• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사용량 예측

Search Result 248, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

A Study of Non-Intrusive Appliance Load Identification Algorithm using Complex Sensor Data Processing Algorithm (복합 센서 데이터 처리 알고리즘을 이용한 비접촉 가전 기기 식별 알고리즘 연구)

  • Chae, Sung-Yoon;Park, Jinhee
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-204
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, we present a home appliance load identification algorithm. The algorithm utilizes complex sensory data in order to improve the existing NIALM using total power usage information. We define the influence graph between the appliance status and the measured sensor data. The device identification prediction result is calculated as the weighted sum of the predicted value of the sensor data processing algorithm and the predicted value based on the total power usage. We evaluate proposed algorithm to compare appliance identification accuracy with the existing NIALM algorithm.

Regional Long-term/Mid-term Load Forecasting using SARIMA in South Korea (계절 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 국내 지역별 전력사용량 중장기수요예측)

  • Ahn, Byung-Hoon;Choi, Hoe-Ryeon;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.12
    • /
    • pp.8576-8584
    • /
    • 2015
  • Load forecasting is needed to make supply and demand plan for a stable supply of electricity. It is also necessary for optimal operational plan of the power system planning. In particular, in order to ensure stable power supply, long-term load forecasting is important. And regional load forecasting is important for tightening supply stability. Regional load forecasting is known to be an essential process for the optimal state composition and maintenance of the electric power system network including transmission lines and substations to meet the load required for the area. Therefore, in this paper we propose a forecasting method using SARIMA during the 12 months (long-term/mid-term) load forecasting by 16 regions of the South Korea.

Analysis of Apartment Power Consumption and Forecast of Power Consumption Based on Deep Learning (공동주택 전력 소비 데이터 분석 및 딥러닝을 사용한 전력 소비 예측)

  • Yoo, Namjo;Lee, Eunae;Chung, Beom Jin;Kim, Dong Sik
    • Journal of IKEEE
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1373-1380
    • /
    • 2019
  • In order to increase energy efficiency, developments of the advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) in the smart grid technology have recently been actively conducted. An essential part of AMI is analyzing power consumption and forecasting consumption patterns. In this paper, we analyze the power consumption and summarized the data errors. Monthly power consumption patterns are also analyzed using the k-means clustering algorithm. Forecasting the consumption pattern by each household is difficult. Therefore, we first classify the data into 100 clusters and then predict the average of the next day as the daily average of the clusters based on the deep neural network. Using practically collected AMI data, we analyzed the data errors and could successfully conducted power forecasting based on a clustering technique.

A Comparison of Statistical Prediction Models in Household Water End-Uses (가정용수의 수요량 예측을 위한 통계적 모형 비교)

  • Myoung, Sung-Min;Lee, Doo-Jin;Kim, Hwa-Soo;Jo, Jin-Nam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.567-573
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study develops a predictive model for household water end-uses based on data that have measured household characteristics, housing characteristics and other items, surveyed over 3 years in Korea. However, the measured data was left-skewed and it was not fitted to normal distribution. The parameter estimate were biased when using a multiple regression model. In addition, the results of the testing for the model were usually of significance due to the tiny residual from a large number of observations. In order to solve the problem, we suggested log-normal regression model and Weibull regression model as alternatives. The results of this study can be utilized in the planning stages of water and waste water facilities.

Indoor Pedestrian Detection-Counting and Analysis-Prediction Techniques for Multi-Complex Building (다중이용시설 이용자수 감지계수 및 분석예측 기술 개발)

  • Jang, Bongseog
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.73-81
    • /
    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 다중이용시설 이용자들의 쾌적함과 안전 그리고 시설내부 에너지 사용량의 최적 절감을 위하여 이용자수를 분석예측한 정보에 따른 공기질품질제어시스템 운영을 통해 국민 중심의 안전하고 쾌적한 서비스를 제공할 필요로 수행되었다. 이를 위하여 실내유동인구수를 카운팅하는 로컬시스템을 제작하고 수집된 유동인구 카운팅 정보를 시계열 모델링을 기반으로 분석예측하는 연구를 진행하였다. 개발된 시스템 성능평가 결과 유동인구 카운팅시스템은 95% 이상 정확도를 보여주었고, 예측시스템은 83~95% 정확도를 확보하였다. 본 연구결과 개발된 시스템은 다중이용시설에 즉시 적용가능하며 향후 남녀노소 인식을 진행하고 이를 예측한 정보에 의한 보다 다양한 서비스 개발을 추진할 계획이다.

이론 곡선법에 있어서 포화량 결정의 영향

  • Hyeon, In-Hwan;Kim, U-Jong;Lee, Je-In
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.33 no.S1
    • /
    • pp.788-793
    • /
    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 k서로 특성이 다른 8개의 도시를 검토 대상지역으로 선정하여 사용수량의 추정방법중 이론 곡선법을 이용하는 경우의 포화값 K의 영향을 비교 검토한 것이다. 이 연구결과는 상수사용량을 예측할 때 일어날 수 있는 오류를 최소한으로 줄이고 해당도시의 예측값을 결정할 때 보다 합리적으로 접근하는데 기초자료가 될 수 있을 것이다.

  • PDF

A DVS Technique based on Hybrid Prediction (혼합 예측에 기반한 프로세서의 동적 전압 변경 기법)

  • 최진욱;최석원;차호정
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.337-339
    • /
    • 2003
  • 본 논문은 내장형 시스템의 전력 감소를 위해 사용되는 과거 사용량 기반의 DVS의 단점 인 응용 프로그램의 수행 성능 저하를 보상하기 위해, 운영체제의 스케줄러에서 제공하는 태스크의 미래정보를 이용하는 기법을 제안한다. 대표적 내장형 운영체제인 WinCE.net에서의 스케줄러는 제한된 자원의 효율적 관리를 위하여 동일 응용프로그램의 태스크들을 관리하면서 다음 태스크 시행시간 정보를 갖게 된다. 이러한 룩 어헤드(look ahead)정보와 과거사용량기법을 혼합한 혼합예측기법이 실제 내장형 시스템에서 전력소비를 감소시키며 응용프로그램의 수행 성능보상을 할 수 있음을 보인다.

  • PDF

An Idea, Strategy of Congestion Pricing for Differentiated Services and Forecasting Probability of Access using Logistic Regression Model (차등서비스를 위한 혼잡요금부과의 타당성 검토와 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 인터넷 접속 확률 예측)

  • Ji Seonsu
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-15
    • /
    • 2005
  • Congestion control is an important research area in computer network. In this paper, I provided strategy of congestion pricing with differentiated services. And, suggested forecasting model of access that considered differentiated pricing, delay time, satisfaction using logistic regression. In a forecasting model of access with logistic regression technique, it is shown that coefficient of determination using suggested model is $70.7\%$.

  • PDF

The Design of Direct Load Control System Using Weather Sensors (기상센서를 이용한 지능형 직접부하제어 시스템 디자인 설계)

  • Choi, Sang Yule
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.113-116
    • /
    • 2015
  • The electric utility has the responsibility of reducing the impact of peaks on electricity demand and related costs. Therefore, they have introduced Direct Load Control System (DLCS) to automate the external control of shedding customer load that it controls. The existing DLCS have been operated only depend on On/Off signal from the electric utility. That kind of DLCS operating has been successfully used until now. But since the number of customer load participating in the DLC program are keep increasing, On/Off signal control from the electric utility is no longer meets the needs of many different kind of customers. Therefore, In this paper, the author suggest the design of direct load control system using weather sensors to meet the diversity of different customer needs.

Design and Implementation of a Cloud-based Linux Software Practice Platform (클라우드 기반 리눅스 SW 실습 플랫폼의 설계 및 구현 )

  • Hyokyung Bahn;Kyungwoon Cho
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.67-71
    • /
    • 2023
  • Recently, there are increasing cases of managing software labs by assigning virtual PCs in the cloud instead of physical PCs to each student. In this paper, we design and implement a Linux-based software practice platform that allows students to efficiently build their environments in the cloud. In our platform, instructors can create and control virtual machine templates for all students at once, and students practice on their own machines as administrators. Instructors can also troubleshoot each machine and restore its state. Meanwhile, the biggest obstacle to implementing this approach is the difficulty of predicting the costs of cloud services instantly. To cope with this situation, we propose a model that can estimate the cost of cloud resources used. By using daemons in each user's virtual machine, we instantly estimate resource usage and costs. Although our model has very low overhead, the predicted results are very close to the actual resource usage measured by cloud service providers. To further validate our model, we used the proposed platform in a Linux practice lecture for a semester and confirmed that the proposed model is very accurate.