• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.1297-1308
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• 2015

In Korea, the local traffic safety master plan has been established and implemented according to the Traffic Safety Act. Each local government is required to establish a customized traffic safety policy and share roles for improvement of traffic safety and this means that local governments lead and promote effective local traffic safety policies fit for local circumstances in substance. For implementing efficient traffic safety policies, which accord with many-sided characteristics of local governments, the prediction of community-based traffic accidents, which considers local characteristics and the analysis of accident influence factors must be preceded, but there is a shortage of research on this. Most of existing studies on the community-based traffic accident prediction used social and economic variables related to accident exposure environments in countries or cities due to the limit of collected data. For this reason, there was a limit in applying the developed models to the actual reduction of traffic accidents. Thus, this study developed a local traffic accident prediction model, based on smaller regional units, administrative districts, which were not omitted in existing studies and suggested a method to reflect traffic safety facility and policy variables that traffic safety policy makers can control, in addition to social and economic variables related to accident exposure environments, in the model and apply them to the development of local traffic safety policies. The model development result showed that in terms of accident exposure environments, road extension, gross floor area of buildings, the ratio of bus lane installation and the number of crossroads and crosswalks had a positive relation with accidents and the ratio of crosswalk sign installation, the number of speed bumps and the results of clampdown by police force had a negative relation with accidents.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.248-248
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• 2021

본 연구에서 개발한 하천흐름해석모형 HDM-2Di는 2차원 추적모형에 필요한 격자생성기(RAMS-G) 및 GUI (RAMS+)와 연계하여 요소망 생성기능 및 요소망 처리기능을 통해 실제 지형을 반영할 수 있는 전처리 과정을 수행할 수 있다. 장구간 하천에서 신속하고 정확하게 모의결과를 도출할 수 있도록 입출력 체계를 구조화하다. 또한 하천의 복잡한 지형과 자연 하천구조의 동역학적인 흐름환경을 효과적으로 재현할 수 있으며 흐름해석모의 결과인 2차원 평면상의 유속과 수심을 2차원 유해화학물질 추적모형(CTM-2D-TX)의 입력자료로 활용할 수 있도록 개발하였다. HDM-2Di 모형의 성능 검증을 위하여 정상류 및 준부정류, 부정류 조건 흐름해석 성능 테스트를 진행하였으며, 실제 자연하천의 물리적 구조를 재현한 사행수로 추적자 실험 결과와 모형 결과를 비교분석하였다. 또한 자연하천 적용을 위하여 구미보와 칠곡보 구간을 대상으로 ADCP 실측 결과와 상용모형인 Nays-2DH 모의 결과와의 비교를 통해 HDM-2Di 흐름해석모형의 정확성 및 적용성을 평가하였다.

• Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.69-77
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• 2021

Although accident data from the National Police Agency and insurance companies do not know the vehicle safety, the damage level information can be obtained from the data managed by the bus credit association or the bus company itself. So the accident severity was analyzed based on the side impact accidents using accident repair cost. K-means clustering analysis separated the cost of accident repair into 'minor', 'moderate', 'severe', and 'very severe'. In addition, the side impact accident severity was analyzed by using an ordered logit model. As a result, it is appeared that the longer the repair period, the greater the impact on the severity of the side impact accident. Also, it is appeared that the higher the number of collision points, the greater the impact on the severity of the side impact accident. In addition, oblique collisions of the angle of impact were derived to affect the severity of the accident less than right angle collisions. Finally, the absence of opponent vehicle and large commercial vehicles involved accidents were shown to have less impact on the side impact accident severity than passenger cars.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.45-45
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• 2022

산업화에 따른 화학물질 사용량의 증가는 담수로의 유해화학물질 유출사고의 위험을 증가시키며, 이러한 사고는 하천수 수질과 수환경 생태계에 심각한 위해와 손상을 야기한다. 이러한 수질사고 발생시 신속 대응을 위해, 하천에 유입된 물질의 거동을 신속하게 예측하는 것이 필요하며 이 경우 1차원 추적모형이 주로 사용된다. 1차원 물질혼합 모형은 하천을 하나의 유선으로 보며, 복잡한 하천흐름의 시스템을 현상학적으로 해석하고, 오염물질의 이송 및 혼합 메카니즘을 모델 매개변수에 반영하여 모형화한다. 이러한 매개변수들은 직접적으로 측정하기 어려우며, 이론에 기반한 매개변수 산정 기법이 구축되지 않은 실정이다. 따라서 대부분의 연구에서는 추적자 실험을 실시하여 유한한 하천구간에서 추적자의 시간-농도곡선(Breakthrough curve, BTC)을 취득하고, 이를 통하여 대상 구간의 매개변수를 역산하는 최적화 기법에 의존하고 있다. 하지만, 모든 하천구간에 대하여 추적자 실험을 수행하여 데이터를 확보하는 것이 어렵기 때문에 최적화 기법의 적용성에 한계가 있다. 본 연구는 흐름정보가 제공되지 않은 미계측 하천구간에서 BTC를 신속하게 예측할 수 있는 회귀모형을 구축하는 것을 목표로 한다. 국내 하천에서 수행한 4회의 추적자 실험으로부터 취득한 28개 구간 케이스의 데이터에 대하여 농도곡선 전처리를 수행하고 14개의 통계적 특징을 추출하였으며, 계측된 흐름특성과의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 대상 구간에서의 BTC의 변화가 추적자의 유하거리에 매우 높은 상관관계를 보였으며, 이를 이용하여 회귀모형을 제시하였다. 제안된 회귀모형을 적용하여 하류의 지점에서의 BTC를 예측하였으며, 1차원 이송-분산 방정식과 하천저장대모형을 활용한 예측결과와 비교하여 검증하였다. 그 결과, BTC의 변화특성을 활용한 회귀적 예측이 하천 지형 및 흐름의 변동성이 작은 구간에서 1차원 혼합모형들을 이용한 예측보다 더 높은 정확도를 보였으며, 이러한 장점은 장거리 예측에서 더 분명하게 나타났다.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.348-356
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• 2007

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.7-16
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• 2000

This paper is focused on verifying time-space repetition of the highway accident and finding the their causes and deterrents. We classify all months into several seasonal groups, develop the model for each seasonal group and analyze the results of these models for Joong-bu highway. The existence of seasonal effect is verified by the analysis or self-organizing map and the accident indices. Agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis which is used to decide the seasonal groups in accordance with accident patterns, winter group, spring-fall group. and summer group. The accident features of winter group are that the accident rate is high but the severity rate is low. while those of summer group are that the accident rate is low but the severity rate is high. Also, the regression model which is developed to identify the accident Pattern or each seasonal group represents that the season-related factors, such as the amount of rainfall, the amount of snowfall, days of rainfall, days of snowfall etc. are strongly related to the accident pattern of evert seasonal group and among these factors the traffic volume, amount of rainfall. the amount of snowfall and days of freezing importantly affect the local accident Pattern. So, seasonal effect should be considered to the identification of high-risk road section. the development of descriptive and Predictive accident model, the resource allocation model of accident in order to make safety management plan efficient.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.63-70
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• 2020

Many organizations apply reactive safety management to prevent the same or similar types of accidents by through investigation and analysis of the accident cases. Although research on investigation techniques has contributed a lot to the objective results of safety accidents and the preparation of countermeasures, many accident investigation techniques currently in use treat accidents from a linear perspective, revealing limitations in reflecting current systems dominated by complexity and uncertainty. In order to overcome these limitations, this study will review recent studies and concepts from a system safety perspective and predict future research trends through a case analysis of aviation accident. The models used in the analysis are STAMP, HFACS, and FRAM, and the characteristics of each technique are presented so that analysts who perform related tasks in the field can refer to them.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Cognitive Science Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.145-150
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• 2002

의도와 관심의 실현을 위하여, 언어 행동을 주도하는 '의식'이 사고와 언어를 연결할 때에 드러내는 특성과 기능 일부를 밝히기 위해, <실용 논리> 수업 시간에 녹화한 한 대학생의 토론 첫 부분 내용을 Chafe의 '억양 단위' 분석법에 따라 분석한 결과, 억양의 단위는 평균 1.8초, 9.5음절로 구성되며, 언어와 사고는, 물처럼 흐르는 것이 아니라, 억양 단위로 끈어진 토막들이 의식에 의해 연결되면서 '관심점'의 내용이 전개되고 있는 것임을 발견하였다. 각 억양 단위 속에는 뚜렷하게 발음하는 하나 정도의 '초점'과, 그렇지 않은'주변' 내용과 형식으로 구성됨을 확인하고, 초점들을 서로 이으면 결국, 이어진 말 중심 내용이 드러남도 발견하였다. 한국어와 일본어 억양 단위는 주어＋동사 형식을 갖추지 않은 예가 60％와 67.4％이므로, 주어＋동사 모형은 언어와 사고 전개 모형의 한 예에 불과하다고 해석한다. 각 단위들의 연결 면에는 문제가 있음도 발견하였다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.583-595
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• 2014

Currently, Korean transportation policies are aiming for increase of safety and environment-friendly and efficient operation, by avoiding construction and expansion of roads, and upgrading road alignments and facilities. This is revealed by that there have been 22 road expansion projects (30%) and 50 road improvement projects (70%) under the 3rd Five-Year Plan for National Highways ('11~'15), while there were 53 road expansion projects (71%) and 22 road improvement projects (29%) under the 2nd Five-Year Plan for National Highways. For more effective road improvement projects, there is a need of choosing projects after an objective and scientific safety assessment of each road, and assessing safety improvement depending on projects. This study is intended to develop a model for this road safety analysis and assessment. The major objective of this study is creating a road safety analysis and assessment model appropriate for Korean society, based on the HSM (Highway Safety Manual) of the U.S. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. The collected data was processed correlation analysis of each road element was implemented to see which factor had a big effect on traffic accidents. On the basis of these results, then, an accident model was established as a negative binomial regression model.Using the developed model, an Crash Modification Factor (CMF) which determines accident frequency changes depending on safety performance function (SPF) predicting the number of accident occurrence through traffic volume and road section expansion, road geometric structure and traffic properties, was extracted.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.49-56
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• 2011

Understanding various casual factors affecting the occurrence of freeway traffic crash is a backbone of deriving effective countermeasures. The first step toward understanding such factors is to identify crash risks on freeways. Unlike existing studies, this study focused on the unsafe vehicle maneuvering that can be detected by in-vehicle sensors. The recent advancement of sensor technologies allows us to gather and analyze detailed microscopic events leading to crash occurrence such as the abrupt change in acceleration. This study used an accelerometer to capture the unsafe events. A set of candidate variables representing unsafe events were derived from analyzing acceleration data obtained by the accelerometer. Then, the crash risk was modeled by the binary logistic regression technique. The probabilistic outcome of crash risk can be provided by the proposed model. An application of the methodology assessing crash risk was presented, and further research items for the successful field implementation were also discussed.