• Title/Summary/Keyword: 생존모델

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Analysis of Industrial Accidents Data with Survival Model (생존분석 모형을 활용한 산업재해 데이터의 분석)

  • Baik, Jaiwook
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the industrial accidents data with survival model. EDA approach is used to explore the relationship between two variables and among three variables for the past 10 years of industrial accidents data. Survival models are also tried. Survival curve drops more rapidly for the business with fewer employees as time goes by. Industrial accidents occur more often as the total number of industrial accidents gets larger and as the number of employees gets smaller. Agriculture, fishing and forestry have a higher level of industrial accidents than construction while service industry and 'transportation·storage and telecommunication' have a fewer number of industrial accidents than construction. Korea Safety and Health Agency's and Ministry of Employment and Labor's involvement were not effective but Civilian's was. Recurrent event data analysis reveals all most the same result as for non-recurrent data analysis.

Customer Lifetime Value Model Using Segment-Based Survival Analysis (고객 세분화에 기반한 생존분석을 활용한 고객수명 예측 모델)

  • Chun, Heui-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2011
  • Customer Lifetime or Customer Lifetime Value is a essential metric of differentiated CRM marketing and differentiated marketing strategy as a company core competency. However, customer lifetime used in companies is easily obtained from a confined simple customer attrition rate at some specific time point regardless of customer characteristics. In this study, in order to overcome the constraints of previous simple methods and to make practical use of it in industries, we suggest a method that estimates a customer lifetime using a customer segment based survival analysis with the censored data of customers; in addition, we apply this method to A mobile telecom company data. A method using customer segment based survival analysis is suggested in this study 1) includes all customers having different subscription dates, 2) reduces individual error, 3) can reflect trends after the observed time point and is more realistic.

A Development of 3D Penetration Analysis Program for Survivability Analysis of Combat System : Focused on Tank Model (전투 시스템 생존성 분석을 위한 3차원 관통 해석 프로그램 개발 : 전차 모델을 대상으로)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Lee, Jae-Woong;Lee, Jang-Se;Park, Jong-Sou
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.244-250
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    • 2015
  • Survivability is avoidance and tolerance ability of combat systems for accomplishing mission in battle field. Therefore, the combat system has to protect or minimize any damage from threats. For this reason, many modeling and simulation based studies which analyze vulnerability of the combat system by threats, are in progress to improve survivability of the combat system. In this paper, we developed a 3D penetration analysis program for survivability analysis of combat system. To do this, we applied the penetration analysis equation to threat and protection performance of tank. Also we implemented simple tank models based on 3D CAD, and tested the developed program using the implemented tank models. As a result, we verified the developed program that is possible to analyze penetration by threat and protection performance of tank and to visualize its result, based on scenarios.

Design and Implementation of a Multi-Intelligent Agent based Platform for a Bio-Inspired System (생태계 모방 시스템을 위한 멀티 지능형 에이전트 기반의 플랫폼 설계 및 구현)

  • Moon, Joo-Sun;Nang, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.545-549
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    • 2007
  • The Bio-Inspired System focuses on the creation of an effective system model for massive network applications and is being widely developed. However, the system has a problem-difficulty implementing three features in the system, which includes scalability, adaptability and survivability. To solve this problem, we designed an Ecogent as a multiple intelligence agent, and a Bio-platform to address the three features of scalability, adaptability and survivability. The Bio-Inspired System Platform consists of an ERS (Ecogent Runtime Services) Platform and a Bio-Platform. The ERS platform serves the basic functions of mobile agents, such as Registration, Life Cycle, Migration, Communication, Location and Fault Tolerance. The Bio-Platform includes the functions of Evolution Control and Stigmergy Control to address evolution and adaptation.

Predicting Changes in Restaurant Business District by Administrative Districts in Seoul using Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반 서울시 행정동별 외식업종 상권 변화 예측)

  • Jiyeon Kim;Sumin Oh;Minseo Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.459-463
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    • 2024
  • Frequent closures among self-employed individuals lead to national economic losses. Given the high closure rates in the restaurant industry, predicting changes in this sector is crucial for business survival. While research on factors affecting restaurant industry survival is active, studies predicting commercial district changes are lacking. Thus, this study focuses on forecasting such alterations, designing a deep learning model for Seoul's administrative district commercial district changes. It collects 2023 and 2022 second-quarter variables related to these changes, converting yearly fluctuations into percentages for augmentation. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict commercial district changes. Future policies, considering this study, could support restaurant industry growth and economic development.

Evaluation of Biological Characteristics of Neutron Beam Generated from MC50 Cyclotron (MC50 싸이클로트론에서 생성되는 중성자선의 생물학적 특성의 평가)

  • Eom, Keun-Yong;Park, Hye-Jin;Huh, Soon-Nyung;Ye, Sung-Joon;Lee, Dong-Han;Park, Suk-Won;Wu, Hong-Gyun
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.280-284
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    • 2006
  • $\underline{Purpose}$: To evaluate biological characteristics of neutron beam generated by MC50 cyclotron located in the Korea Institute of Radiological and Medical Sciences (KIRAMS). $\underline{Materials\;and\;Methods}$: The neutron beams generated with 15 mm Beryllium target hit by 35 MeV proton beam was used and dosimetry data was measured before in-vitro study. We irradiated 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 Gy of neutron beam to EMT-6 cell line and surviving fraction (SF) was measured. The SF curve was also examined at the same dose when applying lead shielding to avoid gamma ray component. In the X-ray experiment, SF curve was obtained after irradiation of 0, 2, 5, 10, and 15 Gy. $\underline{Results}$: The neutron beams have 84% of neutron and 16% of gamma component at the depth of 2 cm with the field size of $26{\times}26\;cm^2$, beam current $20\;{\mu}A$, and dose rate of 9.25 cGy/min. The SF curve from X-ray, when fitted to linear-quadratic (LQ) model, had 0.611 as ${\alpha}/{\beta}$ ratio (${\alpha}=0.0204,\;{\beta}=0.0334,\;R^2=0.999$, respectively). The SF curve from neutron beam had shoulders at low dose area and fitted well to LQ model with the value of $R^2$ exceeding 0.99 in all experiments. The mean value of alpha and beta were -0.315 (range, $-0.254{\sim}-0.360$) and 0.247 ($0.220{\sim}0.262$), respectively. The addition of lead shielding resulted in no straightening of SF curve and shoulders in low dose area still existed. The RBE of neutron beam was in range of $2.07{\sim}2.19$ with SF=0.1 and $2.21{\sim}2.35$ with SF=0.01, respectively. $\underline{Conclusion}$: The neutron beam from MC50 cyclotron has significant amount of gamma component and this may have contributed to form the shoulder of survival curve. The RBE of neutron beam generated by MC50 was about 2.2.

A Model of Pursuing Energy of Predator in Single Predator-Prey Environment (단일 포식자-희생자 환경에서 포식자 추격 에너지 모델)

  • Lee, Jae Moon;Kwon, Young Mee
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2013
  • In general, the predator-prey model has been studied as a model of struggle for existence in a ecosystem. While conventional papers have focussed on the population change of the predator-prey, this paper focused on controlling the energy needed for the predator to pursue the prey. For simplification, assume the environment which there are only single predator and prey. Based on the environment, a certain amount of energy needed for a predator to pursue the prey was suggested on a basis of physical theories and also the used energy model was suggested on a basis of the simulation. From experiments, it was proven that the suggested energy models were appropriate for natural pursuit.

Cox Model Improvement Using Residual Blocks in Neural Networks: A Study on the Predictive Model of Cervical Cancer Mortality (신경망 내 잔여 블록을 활용한 콕스 모델 개선: 자궁경부암 사망률 예측모형 연구)

  • Nang Kyeong Lee;Joo Young Kim;Ji Soo Tak;Hyeong Rok Lee;Hyun Ji Jeon;Jee Myung Yang;Seung Won Lee
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.260-268
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    • 2024
  • Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer in women worldwide, and more than 604,000 new cases were reported in 2020 alone, resulting in approximately 341,831 deaths. The Cox regression model is a major model widely adopted in cancer research, but considering the existence of nonlinear associations, it faces limitations due to linear assumptions. To address this problem, this paper proposes ResSurvNet, a new model that improves the accuracy of cervical cancer mortality prediction using ResNet's residual learning framework. This model showed accuracy that outperforms the DNN, CPH, CoxLasso, Cox Gradient Boost, and RSF models compared in this study. As this model showed accuracy that outperformed the DNN, CPH, CoxLasso, Cox Gradient Boost, and RSF models compared in this study, this excellent predictive performance demonstrates great value in early diagnosis and treatment strategy establishment in the management of cervical cancer patients and represents significant progress in the field of survival analysis.

Water Extract of Rhei Rhizoma Prevent Production of Reactive Oxygen Species and Loss of Mitochondrial Membrane Potential in a Hypoxia Model of Cultured Neurons (배양 신경세포의 저산소증모델에서 대황 물추출액의 항산화 및 사립체막전위 소실 억제 효능)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sook;Moon, Il-Soo
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.1631-1636
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    • 2008
  • Rhei Rhizoma (RR; 大黃) consists of the underground parts (rhizome and root) of Rheum officinale Baill. and Rheum palmatum L. (Polygonaceae), and is widely used in Southeast Asian folk medicine to alleviate liver and kidney damages. In this study, we investigated into the efficacy and mechanism of RR water extract in supporting neuronal survival in a hypoxia model of cultured rat hippocampal neurons. RR exhibited no cytotoxicity up to 10 ${\mu}g$/ml and exhibited neurosupportive effects at 2.5 ${\mu}g$/ml in normoxia. When RR was added to the culture media on 10 days in vitro (DIV10) and given a hypoxic shock (2% $O_2$/5% $CO_2$, 3 hr, $37^{\circ}C$) on DIV13, RR exhibited neuroprotective effects on 5 days post-shock. $H_2DCF$ stainings indicated that RR effectively prevents ROS production in both normoxia and hypoxia. JC-1 stainings showed that RR prevents dissipation of MMP in hypoxia. These results indicate that RR protects neurons by suppressing ROS production and MMP loss.

DMSO Improves Motor Function and Survival in the Transgenic SOD1-G93AMouse Model of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (DMSO 투여된 근위축성 측삭경화증 SOD1-G93A 형질 변환 마우스 모델에서의 근육 기능과 생존 기간 증가 효과)

  • Park, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Yeon-Gyeong;Park, Hyun Woo;Lee, Hee Young;Lee, Jeong Hoon;Patrick, Sweeney;Park, Larry Chong;Park, Jin-Kyu
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.32 no.8
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    • pp.611-621
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    • 2022
  • Dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) is commonly used as control or vehicle solvent in preclinical research of neurodegenerative diseases such as amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) due to its ability to dissolve lipophilic compounds and cross the blood brain barrier. However, the biochemical effects of DMSO on the outcomes of preclinical research are often overlooked. In the present study, we investigated whether the long-term oral administration of 5% DMSO affects the neurological, functional, and histological disease phenotype of the copper/zinc superoxide dismutase glycine 93 to alanine mutation (SOD1-G93A) mouse model of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. SOD1-G93A transgenic mice showed shortened survival time and reduced motor function. We found that administration with DMSO led to increased mean survival time, reduced neurological scores, and improved motor performance tested using the rotarod and grip strength tests. On the other hand, DMSO treatment did not attenuate motor neuron loss in the spinal cord and denervation of neuromuscular junctions in the skeletal muscle. These results suggest that DMSO administration could improve the quality of life of the SOD1-G93A mouse model of ALS without affecting motor neuron denervation. In conclusion, the use of DMSO as control or vehicle solvent in preclinical research may affect the behavioral outcomes in the SOD1-G93A mouse model. The effect of the vehicle should be thoroughly considered when interpreting therapeutic efficacy of candidate drugs in preclinical research.