• Title/Summary/Keyword: 설계파고

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장보고 시설사업에서의 실시간 파고예측시스템 개발 및 적용

  • Heo, Jin-Uk;Choe, Han-Rim;Park, Seung-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.55-56
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    • 2018
  • 대규모 해군 사업인 장보고-III 시설사업의 간략한 사업개요와 공사시 또는 완공후의 원활한 시설운용을 위한 파고예측시스템을 개발 및 적용하였다. 진해만의 지리적 특성을 고려하여 풍파가 주요파라메타로 설정하였으며, 인근 기상대 바람예보 자료를 활용하여 주요지점에 대해 파고를 예측할 수 있는 시스템을 개발하였으며, 향후 공사시 활용할 수 있다. 또한, 특정사업 및 특정 지역에 대한 간략 파고예측시스템의 제작으로 시공 및 현장에 유익한 정보 전달이 가능하다.

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Design Wave Period Estimation Using the Wave Height Information (파고 정보를 이용한 설계주기 추정)

  • Hong-Yeon Cho;Weon Mu Jeong;Ju Whan Kang;Gi-Seop Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.84-94
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    • 2023
  • The wave height and period regression curve is widely used to estimate the design wave period. In this study, the parameters of the curves are estimated, compared, and evaluated using the linear, robust linear, and nonlinear regression methods, respectively. The data used in the design wave height estimation are the annual maxima (AM) wave height and period data sets divided by typhoon and non-typhoon conditions, provided by the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (2019). The estimation parameters show significant differences in the local coastal waters and the estimation methods. The estimation parameters based on the Suh et al. (2008, 2010) method show the apparent bias, under-estimation in the intercept (scale) parameter, and over-estimation in the slope (exponent) parameter, respectively.

Analysis of Failure Probability of Armor Units and Uncertainties of Design Wave Heights due to Uncertainties of Parameters in Extreme Wave Height Distributions (극치파고분포의 모수 불확실성에 따른 설계파고의 불확실성 및 피복재의 파괴확률 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2010
  • A Monte-Carlo simulation method is proposed which can take uncertainties of scale and location parameters of Gumbel distribution into account straightforwardly in evaluating significant design wave heights with respect to return periods. The uncertainties of design wave heights may directly depend on the amounts of uncertainties of scale parameter and those distributions may be followed by Gumbel distribution. In case of that the expected values of maximum significant wave height during lifetime of structures are considered to be the design wave heights, more uncertainties are happened than in those evaluated according to return periods with encounter probability concepts. In addition, reliability analyses on the armor units are carried out to investigate into the effects of the uncertainties of design wave heights on the probability of failure. The failure probabilities of armor units to 5% damage level for 50 return periods are evaluated and compared according to the methods of taking uncertainties of design wave heights into account. It is found that the probabilities of failure may be distributed into wide ranges of bounds when the uncertainties of design wave heights are assumed to be same as those of annual maximum significant wave heights.

평상파의 항내정온도 분석을 통한 항만가동률의 산정

  • 정원무;정신택;채봉원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
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    • 1993.07a
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 1993
  • 지금까지의 항만정온도 평가시에는 주로 회귀연도 50연의 설계파를 입사파로 사용하여 대상수역에서의 파고비를 구한 후 평상시의 파랑에 대해서도 이 비율이 선형적으로 적용 가능한 것으로 가정하고 사용하였다. 그러나, 설계액와 평상시 파랑은 주기외 파고가 달라서 파랑경사가 다르므로 위와 같이 파고비가 선형적으로 비례한다고 가정하는 것은 실제와 상당한 차이를 야기시킬 수 있다. (중략)

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Characteristics on the Extreme Value Distributions of Deepwater Design ave Heights off the Korean Coast (한국 연안 심해 설계파고의 극치분포 특성)

  • Shin Taek Jeong;Jeong Dae Kim;Cho Hong Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.130-141
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    • 2004
  • For a coastal or harbor structure design, one of the most important environmental factors is the appropriate design wave condition. Especially, the information of deepwater wave height distribution is essential for reliability design. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the Weibull, the Gumbel, the Log-pearson Type-III, and Lognormal distribution. For each of these distributions, three parameter estimation methods, i.e. the method of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments, were applied. Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit tests were performed, and the assumed distribution was accepted at the confidence level 95%. Gumbel distribution which best fits to the 67 station was selected as the most probable parent distribution, and optimally estimated parameters and 50 year design wave heights were presented.

Prediction of Extreme Design Wave Height (극한 설계 파고의 추정)

  • Chon, Y.K.;Ha, T.B.
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 1996
  • In this study, the technique to evaluate the extreme design wave height of certain return period is developed from the given measured or hindcasted sea state data of concerned area for limited period. By using the order statistics and Monte Carlo Simulation method, the best fit probability distribution function with proper parameters describing the given wave height data is chosen, from which extreme design wave height can be predicted by extrapolation to the desired return period. The fitness and the confidence limit of the chosen probability function are also discussed. Application calculation is carried out for the wave height data given by applying the Wilson wave model theory to major 50 typhoon wind data affecting Korean South coast during the year from 1938 to 1987.

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Evaluation of Effective Working Days in a Harbor Considering Harbor Resonance and Moored Ship Motion (항만공진주기와 선박동요량을 고려한 항만가동율 산정)

  • Kwak, Moonsu;Moon, Yongho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2015
  • This study proposed an estimation method of allowable wave height for loading and unloading of the ship and evaluation of effective working days considering moored ship motion that is affected by sip sizes, mooring conditions, wave periods and directions. The method was examined validity by comparison with wave field data at pier $8^{th}$ in Pohang New Harbor. The wave field data obtained with wave height of 0.10~0.75 m and wave period of 7~13 s in ship sizes of 800~35,000 ton when a downtimes have occurred. On the other hand, the results of allowable wave height for loading and unloading of the ship in this method have obtained with wave heights of 0.19~0.50 m and wave periods of 8~12 s for ship sizes of 5,000, 10,000 and 30,000 ton. Thus this method well reproduced the field data respond to various a ship sizes and wave periods. And the results of this in Korea are didn't respond to various the ship sizes and wave periods, and we h method tended to decrease in 16~62 percent when have considered long wave, and it is decreased in 0~46 percent when didn't consider long wave than design standards in case of the ship sizes of 5,000~30,000 ton, wave period of 12 s and wave angle of $75^{\circ}$. The allowable wave heights for loading and unloading of the ship proposed by design standards in Korea have found that overestimated on smaller than 10,000 ton. On the other hand, the rate of effective working days considering ship motion at pier $8^{th}$ in Pohang New Harbor reduced in 6.5 percent when compare with the results without considering ship motion.

Independence and Homogeneity Tests of the Annual Maxima Data used to Estimate the Design Wave Height (설계파고 추정에 사용한 연 최대 자료의 독립 및 분포 동질 검정)

  • Cho, Hong Yeon;Jeong, Weon Mu;Back, Jong Dai
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.26-38
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    • 2020
  • A statistical test was carried out on the IID (Independently and Identically Distributed) assumption of the AM (Annual Maxima) data used to estimate the design wave height. The test was divided into independence (randomness) test and homogeneity test, and each test was conducted on AM data of 210 and 310 stations in coastal and inner coastal grids in typhoon and non-typhoon (monsoon) conditions. As a result of the independence test, the rejection ratios of the test are in the range of 1.8~5.3% and 1.4~6.0% for the non-typhoon and typhoon data sets, respectively. On the other hand, in the distribution difference test of typhoon data and nontyphoon data, the same distribution hypothesis was found to be rejected in the range of 47~79% according to the test method for both coastal grid and inner coastal grid. Therefore, in estimating design wave height by extreme value analysis, the estimation process by dividing the typhoon and non-typhoon data is appropriate.

Numerical Analysis of Nonlinear Shoaling Process of Random Waves - Centered on the Evolution of Wave Height Distribution at the Varying Stages of Shoaling Process (불규칙 파랑 비선형 천수 과정 수치해석 - 천수 단계별 파고분포 변화를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yong Hee;Cho, Yong Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.106-121
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    • 2020
  • In order to make harbor outskirt facilities robust using the reliability-based design, probabilistic models of wave heights at varying stage of shoaling process optimized for Korean sea waves are prerequisite. In this rationale, we numerically simulate the nonlinear shoaling process of random waves over the beach with a sandbar at its foreshore. In doing so, comprehensive numerical models made of spatially filtered Navier-Stokes Eq., LES [Large Eddy Simulation], dynamic Smagorinsky turbulence closure were used. Considering the characteristics of swells observed at the east coast of Korean Peninsula, random waves were simulated using JONSWAP wave spectrum of various peak enhancement coefficients and random phase method. The coefficients of probabilistic models proposed in this study are estimated from the results of frequency analysis of wave crests and its associated trough detected by Wave by Wave Analysis of the time series of numerically simulated free surface displacements based on the threshold crossing method. Numerical results show that Modified Glukhovskiy wave height distribution, the most referred probabilistic models at finite water depth in the literature, over-predicts the occurring probability of relatively large and small wave heights, and under predicts the occurrence rate of waves of moderate heights. On the other hand, probabilistic models developed in this study show vary encouraging agreements. In addition, the discrepancy of the Modified Glukhovskiy distribution from the measured one are most visible over the surf zone, and as a result, the Modified Glukhovskiy distribution should be applied with caution for the reliability-based design of harbor outskirt facilities deployed near the surf-zone.