• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산사태 주요 영향인자

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Major Factors Influencing Landslide Occurrence along a Forest Road Determined Using Structural Equation Model Analysis and Logistic Regression Analysis (구조방정식과 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 임도비탈면 산사태의 주요 영향인자 선정)

  • Kim, Hyeong-Sin;Moon, Seong-Woo;Seo, Yong-Seok
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.585-596
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    • 2022
  • This study determined major factors influencing landslide occurrence along a forest road near Sangsan village, Sancheok-myeon, Chungju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, South Korea. Within a 2 km radius of the study area, landslides occur intensively during periods of heavy rainfall (August 2020). This makes study of the area advantageous, as it allows examination of the influence of only geological and tomographic factors while excluding the effects of rainfall and vegetation. Data for 82 locations (37 experiencing landslides and 45 not) were obtained from geological surveys, laboratory tests, and geo-spatial analysis. After some data preprocessing (e.g., error filtering, minimum-maximum normalization, and multicollinearity), structural equation model (SEM) and logistic regression (LR) analyses were conducted. These showed the regolith thickness, porosity, and saturated unit weight to be the factors most influential of landslide risk in the study area. The sums of the influence magnitudes of these factors are 71% in SEM and 83% in LR.

Landslide Danger Mapping using Spatial Information Technology (공간정보기술을 이용한 산사태 위험도 매핑)

  • Jo, Myung-Hee;Jo, Yun-Won;Kim, Sung-Jae
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.353-356
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    • 2008
  • 최근 대규모 산림재해로 인한 산림환경 훼손 및 산림 농가의 피해는 물론 산림생태계에도 나쁜 영향을 미치고 있으며 이는 사회적으로 매우 민감한 환경문제로서 국민의 주요 관심사가 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 울진군 전체를 대상으로 GIS 및 RS 기법을 이용하여 다양한 산사태 관련 인자들을 추출 하여 이를 기반으로 GIS 중첩 및 가중치 분석을 통하여 울진군의 산사태 발생 가능 위험지역의 분포도를 작성하고자 한다.

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Prediction of Landslides and Determination of Its Variable Importance Using AutoML (AutoML을 이용한 산사태 예측 및 변수 중요도 산정)

  • Nam, KoungHoon;Kim, Man-Il;Kwon, Oil;Wang, Fawu;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2020
  • This study was performed to develop a model to predict landslides and determine the variable importance of landslides susceptibility factors based on the probabilistic prediction of landslides occurring on slopes along the road. Field survey data of 30,615 slopes from 2007 to 2020 in Korea were analyzed to develop a landslide prediction model. Of the total 131 variable factors, 17 topographic factors and 114 geological factors (including 89 bedrocks) were used to predict landslides. Automated machine learning (AutoML) was used to classify landslides and non-landslides. The verification results revealed that the best model, an extremely randomized tree (XRT) with excellent predictive performance, yielded 83.977% of prediction rates on test data. As a result of the analysis to determine the variable importance of the landslide susceptibility factors, it was composed of 10 topographic factors and 9 geological factors, which was presented as a percentage for each factor. This model was evaluated probabilistically and quantitatively for the likelihood of landslide occurrence by deriving the ranking of variable importance using only on-site survey data. It is considered that this model can provide a reliable basis for slope safety assessment through field surveys to decision-makers in the future.

An assessment for effect of landslide on Maximum Continuous Rainfall using GIS (GIS를 이용한 최대지속강우량이 산사태 발생에 미치는 영향평가)

  • Yang, In-Tae;Park, Jae-Kook;Jeon, Woo-Hyun
    • 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.413-423
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    • 2007
  • 우리나라의 자연재해는 기상학적 자연현상에 의해 주로 발생되고 있으며 그 발생원인은 태풍, 호우, 폭풍, 폭풍우, 재설, 폭풍성 우박, 해일 및 기타(낙뢰, 돌풍, 설해, 결빙, 지진 등을 포함)로 구분되며 이중 발생빈도가 가장 높은 것은 강우에 의한 재해로 전체 재해발생 원인 중 약 80%로 대부분을 차지하고 있다. 특히 사면붕괴와 관련된 자연재해(산사태, 옹벽붕괴, 매몰 등)는 최근 국지성 집중호우를 포함하여 호우의 집중 강도가 높아지는 등 기상학적 원인에 의해 매년 발생하고 있다. 따라서 우리나라에서 발생되는 자연재해와 관련한 사면붕괴의 특성을 강우특성에 따라 조사 분석할 필요가 있으며 이에 적합한 대책들이 더욱 필요하다. 이 연구에서는 산사태 유발인자와 강우조건을 고려하여 산사태 잠재가능성을 평가하고 산사태 취약지역을 분석하여 지역적인 강우특성을 고려한 산사태 가능성을 평가하였다.

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Evaluation of Landslide Susceptibility Using GIS and RS (GIS 및 RS기법을 활용한 산사태 취약성 평가)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tae;Jung, Sung-Gwan;Park, Kyung-Hun;Oh, Jeong-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2005
  • This study aims at predicting and mapping of the landslide susceptibility in the Geumho river watershed using GIS and Remote Sensing techniques. We constructed the spatial database of affecting factors such as slope angle, slope aspect, lithology, landuse, and vegetation index (NDVI) at a $30m{\times}30m$ resolution. The landslide susceptibility of the study area was predicted through overlay analysis and adding up estimation matrix, and the predicted map of landslide susceptibility with six categories (stable, very low, low, moderate, high, very high) was constructed. As the results, it showed that the very high susceptibility zones made up approximately 0.3% of the total study area, and these zones were mainly distributed in the forest area with the high slope angle and low vegetation index.

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A Review of Quantitative Landslide Susceptibility Analysis Methods Using Physically Based Modelling (물리사면모델을 활용한 정량적 산사태 취약성 분석기법 리뷰)

  • Park, Hyuck-Jin;Lee, Jung-Hyun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.27-40
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    • 2022
  • Every year landslides cause serious casualties and property damages around the world. As the accurate prediction of landslides is important to reduce the fatalities and economic losses, various approaches have been developed to predict them. Prediction methods can be divided into landslide susceptibility analysis, landslide hazard analysis and landslide risk analysis according to the type of the conditioning factors, the predicted level of the landslide dangers, and whether the expected consequence cased by landslides were considered. Landslide susceptibility analyses are mainly based on the available landslide data and consequently, they predict the likelihood of landslide occurrence by considering factors that can induce landslides and analyzing the spatial distribution of these factors. Various qualitative and quantitative analysis techniques have been applied to landslide susceptibility analysis. Recently, quantitative susceptibility analyses have predominantly employed the physically based model due to high predictive capacity. This is because the physically based approaches use physical slope model to analyze slope stability regardless of prior landslide occurrence. This approach can also reproduce the physical processes governing landslide occurrence. This review examines physically based landslide susceptibility analysis approaches.

Analysis on Characteristics of Sediment Produce by Landslide in a Basin 2. Rainfall Event-based Analysis (유역 내에서의 산사태에 의한 토사발생특성 분석 2. 강우사상별 분석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Kee-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the characteristics of sediment produce by landslide triggered by rainfall. One-dimensional unsaturated groundwater model and infinite slope stability analysis were used to estimate the behavior of soil moisture and slope stability according to rainfall, respectively. Slope stability analysis was performed considering on soil depth and characteristics of trees. The results of the analysis on characteristics of sediment produce according to rainfall events showed that the sediment produce by landslide was mainly contributed to rainfall intensity and its temporal clustering. The results of the analysis on characteristics of sediment produce by extreme events showed that remaining rainfall amount of typhoon 'Rusa' was much more than that of the other extreme events, and thus this remaining rainfall was to contribute to sediment transportation. Additionally, only a small number of extreme events were found to cause most amount of sediment produce in a basin.

Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility using a Coupled Infinite Slope Model and Hydrologic Model in Jinbu Area, Gangwon-Do (무한사면모델과 수리학적 모델의 결합을 통한 강원도 진부지역의 산사태 취약성 분석)

  • Lee, Jung Hyun;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.697-707
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    • 2012
  • The quantitative landslide susceptibility assessment methods can be divided into statistical approaches and geomechanical approaches based on the consideration of the triggering factors and landslide models. The geomechanical approach is considered as one of the most effective approaches since this approach proposes physical slope model and considers geomorphological and geomechanical properties of slope materials. Therefore, the geomechanical approaches has been used widely in landslide susceptibility analysis using the infinite slope model as physical slope model. However, the previous studies assumed constant groundwater level for broad study area without the consideration of rainfall intensity and hydraulic properties of soil materials. Therefore, in this study, landslide susceptibility assessment was implemented using the coupled infinite slope model with hydrologic model. For the analysis, geomechanical and hydrualic properties of slope materials and rainfall intensity were measured from the soil samples which were obtained from field investigation. For the practical application, the proposed approach was applied to Jinbu area, Gangwon-Do which was experienced large amount of landslides in July 2006. In order to compare to the proposed approach, the previous approach was used to analyze the landslide susceptibility using randomly selected groundwater level. Comparison of the results shows that the accuracy of the proposed method was improved with the consideration of the hydrologic model.

Analysis on the Influence of Groundwater Level Changes on Slope Stability using a Seismic Refraction Survey in a Landslide Area (지구물리탐사를 이용한 산사태지역의 지하수위에 따른 안정성 해석)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Mi;Kim, Hyun;Lee, Jae-Hyuk;Seo, Young-Seok;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.545-554
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    • 2007
  • Landslides is mainly induced by a heavy rainfall, earthquake ground motion, and some other factors like soil mechanics, morphological-geological factors etc. Since the starting point of the failure seemed to be originated at a construction site in the study, it is meaningful to find out the relationship between the landslide and the construction. For this study, the slope failure factor was examined carefully to see that the original natural slope had vulnerability and that the complex ground had unstability changed by construction. A field survey was conducted on the original ground surface and filled-up ground. A laboratory test was also conducted to determine the geomechanical properties of soil samples. 2D and 3D limit equilibrium analysis with changing groundwater level were conducted at the failure depth using a seismic refraction survey. The result shows that the factor of safety is similar stability under all condition, but unstable under saturated condition.

The Landslide Probability Analysis using Logistic Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Network Methods in Jeju (로지스틱회귀분석기법과 인공신경망기법을 이용한 제주지역 산사태가능성분석)

  • Quan, He Chun;Lee, Byung-Gul;Lee, Chang-Sun;Ko, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the prediction and evaluation of landslide using LRA(logistic regression analysis) and ANN (Artificial Neural Network) methods. In order to assess the landslide, we selected Sarabong, Byeoldobong area and Mt. Song-ak in Jeju Island. Five factors which affect the landslide were selected as: slope angle, elevation, porosity, dry density, permeability. So as to predict and evaluate the landslide, firstly the weight value of each factor was analyzed by LRA(logistic regression analysis) and ANN(Artificial Neural Network) methods. Then we got two prediction maps using AcrView software through GIS(Geographic Information System) method. The comparative analysis reveals that the slope angle and porosity play important roles in landslide. Prediction map generated by LRA method is more accurate than ANN method in Jeju. From the prediction map, we found that the most dangerous area is distributed around the road and path.