• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선형 추세

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Secular Trends and Influencing Factors for the Early Menarche among Korean Middle and High School Girls (우리나라 중고등학교 여학생의 조기 초경 경향과 영향요인)

  • Han, Dallong;Lee, Jongeun;Kim, Seonho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.319-327
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to identify the secular trend in age at menarche and to investigate the factors influence the early menarche(<12 years old) among Korean middle and high school girls. We analyzed data from the Korean Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey(KYRBWS) 2006-2014. This study was a descriptive study of 216,917 Korean middle and high school girls born between 1988 and 2002. Linear trends test performed to assess the trend age at menarche and percentage of early menarche. Multiple logistic regression analysis was to assess the risk factors influence the early menarche. Mean age at menarche decreased from $12.61{\pm}1.32$ years for middle and high school girls born 1988 to $11.88{\pm}0.75$ years for those born 2002(p for trends<.001). Percentage of early menarche increased from 19.7% to 25.2% between 1988 and 2002(p for trends<.001). Living in city, higher stress level, short sleep duration, and higher body mass index were associated with an early menarche among middle and high school girls(all p<.001). We found that age at menarche is still falling in the Korean adolescents, and it need intervention strategies to control the early menarche.

Spatio-Temporal Changes in Seasonal Multi-day Cumulative Extreme Precipitation Events in the Republic of Korea (우리나라 사계절 다중일 누적 극한강수현상의 시·공간적 변화)

  • Choi, Gwangyong
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.98-113
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    • 2015
  • In this study, spatial and temporal patterns and changes in seasonal multi-day cumulative extreme precipitation events defined by maximum 1~5 days cumulative extreme precipitation observed at 61 weather stations in the Republic of Korea for the recent 40 years(1973~2012) are examined. It is demonstrated that the magnitude of multi-day cumulative extreme precipitation events is greatest in summer, while their sensitivity relative to the variations of seasonal total precipitation is greatest in fall. According to analyses of linear trends in the time series data, the most noticeable increases in the magnitude of multi-day cumulative extreme precipitation events are observable in summer with coherences amongst 1~5 days cumulative extreme precipitation events. In particular, the regions with significant increases include Gyeonggi province, western Gangwon province and Chungcheong province, and as the period for the accumulation of extreme precipitation increases from 1 day to 5 days, the regions with significantly-increasing trends are extended to the Sobaek mountain ridge. It is notable that at several scattered stations, the increases of 1~2 days cumulative extreme precipitation events are observed even in winter. It is also observed that most distinct increasing tendency of the ratio of these multi-day cumulative extreme precipitation to seasonal total precipitation appears in winter. These results indicate that proactive actions are needed for spatial and temporal changes in not only summer but also other seasonal multi-day cumulative extreme precipitation events in Korea.

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A Study on Forecasting Manpower Demand for Smart Shipping and Port Logistics (스마트 해운항만물류 인력 수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Sang-Hoon Shin;Yong-John Shin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 2023
  • Trend analysis and time series analysis were conducted to predict the demand of manpower under the smartization of shipping and port logistics with transportation survey data of Statistic Korea during the period from 2000 to 2020 and Statistical Yearbook data of Korean Seafarers from 2004 to 2021. A linear regression model was adopted since the validity of the model was evaluated as the highest in forecasting manpower demand in the shipping and port logistics industry. As a result of forecasting the demand of manpower in autonomous ship, remote ship management, smart shipping business, smart port, smart warehouse, and port logistics service from 2021 to 2035, the demand for smart shipping and port logistics personnel was predicted to increase to 8,953 in 2023, 20,688 in 2030, and 26,557 in 2035. This study aimed to increase the predictability of manpower demand through objective estimation analysis, which has been rarely conducted in the smart shipping and port logistics industry. Finally, the result of this research may help establish future strategies for human resource development for professionals in smart shipping and port logistics by utilizing the demand forecasting model described in this paper.

Fabrication and properties of high voltage and capacitance capacitor (고전압 고용량 커패시터 제작 및 특성)

  • Ma, Hong-Chan;Lee, Hee-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.190-190
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    • 2009
  • 전자산업에의 필수인 커패시터는 소형화, 저저항, 고전압을 향한 추세가 늘고 있으며, 이외에도 고전압 전원, 고전압 회로 등 중전기기에 필요한 고전압, 고용량 커패시터가 사용되고 있다. 중전기기에 사용되는 커패시터는 기기에 따라 틀리지만 내전압이 보통 10kV 이상이고 정전용량이 500pF 안팎이며, 대부분 외국에서 수입에 의존하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 $Nb_2O_5$를 2mol% 첨가한 $BaTiO_3$를 일반적인 고상 소결법으로 제조하고 성형 시 crack을 방지하기 위해 binder 및 plasticizer를 사용하였으며, binder 첨가량에 따른 성형밀도를 측정하여 최적의 binder양을 선택하였다. 성형 밀도가 떨어짐에 따라 절연파괴강도가 낮아지기 때문에 성형 밀도를 높이기 위해 CIP를 하였으며, 소결후 capacitance와 d-factor를 측정하여 수치가 허용 범위에 들어 올 경우 전극을 형성하고 표면파괴를 방지하기 위하여 epoxy로 표면코팅을 하였다. DC 60kV용 Hi-pot tester를 사용하여 15kV까지 선형적으로 증가시켜 내전압 테스트를 실시하였으며, 제조 된 커패시터 중 몇 개의 sample을 SEM 및 XRD를 사용하여 미세구조와 결정상을 조사하였다.

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A Study Shear Behavior of Reinforced Concrete Beams Mixed Steel Fiber (강섬유(鋼纖維)를 혼입(混入)한 철근(鐵筋)콘크리트 보의 전단학동(剪斷學動)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Kwak, Kae Hwan;Lee, Kwang Myong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1991
  • Recently the use of steel fibers has been increased in flexural members and columns of concrete structures subjected to cyclic loadings; such as bridge decks, highway roads, runway of airport, buildings, etc.. However only a few experimental tests have been carried out under fatigue loading. In the present study, the reinforced concrete beams with 1% and 2% steel fiber volume fraction are investigated with and without stirrups. It has been found that in fatigue tests, the failure of the beam is usually due to breaking of fibers rather than fiber pull-out. A comparison of experiments and numerical analysis using the nonlinear F.E.M. program (ADINA) is also presented herein.

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Forecasting the Time-Series Data Converged on Time PLOT and Moving Average (Time PLOT과 이동평균 융합 시계열 데이터 예측)

  • Lee, Jun-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2015
  • It is very difficult to predict time-series data. This is because data obtained from the signal having a non-linear characteristic has an uncertainty. In this paper, By differentiating time-series data is the average of the past data under the premise that change depending on what pattern, and find the soft look of time-series change pattern. This paper also apply the probability variables to generalize time-series data having a specific data according to the reflection ratio of the differentiation. The predicted value is estimated by removing cyclic movement and seasonal fluctuation, and reflect the trend by extracting the irregular fluctuation. Predicted value has demonstrated the superiority of the proposed algorithm and compared with the best results by a simple moving average and the moving average.

Nonparametric Method in One-way Layout for Umbrella Alternatives based on Placement (일원배치법에서 Umbrella Alternatives에 대한 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Lee, Hyejung;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1181-1189
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    • 2015
  • The treatment effect in clinical tests depending on dose of the drug; however, it can show a decreasing trend in fixed dose level due to side effects. The trend is known as an umbrella pattern; in addition, the method for the umbrella alternative is quite useful when the tendency is predicted in advance. In this paper, we propose a nonparametric method of umbrella alternatives for a one-way layout by using linear placement described in Orban and Wolfe (1982). The Monte Carlo simulation is adapted to compare the power of proposed procedure with previous methods.

Long-term Characteristics of Heavy Metal Contamination in Highway Roadside Soil and Sediment (고속도로변 토양과 퇴적물의 중금속 장기 오염 특성)

  • Lee, Eui-Sang;Lee, Ju-Goang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.385-394
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    • 2007
  • To study long-term characteristics of the heavy metal contamination, soil and sediment samples were collected at 14 sites in highway roadside during 6 years. The total concentrations of metals including Zn, Ni, Cu. Pb, Cr, Cd, and As in those samples were investigated. The results indicate that concentrations of Zn, Ni, and Cu in highway roadside soils are much higher than the metal concentrations in background soils and appear to be increased gradually. Strong linear relationships between the cumulative traffic and the contents of the metals in highway roadside soils were obtained. Therefore, they might be used to predict the heavy metal concentrations in the future highway roadside soils for establishing the countermeasure of soil and sediment contamination.

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An Assessment of Rock Pillar Behavior in Very Near Parallel Tunnel (초근접 병설터널의 암반 필라 거동 평가)

  • Kim, Won-Beom;Yang, Hyung-Sik;Ha, Tae-Wook
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2012
  • Focusing on the load tunnel, this study assessed the behavior of rock pillars with less than 0.5D of the minimized distance between the two horizontal tunnels by using a three dimensional numerical analysis. Based on a parameter affecting the behavior of rock pillars, this study evaluated different safety factors according to pillar width, depth and rock conditions. It turned out that as the pillar width increases, the current curve of safety factors in accordance with depth and rock conditions shows more of the nonlinear behavior. Judging from the minimum safety factor, the study suggested a design chart, working on the minimized distance between the two horizontal tunnels.

Thin film thickness profile measurement using white light scanning interferometry (백색광 주사 간섭법을 이용한 박막의 두께 형상 측정법)

  • 김기홍;김승우
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.373-378
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    • 1999
  • White light scanning interferometry is increasingly used for precision profile metrology of engineering surfaces, but its current application is primarily limited to opaque surfaces with relatively simple optical reflection behaviors. In this paper, a new attempt is made to extend the interferometric method to the thickness profile measurement of transparent thin film layers. An extensive frequency domain analysis of multiple reflection is performed to allow both the top and bottom interfaces of a thin film layer to be measured independently at the same time using nonlinear least squares technique. This rigorous approach provides not only point-by-point thickness probing but also complete volumetric film profiles digitized in three dimensions.

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