• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사고 시나리오

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A study on the Design of a u-railroad Disaster Prevention System for Urban Disaster Prevention Management (도시 재난 관리를 위한 u-철도 방재시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Ham, Eun-Gu;Roh, Sam-Kew
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.72-80
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    • 2010
  • This study suggests ubiquitous railway disaster prevention system that gearing Ubiquitous Sensor Network system information take to the subway fire accident information which emergency response procedure as occurring subway fire accident scenario. Also it is proposed that emergency response system though fire scenario. collected Information was analyzed each system over providing information and it is designed to exchanging information structure though relation system. The ubiquitous railway disaster prevention system basically consists by four unit stages as prevention, preparedness, response and recovery system. Especially, in this system can supply real time accident information to the relevant government offices and public through forecasting and warning system by utilizing recognition of the five senses in case of accident. also, it is build that to make decisions as linking 2-dimension and 3-dimension space information interface of ubiquitous sensor networks and expected scenarios.

Scenarios for Effective Fire Fighting Operations during Tunnel Fires (도로터널 화재시 효과적인 소방활동전략 수립을 위한 시나리오 연구)

  • Kim, Hak kuen;Lee, Ji-hee
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2017
  • Fires in tunnels are an international concern and fatal accidental fires in tunnels seem to occur on annual. They have the potential to become much worse int the future as more and longer tunnels are constructed and as traffic densities increase. This is a serious problem. The main purpose of this study is to develop operational procedures for fire brigades in road tunnel fires. This study discussed the past to see what can be learned from the incidents that have already done in tunnels. 73 cases of road tunnel fires domestic and outside of Korea were investigated and classified into 4 incident categories. Among them, 4 tunnel fires are highlighted, focusing on the activities of fire brigades and operation. Regarding the establishment of the strategies for fire fighting, 6 kinds of fire scenario curves have been deducted with regard to the relation between intervention time and heat release rate. It made the choice from the defensive or aggressive fire fighting activities depending on two criteria i.e. response limit and maximum response time. Road Tunnel Classification models can be useful when a fire brigade evaluates fire risk levels in the tunnels under its jurisdiction from the firefighting point of view and sets up preventive measures.

Analysis of impacts on domestic rivers due to exposure of radioactive materials nearby countries (인접국 방사성물질 누출로 인한 국내 하천에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Oh, Dae Min;Jung, Seung Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.551-551
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    • 2017
  • 우리나라와 동아시아는 경제 성장에 따른 전력수요가 크게 증가하였으며, 증가하는 대부분의 전력수요를 원자력으로 대체하고자 원전을 통한 전력생산 비중을 증가시키고 있다. 현재 중국은 13기의 원전을 가동 중이며, 동남 해안지대에 집중되어 있다. 또한, 건설 중인 원전은 27기로 전세계에서 건설 중인 원전의 41%를 차지한다. 원전의 증가에 따른 방사능 누출에 대한 위험성 역시 증가되고 있는 실정이다. 한국원자력안전기술원에서 중국 중서부지역에서 방사능이 누출될 경우 방사성 물질이 한반도로 이동하는 모의 상황에 대한 시뮬레이션을 통해, 원전 사고 발생 시 사흘 만에 제주도를 포함한 대한민국 전역이 방사성 물질로 뒤덮이는 것으로 분석하였다. 중국에서 누출된 방사성물질은 편서풍을 타고 한반도로 이동하게 되며, 일부는 낙진으로 유역 또는 하천에 유입되고 일부는 동해를 지나 일본으로 이동 할 것이다. 그동안 중국에서의 방사능 누출사고를 통한 방사성물질의 국내유입에 의한 영향에 대한 연구가 부족한 것이 현실이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 중국 텐완에서 원전사고 발생시 국내 하천에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 분석하고자 환경다매체 모형을 이용하여 방사성물질(세슘, Cs-137)의 영향에 대한 모의를 진행하였다. 중국 텐완원전에서 방사성 Cs-137이 누출되어 춘천지역에 도달하였을 때의 대기중 농도 $5,650Bq/m^3$로 가정하여 모의 시나리오를 구성하였다. 모의 지역은 북한강 수계를 대상으로 하였으며, 7개의 중권역과 549.3 km의 하천이 포함되었다. 다매체 모형 모의를 통해 방사성물질 낙진으로 인한 Cs-137이 북한강 수계에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 알아보고자 북한강수계의 팔당댐 부근의 오염농도를 모의하였다. 우리나라의 원자력시설 방호 방재법에 따른 상수원 취수기준(먹는물)은 100 Bq/L로 되어있다. 본 연구의 시나리오 모의결과, 모의 1일차에서 45 Bq/L, 모의 8일차에는 먹는물 기준 100 Bq/L를 초과하여 최대 119.56 Bq/L로 오염되는 것으로 모의되었다. 따라서, 반감기가 큰 방사성물질을 유입으로 오염된 하천은 개선하기 위해서는 오랜 시간과 높은 처리비용이 발생되기 때문에 인접국 또는 국내의 방사능 누출로 인한 상수원 오염 발생에 대비한 초기/중 장기적인 대응책 마련이 필요한 시점이다.

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Survey of the Need for the Development of a Simulated Training Program that Reproduces Automobile Accidents (자동차 사고를 재현한 시뮬레이션 교육 프로그램 개발을 위한 요구도 조사)

  • Kang, Min-Ju
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.179-187
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    • 2019
  • This study performed a survey on the need for an automobile accident-simulation training program for 60 emergency workers and nine emergency medical professors. The results showed that the need for cervical spine immobilization use was highest (76.8%) in first-aid requiring simulation training, and the need for head injury was highest (75.4%) in the scenario requiring simulation training. Based on the 43-month working experience of emergency workers, the uses of pneumatic anti-shock garment, KED, and the need for rapid extrication were significantly different between the two groups (p=0.01, p=0.05). In addition, the scenario showed statistically significant differences in the need for face, abdomen, and other injuries in both group (p=0.05, p=0.04, p=0.03). The needs of emergency workers and emergency medical professors for an automobile accident simulation-training program were high, and the development of a simulation program is needed.

Risk Assessment Based on Highway Hydrogen Chloride Gas Leakage Scenario Using GIS (GIS를 활용한 고속도로 염화수소 가스 누출 시나리오 기반 리스크 평가)

  • Kim, Kuyoon;Lee, Jaejoon;Yun, Hongsik
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.591-601
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    • 2021
  • As the domestic chemical industry continues to develop, handling and transportation of chemicals increases every year. Road freight in Korea accounts for more than 90%, and most of the chemical transportation is done through roads. These chemical vehicles can lead to major accidents if accidents occur. Transportation vehicles are likely to cause water pollution and soil pollution, which are factors of environmental damage, as well as traffic accidents that are the primary damage. In this work, we write a scenario for hydrogen chloride gas leakage by setting Banpo IC and Seocho IC sections as research areas, and use the ALOHA program to measure the predicted distance and analyze the time when hydrogen chloride gas reached according to the distance. In addition, risk assessment using population density was carried out for areas of damage caused by time using GIS. This suggests the need for prevention and countermeasures in areas of damage.

Thought Experiments: on the Working Imagination and its Limitation (사고실험 - 상상의 작용과 한도에 대해)

  • Hwang, Hee-sook
    • Journal of Korean Philosophical Society
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    • v.146
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    • pp.307-328
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    • 2018
  • The use of thought experiments has a long history in many disciplines including science. In the field of philosophy, thought experiments have frequently appeared in the pre-existing literature on the contemporary Analytic Philosophy. A thought experiment refers to a synthetic environment where the designer of the experiment-with his or her intuition and imagination-tests common-sense knowledge. It can be understood as a conceptual tool for testing the validity of the common understanding of an issue or a phenomenon. However, we are not certain about the usefulness or efficacy of a thought experiment in knowledge production. The design of a thought experiment is meant to lure readers into believing as intended by the experiment itself. Thus, regardless of the purpose of a thought experiment, many readers who encounter the experiment could feel deceived. In this paper, to analyze the logic of thought experiments and to seek the source of uneasiness the readers and critics may feel about thought experiments, I draw lessons from three renowned thought-experiments: Thomson's 'ailing violinist', Putnam's 'brain in a vat', and Searle's 'Chinese room'. Imaginative thought experiments are usually constructed around a gap between the reality and the knowledge/information at hand. From the three experiments, several lessons can be learned. First, the evidence of the existence of a gap provided via thought experiments can serve as arguments for counterfactual situations. At the same time, the credibility and efficacy of the thought experiments can be damaged as soon as the thought-experiments are carried out with inappropriate and/or murky directions regarding the procedures of the experiment or the background of the study. According to D. R. Hofstadter and D. C. Dennett(1981), the 'knob setting' in a thought experiment can be altered in the middle of a simulation of the experimental condition, and then the implications of the thought experiment change altogether, indicating that an entirely different conclusion can be deduced from thought experiment. Lastly, some pre-suppositions and bias of the experiment designers play a considerable role in the validity and the chances of success of a thought experiment; thus, it is recommended that the experiment-designers refrain from exercising too much of their imagination in order to avoid contaminating the design of the experiment and/or wrongly accepting preconceived/misguided conclusions.

한국과 일본의 장기 저탄소 에너지 시나리오에 대한 메타 리뷰

  • Park, Nyeon-Bae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.543-572
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    • 2012
  • This paper compared historical energy use from 2000 between Japan and Korea and reviewed literature of mid-and long-term low carbon energy scenarios and plans in both countries released since 2000. In terms of energy use pattern, there are similarities between Korea and Japan; high dependence on energy imports, high proportion of manufacturing industry among OECD countries, closed electricity system disconnected with foreign countries, and high proportion of nuclear power generation with low proportion of renewable electricity despite of high potential of renewable energy. Differences are as follows; decreasing trend in Japan and increasing trend in Korea in terms of energy demand and supply, difficulty of exchanging electricity between regions in Japan unlike Korea, and prospect of nuclear power, that is, curtailing in Japan while expanding in Korea according to governmental plan. Energy Basic Plan in both countries established before nuclear accident in Fukushima required expanding about two times of nuclear energy by 2030, while civil society's energy scenarios suggested reducing energy demand, phasing-out nuclear power, and expanding renewable energy. This paper will serve as a base for future studies about long-term energy scenarios and plan in Japan and Korea.

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A Study on Cooperative-Intelligent Transport System Attack Scenarios and their Prevention and Response Mechanisms (C-ITS 공격 시나리오와 예방 및 대응 방안 연구)

  • Jang, Yoonsuh;Lee, Dong-Seob;Lim, Dong-Ho;Ahn, So-Hee;Shin, Jeonghoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2015
  • C-ITS is a system that uses bidirectional communication between two vehicles or infrastructures to control traffic more conveniently, and safely. If C-ITS security is not properly prepared, it can cause traffic congestions and fatal traffic accidents, and therefore can affect greatly on the driver's life. This paper proposes the prevention and response mechanisms based on the cyber attack scenarios that can be used to attack C-ITS.

A Study on the Firefighting Equipment in Petrochemical Plants (석유화학공장의 소화설비에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Bong-Hoon;Choi, Jae-Wook;Lim, Woo-Sub
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 2014
  • Hydrocarbon fires and explosions in petrochemical plants have occurred repeatedly every year. But domestic law of fire protection system is insufficient for the worst case scenario. In this study, we analyzed domestic and foreign standards of fire protection system in petrochemical plants and surveyed firefighting equipment of 32 petrochemical plants in ulsan petrochemical complex. Finally, it is necessary to design fire water supply based on the worst case scenario in petrochemical plants and firefighting equipment such as fixed water spray system, elevated monitor nozzle, water curtain, large amount foam monitor system should be installed for the worst case scenario in petrochemical plants.

A Study on Nonstationary Regional Frequency Analysis based on Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 비정상성 지역빈도해석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sunghun;Kim, Hanbeen;Jung, Younghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.337-337
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    • 2019
  • 지구 온난화에 따른 기후변화로 인하여 태풍, 폭염, 홍수 및 가뭄 등과 같은 다양한 자연재해는 해마다 증가하고 있으며, 이에 따른 사회적 우려의 목소리가 커지고 있다. 특히 극한 강우와 홍수는 막대한 재산피해와 인명사고 등과 같은 재난에 직결된다. 자연재해에 대한 피해를 사전에 방지하기 위해서는 수자원 시스템을 이해하고, 미래 기후변화를 고려하는 것이 중요하다. 이미 많은 국가들은 기후변화에 대한 영향을 분석하고, 이에 적응하기 위한 노력을 하고 있다. 일반적으로 기후 모델로부터 생산된 모의자료를 이용하여 현재기간에 대비한 미래기간의 변화를 분석하게 되며, 이미 수문통계학 분야에서는 미래 강수량 변화를 살펴보기위해 다양한 연구가 수행되었다. 본 연구는 HadGEM3-RA 기후 모델의 강수 자료에서 연최대 자료를 추출하였고, 이를 이용하여 비정상성 지역빈도해석을 수행하였다. 지역빈도해석 방법은 홍수지수법(index flood method)을 이용하였고, 대상유역으로 한강유역을 선정하여 적용하였다. 또한 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 시나리오는 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5를 적용하였으며, 각 시나리오에 따른 강수량 변화율은 전망 기간(S0:1979-2005, S1:2011-2040, S2: 2041-2070, S3:2071-2100)에 따라 비교 분석하였다.

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