• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사고피해영향 분석

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Spatiotemporal Analysis of Ship Floating Object Accidents (선박 부유물 감김사고의 시·공간적 분석)

  • Yoo, Sang-Lok;Kim, Deug-Bong;Jang, Da-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.1004-1010
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    • 2021
  • Ship-floating object accidents can lead not only to a delay in ship's operations, but also to large scale casualties. Hence, preventive measures are required to avoid them. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal aspects of such collisions based on the data on ship-floating object accidents in sea areas in the last five years, including the collisions in South Korea's territorial seas and exclusive economic zones. We also provide basic data for related research fields. To understand the distribution of the relative density of accidents involving floating objects, the sea area under analysis was visualized as a grid and a two-dimensional histogram was generated. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to analyze the effect of variables such as time of day and season on the collisions. The spatial analysis revealed that the collision density was highest for the areas extending from Geoje Island to Tongyeong, including Jinhae Bay, and that it was high near Jeongok Port in the West Sea and the northern part of Jeju Island. The temporal analysis revealed that the collisions occurred most frequently during the day (71.4%) and in autumn. Furthermore, the likelihood of collision with floating objects was much higher for professional fishing vessels, leisure vessels, and recreational fishing vessels than for cargo vessels during the day and in autumn. The results of this analysis can be used as primary data for the arrangement of Coast Guard vessels, rigid enforcement of regulations, removal of floating objects, and preparation of countermeasures involving preliminary removal of floating objects to prevent accidents by time and season.

A Study on Consequence Analysis of LNG/LPG/Gasoline Station (LNG/LPG/가솔린 Station의 사고피해영향평가 비교)

  • Yoo, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Bum-Su;Lee, Heon-Seok;Ko, Euy-Seok;Lee, Gi-Baek
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2009
  • The advancement of industry have increased domestic energy demands and energy facilities such as storage facility, compressed gas pipe, station, and tank lorry. Also, concern about environment have diversified energy source to clean energy such as LNG. In these major energy facilities, major accident can happen to result in fire, explosion, toxic release and etc. In addition, it may cause chain accidents to the adjacent energy facilities. In this research, safety assessment was performed through the consequence analysis of LPG liquefied petroleum gas) station, gasoline station and LNG(liquiefied natural gas) station. The obtained result will be helpful to make a safety guideline of the LPG/LNG station built adjacent to the gasoline station.

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Correlation Analysis and Estimation Modeling Between Road Environmental Factors and Traffic Accidents (The Case of a 4-legged Signalized Intersections in Cheongju) (도로환경요인과 교통사고의 상관분석 및 사고추정모형 개발 (청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로))

  • Park, Jeong-Sun;Kim, Tae-Yeong;Yu, Du-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.2 s.95
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a traffic characteristic analysis, a correlation analysis with the variables of traffic characteristics, and accident estimation models while recognizing the seriousness of the traffic accidents. The analyses deal with the 181 4-legged signalized intersections that accounted for 1,183 out of 3,115 accidents in Cheongju in 2004. After measuring ADT, intersection area, average lane width, elevation, and other items as independent variables and the number of traffic accidents, the traffic accident rate (accidents per million entering vehicles) and equivalent property damage only (EPDO) figures as dependent variables which are estimated as influencing signalized intersection accidents, the estimation models are developed using correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis. In the analysis of the number of traffic accidents, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.612, and five independent variables are taken as significant factors. In the analysis of traffic accident rates, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.304 and five significant factors, including intersection area and ADT. Also, for the analysis or the EPDO numbers, which coincides with understanding the seriousness of the traffic accidents and the traffic characteristic analysis, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.559, and four independent variables (ADT, main street average lane width, elevation, and speed limit) as significant factors.

A Study on the Importance of Safety Measurement Based on the Analysis of the Factors Leading to Serious Accidents Related to Chemical Industries (화학 관련 산업의 중대 재해 원인분석을 통한 안전관리 중요성에 관한 연구)

  • An, Hyung Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2015
  • This study is an analysis of characteristics and the causes of serious accidents in chemical industry. The statistical analysis was focused on preventive facilities, equipment failures, accident materials and instabilities of workers and employment type. First, it showed that the highest number of the victims of accidents were involved in the industry of chemical materials and chemical products among the investigation of the manufactural industries. Also, particularly, they were investigated to be focused on the occurrence of the serious accidents in preventive facilities. Secondly, the most of the victims of serious accidents were found out not to be temporary or part-time worker but regular workers and most of the accidents occur in the form of big accidents involving more than 4 workers.

A Study on Characteristics Analysis of Swell Wave Accidents and the Establishment of Countermeasures in the East Coast (동해안 너울 사고 특성 분석 및 대응방안 수립)

  • Hwang, Soon-Mi;Oh, Hyeong-Min;Kang, Tae-Soon;Nam, Soo-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we collected cases of accidents caused by swell in the east coast of Korea from 2013 to 2017. The location of the accident, the season, the type of coast and the type of damage were classified and the correlation between the accident and the wave data was analyzed by collecting the observation data of the nearby area at the time of the accident. Also, based on the results of the coastal disaster vulnerability assessment of Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency, the vulnerability grades of swell accidents area were evaluated. In swell accident area, the average grade of the wave exposure index was 4.91, the wave sensitivity index was 3.87, and the wave impact index was 4.90. As a result, most of the swell accidents occurred in the 5 grade (very vulnerable level) of the wave impact index, and the area of the east coast (78.7%) of the same 5 grade was classified into five types according to the wave sensitivity index result. Finally, a countermeasures was taken for characteristics of each type.

A Study on the Damage of Flame caused by the Vapor Cloud Explosion in LPG Filling Station (LPG충전소에서 증기운폭발에 의한 화염의 피해에 관한 연구)

  • Leem, Sa-Hwan;Huh, Yong-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2010
  • LPG(Liquefied Petroleum Gas) vehicles in metropolitan area are being applied to improve air quality and have been proven effective for the reduction of air pollutant. In addition, LPG demand is growing rapidly as an environmentally friendly energy source and its gas station is also increasing every year. Consequently, this study tries to find out the influence of flame caused by the VCE(Vapor Cloud Explosion) in filling station on the adjacent combustibles and people by simulating relevant quantity of TNT. In addition, the damage estimation was conducted by using API regulations. If the scale of the radiation heat is known by calculating the distance of flame influence from the explosion site, the damage from the site can be easily estimated. And the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent structures and people into the PROBIT model. According to the probit analyze, the spot which is 30m away from the flame has 100% of the damage probability by the first-degree burn, 99.2% of the damage probability by the second-degree burn and 93.4% of the death probability by the fire.

Dynamic Response of Plate Structure Subject to the Characteristics of Explosion Load Profiles - Part B: Analysis for the Effect of Explosion Loading Time According to the Natural Period for Target Structures - (폭발하중 이력 특성에 따른 판 구조물의 동적응답 평가 - Part B: 고유주기에 따른 폭발하중 지속시간의 영향 분석 -)

  • Kang, Ki-Yeob;Choi, Kwang-Ho;Ryu, YongHee;Choi, JaeWoong;Lee, Jae-Myung
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2015
  • Offshore structures for the gas production are exposed to the risk of gas leaks, and gas explosions can result in fatal damages to the primary structures as well as secondary structures. To minimize the damage from the critical accidents, the study of the dynamic response of structural members subjected to blast loads must be conducted. Furthermore, structural dynamic analysis has to be performed considering relationships between the natural frequency of structural members and time duration of the explosion loading because the explosion pressure tends to increase and dissipate within an extremely short time. In this paper, the numerical model based on time history data were proposed considering the negative phase pressure in which considerable negative phase pressures were observed in CFD analyses of gas explosions. The undamped single degree of freedom(SDOF) model was used to characterize the dynamic response under the blast loading. A blast wall of FPSO topside was considered as an essential structure in which the wall prevents explosion pressures from the process area to utility and working areas. From linear/nonlinear transient analyses using LS-DYNA, it was observed that dynamic responses of structures were influenced by significantly the negative time duration.

Environmental Impact Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Accident using Spatial Information Modeling: A Case Study of Chernobyl (공간정보 모델링을 이용한 원전 사고의 환경 영향 평가: 체르노빌 사례연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Won;Song, Ah-Ram;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2012
  • This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of advanced spatial modeling techniques for environmental monitoring and impact assessment through a case study of Chernobyl nuclear accident occurred in 1986. Land-cover types changed after the accident are analysed by a post classification comparison method using bi-temporal Landsat TM data acquired in 1986 and 1992 near the accident site. Spatial modeling including various kriging algorithms are also applied to analyze the relationships between Cesium concentrations in soil and thyroid cancer incidence rates in Belarus, which was greatly damaged by the accident. The change detection results clearly showed the decrease of croplands and the increase of abandoned lands, and concrete structures were newly built around the nuclear plant to prevent the spread of radioactive contamination. In Belarus, high Cesium concentrations were observed in southern areas with high thyroid cancer risk estimated by Poisson kriging. Geographically weighted regression, which could account for geographic variations of independent variables including Cesium concentrations and distances from the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, was applied to extract the relationships between the independent variables and the thyroid cancer risk. The estimated risk values showed a correlation coefficient value of 0.98 with respect to the thyroid cancer risk values, which implied that the thyroid cancer risk in Belarus was affected by the accident. In conclusion, it is expected that advanced spatial modeling techniques applied in this study would be useful for environmental impact assessment and public health research.

Transition of Four Major Social Safety Indexes by Time Series Data Analysis (시계열 자료 분석을 통한 4대 사회안전지표 변화 추이)

  • Song, Chang Geun;Jang, Hyun-ju;Lee, Kum-Jin
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.634-638
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    • 2015
  • Four major social safety indexes including industrial accident, traffic accident, fire, and violent crime were selected, and transition of those values by time series data analysis since 2003 was presented. Comparing with the 2003 figure, the index of industrial accident was reduced by 27.8%, which was the most improved safety index. The indicators describing the traffic accident and violent crime rate were reduced by approximately 12%. However, the fire safety index showed an increase of 40% compared with the base year because national fire classification system was changed so that minor fire is also included in the counting since 2006.

Consequence Analysis for Accidental Releases of Toxic Gases through Risk Based Inspection using API-581 (API-581에 의한 위험기반검사에서 독성가스의 누출사고 결과분석)

  • Kim Tae-Ok;Lee Hern-Chang;Kim Hwan-Joo;Shin Dongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.8 no.4 s.25
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2004
  • Accidental releases of toxic gases heavily affect to the risk of process facilities. In this research, consequence analysis for accidental releases of ammonia and chlorine gases was studied using the risk based inspection, based on API-581 BRD. It was found out that consequence areas (toxic areas) decrease as temperature increases and as the pipe diameter and pressure decrease. For the same release condition, the toxic area by the release of chlorine gas was larger than that by the release of ammonia gas.

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