• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.414-414
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• 2015

최근 지구온난화로 인한 기상변동성 증가로 인해 극한기후현상의 발생빈도가 점차 증가하고 있으며 유역단위의 수자원을 효율적으로 운영하는데 문제점을 해소하고자 다양한 측면에서 체계적인 수자원 운영을 위한 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 수공구조물을 설계하는데 있어서 가장 일반적인 가정 사항은 수문모형에 사용되는 강우의 빈도와 유출의 빈도가 동일하다는 가정에 근거한다. 즉, 유역의 초기함수조건, 강우강도, 강우의 시간적 분포와 관계없이 동일한 빈도로 고려되는 문제점이 있다. 이러한 점에서 비교적 장기간의 자료를 확보하고 있는 계측유역에 대해서 다변량 확률밀도함수를 적용하여 비선형관계를 고려한 수문빈도해석기법을 개발하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 이변량 분석기법(bivariate analysis) 중 전통적인 이변량 분포에 비해 주변분포형(marginal distribution)을 자유롭게 선택할 수 있는 장점이 있는 추계학적 Copula 모형을 활용하여 댐 및 저수지 상류유역의 강우량과 유입량을 대상으로 이변량 분석을 수행하고자 한다. 최종적으로 비선형 관계에 있는 강수량과 유출량 사이에 이변량 빈도해석 모형을 개발하고 기존 해석방법과의 종합적인 비교를 실시하였다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.465-475
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• 2020

I-D-F curves were induced by Box-Cox transformation using rainfall data from five major cities in Korea: Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Daejeon, and Gwangju, as well as from Sancheong (South Gyeongsang province) and Yeongcheon (North Gyeongsang province) stations. The practicality of the Box-Cox transformation is more scalable than the traditional method of frequency analysis in terms of applicability because it is available even if the analysis data are insufficient to perform general frequency analysis and do not produce an appropriate probability density function. For the case in which rainfall data for the entire period (10-1440 minutes) and short-term period (20, 30, 40, 50 minutes) at the foregoing 7 stations are omitted, there was a relative error of -23.0 % to 14.7 % at a duration of 10 to 60 minutes below the 100-year frequency. Accordingly, rainfall analysis requires inducing I-D-F curves, including for the short term (20, 30, 40, 50 minutes), and if rainfall data are omitted for the short term (20, 30, 40, 50 minutes), it is necessary to increase the existing margin rate depending on the point in order to ensure the safe design of small-scale hydraulic structures.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.45 no.5
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• pp.431-444
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• 2012

This study investigated the differences between annual maximum series and annual maximum independent rainfall event series with relatively short and long rainfall durations. Annual maximum independent rainfall events were selected by applying various IETDs and thresholds to the hourly rainfall data in Seoul for the duration from 1961 to 2010. Annual maximum independent rainfall event series decided were then compared with the conventional annual maximum series. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the effect of IETD and threshold was not beyond the expected level. For example, as the IETD increases, the frequencies of independent rainfall events decreased similarly in their rate for both with short and long durations. However, as the threshold increases, the frequency of those with rather long durations decreased much higher. Second, The mean rainfall intensity of the independent rainfall events was found to remain constant regardless of their duration. This indicates that the annual maximum rainfall intensity could be found in a rainfall event with longer durations. Lastly, the difference between the annual maximum rainfall series and the annual maximum independent rainfall event series with rather short rainfall durations was found significantly large, which decreases with longer durations. This result indicates that the conventional data analysis method, especially for small basins with short concentration time, could lead an unrealistic design rainfall with little possibility of occurrence.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.17-25
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• 2005

This paper presents a case history of a geosynthetics-reinforced segmental retaining wall, which collapsed during a sever rainfall immediately after the completion of the wall construction. In an attempt to identify possible causes for the collapse, a comprehensive investigation was carried out including physical and strength tests on the backfill, stability analyses on the as-built design based on the current design approaches, and slope stability analyses with pore pressure consideration. The investigation revealed that the inappropriate as-built design and the bad-quality backfill were mainly responsible for the collapse. This paper describes the site condition including wall design, details of the results of investigation and finally, lessons learned. Practical significance of the findings from this study is also discussed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.279-279
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• 2023

최근 온실가스의 배출량이 급격히 증가하였고, 지구온난화로 인해 전 세계적으로 홍수, 가뭄, 태풍 등 이상기후로 인한 극한 수문 현상들의 변화가 두드러지게 나타나고 있다. 수공구조물의 설계에 있어 적절한 확률강우량의 추정은 매우 중요한 과정 중의 하나이다. 확률강우량의 추정은 일반적으로 확보된 강우자료를 지속시간별로 연최대자료를 추출하여 빈도해석을 통해 산정하게 된다. 그러나 기후변화의 영향으로 집중호우와 잦은 홍수로 인한 피해가 증가함에따라 과거 강우자료를 바탕으로 확률강우강도를 활용하여 확률강우량을 추정하는 것이 매우 어려워졌다. 따라서, 이번 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오 중 하나인 RCP 시나리오를 활용하며, 우리나라 온실가스 저감정책을 잘 반영하고 있는 것으로 보고되는 RCP 4.5시나리오와 RCP 8.5 시나리오를 선정하여 1975년도부터 2020년도까지의 모의자료와 2021년도부터 2100년도까지의 미래강우량 자료를 통해 강원지역을 대상으로 비정상성 GEV 모형을 활용하여 지역빈도해석을 수행하고 미래 설계강우량 산정을 위한 비정상성 IDF 곡선을 유도하여 분석하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.222-222
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• 2020

급격한 기후변화와 도시화, 산업화로 인해 도시지역의 홍수피해가 증가하고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 재해 중 45%가 극한 강우 또는 홍수로 인한 재해로 확인되었으며, 급속도로 확장되고 있는 도시화 추세로 인해 도시지역의 홍수피해가 더욱 심화되고 있다(UNISDR, 2016). 기후변화 및 도시화로 인한 도시지역의 홍수피해가 증가하면서 시가지 건물 배치 및 도로망과 같은 복잡한 지역특성이 침수에 주는 영향을 분석할 필요성이 점차 증가하고 있다. 도시지역에서 홍수가 발생할 경우 복잡한 도로망은 배수로 역할을 하며 건물의 밀집도와 배치는 골목길 등에서 침수심을 증가시켜 안전한 구역이 좁아지는 효과를 발생시키고 있다. 본 연구에서는 우선 복잡한 시가지를 특성화하여 분석 할 수 있도록 이상화된 시가지 모형을 설계하고 제작한 후 유량에 따른 흐름 특성 변화를 분석하였으며, 기초 실험 결과를 바탕으로 강우강도에 따른 유황 변화와 연계할 예정이다. 기초 실험 수행을 위하여 먼저 건물 배치 밀집도를 고려하여 주거구역을 불록화하여 직선형의 이상적인 도시지역의 시가지 모형을 설계한 후 실험 모형을 제작하였다. 하천 범람으로 인한 침수발생을 재현하기 위해 상류 도로망에서 유량이 유입되도록 제작하였으며, 유입조건에 따라 변화하는 시가지 내부 침수 흐름은 LSPIV 기법을 이용하여 분석하였다. 유입조건에 따른 시가지 내 침수 특성을 분석한 결과 지형적 경사 특성에 의해 시가지 내부에서 흐름이 가속되며, 모형의 사거리 구간에서는 흐름 유입 방향에 대해 횡방향으로 흐름이 합류하는 경우에는 합류 흐름이 유속이 더 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 합류 이후 유속이 증가하면서 피해 발생 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.123-133
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• 2001

Since most of soil slopes are in an unsaturated state, it is necessary to consider the unsaturated characteristics of soil slopes, in order to obtain more reasonable results. Therefore in this study we supplemented a slope stability analysis program to consider them, based on the concept of limit equilibrium. We also applied an optimization technique to search for a failure surface. Besides, we carried out experiments to obtain the unsaturated soil properties required in the analysis with weathered granite soils. We formulated a nonlinear apparent cohesion relationship with the matrix suction to be able to apply the unsaturated shear strength characteristics to the stability analysis. In addition, we intended to obtain more accurate soil water characteristic curves(SWCC) by measuring the change in volume of the specimen in the SWCC tests. As a result, we could appropriately assess the change of the safety factor according to the rainfall intensity and duration, by considering the variation of suction, permeability, and shear strength caused by the infiltration of rainfall into slopes.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.67-74
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• 2007

Rational method has been widely used to calculate peak runoff drainage design or small watershed because of simplicity and convenience. Runoff coefficient(C) is the most important parameter in the rational method which varies according to rainfall intensity, return period, rainfall duration time and soil characteristics. In practice, constant which is value of C in rational formula has been used from the table, originally based on ASCE. These table value does not consider the upper conditions of the depending factors, hence peak runoff calculation could be in correct. Therefore to calculate C in this paper we have devised an improved formula, considering relationship with rainfall duration, return period and CN of NRCS method. This formula is considered to be more reliable and helpful to the hydrologists and engineers to predict correct peak runoff.

• Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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• v.4
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• pp.77-86
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• 1986

The purpose of this study is to estimate an optimum formula of rainfall intensity on basis of the characteristics for short period of rainfall duration in Kyungpook province for the design of urban sewerage and small basin drain system. Results studied are as follows; 1. The optimum method for Taegu and Pohang, Iwai's and Gumbel-Chow's method are recommended respectively. 2. The opotimum type of rainfall intensity for these area, $I=\frac{a}{\sqrt{t}+b}$ (Japanese type), is confirmed with 2.52~4.17 and 1.86~4.54 as a standard deviation for Taegu and Pohang respectively. The optimum formula of rainfall intensity are as follows. Taegu : T : 200 year - $I=\frac{824}{\sqrt{t}+1.5414}$ T : 100 year - $I=\frac{751}{\sqrt{t}+1.4902}$ T : 50 year - $I=\frac{678}{\sqrt{t}+1.4437}$ T : 30 year - $I=\frac{623}{\sqrt{t}+1.4017}$ T : 20 year - $I=\frac{580}{\sqrt{t}+1.3721}$ T : 10 year - $I=\frac{502}{\sqrt{t}+1.3145}$ T : 5 year - $I=\frac{418}{\sqrt{t}+1.2515}$ Pohang : T : 200 year - $I=\frac{468}{\sqrt{t}+1.1468}$ T : 100 year - $I=\frac{429}{\sqrt{t}+1.1605}$ T : 50 year - $I=\frac{391}{\sqrt{t}+1.1852}$ T : 30 year - $I=\frac{362}{\sqrt{t}+1.2033}$ T : 20 year - $I=\frac{339}{\sqrt{t}+1.2229}$ T : 10 year - $I=\frac{299}{\sqrt{t}+1.2578}$ T : 5 year - $I=\frac{257}{\sqrt{t}+1.3026}$ 3. Significant I.D.F. curves derived should be applied to estimate a suitable rainfall intensity and rainfall duration.

• Water for future
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.23-32
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• 1982

This study is to clarify the relation between the maximum 24 hour rainfall and the daily rainfall of a designated time 10 A.M., using the 506 rainfall datum from 32 rain-guage stations on the Han river basin covering a period of 7 years and trying to estimate the ratio of two data in accordance with the amount of rainfall respectively. The Mononobe's formula, which is widely used in this country, has the value of 2/3 power in it. The "n" was considered instead of 2/3 and derivated for each guaging station. The results make it possible to establish the Ison-n value map, and show that the n value is affected mainly by the topographical conditions. The daily rainfall of a designated time can be modified by the results of this study and expressed as Y(%)=218.25/R$$. But in the case of exceeding 200mm/day, it is recommended to use the 110% for safety. On the problems of intensity-duration concerned with the planning of public works, the formula can be expressed as r$$=fRday/24.(24/t)$$, where "f" is Y(%) divided by 100. As this study was done with the datum within shor period, it is necessary to study more about the "n" and "f" value so as to get previse value in the future.o as to get previse value in the future.