• Title/Summary/Keyword: 서포트 벡터 머신

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Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on Machine Learning Considering the Influence of Particulate Matter (미세먼지의 영향을 고려한 머신러닝 기반 태양광 발전량 예측)

  • Sung, Sangkyung;Cho, Youngsang
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.467-495
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    • 2019
  • Uncertainty of renewable energy such as photovoltaic(PV) power is detrimental to the flexibility of the power system. Therefore, precise prediction of PV power generation is important to make the power system stable. The purpose of this study is to forecast PV power generation using meteorological data including particulate matter(PM). In this study, PV power generation is predicted by support vector machine using RBF kernel function based on machine learning. Comparing the forecasting performances by including or excluding PM variable in predictor variables, we find that the forecasting model considering PM is better. Forecasting models considering PM variable show error reduction of 1.43%, 3.60%, and 3.88% in forecasting power generation between 6am~8pm, between 12pm~2pm, and at 1pm, respectively. Especially, the accuracy of the forecasting model including PM variable is increased in daytime when PV power generation is high.

Classification of 3D Road Objects Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 3차원 도로객체의 분류)

  • Hong, Song Pyo;Kim, Eui Myoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.535-544
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    • 2018
  • Autonomous driving can be limited by only using sensors if the sensor is blocked by sudden changes in surrounding environments or large features such as heavy vehicles. In order to overcome the limitations, the precise road-map has been used additionally. This study was conducted to segment and classify road objects using 3D point cloud data acquired by terrestrial mobile mapping system provided by National Geographic Information Institute. For this study, the original 3D point cloud data were pre-processed and a filtering technique was selected to separate the ground and non-ground points. In addition, the road objects corresponding to the lanes, the street lights, the safety fences were initially segmented, and then the objects were classified using the support vector machine which is a kind of machine learning. For the training data for supervised classification, only the geometric elements and the height information using the eigenvalues extracted from the road objects were used. The overall accuracy of the classification results was 87% and the kappa coefficient was 0.795. It is expected that classification accuracy will be increased if various classification items are added not only geometric elements for classifying road objects in the future.

Ensemble Machine Learning Model Based YouTube Spam Comment Detection (앙상블 머신러닝 모델 기반 유튜브 스팸 댓글 탐지)

  • Jeong, Min Chul;Lee, Jihyeon;Oh, Hayoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.576-583
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    • 2020
  • This paper proposes a technique to determine the spam comments on YouTube, which have recently seen tremendous growth. On YouTube, the spammers appeared to promote their channels or videos in popular videos or leave comments unrelated to the video, as it is possible to monetize through advertising. YouTube is running and operating its own spam blocking system, but still has failed to block them properly and efficiently. Therefore, we examined related studies on YouTube spam comment screening and conducted classification experiments with six different machine learning techniques (Decision tree, Logistic regression, Bernoulli Naive Bayes, Random Forest, Support vector machine with linear kernel, Support vector machine with Gaussian kernel) and ensemble model combining these techniques in the comment data from popular music videos - Psy, Katy Perry, LMFAO, Eminem and Shakira.

Variable Selection of Feature Pattern using SVM-based Criterion with Q-Learning in Reinforcement Learning (SVM-기반 제약 조건과 강화학습의 Q-learning을 이용한 변별력이 확실한 특징 패턴 선택)

  • Kim, Chayoung
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2019
  • Selection of feature pattern gathered from the observation of the RNA sequencing data (RNA-seq) are not all equally informative for identification of differential expressions: some of them may be noisy, correlated or irrelevant because of redundancy in Big-Data sets. Variable selection of feature pattern aims at differential expressed gene set that is significantly relevant for a special task. This issues are complex and important in many domains, for example. In terms of a computational research field of machine learning, selection of feature pattern has been studied such as Random Forest, K-Nearest and Support Vector Machine (SVM). One of most the well-known machine learning algorithms is SVM, which is classical as well as original. The one of a member of SVM-criterion is Support Vector Machine-Recursive Feature Elimination (SVM-RFE), which have been utilized in our research work. We propose a novel algorithm of the SVM-RFE with Q-learning in reinforcement learning for better variable selection of feature pattern. By comparing our proposed algorithm with the well-known SVM-RFE combining Welch' T in published data, our result can show that the criterion from weight vector of SVM-RFE enhanced by Q-learning has been improved by an off-policy by a more exploratory scheme of Q-learning.

A study on the development of severity-adjusted mortality prediction model for discharged patient with acute stroke using machine learning (머신러닝을 이용한 급성 뇌졸중 퇴원 환자의 중증도 보정 사망 예측 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Baek, Seol-Kyung;Park, Jong-Ho;Kang, Sung-Hong;Park, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.126-136
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a severity-adjustment model for predicting mortality in acute stroke patients using machine learning. Using the Korean National Hospital Discharge In-depth Injury Survey from 2006 to 2015, the study population with disease code I60-I63 (KCD 7) were extracted for further analysis. Three tools were used for the severity-adjustment of comorbidity: the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), the Elixhauser comorbidity index (ECI), and the Clinical Classification Software (CCS). The severity-adjustment models for mortality prediction in patients with acute stroke were developed using logistic regression, decision tree, neural network, and support vector machine methods. The most common comorbid disease in stroke patients were hypertension, uncomplicated (43.8%) in the ECI, and essential hypertension (43.9%) in the CCS. Among the CCI, ECI, and CCS, CCS had the highest AUC value. CCS was confirmed as the best severity correction tool. In addition, the AUC values for variables of CCS including main diagnosis, gender, age, hospitalization route, and existence of surgery were 0.808 for the logistic regression analysis, 0.785 for the decision tree, 0.809 for the neural network and 0.830 for the support vector machine. Therefore, the best predictive power was achieved by the support vector machine technique. The results of this study can be used in the establishment of health policy in the future.

인공 신경망과 서포트 벡터 머신을 사용한 태양 양성자 플럭스 예보

  • Nam, Ji-Seon;Mun, Yong-Jae;Lee, Jin-Lee;Ji, Eun-Yeong;Park, Jin-Hye;Park, Jong-Yeop
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.129.1-129.1
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    • 2012
  • 서포트 벡터 머신(Support Vector Machine, SVM)과 인공신경망 모형(Neural Network, NN)을 사용하여 태양 양성자 현상(Solar proton event, SPE)의 플럭스 세기를 예측해 보았다. 이번 연구에서는 1976년부터 2011년까지 10MeV이상의 에너지를 가진 입자가 10개 cm-1 sec-1 ster -1 이상 입사할 경우를 태양 양성자 현상으로 정의한 NOAA의 태양 고에너지 입자 리스트와 GOE위성의 X-ray 플레어 데이터를 사용하였다. 여기에서 C, M, X 등급의 플레어와 관련있는 178개 이벤트를 모델의 훈련을 위한 데이터(training data) 89개와 예측을 위한 데이터(prediction data) 89개로 구분하였다. 플러스 세기의 예측을 위하여, 우리는 로그 플레어 세기, 플레어 발생위치, Rise time(플레어 시작시간부터 최대값까지의 시간)을 모델 입력인자로 사용하였다. 그 결과 예측된 로그 플럭스 세기와 관측된 로그 플럭스 세기 사이의 상관계수는 SVM과 NN에서 각각 0.32와 0.39의 값을 얻었다. 또한 두 값 사이의 평균 제곱근 오차(Root mean square error)는 SVM에서 1.17, NN에서는 0.82로 나왔다. 예측된 플럭스 세기와 관측된 플럭스 세기의 차이를 계산해 본 결과, 오차 범위가 1이하인 경우가 SVM에서는 약 68%이고 NN에서는 약 80%의 분포를 보였다. 이러한 결과로부터 우리는 NN모델이 SVM모델보다 플럭스 세기를 잘 예측하는 것을 알 수 있었다.

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A Comparative Study on the Accuracy of Important Statistical Prediction Techniques for Marketing Data (마케팅 데이터를 대상으로 중요 통계 예측 기법의 정확성에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Cho, Min-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.775-780
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    • 2019
  • Techniques for predicting the future can be categorized into statistics-based and deep-run-based techniques. Among them, statistic-based techniques are widely used because simple and highly accurate. However, working-level officials have difficulty using many analytical techniques correctly. In this study, we compared the accuracy of prediction by applying multinomial logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, and Bayesian inference to marketing related data. The same marketing data was used, and analysis was conducted by using R. The prediction results of various techniques reflecting the data characteristics of the marketing field will be a good reference for practitioners.

Predicting and Reviewing the Amount of Snow Damage in Korea using Statistical and Machine Learning Techniques (통계기법 및 기계학습 기법을 이용한 우리나라 대설피해액 예측 및 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, Hyeong Joo;Lee, Keun Woo;Jang, Hyeon Bin;Chung, Gun Hui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.384-384
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    • 2022
  • 과거의 우리나라 대설피해 양상을 살펴보면 지역적으로 집중되어 피해가 발생하는 것이 특징이다. 그러나 현재는 전국적으로 대설피해가 가중되는 추세이며, 이에 따라 대설피해에 대비 가능한 대책의 강구가 필요한 실정이다. 그러나 피해 발생 시 정확한 피해 예측으로 사전에 재난을 대비가 가능한 수준의 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 다양한 통계기법과 기계학습 기법을 이용하여 대설로 인해 발생한 피해액을 개략적으로 예측이 가능한 모형을 개발하고자 하였다. 대설피해액 예측 모형은 다중회귀분석, 서포트 벡터 머신, 인공신경망 기법, 랜덤포레스트 기법을 이용하여 총 4가지 기법으로 개발하였으며, 독립변수로 사회·경제적 요소, 기상요소를 사용하였고, 종속변수로는 1994년부터 2020년까지 발생한 대설피해 이력의 대설피해액을 사용하였다. 결과적으로 4가지 예측 모형의 예측력 검증 및 기법 간의 예측력을 비교하여 개발한 모형의 적용성을 검토하였다. 본 연구 결과에서 제시한 모형의 개선방안 및 업데이트 방안을 참고하여 후속 연구가 진행된다면 미래에 전국적으로 확대될 대설피해에 대한 대비가 가능할 것으로 기대되며 복구비 및 예방비 투자의 지역적 우선순위를 분석하여 선제적인 대비가 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Visual Object Tracking by Using Multiple Random Walkers (다중 랜덤 워커를 이용한 객체 추적 기법)

  • Mun, Juhyeok;Kim, Han-Ul;Kim, Chang-Su
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.913-919
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose the visual tracking algorithm that takes advantage of multiple random walkers. We first show the tracking method based on support vector machine as [1] and suggest a method that suppresses feature vectors extracted from backgrounds while preserve features vectors from foregrounds. We also show how to discriminate between foregrounds and backgrounds. Learned by reducing influences of backgrounds, support vector machine can clearly distinguish foregrounds and backgrounds from the image whose target objects are similar to backgrounds and occluded by another object. Thus, the algorithm can track target objects well. Furthermore, we introduce a simple method improving tracking speed. Finally, experiments validate that proposed algorithm yield better performance than the state-of-the-art trackers on the widely-used benchmark dataset with high speed.