• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분포형모델

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Downscaling of AMSR2 Sea Ice Concentration Using a Weighting Scheme Derived from MODIS Sea Ice Cover Product (MODIS 해빙피복 기반의 가중치체계를 이용한 AMSR2 해빙면적비의 다운스케일링)

  • Ahn, Jihye;Hong, Sungwook;Cho, Jaeil;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.687-701
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    • 2014
  • Sea ice is generally accepted as an important factor to understand the process of earth climate changes and is the basis of earth system models for analysis and prediction of the climate changes. To continuously monitor sea ice changes at kilometer scale, it is demanded to create more accurate grid data from the current, limited sea ice data. In this paper we described a downscaling method for Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) Sea Ice Concentration (SIC) from 10 km to 1 km resolution using a weighting scheme of sea ice days ratio derived from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sea ice cover product that has a high correlation with the SIC. In a case study for Okhotsk Sea, the sea ice areas of both data (before and after downscaling) were identical, and the monthly means and standard deviations of SIC exhibited almost the same values. Also, Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analyses showed that three kinds of SIC data (ERA-Interim, original AMSR2, and downscaled AMSR2) had very similar principal components for spatial and temporal variations. Our method can apply to downscaling of other continuous variables in the form of ratio such as percentage and can contribute to monitoring small-scale changes of sea ice by providing finer SIC data.

Optimization of Soil Contamination Distribution Prediction Error using Geostatistical Technique and Interpretation of Contributory Factor Based on Machine Learning Algorithm (지구통계 기법을 이용한 토양오염 분포 예측 오차 최적화 및 머신러닝 알고리즘 기반의 영향인자 해석)

  • Hosang Han;Jangwon Suh;Yosoon Choi
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.331-341
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    • 2023
  • When creating a soil contamination map using geostatistical techniques, there are various sources that can affect prediction errors. In this study, a grid-based soil contamination map was created from the sampling data of heavy metal concentrations in soil in abandoned mine areas using Ordinary Kriging. Five factors that were judged to affect the prediction error of the soil contamination map were selected, and the variation of the root mean squared error (RMSE) between the predicted value and the actual value was analyzed based on the Leave-one-out technique. Then, using a machine learning algorithm, derived the top three factors affecting the RMSE. As a result, it was analyzed that Variogram Model, Minimum Neighbors, and Anisotropy factors have the largest impact on RMSE in the Standard interpolation. For the variogram models, the Spherical model showed the lowest RMSE, while the Minimum Neighbors had the lowest value at 3 and then increased as the value increased. In the case of Anisotropy, it was found to be more appropriate not to consider anisotropy. In this study, through the combined use of geostatistics and machine learning, it was possible to create a highly reliable soil contamination map at the local scale, and to identify which factors have a significant impact when interpolating a small amount of soil heavy metal data.

A Numerical Study on the Effect of Steel Casing on Bearing Capacity of Drilled Shafts for Marine Bridges (수치해석을 이용한 국내 해상교량 현장타설말뚝의 강관지지효과)

  • Lee, Juhyung;Shin, Hyu-Soung;Park, Minkyung;Park, Jae Hyun;Kwak, Kiseok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3C
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2008
  • This study is concerned with the characteristics of the behavior of drilled shafts with steel casing, a material that is used for large bridge foundations in Korea, and especially for weak submerged ground conditions. The effect of steel casing on bearing capacity of drilled shafts was also verified in this study. Three large drilled shafts with 1.8, 2.4, 3.0m diameter respectively were selected, and 3-D finite element analysis has been undertaken on the following three models: 1) drilled shafts without steel casing, 2) drilled shafts with steel casing, 3) steel-concrete composite drilled shafts. Interface element between concrete core and steel casing was taken into account, and ground conditions and load combinations were applied which had been considered in the fields. Detailed characteristics of the stress and displacement distributions were evaluated to understand the characteristics of the behavior of the drilled shafts. Based on the study performed, the steel casing used as load-carrying materials in the drilled shafts can reduce the horizontal and vertical displacement of drilled shafts by 32~37% and 15~19% respectively compared with drilled shafts without steel casing.

Liquid-Liquid Equilibria of Poly(4-vinylphenol)(PVPh)/Ethyl Acetate and PVPh/Butyl Acetate Solutions (Poly(4-vinylphenol)(PVPh)/Ethyl Acetate 및 PVPh/Butyl Acetate 용액계의 액-액 상평형)

  • Kim, Mi Kyung;Kim, Ki-Chang
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.704-714
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    • 2005
  • Phase separations of Poly(4-vinylphenol)(PVPh)/Ethyl Acetate and PVPh/Butyl Acetate solutions were measured using the thermal optical analysis (TOA) method. The experimental phase separation data were correlated with liquid-liquid equilibria relations based on PC-SAFT equation of state. The phase separations of these system showed the behaviors of LCST (lower critical solution temperature)-type. The measured cloud temperatures were lowered with increasing in molecular weights of polymer(PVPh), and cloud temperatures of PVPh/Ethyl Acetate solutions shifted to lower temperature regions, compared to the PVPh/Butyl Acetate solutions. Extents of cross-association between solvent molecule and polymer in the PVPh/Ethyl Acetate solutions were measured using the FT-IR spectrum analysis method, and cross-association parameters of PC-SAFT model were estimated from experimental extents of cross-association. By using the estimated cross-association parameters between PVPh and solvent molecule, binodal and spinodal curves of liquid-liquid equilibria in PVPh/Ethyl Acetate and PVPh/Butyl Acetate solutions were calculated from PC-SAFT equation of state. The calculated binodal curves of these system were shown to be well agreeable with the experimental cloud temperature curves.

Analytical Study of Ultimate Behavior of Steel Cable-stayed Bridges (완성계 강사장교의 극한 거동의 해석적 연구)

  • Kim, Seungjun;Im, Seok-Been;Lee, Kee-Sei;Kang, Young-Jong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.2A
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents an investigation on the ultimate behavior of steel cable-stayed bridges using nonlinear finite element analysis method. Cable-stayed bridges exhibit various geometric nonlinearities as well as material nonlinearities, so rational nonlinear finite element analysis should be performed for investigation of the ultimate behavior. In this study, ultimate behavior of steel cable-stayed bridges was studied using rational ultimate analysis method. Nonlinear equivalent truss element and nonlinear frame element were used for modeling the cable, girder and mast. Moreover, refined plastic hinge method was adopted for considering the material nonlinearity of steel members. In this study, the 2-step analysis method was used. Before live load analysis, initial shape analysis was performed in order to consider the dead load condition. For investigation of the ultimate behavior of steel cable-stayed bridges, analysis models which span length is 920.0 m were used. Radiating type and fan type were considered as the cable-arrangement types. With various quantitative evidences such as load-displacement curves, deformed shapes, locations of the yield point or region, bending moment distribution and so on, the ultimate behavior of steel cable-stayed bridges was investigated and described in this paper.

Assessment of the Internal Pressure Fragility of the PWR Containment Building Using a Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis (비선형 유한요소 해석을 이용한 PWR 격납건물의 내압 취약도 평가)

  • Hahm, Daegi;Park, Hyung-Kui;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the probabilistic internal pressure fragility analysis was performed by using the non-linear finite element analysis method. The target structure is one of the containment buildings of typical domestic pressurized water reactors(PWRs). The 3-dimensional finite element model of the containment building was developed with considering the large equipment hatches. To consider uncertainties in the material properties and structural capacities, we performed the sensitivity analysis of the ultimate pressure capacity with respect to the variation of four important uncertain parameters. The results of the sensitivity analysis were used to the selection of the probabilistic variables and the determination of their probabilistic parameters. To reflect the present condition of the tendon pre-stressing force, the data of the pre-stressing force acquired from the in-service inspections of tendon forces were used for the determination of the median value. Two failure modes(leak, rupture) were considered and their limit states were defined to assess the internal pressure fragility of target containment building. The internal pressure fragilities for each failure mode were evaluated in terms of median internal pressure capacity, high confidence low probability of failure(HCLPF) capacity, and fragility curves with respect to the confidence levels. The HCLPF capacity was 115.9 psig for leak failure mode, and 125.0 psig for rupture failure mode.

Thermal pointing error analysis of the observation satellites with interpolated temperature based on PAT method (PAT 기반 온도장 보간을 이용한 관측위성의 열지향오차해석)

  • Lim, Jae Hyuk;Kim, Sun-Won;Kim, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Chang-Ho;Jun, Hyoung-Yoll;Oh, Hyeon Cheol;Shin, Chang Min;Lee, Byung Chai
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.80-87
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    • 2016
  • In this work, we conduct a thermal pointing error analysis of the observation satellites considering seasonal and daily temperature variation with interpolated temperature based on prescribed average temperature (PAT) method. Maximum 200 degree temperature excursion is applied to the observation satellites during on-orbit operation, which cause the line of sight (LOS) to deviate from the designated pointing direction due to thermo-elastic deformation. To predict and adjust such deviation, the thermo-elastic deformation analysis with a fine structural finite element model is accomplished with interpolated thermal maps calculated from the results of on-station thermal analysis with a coarse thermal model. After verifying the interpolated temperatures by PAT with two benchmark problems, we evaluate the thermal pointing error.

Study of Motion-induced Dose Error Caused by Irregular Tumor Motion in Helical Tomotherapy (나선형 토모테라피에서 불규칙적인 호흡으로 발생되는 움직임에 의한 선량 오차에 대한 연구)

  • Cho, Min-Seok;Kim, Tae-Ho;Kang, Seong-Hee;Kim, Dong-Su;Kim, Kyeong-Hyeon;Cheon, Geum Seong;Suh, Tae Suk
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze motion-induced dose error generated by each tumor motion parameters of irregular tumor motion in helical tomotherapy. To understand the effect of the irregular tumor motion, a simple analytical model was simulated. Moving cases that has tumor motion were divided into a slightly irregular tumor motion case, a large irregular tumor motion case and a patient case. The slightly irregular tumor motion case was simulated with a variability of 10% in the tumor motion parameters of amplitude (amplitude case), period (period case), and baseline (baseline case), while the large irregular tumor motion case was simulated with a variability of 40%. In the phase case, the initial phase of the tumor motion was divided into end inhale, mid exhale, end exhale, and mid inhale; the simulated dose profiles for each case were compared. The patient case was also investigated to verify the motion-induced dose error in 'clinical-like' conditions. According to the simulation process, the dose profile was calculated. The moving case was compared with the static case that has no tumor motion. In the amplitude, period, baseline cases, the results show that the motion-induced dose error in the large irregular tumor motion case was larger than that in the slightly irregular tumor motion case or regular tumor motion case. Because the offset effect was inversely proportion to irregularity of tumor motion, offset effect was smaller in the large irregular tumor motion case than the slightly irregular tumor motion case or regular tumor motion case. In the phase case, the larger dose discrepancy was observed in the irregular tumor motion case than regular tumor motion case. A larger motion-induced dose error was also observed in the patient case than in the regular tumor motion case. This study analyzed motion-induced dose error as a function of each tumor motion parameters of irregular tumor motion during helical tomotherapy. The analysis showed that variability control of irregular tumor motion is important. We believe that the variability of irregular tumor motion can be reduced by using abdominal compression and respiratory training.

Developing and Applying the Questionnaire to Measure Science Core Competencies Based on the 2015 Revised National Science Curriculum (2015 개정 과학과 교육과정에 기초한 과학과 핵심역량 조사 문항의 개발 및 적용)

  • Ha, Minsu;Park, HyunJu;Kim, Yong-Jin;Kang, Nam-Hwa;Oh, Phil Seok;Kim, Mi-Jum;Min, Jae-Sik;Lee, Yoonhyeong;Han, Hyo-Jeong;Kim, Moogyeong;Ko, Sung-Woo;Son, Mi-Hyun
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted to develop items to measure scientific core competency based on statements of scientific core competencies presented in the 2015 revised national science curriculum and to identify the validity and reliability of the newly developed items. Based on the explanations of scientific reasoning, scientific inquiry ability, scientific problem-solving ability, scientific communication ability, participation/lifelong learning in science presented in the 2015 revised national science curriculum, 25 items were developed by five science education experts. To explore the validity and reliability of the developed items, data were collected from 11,348 students in elementary, middle, and high schools nationwide. The content validity, substantive validity, the internal structure validity, and generalization validity proposed by Messick (1995) were examined by various statistical tests. The results of the MNSQ analysis showed that there were no nonconformity in the 25 items. The confirmatory factor analysis using the structural equation modeling revealed that the five-factor model was a suitable model. The differential item functioning analyses by gender and school level revealed that the nonconformity DIF value was found in only two out of 175 cases. The results of the multivariate analysis of variance by gender and school level showed significant differences of test scores between schools and genders, and the interaction effect was also significant. The assessment items of science core competency based on the 2015 revised national science curriculum are valid from a psychometric point of view and can be used in the science education field.

Throughfall, Stemflow and Interception Loss of the Natural Old-growth Deciduous and Planted Young Coniferous in Gwangneung and the Rehabilitated Young Mixed Forest in Yangju, Gyeonggido(I) - with a Special Reference on the Results of Measurement - (광릉(光陵) 활엽수(闊葉樹) 천연노령림(天然老齡林)과 침엽수(針葉樹) 인공유령림(人工幼齡林) 그리고 양주(楊洲) 사방지(砂防地) 혼효유령림(混淆幼齡林)의 수관통과우량(樹冠通過雨量), 수간유하량(樹幹流下量) 그리고 차단손실량(遮斷損失量)에 관하여(I) - 실험적(實驗的) 측정결과(測定結果)를 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Kim, Kyongha;Jun, Jaehong;Yoo, Jaeyun;Jeong, Yongho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.94 no.6
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    • pp.488-495
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    • 2005
  • This study was conducted to understand the influences of forest structure on throughfall, stemflow and interception loss. The study plots included the natural old-growth deciduous, Pinus koraiensis and Abies holophylla forests in Gwangneung and the rehabilitated young mixed forest in Yangju, Gyeonggido. The Pinus koraiensis and Abies hotophylla had been planted in 1976. The rehabilitated young mixed forest had been established to control erosion in 1974. Total and net rainfall were monitored from March, 2003 to October, 2004. Tipping bucket rain gauge recorded total rainfall. Throughfall and stemflow were measured by custom-made tipping bucket and CR10X data logger at each $10m{\times}10m$ plots at intervals of 30 minutes. Interception loss in the Pinus koraiensis plot were most as 37.2% of total rainfall and least as 22.6% in the rehabilitated young mixed forest. Stemflow in the rehabilitated young mixed forest was 10.7% of total rainfall and stemflow in the Pinus koraiensis plot was 2.4%. The average throughfall ratio ranged from 66% to 77% depending on the canopy coverage. The relationship of stemflow and total rainfall represented in a linear regression equation though the variation of data was large. The ratio of stemflow-conversion was 2% of total rainfall in the Pinus koraiensis plot and 12% in the rehabilitated young mixed forest, respectively. The stem storage of the natural old-growth deciduous was the largest of 0.21 mm whereas that of the Pinus koraiensis plot was the least of 0.003 mm. A deciduous forest produced stemflow more than a coniferous forest due to a smooth bark and steeply angled branches. Interception loss of all study plots increased linearly as total rainfall increased. The distribution of interception loss data related in total rainfall became wider in a deciduous forest than a coniferous. It resulted from seasonality of leaf area index in a deciduous forest. As considered above results, it was confirmed that there were great differences of throughfall, stemflow and interception loss depending on forest stand structures. The simulation model for predicting interception loss must have parameters such as forest stand characteristics and LAI in order to describe the influence of forest structure on interception loss.