• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.2 no.1 s.4
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• pp.161-167
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• 2002

Forest fire danger period in nine Provinces (Gangwondo, Kyonggido, Gyeongsangnamdo, Gyeongsangbukdo, Jeollanamdo, Jeollabukdo, Jejudo, Chungcheongnamdo, Chungcheongbukdo) has turned out to be similar to recognize whether there are some differences between each Provinces, we used correlation analysis with number of occurrence and damage area by an interval of ten-day period. Based on this analysis, there was significant numbers of occurrence at all areas wish serious burns except Gyeongsangnamdo and Jejudo Provinces. Since persuasive power is insufficient as danger period of forest fire applies equally to nine Provinces, statistical analysis using number of forest fire occurrence and burned area are executed. And then, a analysis of variance(ANOVA) test of significance by an interval of ten day period is carried out. As a result of this analysis, there showed significant at 1% level for number of occurrence except Jejudo, and is also showed significant at 1% level for burned area except Gangwondo and Chejudo. Through regional correlation analysis for danger period, we classified three parts of Middle region (Gangwondo, Kyonggido, Gyeongsangnamdo, Gyeongsangbukdo, Jeollabukdo, Chungcheongnamdo, Chungcheongbukdo) Southern region (Gyongsangnamdo, Jeollanamdo) and Jejudo region. With respect to forest fire occurrence time, Middle region showed from the middle of February to first of May that amounts to 81% of entire occurrence in this region, and Southern region begins with at the last of January to the middle of April covering 71%. In terms of forest fire burned areas, it appears at the middle of February to the first of May, occupying 98% in Middle region, and Southern region showed burned areas from the last of January to the middle of April amounting to 82% of total occurrences.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.14-26
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• 2016

This study analyzed the correlation between the standardized precipitation index(SPI) and forest fire occurrences using monthly accumulative rainfall data since 1970 and regional fire occurrence data since 1991. To understand the relationship between the SPI and forest fire occurrences, the correlations among the SPI of nine main observatory weather stations including Seoul, number of fire occurrences, and log of fire occurrences were analyzed. We analyzed the correlation of SPI with fire occurrences in the 1990s and 2000s and found that in the 1990s, the SPI of 3 months showed high correlation in Gyeonggi, Gangwon, and Chungnam, while the SPI of 6 months showed high correlation in Chungbuk, and the SPI of 12 months showed high correlation in Gyeongnam, Gyenongbuk, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk. In the 2000s, the SPI of 6 months showed high correlation with the fire frequency in Gyeonggi, Chungnam, Chungbuk, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk, whereas the fire frequency in western Gangwon was highly correlated with the SPI of 3 months and, in eastern Gangwon, Gyeongnam, and Gyenongbuk, with the SPI of 1 month. In the 1990s, distinct differences in the drought condition between the SPI of 3 months and 12 months in the northern and southern regions of Korean Peninsula were found, whereas the differences in both the SPI of 1 month and 6 months were found in the Baekdudaegan region except western Gangwon since the 2000s. Therefore, this study suggests that we can develop a model to predict forest fire occurrences by applying the SPI of 1-month and 6-month data in the future.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.02b
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• pp.101.1-101.1
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• 2009

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.20 no.2 s.62
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• pp.54-63
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• 2006

The number of forest fire under various conditions such as year, month, time, day of the week, region, damaged species, cause, and damaged area are checked, and the statistics of the forest fire causing materials in recent 14 years ('91-'04) are analyzed. The result shows that the year majority of forest fires had happened in last 14 year was 2001 and most of forest fire occurred in April, Sunday, around 14:00 to 15:00. The most damaged region is Gyeongsangbuk-Do, followed by Gangwon-Do, Jeollabuk-Do, and Gyeonggi-Do. The most damaged species is pine tree. The main causes of forest fires are accidental fire and incineration of a field boundary; however, recently, incendiarism is increased. The result of analysis on the damaged area shows that small fires under 5 ha occurred most frequently and large fires (over 30 ha) occurred mostly in Kangwon province (44.2%). The result also shows that the large forest fires (1,113 minutes) require 7.5 time more than the small forest fires (148 minutes). Especially, since average damaged area caused by large forest fire was about 470 ha per incident.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2010.10a
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• pp.131-135
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• 2010

우리나라는 산림이 울창하고 가연성 낙엽 등의 가연성 물질들이 많이 쌓여 있으며, 경사가 급하고 기복이 많은 산지로서 초기진화 실패 시 연소진행 속도가 빨라 급속히 확산 시키는 산악 형 산림으로서 산불 발생 시 진화가 어려워 산불의 확산 속도와 강도를 추정하기 어려운 실정이다. 현재 산불이 발생과 동시에 초기 진화에만 초점을 마치고 있는 시점에서 초기 진화에 실패했을 경우 산불이 확산되는 경로와 시간 등을 예측하여 최소한의 인력과 장비를 이용하여 진화하는 시스템을 구축할 수 있는 경우는 아직 우리나라에서는 미흡하다. 본 연구에서는 특정지역의 국부지형 기상인자(풍향, 풍속)를 측정하여 산불이 발생 시 인자별 특성에 따라서 산불의 진행 경로와 산불의 진화 시나리오를 예측할 수 있는 시스템을 구축하는데 그 목적이 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.58-67
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• 2008

Topography factors, as homeostasis variables at forest fire, affect the formation of fuel load patterns, atmospheric phenomena and forest fire behavior. Examination of the correlation between landforms and fire severity is important to decision making for fire hazard analysis and fighting strategies. In this study, fire severity was analyzed using Normalized Burn Ratio(NBR) derived from pre- and post-fire Landsat TM/+ETM images and landform were classified based on Topographic Position Index(TPI) in Samcheok(2000), Cheongyang(2002), and Yangyang(2005) forest fire regions. F-tests and Duncan's multi-range test between landform and fire severity showed that fire severities of headwater, high ridges, and upper slopes is higher than ones of local ridges, midslope ridges, and plains. Fire severity were more sensitive in coniferous forest than broadleaf forests.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.96-102
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• 2009

Forest fire ignition and spread characteristics are needed as basic data in fire management. Slope aspect of ignition point, spread direction, and wind direction at that time were analyzed and regression equations were proposed for predicting burned area, fire perimeter, head spread rate, and flank spread rate using combustion time using 101 forest fires broken out between 2007 and 2009 spring. 57% forest fires of investigated numbers were ignited in south, southwest, and southeast aspects and 68% of forest fires were spreaded to east, southeast, and northeast influenced by westerly wind. About 11.8ha forest was burned and 0.5km fire perimeter increase was predicted per hour. Head and flank spread rate were calculated 0.13km and 0.05km, respectively.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.59-65
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• 2010

The purpose of this study is to analyze the risk of the forest fire, considering the topography and the forest, for establishing disaster prevention measures of cultural heritage, Uireung, over in Cheonjang-mountain. To do that, we estimate the occurrence and spread of the forest fire over in Cheonjang-mountain through a forest fire probability model(logistic regression), using the space characteristic data($100m{\times}100m$). The factor, occurrence of the forest fire, are diameter class, southeast, southwest, south, coniferous, deciduous, and mixed forest. We assume the probability of the fire forest in each point as follow : [1+exp{-(-4.8081-(0.02453*diameter class)+(0.6608*southeast)+(0.507*southwest)+(0.7943*south)+(0.29498*coniferous forest)+(0.28897*deciduous forest)+(0.17788*mixed forest))}]$^{-1}$. To divide dangerous zone of the big forest fire, we make the basic materials for disaster prevention measures, through the map of coniferous forests, deciduous forests, and mixed forest. The damage of cultural heritage caused by a forest fire will be reduced through the effective preventive measures, by forecast a forest fire to using this study.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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• 2010.06a
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• pp.173-174
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• 2010

산불감시활동에 의한 탐지확률을 높이고, 감시자원의 효율적인 이용을 위해서는 산불 감시 우선지역에 대한 분석이 요구된다. 따라서 산불감시 우선지역을 추출하기 위해 가시권 분석과 산불발생확률 분석을 실시하였으며, 중첩을 통해 가중치를 부여하였다. 가시권 분석은 탐지확률과 관련된 감시자원의 높이, 산불연기높이, 지형의 roughness에 따른 유효가시거리 인자를 다르게 하여 실시하였다. 산불발생확률은 로지스틱 회귀분석모형과 연료, 기상, 지형인자 및 토지피복, 접근성 인자 DB를 이용하여 분석하였다. 개발된 산불감시 우선지역 분석체계는 산불감시자원의 효율성 제고를 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 예상되었다.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.189-204
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• 2018

This study has developed a forest fire occurrence probability model for inaccessible areas such as North Korea and Demilitarized Zone and we have developed a real-time forest fire danger rating system that can be used in fire-related works. There are limitations on the research that it is impossible to conduct site investigation for data acquisition and verification for forest fire weather index model and system development. To solve this problem, we estimated the fire spots in the areas where access is impossible by using MODIS satellite data with scientific basis. Using the past meteorological reanalysis data(5㎞ resolution) produced by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) on the extracted fires, the meteorological characteristics of the fires were extracted and made database. The meteorological factors extracted from the forest fire ignition points in the inaccessible areas are statistically correlated with the forest fire occurrence and the weather factors and the logistic regression model that can estimate the forest fires occurrence(fires 1 and non-fores 0). And used to calculate the forest fire weather index(FWI). The results of the statistical analysis show that the logistic models(p<0.01) strongly depends on maximum temperature, minimum relative humidity, effective humidity and average wind speed. The logistic regression model constructed in this study showed a relatively high accuracy of 66%. These findings may be beneficial to the policy makers in Republic of Korea(ROK) and Democratic People's Republic of Korea(DPRK) for the prevention of forest fires.