lifting capability (120kg). For this study, six cameras (Qualisys Proreflex MCU240s) and two force-plates (Kistler 9286AAs) were used for collecting data. The motion tracks of 11 land markers were attached on the major joints of the body and barbell. The sampling rates of cameras and force-plates were set up 100Hz and 1000Hz, respectively. Data were processed via the Qualisys Track manager (QTM) software. Landmark positions and force-plate amplitudes were simultaneously integrated by Qualisys system The coordinate data were filtered using a fourth-order Butterworth low pass filtering with an estimated optimum cut-off frequency of 9Hz calculated with Andrew & Yu's formula. The input data of the model were derived from experimental data processed in Matlab6.5 and the solution of a model made in Kane's method was solved in Matematica5.0. The conclusions were as follows; 1. The torque motor of the shank with 246Nm from this experiment could lift a maximum barbell weight (158.98kg) which was about 246 times as much as subject's body weight (64.5kg). 2. The torque motor with 166.5 Nm, simulated by angular displacement of the shank matched to the experimental result, could lift a maximum barbell weight (90kg) which was about 1.4 times as much as subject's body weight (64.5kg). 3. Comparing subject's maximum barbell weight (120kg) with a modeling maximum barbell weight (155.51kg) and with an experimental maximum barbell weight (90kg), the differences between these were about +35.7kg and -30kg. These results strongly suggest that if the maximum barbell weight is decided, coaches will be able to provide further knowledge and information to weightlifters for the performance improvement and then prevent injuries from training of weightlifters. It hopes to apply Kane's method to other sports skill as well as weightlifting to simulate its motion in the future study.

Analysis of Total Loss of Feedwater Event for the Determination of Safety Depressurization Bleed Capacity (안전감압계통의 방출유량을 결정하기 위한 완전급수상실사고 해석)

  • Kwon, Young-Min;Song, Jin-Ho;Ro, Tae-Sun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.470-482
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    • 1995
  • The Ulchin 3&4, which are 2825 MWt PWRs, adopted Safety Depressurization System (SDS) to mitigate the beyond design basis event of Total Less of Feedwater(TLOFW). In this study the results and methodology of the analyses for the determination of SDS bleed capacity are discussed. The SDS design bleed capacity has been determined from the CEFLASH-4AS/REM simulation according to the following design criteria : 1) Each SDS flow path, in conjunction with one of two High Pressure Safety Injection (HPSI) pumps, is designed to have a sufficient capacity to prevent core uncovery if one SDS path is opened simultaneously with the opening of the Pressurizer Safety Valves (PSVs). 2) Both SDS bleed paths are designed to have sufficient total capacity with both HPSI pumps operating to prevent core uncovery if the Feed and Bleed (F&B) initiation is delayed up to thirty minutes from the time of the PSVs lift. To verify the results of CEFLASH-4AS/REM simulation a comparative analysis kas also been per-formed by more sophisticated computer code, RELAP5/MOD3. The TLOFW event without operator recovery and TLOFW event with F&B are analyzed. The predictions by the CEFLASH-4AS/REM of the transient too phase system behavior are in good qualitative and quantitative agreement with those by the RELAP5/MOD3 simulation. Both of the results of analyses by CEFLASH-4AS/REM and RELAP5/MOD3 have demonstrated that decay heat removal and core inventory make-up can be successfully accomplished by F&B operation during now event for the Ulchin 3&4.

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Optimal Nozzle Design of Bladeless Fan Using Design of Experiments (실험계획법을 이용한 날개 없는 선풍기의 노즐 형상 최적 설계)

  • Jeong, Siyoung;Lee, Jongsoo;Yoon, Jaehyun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.711-719
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    • 2017
  • Bladeless fan is becoming increasingly popular owing to its advantages, such as improved safety, easy to clean, and attractive shape. However, many people are reluctant to purchase it because of several disadvantages, such as noise and moderate wind; therefore, research on how improve wind generation without increasing the motor speed is required. This study investigates the optimization of the shape of the nozzle and nearby surface using CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) simulation, ANSYS fluent. The results are analyzed by ANOM (analysis of mean) and interaction analysis; therefore this study suggests the variables of affecting Coanda effect and satisfy the govern equation, the conservation of momentum. The optimal combination was found through a predictive equation. In this study, factors and levels that affect the mass flow rate were selected and experimental points were arranged using the orthogonal array table. The value of the mass flow rate was confirmed by ANSYS fluent, which is a CFD program. Through the ANOM, it was confirmed that the nozzle distance is the most influential parameter affecting the mass flow rate. Furthermore, the mass flow rate obtained from the predictive equation and the mass flow rate from the CFD correspond to the largest values. Results from this study confirmed that the mass flow rate is increased by a change in the shape, even if the motor speed did not increase.

Power Consumption Analysis of Routing Protocols using Sensor Network Simulator (센서 네트워크 시뮬레이터를 이용한 라우팅 프로토콜의 전력소모량 분석)

  • Kim, Bang-Hyun;Jung, Yong-Doc;Kim, Tea-Kyu;Kim, Jong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.10a
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    • pp.414-418
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    • 2006
  • 유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅의 인프라가 되는 센서 네트워크는 매우 작은 하드웨어로 이루어지는 많은 수의 센서 노드들로 구성된다. 이 네트워크의 토폴로지와 라우팅 방식은 그 목적에 따라 결정되어야 하며, 하드웨어 및 소프트웨어도 필요한 경우에는 변경되어야 한다. 따라서 그러한 네트워크를 최적으로 설계하기 위해서는 시스템 동작을 확인하고 성능을 예측할 수 있는 센서 네트워크 시뮬레이터가 필요하다. 현존하는 몇몇 센서 네트워크 시뮬레이터들은 특정 하드웨어나 운영체제에 맞추어 개발되었기 때문에, 그러한 특정 시스템들을 위해서만 사용될 수 있다. 그리고 시스템 설계 상의 주요 이슈가 되는 전력 소모량 및 프로그램 실행 시간을 추정하기 위한 어떤 수단도 지원하지 못하고 있다. 이 연구에서는 기존의 센서 네트워크 시뮬레이터들이 갖고 있는 문제점을 해결한 시뮬레이터를 개발하고, 센서 네트워크의 계층적 라우팅 프로토콜인 LEACH, TEEN, APTEEN의 전력소모량을 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 분석하였다. 시뮬레이션의 작업부하인 명령어 트레이스로는 ATmega128L 마이크로컨트롤러용 크로스컴파일러에 의해 생성된 실행 이미지를 사용하였다. 따라서 각각의 라우팅 프로토콜을 실제 센서 보드에서 동작하는 응용 프로그램으로 구현하고, 컴파일된 실행 이미지를 작업부하로 사용하여 시뮬레이션 하였다. 라우팅 프로그램들은 ETRI의 센서 네트워크 운영체제인 Nano-Q+ 1.6.1을 기반으로 구현되었으며, 하드웨어 플랫폼은 옥타컴의 센서 보드인 Nano-24이다. 시뮬레이션 결과에 따르면, 센서 네트워크는 그 사용 목적에 따라 라우팅 프로토콜을 적절히 선택해야 한다는 것을 알 수 있다. 즉, LEACH는 주기적으로 네트워크의 상황을 체크해야 하는 경우에 적합하고, TEEN은 환경의 변화를 수시로 감지해야 하는 경우에 적합하다. 그리고 APTEEN은 전력소모량과 기능 측면을 모두 고려할 때 가장 효과적인 라우팅 프로토콜이라고 할 수 있다.iRNA 상의 의존관계를 분석할 수 있었다.수안보 등 지역에서 나타난다 이러한 이상대 주변에는 대개 온천이 발달되어 있었거나 새로 개발되어 있는 곳이다. 온천에 이용하고 있는 시추공의 자료는 배제하였으나 온천이응으로 직접적으로 영향을 받지 않은 시추공의 자료는 사용하였다 이러한 온천 주변 지역이라 하더라도 실제는 온천의 pumping 으로 인한 대류현상으로 주변 일대의 온도를 올려놓았기 때문에 비교적 높은 지열류량 값을 보인다. 한편 한반도 남동부 일대는 이번 추가된 자료에 의해 새로운 지열류량 분포 변화가 나타났다 강원 북부 오색온천지역 부근에서 높은 지열류량 분포를 보이며 또한 우리나라 대단층 중의 하나인 양산단층과 같은 방향으로 발달한 밀양단층, 모량단층, 동래단층 등 주변부로 NNE-SSW 방향의 지열류량 이상대가 발달한다. 이것으로 볼 때 지열류량은 지질구조와 무관하지 않음을 파악할 수 있다. 특히 이러한 단층대 주변은 지열수의 순환이 깊은 심도까지 가능하므로 이러한 대류현상으로 지표부근까지 높은 지온 전달이 되어 나타나는 것으로 판단된다.의 안정된 방사성표지효율을 보였다. $^{99m}Tc$-transferrin을 이용한 감염영상을 성공적으로 얻을 수 있었으며, $^{67}Ga$-citrate 영상과 비교하여 더 빠른 시간 안에 우수한 영상을 얻을 수 있었다. 그러므로 $^{99m}Tc$-transierrin이 감염 병소의 영상진단에 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.리를 정량화 하였다. 특히 선조체에서의 도파민 유리에 의한 수용체 결합능의 감소는 흡연에 의한 혈중 니코틴의 축적 농도와 양의 상관관계를 보였다(rho=0.9, p=0.04). 결론: $[^{11}C]raclopride$ PET을 이용하여 비흡연 정상인에서 흡연에 의한 도파민 유리를 영상화 및 정량화 하였고, 흡연에 의한 선조체내 도파민 유리는 흡연시 흡수된

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