• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.35-40
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• 2008

Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. The used software failure time data for forecasting failure time is random number of Weibull distribution(shaper parameter 1, scale parameter 0.5), Using this data, we are proposed to ARIMA(AR(1)) and simulation method for forecasting failure time. The practical ARIMA method is presented.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.1171-1176
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• 2023

In this paper, we predicts the estimated price using the DNBP (Deep learning Network to predict Budget Price) model with bidding data obtained from the bidding websites, ElecNet and OK EMS. We use the DNBP model to predict four lottery preliminary price, calculate their arithmetic mean, and then estimate the expected budget price ratio. We evaluate the model's performance by comparing it with the actual expected budget price ratio. We train the DNBP model by removing some of the 15 input nodes. The prediction results showed the lowest RMSE of 0.75788% when the model had 6 input nodes (a, g, h, i, j, k).

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.16 no.7
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• pp.1234-1243
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• 1992

A systematic procedure to design fuzzy PID controllers is developed in this paper. The concept of local fuzzy control cell is proposed by introducing both an adequate global control rule and membership functions to simplify a fuzzy logic controller. Fuzzy decision is made by using algebraic product and parallel firing arithematic mean, and a defuzzification strategy is adopted for improving the computational efficiency based on nonfuzzy micro-processor. A direct method, transforming the typical output of quasi-linear fuzzy operator to the digital compensator of PID form, is also proposed. Finally, the proposed algorithm is applied to an DC-servo motor. It is found that this algorithm is systematic and robust through computer simulations and implementation of controller using Intel 8097 micro-processor.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1845-1849
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 관측자료에 나타난 Clark 단위도의 매개변수를 검토하고 그 변동성을 평가하였다. 강우-유출과정에 영향을 미치는 유역 및 기상 특성인자들을 확률밀도함수로 정량화하였고, 유역의 집중시간 및 저류상수를 호우사상의 특성 및 유역의 조건을 고려하여 다변량 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 이를 Monte Carlo 모의기법에 적용하여 유역평균 저류상수 및 집중시간에 대한 신뢰구간을 추정하였다. 또한 신뢰구간을 좁히기 위한 방안으로 관측된 집중시간 및 저류상수를 Bootstrap 기법으로 처리하였다. 그 결과 유역을 대표하는 유출특성의 결정에는 관측 강우-유출사상의 수가 어느 정도 확보된다고 하더라도 여전히 높은 불확실성을 피하기 힘들다는 것이다. 집중시간의 경우는 그 분포가 상당히 왜곡된 형태여서 단순한 산술평균은 상당히 왜곡된 추정치를 제시할 가능성이 높다. 단순히 관측치를 이용한 경우보다 Monte Carlo 모의기법에 의한 경우 신뢰구간이 2-3배정도 좁게 나타났다. 어느 정도 신뢰도 있는 집중시간 및 저류상수의 추정을 위해서는 최소 10여개 대략 20개 정도 이상의 호우사상이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 목적은 주어진 유역을 대표할 수 있는 집중시간 및 저류상수를 결정하고자 하는 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서의 방법론을 적용하여 관측자료가 존재하는 다양한 유역에서의 집중시간 및 저류상수를 결정하고, 이를 지형인자 유역특성을 고려하여 회귀분석하는 경우 보다 정도 있는 경험식의 개발도 가능할 것이다.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.2 no.1 s.2
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• pp.75-84
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• 2003

Current techniques for road-traffic monitoring rely on sensors which have limited capabilities, are costly and disruptive to install. The use of video cameras coupled with computer vision techniques offers an attractive alternative to current sensors. Video based traffic monitoring systems are now being considered key points of advanced traffic management systems. In this paper, we propose the new method which extract the traffic information using video camera. The proposed method uses an adaptive updating scheme for background in order to reduce the false alarm rate due to various noises in images. also, the proposed extraction method of traffic information calculates the traffic volume ratio of vehicles passing through predefined detection area, which is defined by the length of profile occupied by cars over that of overall detection area. Then the ratio is used to define 8 different states of traffic and to interpret the state of vehicle flows. The proposed method is verified by an experiment using CCTV traffic data from urban area.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.131-139
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• 2009

The weather accidents by global warming effect are increasing rapidly whole world. Flood forcasting system and hydrological database are operated by almost all the countries in the world. An objective of this study is to research revised methods of missing rainfall data and find more effective revised method for this operating system. 194 rainfall data of the Han river basin is used. Arithmetic average method, coefficient of correlation weighting method and inverse distance weighting method are compared to estimate revised methods. The result from the analysis shows that coefficient of correlation weighting method is best quantitatively among the 3 methods.

• Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.101-115
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• 2012

Analogy, a plausible reasoning on the basis of similarity, is one of the thinking strategy for concept formation, problem solving, and new discovery in many disciplines. Statistics educators argue that analogy can be used as an useful thinking strategy in statistics as well. This study investigated the characteristics of students' analogical thinking in statistics. The mathematically gifted were asked to construct similar problems to a base problem which is a statistical problem having a statistical context. From the analysis of the problems, students' new problems were classified into five types on the basis of the preservation of the statistical context and that of the basic structure of the base problem. From the result, researchers provide some implications. In statistics, the problems, which failed to preserve the statistical context of base problem, have no meaning in statistics. However, the problems which preserved the statistical context can give possibilities for reconceptualization of the statistical concept even though the basic structure of the problem were changed.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.46 no.4
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• pp.361-372
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• 2013

This study used the beta distribution to analyze the independent annual maximum rainfall events from 1961 to 2010 and decided the representative rainfall event for Seoul. In detail, the annual maximum rainfall events were divided into two groups, the upper 50% and the lower 50%. For each group, a beta distribution was derived to pass the mean location of the rainfall peaks. Finally, the representative rainfall event was decided as the rainfall histogram of the arithmetic average of the two beta distributions derived. The representative rainfall event derived has a realistic shape very similar to those observed annual maximum rainfall events, especially with the higher rainfall peak compared to that of the Huff distribution. Comparison with other rainfall distribution models shows that the temporal distribution of the representative rainfall event derived in this study is most similar to the Keifer & Chu model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.279-289
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• 2010

In this study, we propose a simple statistical model for determining the admission or discharge of 668 patients with a chief complaint of dyspnea. For this, we use 11 explanatory variables which are chosen to be important by clinical experts among 55 variables. As a modification process, we determine the discharge interval of each variable by the kernel density functions of the admitted and discharged patients. We then choose the optimal model for determining the discharge of patients based on the number of explanatory variables belonging to the corresponding discharge intervals. Since the numbers of the admitted and discharged patients are not balanced, we use, as the criteria for selecting the optimal model, the arithmetic mean of sensitivity and specificity and the harmonic mean of sensitivity and precision. The selected optimal model predicts the discharge if 7 or more explanatory variables belong to the corresponding discharge intervals.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.275-286
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• 1998

The effective permeability and the representative element volume(REV) of fracture network model were evaluated based on the parameters such as permeability tensor, principal permeability and the direction of principal permeability. The effective permeability ranges between the harmonic mean and the arithmetic mean of the local permeabilities of subdivided blocks. From the numerical experiments, which were for investigating the influence of model volume on the variation of flux for the cubic models, it was found that the variation of flux became reduced as the model volume approached REV. The variation of groundwater flux into the tunnel in the fracture network model was mainly dependent on the ratio of the tunnel length to model size rather than REV. And it was found that groundwater flux into the tunnel was not completely consistent between the fracture network model and the equivalent porous media model, especially when the ratio of the tunnel length to model size is small.