• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선형회귀 모델

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Effect of forearm length applied on empirical models of maximum endurance time during isometric elbow flexion (등척성 팔굽 굽힘시 최대근지구력시간의 실증적 모델에 적용한 전완길이의 영향)

  • Sang-Sik Lee;Kiyoung Lee
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2023
  • During isometric elbow flexion, forearm length should be an important factor to determine not only joint torque but also maximum endurance time (MET), when the forearm is perpendicular to the direction of the force. The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of forearm length as an additional factor on empirical models of MET such as an exponential model and a power model during isometric elbow flexion. Thirty volunteers participated in our experiment to measure factor variables such as circumferences and lengths of their upper and lower arms. Their METs were measured according to the percent of maximum voluntary contraction intensity (%MVC). For the multiple linear regression model of ln(MET) using these measurements, significant variables could be observed in %MVC and forearm lengths (P<0.05). The empirical models were assessed by these models using forearm length as the additional factor. Mean absolute deviations (MAD) between the measured METs amd the two empirical models were about 19.4 [s], but MAD using models applied forearm lengths were reduced to about 16.2 [s]. The correlation coefficients and intraclass correlation coefficients were about 0.87, but those applied forearm lengths were increased to about 0.91. These results demonstrated that forearm length was a significant additional factor to the empirical model.

Thermal Spatial Representativity of Meteorological Stations using MODIS Land Surface Temperature (MODIS 지표면온도 자료를 이용한 기상관측소의 열적 공간 대표성 조사)

  • Lee, Chang-Suk;Han, Kyung-Soo;Yeom, Jong-Min;Song, Bong-Geun;Kim, Young-Seup
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2007
  • Thermal spatial representativities of meteorological stations over Korea have been investigated using land surface temperature (LST) based on MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite observation. The linear regression method was used to estimate air temperatures from MODIS LST product. To compare MODIS LST with observed air temperatures at six meteorological stations, the mean values of MODIS LST with nine given window sizes were calculated. In this case, the position of centered pixel in each given window size is correspond to that of each meteorological station. We also applied $4^{\circ}C$ threshold for RMSE comparison, which is based on a analogous study on daily maximum air temperature model using satellite data. In this study, the results showed that each station has a different representativity; Deajeon $15km{\times}15km$, Chuncheon $11km{\times}11km$, Seoul $7km{\times}7km$, Deagu $5km{\times}5km$, Kwangju $3km{\times}3km$, and Busan $3km{\times}3km$.

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Development of Long-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Model using Sliding Period Learning and Characteristics of Major Districts (주요 지역별 특성과 이동 기간 학습 기법을 활용한 장기 전력수요 예측 모형 개발)

  • Gong, InTaek;Jeong, Dabeen;Bak, Sang-A;Song, Sanghwa;Shin, KwangSup
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2019
  • For power energy, optimal generation and distribution plans based on accurate demand forecasts are necessary because it is not recoverable after they have been delivered to users through power generation and transmission processes. Failure to predict power demand can cause various social and economic problems, such as a massive power outage in September 2011. In previous studies on forecasting power demand, ARIMA, neural network models, and other methods were developed. However, limitations such as the use of the national average ambient air temperature and the application of uniform criteria to distinguish seasonality are causing distortion of data or performance degradation of the predictive model. In order to improve the performance of the power demand prediction model, we divided Korea into five major regions, and the power demand prediction model of the linear regression model and the neural network model were developed, reflecting seasonal characteristics through regional characteristics and migration period learning techniques. With the proposed approach, it seems possible to forecast the future demand in short term as well as in long term. Also, it is possible to consider various events and exceptional cases during a certain period.

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Application and Comparison of Dynamic Artificial Neural Networks for Urban Inundation Analysis (도시침수 해석을 위한 동적 인공신경망의 적용 및 비교)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Keum, Ho Jun;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.671-683
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    • 2018
  • The flood damage caused by heavy rains in urban watershed is increasing, and, as evidenced by many previous studies, urban flooding usually exceeds the water capacity of drainage networks. The flood on the area which considerably urbanized and densely populated cause serious social and economic damage. To solve this problem, deterministic and probabilistic studies have been conducted for the prediction flooding in urban areas. However, it is insufficient to obtain lead times and to derive the prediction results for the flood volume in a short period of time. In this study, IDNN, TDNN and NARX were compared for real-time flood prediction based on urban runoff analysis to present the optimal real-time urban flood prediction technique. As a result of the flood prediction with rainfall event of 2010 and 2011 in Gangnam area, the Nash efficiency coefficient of the input delay artificial neural network, the time delay neural network and nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs are 0.86, 0.92, 0.99 and 0.53, 0.41, 0.98 respectively. Comparing with the result of the error analysis on the predicted result, it is revealed that the use of nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs must be appropriate for the establishment of urban flood response system in the future.

In-network Aggregation Query Processing using the Data-Loss Correction Method in Data-Centric Storage Scheme (데이터 중심 저장 환경에서 소설 데이터 보정 기법을 이용한 인-네트워크 병합 질의 처리)

  • Park, Jun-Ho;Lee, Hyo-Joon;Seong, Dong-Ook;Yoo, Jae-Soo
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.315-323
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    • 2010
  • In Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), various Data-Centric Storages (DCS) schemes have been proposed to store the collected data and to efficiently process a query. A DCS scheme assigns distributed data regions to sensor nodes and stores the collected data to the sensor which is responsible for the data region to process the query efficiently. However, since the whole data stored in a node will be lost when a fault of the node occurs, the accuracy of the query processing becomes low, In this paper, we propose an in-network aggregation query processing method that assures the high accuracy of query result in the case of data loss due to the faults of the nodes in the DCS scheme. When a data loss occurs, the proposed method creates a compensation model for an area of data loss using the linear regression technique and returns the result of the query including the virtual data. It guarantees the query result with high accuracy in spite of the faults of the nodes, To show the superiority of our proposed method, we compare E-KDDCS (KDDCS with the proposed method) with existing DCS schemes without the data-loss correction method. In the result, our proposed method increases accuracy and reduces query processing costs over the existing schemes.

Implementing an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Emotion Prediction Based on Heart Rate Variability(HRV) (심박변이도를 이용한 적응적 뉴로 퍼지 감정예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung Soo;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2019
  • An accurate prediction of emotion is a very important issue for the sake of patient-centered medical device development and emotion-related psychology fields. Although there have been many studies on emotion prediction, no studies have applied the heart rate variability and neuro-fuzzy approach to emotion prediction. We propose ANFEP(Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy System for Emotion Prediction) HRV. The ANFEP bases its core functions on an ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) which integrates neural networks with fuzzy systems as a vehicle for training predictive models. To prove the proposed model, 50 participants were invited to join the experiment and Heart rate variability was obtained and used to input the ANFEP model. The ANFEP model with STDRR and RMSSD as inputs and two membership functions per input variable showed the best results. The result out of applying the ANFEP to the HRV metrics proved to be significantly robust when compared with benchmarking methods like linear regression, support vector regression, neural network, and random forest. The results show that reliable prediction of emotion is possible with less input and it is necessary to develop a more accurate and reliable emotion recognition system.

Development of water circulation status estimation model by using multiple linear regression analysis of urban characteristic factors (도시특성 요인의 다중선형회귀 분석을 이용한 물순환상태추정모델 개발)

  • Kim, Youngran;Hwang, Seonghwan;Lee, Yunsun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 2020
  • Identifying the water circulation status is one of the indispensable processes for watershed management in an urban area. Recently, various water circulation models have been developed to simulate the water circulation, but it takes a lot of time and cost to make a water circulation model that could adapt the characteristics of the watershed. This paper aims to develop a water circulation state estimation model that could easily calculate the status of water circulation in an urban watershed by using multiple linear regression analysis. The study watershed is a watershed in Seoul that applied the impermeable area ratio in 1962 and 2000. And, It was divided into 73 watersheds in order to consider changes in water circulation status according to the urban characteristic factors. The input data of the SHER(Similar Hydrologic Element Response) model, a water circulation model, were used as data for the urban characteristic factors of each watershed. A total of seven factors were considered as urban characteristic factors. Those factors included annual precipitation, watershed area, average land-surface slope, impervious surface ratio, coefficient of saturated permeability, hydraulic gradient of groundwater surface, and length of contact line with downstream block. With significance probabilities (or p-values) of 0.05 and below, all five models showed significant results in estimating the water circulation status such as the surface runoff rate and the evapotranspiration rate. The model that was applied all seven urban characteristics factors, can calculate the most similar results such as the existing water circulation model. The water circulation estimation model developed in this study is not only useful to simply estimate the water circulation status of ungauged watersheds but can also provide data for parameter calibration and validation.

A comparison of imputation methods using nonlinear models (비선형 모델을 이용한 결측 대체 방법 비교)

  • Kim, Hyein;Song, Juwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.543-559
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    • 2019
  • Data often include missing values due to various reasons. If the missing data mechanism is not MCAR, analysis based on fully observed cases may an estimation cause bias and decrease the precision of the estimate since partially observed cases are excluded. Especially when data include many variables, missing values cause more serious problems. Many imputation techniques are suggested to overcome this difficulty. However, imputation methods using parametric models may not fit well with real data which do not satisfy model assumptions. In this study, we review imputation methods using nonlinear models such as kernel, resampling, and spline methods which are robust on model assumptions. In addition, we suggest utilizing imputation classes to improve imputation accuracy or adding random errors to correctly estimate the variance of the estimates in nonlinear imputation models. Performances of imputation methods using nonlinear models are compared under various simulated data settings. Simulation results indicate that the performances of imputation methods are different as data settings change. However, imputation based on the kernel regression or the penalized spline performs better in most situations. Utilizing imputation classes or adding random errors improves the performance of imputation methods using nonlinear models.

Assessment of Streamflow and Evapotranspiration Influence on the Climate Change under SRES A1B Scenario (기후변화에 따른 A1B 시나리오의 유출 및 증발산량 영향 평가)

  • Ahn, So-Ra;Park, Min-Ji;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1097-1101
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 SLURP 수문모형을 이용하여 미래기후와 예측된 토지이용자료 및 식생의 활력도를 고려한 상태에서 하천유역의 유출 및 증발산량에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 경안천 상류유역($260.04\;km^2$)을 대상유역으로 선정하여 4개년(1999-2002) 동안의 일별 유출량 자료를 바탕으로 모형의 보정(1999-2000)과 검증(2001-2002)을 실시하였다. 모형의 보정 및 검정 결과 Nash-Sutcliffe 모형효율은 0.79에서 060의 범위로 나타났다. 미래 기후자료는 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 A1B 기후변화시나리오의 MIROC3.2 hires, ECHAM5-OM, HadCM3 모델의 결과값을 이용하였다. 먼저 과거 30년 기후자료(1977-2006, baseline)를 바탕으로 각 모델별 20C3M(20th Century Climate Coupled Model)의 모의 결과값을 이용하여 강수와 온도를 보정한 뒤 Change Factor Method로 Downscaling하였다. 미래 기후자료는 2020s(2010-2039), 2050s(2040-2069), 2080s(2070-2099)의 세 기간으로 나누어 분석하였다. 미래 토지이용은 과거 시계열 Landsat 토지이용도를 이용하여 CA-Markov기법으로 예측된 토지이용을 사용하였으며, 미래의 식생정보 예측을 위하여 NOAA/AVHRR 위성영상으로부터 추출된 월별 NDVI(1998-2002)와 월평균기온간의 선형 회귀식을 도출하여 미래의 식생지수 정보를 추정하였다. 모형의 적용결과, 미래기후변화에 따른 연평균 하천유출은 현재보다 최대 2020s는 23.9%, 2050s는 40.7%, 2080s는 39.5% 증가하였다. 봄 강수량 패턴의 변화로 유출량 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며 여름에는 유출량은 감소하고 증발산량은 증가하는 결과를 보였다.

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Characteristics of Soil Parameter for Lade's Single Work-Hardening Constitutive Model with Dry Density of Pocheon Granite Soil (포천 화강토의 건조단위중량에 따른 Lade의 단일항복면 구성모델의 토질매개변수 특성)

  • Cho, Won-Beom;Kim, Chan-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a series of the isotropic compression-expansion tests and the drained triaxial tests were performed on Pocheon granite soil with various the dry densities of $16.67kN/m^3$, $17.26kN/m^3$ and $17.65kN/m^3$. Using the tests results the characteristic of the parameters of Lade's single hardening constitutive model were investigated. The soil parameters such as kur and n related to elastic behavior, m and ${\eta}_1$ related to failure criterion, c and p related to hardening function and ${\psi}_2$ and ${\mu}$ related to plastic potential show in a positive linear relationship with the dry density. Since the soil parameters h and representing yield function do not change much to relative density and also are closely related to failure criterion, they can be replaced by failure criterion. We also observed that predicted values from the Lade's single hardening constitutive model were well consistent with the observed data.