• Title/Summary/Keyword: 불완전한 관측

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A Purchase Pattern Analysis Using Bayesian Network and Neural Network (베이지안 네트워크와 신경망을 이용한 구매패턴 분석)

  • Hwang Jeong-Sik;Pi Su-Young;Son Chang-Sik;Chung Hwan-Mook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.306-311
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    • 2005
  • To analyze the consumer's purchase pattern, we must consider a factor which is a cultural, social, individual, psychological and so on. If we consider the internal state by the consumer's purchase, Both the consumer's purchase action and the purchase factor can be predicted, so the corporation can use effectively in suitable goods development in a consumer's preference. These factors need a technology that treat uncertain information, because it is difficult to analyze by directly information processing. Therefore, bayesian network manages elements those the observation of inner state such as consumer's purchase is difficult. In addition, it is interpretable about data that the observation is impossible. In this paper, we examine the seller's know-how and the way of consumer's purchase to analyze consumer's purchase action pattern through goods purchase. Also, we compose the bayesian network based on the examined data, and propose the method that predicts purchase patterns. Finally, we remove the data including unnecessary attribute using the bayesian network, and analyze the consumer's Purchase pattern using Kohonen's SOM method.

A Study of the Small Sample Warranty Data Analysis Using the Bayesian Approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 소표본 보증데이터 분석 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Gurl;Sung, Ki-Woo;Song, Jung-Moo
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2013.04a
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    • pp.517-531
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    • 2013
  • 보증 데이터를 통해 제품의 수명 및 형상모수를 추정할 때 최우추정법과 같은 전통적인 통계 분석방법(Classical Statistical Method)을 많이 사용하였다. 그러나 전통적인 통계 분석방법을 통해 수명과 형상모수의 추정 시 표본의 크기가 작거나 불완전한 경우 추정량의 신뢰성이 떨어진다는 단점이 있고 또 누적된 경험과 과거자료를 충분히 이용하지 못하는 단점도 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 모수의 사전분포를 가정하는 베이지안(Bayesian) 기법의 적용이 필요하다. 하지만 보증 데이터분석에 있어서 베이지안 기법을 이용한 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 수명분포가 와이블 분포를 갖는 보증데이터를 활용하여 모수 추정의 효율성을 비교 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 와이블 분포의 모수가 대수정규분포를 따르는 사전분포를 갖는 베이지안 기법과 전통적 통계기법인 생명표법(Actuarial method)을 활용하여 추정량을 도출하고 비교 분석하였다. 이를 통해 충분한 관측 데이터를 확보할 수 없는 경우에 베이지안 기법을 이용한 보증 데이터 분석방법의 성능을 확인하고자 한다.

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Partial Composite Action of Gypsum-Sheathed Cold-Formed Steel Wall Stud Panels (석고보드와 결합된 강재 샛기둥 패널의 부분 합성거동)

  • Lee, Young Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.373-380
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    • 2001
  • The problem addressed in this study is how to analytically treat the partial composite action for wall panels. An equation, derived for wood-joist floor systems, which determines deflections for beams with partial composite action is introduced. The equation is applied to the calculation of the mid-span deflection for gypsum-sheathed, cold-formed steel was stud panels. The objective of this study is to properly reflect the influence of the following factors in the calculation of mid-span deflection for the panel: connection slip, local buckling, perforations in the stud web, and effects from joints in the sheathing. Predicted deflections based on an upper bound for connection rigidity were closest to experimental deflections.

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Decision of Gaussian Function Threshold for Image Segmentation (영상분할을 위한 혼합 가우시안 함수 임계 값 결정)

  • Jung, Yong-Gyu;Choi, Gyoo-Seok;Heo, Go-Eun
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2009
  • Most image segmentation methods are to represent observed feature vectors at each pixel, which are assumed as appropriated probability models. These models can be used by statistical estimating or likelihood clustering algorithms of feature vectors. EM algorithms have some calculation problems of maximum likelihood for unknown parameters from incomplete data and maximum value in post probability distribution. First, the performance is dependent upon starting positions and likelihood functions are converged on local maximum values. To solve these problems, we mixed the Gausian function and histogram at all the level values at the image, which are proposed most suitable image segmentation methods. This proposed algoritms are confirmed to classify most edges clearly and variously, which are implemented to MFC programs.

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A Heuristic Search Algorithm for Solving Partially-Observable, Non-Deterministic Planning Problems (부분적으로 관측가능하고 비결정적인 계획문제를 풀기 위한 휴리스틱 탐색 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sik;Park, Chan-Young;Kim, In-Cheol
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.15 no.10
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    • pp.786-790
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we present a new heuristic search algorithm, HSCP, that can solve conditional/contingent planning problems with nondeterministic actions as well as partial observations. The algorithm repeats its AND-OR search trials until a complete solution graph can be found. However, unlike existing heuristic AND-OR search algorithms such as$AO^*$ and $LAO^*$, the AND-OR search trial conducted by HSCP concentrates on only a single candidate of solution subgraphs to expand it into a complete solution graph. Moreover, unlike real-time dynamic programming algorithms such as RTDP and LRTDP, the AND-OR search trial of HSCP finds a solution immediately when it possible without delaying it until the estimated value of every state converges. Therefore, the HSCP search algorithm has the advantage that it can find a sub-optimal conditional plan very efficiently.

FTIR and Moisture Effects on Optical Information Transfer at Interface of Air and Glass (공기-유리 계면에서 광학정보 전달에 미치는 불완전 반사 및 수분 효과)

  • Han, Won Heum;Han, Ji Heum;Kim, Jee Hyen;Jung, Hyung Sik;Lee, Moon Ho
    • Journal of Adhesion and Interface
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2012
  • The transfer mechanism of optical information at the interface of air and glass (the air-glass IF) has been investigated by thoroughly fulfilling the theoretical and experimental analyses regarding the FTIR (Frustrated Total Internal Reflection) and moisture effects on the fingerprint onto a glass cup with water. As for the fingerprint onto a glass cup with water its image was observed to be very vivid, which turned out to be due to the difference between the two light intensities reflected on the air-glass IF and the wet fingerprint ridge by manipulating the optical theories such as Fresnel relation, Snell's law, FTIR, GT (general transmission) and so on. In addition, the experimental inspection for FTIR and moisture effects on the fingerprint image also evidenced the fact that the vivid fingerprint image originated from the moisture effect rather than the FTIR phenomenon.

Drainage Network Analysis System for Estuarine Urban Areas (하구부 도시유역 배수위 해석 시스템)

  • Ahn, Byung-Chan;Ahn, Sang-Dae;Kim, Won-Il;Ahn, Won-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2008
  • USWMM was developed as a drainage analysis system for estuarine urban areas by adding sluice gates on existing EPA SWMM5 through this study. For the purpose of reviewing, Ansungchon river was modeled with USWMM and calibration and verification were attempted at three observation stations. In comparison, another approach using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS was applied to the area under the same condition. It turned out that USWMM resulting values were closer to the observed values than those of the HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS approach. USWMM's flow simulation through sluices were more realistic to sluice operation fields by adding incomplete submerged orifice flow equation and maintenance water level. In sum, USWMM can be seen as a general purpose tool for estuarine urban drainage analysis system.

Optical properties of Rare-Earth-Implanted GaN Epilayer (희토류 원소를 이온주입법으로 도핑한 GaN 박막의 광전이 특성)

  • Kim, Yong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.210-214
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    • 2007
  • We have studied optical transitions of Gd-implanted GaN epilayers. Photoluminescence transition intensity at 590 nm at T=5 K diminishes and its center position moves to short avelength (blue shift) with increasing temperature up to 200 K. Above T=200 K, the transition intensity increases with increasing temperature while the center position remains the same. We believe that such anomalous optical transition behavior is due to the effect of rare-element in the semiconductor host material and lattice imperfection which was occurred during the implantation process well as.

Performance Evaluation of the Samcheonpo Ocean Small Hydropower Plant Using Operation Results Data (운전실적자료를 이용한 삼천포 해양소수력 성능평가)

  • Kang, Keum-Seok;Kim, Ji-Young;Cho, Hong-Yeon
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.403-406
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    • 2007
  • 발전소 온배수의 원활한 배수를 위한 설계 낙차와 함께 남서해안의 조위변화에 따른 낙차의 이용가능성을 인지하고 소수력 발전 방식과 조력발전 방식의 특정을 동시에 활용하는 해양소수력 발전소를 삼천포 화력발전소 배수로에 최초로 건설하여 운전함으로써 청정 재생에너지 개발 및 $CO_2$ 저감효과 창출에 이바지하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 삼천포 해양소수력 발전소의 운전실적 자료를 토대로 조위 및 방류량의 변화에 따른 해양소수력의 효율 특성을 분석하고자 한다. 해양소수력 발전소의 효율은 방류량과 유효 낙차의 영향을 직접적으로 받기 때문에 관측한 수위 및 방류량, 해양소수력발전소 운전실적 자료를 토대로 효율분석을 실시하였다. 우선, 소수력 가동 이후 배수로에서의 수위 상승이 명확히 나타났으며, 배수로내 위어에서의 흐름구조가 완전월류 상태에서 불완전월류로 바뀌면서 배수로 전체의 수면 불안정성이 크게 증가하였으나, 배수로의 범람이나 순환수 계통에의 큰 영향을 초래할 만한 수준은 아니었다. 성능시험 결과, 최대출력, 평균출력, 최소출력 모든 부분에서 설계 보증치 이내의 값을 보였으며, 효율 또한 설계 보중치를 상회하는 결과를 보였다. CWP 유량 분석결과, 소수력 발전소에서의 유량이 과소 측정되고 있음을 확인하였으며, 최대낙차에서 최대효율을 보이고, 저낙차일 때는 보증치보다 효율이 낮게 나타나는 결과를 보였다. 또한 조위조건을 고려한 유량을 이용하여 산정한 효율 곡선이 보증치와 가장 일치하였으며, 전체 시스템 효율은 비교적 양호한 상태임을 알 수 있었다.

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The Colonizing Routes of Aphis gossypii (Hemiptera: Aphididae) to Mandarine Citrus Trees Grown in a Non-heating Plastic-film House During the Early Season (무가온 시설재배 감귤에서 계절초기 목화진딧물 개체군의 정착경로에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Ok;Kwon, Soon Hwa;Park, Jeong Hoon;Oh, Sung Oh;Hyun, Seung Young;Kim, Doog-Soon
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 2015
  • The cotton aphid, Aphis gossypii Glover (Hemiptera: Aphididae) infests citrus orchards, causing sooty mold damage to the fruits. This study was conducted to investigate the colonizing route of A. gossypii in citrus orchards in a non-heating plastic-film house during the early season. The overwintering eggs of the aphids are frequently found on summer shoots of the citrus trees. The eggs were mostly those of Aphis citricola, without any A. gossypii when hatched. The colonization of citrus trees by alate A. gossypii in non-heating plastic-film houses was mainly observed twice, with advanced flight in late April and delayed flight in late May. The delayed flight was synchronized with the timing of the emergence of alate A. gossypii from the fundatrix generation in the holocyclic life cycle. During advanced flight in closed citrus orchards, alate A. gossypii were caught in yellow water traps installed in the fields, and the populations were found to originate from the surviving populations of the anholocyclic life cycle. Consequently, we concluded that citrus tree colonization with A. gossypii occurred during the advanced flight of the anholocyclic and the delayed flight of the holocyclic life cycle.