• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산사태 예측

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Analysis Possibility of the Landslide Occurrence in Kangwon-Do using a High-resolution LiDAR-derived DEM (고해상도 항공라이다 DEM 해석을 통한 강원도 일원의 산사태 예측 가능성 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Ha;Kim, Young-Seup;Suh, Yong-Cheol
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.381-387
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates the use of geomorphic analysis results obtained from high-resolution LiDAR-derived DEM. The results of analysis, slope angle and eigenvalue ratio (ER) were derived from the DEM for 3 landslide and 1 non-landslide occurrence area. Results of this study highlighted the importance of geomorphic analysis in characterizing landslide feature as well as the various contents in their future occurrence and activity. The relationship between the results of geomorphic analysis and landslides are well expressed in this paper.

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Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Ensemble FR and LR models at the Inje Area, Korea (FR과 LR 앙상블 모형을 이용한 산사태 취약성 지도 제작 및 검증)

  • Kim, Jin Soo;Park, So Young
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2017
  • This research was aimed to analyze landslide susceptibility and compare the prediction accuracy using ensemble frequency ratio (FR) and logistic regression at the Inje area, Korea. The landslide locations were identified with the before and after aerial photographs of landslide occurrence that were randomly selected for training (70%) and validation (30%). The total twelve landslide-related factors were elevation, slope, aspect, distance to drainage, topographic wetness index, stream power index, soil texture, soil sickness, timber age, timber diameter, timber density, and timber type. The spatial relationship between landslide occurrence and landslide-related factors was analyzed using FR and ensemble model. The produced LSI maps were validated and compared using relative operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The prediction accuracy of produced ensemble LSI map was about 2% higher than FR LSI map. The LSI map produced in this research could be used to establish land use planning and mitigate the damages caused by disaster.

A Feasibility Study of a Rainfall Triggeirng Index Model to Warn Landslides in Korea (산사태 경보를 위한 RTI 모델의 적용성 평가)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Choi, Junghae;Jeong, Hae Keun
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.235-250
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    • 2016
  • In Korea, 70% of the annual rainfall falls in summer, and the number of days of extreme rainfall (over 200 mm) is increasing over time. Because rainfall is the most important trigger of landslides, it is necessary to decide a rainfall threshold for landslide warning and to develop a landslide warning model. This study selected 12 study areas that contained landslides with exactly known triggering times and locations, and also rainfall data. The feasibility of applying a Rainfall Triggering Index (RTI) to Korea is analyzed, and three RTI models that consider different time units for rainfall intensity are compared. The analyses show that the 60-minute RTI model failed to predict landslides in three of the study areas, while both the 30- and 10-minute RTI models gave successful predictions for all of the study areas. Each RTI model showed different mean response times to landslide warning: 4.04 hours in the 60-minute RTI model, 6.08 hours in the 30-minute RTI model, and 9.15 hours in the 10-minute RTI model. Longer response times to landslides were possible using models that considered rainfall intensity for shorter periods of time. Considering the large variations in rainfall intensity that may occur within short periods in Korea, it is possible to increase the accuracy of prediction, and thereby improve the early warning of landslides, using a RTI model that considers rainfall intensity for periods of less than 1 hour.

Evaluating Geomorphological Classification Systems to Predict the Occurrence of landslides in Mountainous Region (산사태 발생예측을 위한 지형분류기법의 비교평가)

  • Lee, Sooyoun;Jeong, Gwanyong;Park, Soo Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.485-503
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    • 2015
  • This study aims at evaluating geomorphological classification systems to predict the occurrence of landslides in mountainous region in Korea. Geomorphological classification systems used in this study are Catena, TPI, and Geomorphons. Study sites are Gapyeong-gun, Hoengseong-gun, Gimcheon-si, Yeoju-si/Yicheon-si in which landslide occurrence data were collected by local governments from 2001-2014. Catena method has objective classification standard to compare among regions objectively and understand the result intuitively. However, its procedure is complicated and hard to be automated for the general public to use it. Both TPI and Geomorphons have simple procedure and GIS-extension, therefore it has high accessibility. However, the results of both systems are highly dependent on the scale, and have low relevance to geomorphological formation process because focusing on shape of terrain. Three systems have low compatibility, therefore unified concept are required for broad use of landform classification. To assess the effectiveness of prediction on landslide by each geomorphological classification system, 50% of geomorphological classes with higher landslide occurrence are selected and the total landslide occurrence in selected classes are calculated and defined as 'predictive ability'. The ratio of terrain categorized by 'predictive ability' to whole region is defined as 'vulnerable area ratio'. An indicator to compare three systems which is predictive ability divided by vulnerable area ratio was developed to make a comprehensive judgment. As a result, Catena ranked the highest in suitability.

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Prediction of potential Landslide Sites Using GIS (지리정보시스템에 기반한 산지재해 예측)

  • Cha, Kyung Seob;Kim, Tae Hoon;Kim, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2008
  • Korea has been suffered from serious damages of lives and properties, due to landslides that are triggered by heavy rains in every monsoon season. This study developed the physically based landslide prediction model which consists of 3 parts, such as slope stability analysis model, groundwater flow model and soil depth model. To evaluate its applicability to the prediction of landslides, the data of actual landslides were plotted on the areas predicted on the GIS map. The matching rate of this model to the actual data was 84.8%. The relation between hydrological and landform factors and potential landslide were analyzed.

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Evaluation of GIS-based Landslide Hazard Mapping (GIS 기반 산사태 예측모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Hong, Il-Pyo;Jun, Byong-Ho;Ahn, Won-Sik;Lee, Mee-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.1 s.162
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2006
  • In this study, application potential of SINMAP, a GIS-based landslide hazard mapping tool, is evaluated through a case study. Through the application to the severe landslide events occurred during a heavy storm in 1991 on the Mt. Dalbong area about 78 kilometers south from Seoul, SINMAP successfully spotted most landslide sites. The effects and proper ranges of three calibration parameters of SINMAP, i.e. the soil internal friction angle, the combined cohesion of tree roots and soil, and T/R, were examined through comparison of predicted landslides with the landslide inventory data. From the findings of this study, it seems that SINMAP could be used as an effective screening tool for landslide hazard mapping especially for mountain areas with fairly steep slopes and relatively thin soil layers.

Quantitative Analysis of GIS-based Landslide Prediction Models Using Prediction Rate Curve (예측비율곡선을 이용한 GIS 기반 산사태 예측 모델의 정량적 비교)

  • 지광훈;박노욱;박노욱
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the landslide prediction models quantitatively using prediction rate curve. A case study from the Jangheung area was used to illustrate the methodologies. The landslide locations were detected from remote sensing data and field survey, and geospatial information related to landslide occurrences were built as a spatial database in GIS. As prediction models, joint conditional probability model and certainty factor model were applied. For cross-validation approach, landslide locations were partitioned into two groups randomly. One group was used to construct prediction models, and the other group was used to validate prediction results. From the cross-validation analysis, it is possible to compare two models to each other in this study area. It is expected that these approaches will be used effectively to compare other prediction models and to analyze the causal factors in prediction models.

Suggestion of an Evaluation Chart for Landslide Susceptibility using a Quantification Analysis based on Canonical Correlation (정준상관 기반의 수량화분석에 의한 산사태 취약성 평가기법 제안)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Seo, Yong-Seok
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.381-391
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    • 2010
  • Probabilistic prediction methods of landslides which have been developed in recent can be reliable with premise of detailed survey and analysis based on deep and special knowledge. However, landslide susceptibility should also be analyzed with some reliable and simple methods by various people such as government officials and engineering geologists who do not have deep statistical knowledge at the moment of hazards. Therefore, this study suggests an evaluation chart of landslide susceptibility with high reliability drawn by accurate statistical approaches, which the chart can be understood easily and utilized for both specialists and non-specialists. The evaluation chart was developed by a quantification method based on canonical correlation analysis using the data of geology, topography, and soil property of landslides in Korea. This study analyzed field data and laboratory test results and determined influential factors and rating values of each factor. The quantification analysis result shows that slope angle has the highest significance among the factors and elevation, permeability coefficient, porosity, lithology, and dry density are important in descending order. Based on the score assigned to each evaluation factor, an evaluation chart of landslide susceptibility was developed with rating values in each class of a factor. It is possible for an analyst to identify susceptibility degree of a landslide by checking each property of an evaluation factor and calculating sum of the rating values. This result can also be used to draw landslide susceptibility maps based on GIS techniques.

Development of Landslide-Risk Prediction Model thorough Database Construction (데이터베이스 구축을 통한 산사태 위험도 예측식 개발)

  • Lee, Seung-Woo;Kim, Gi-Hong;Yune, Chan-Young;Ryu, Han-Joong;Hong, Seong-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2012
  • Recently, landslide disasters caused by severe rain storms and typhoons have been frequently reported. Due to the geomorphologic characteristics of Korea, considerable portion of urban area and infrastructures such as road and railway have been constructed near mountains. These infrastructures may encounter the risk of landslide and debris flow. It is important to evaluate the highly risky locations of landslide and to prepare measures for the protection of landslide in the process of construction planning. In this study, a landslide-risk prediction equation is proposed based on the statistical analysis of 423 landslide data set obtained from field surveys, disaster reports on national road, and digital maps of landslide area. Each dataset includes geomorphologic characteristics, soil properties, rainfall information, forest properties and hazard history. The comparison between the result of proposed equation and actual occurrence of landslide shows 92 percent in the accuracy of classification. Since the input for the equation can be provided within short period and low cost, and the results of equation can be easily incorporated with hazard map, the proposed equation can be effectively utilized in the analysis of landslide-risk for large mountainous area.

Evaluation of the Application of Radar Data for Local Landslide Warning (국지적 산사태 발생 예보를 위한 레이더 자료의 활용성 평가)

  • Choi, Yun Seok;Choi, Cheon Kyu;Kim, Kyung Tak;Kim, Joo Hun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2013
  • Landslide in Korea occurs generally in summer, and rainfall is a major factor to trigger landslides. This study evaluates the applicability of radar rainfall to estimate landslide occurs locally in mountainous area. Temporal changes in spatial distribution of rainfall is analyzed using radar data, and the characteristics of rainfall in landslide area during the landslide occurred in Inje, July 2006. This study shows radar rainfall field can estimate local landslides more precisely than the rainfall data from ground gauges.