• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분산추정량

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On the Probability of the Estimate of Variance Components that is Negative in Unbalanced One-Way Random Model (불균형(不均衡) 일원(一元) 변량모형(變量模型)에서 추정방법(推定方法)에 따른 분산성분(分散成分)의 추정량(推定量)이 음(陰)이 될 확률(確率)의 계산(計算))

  • Song, Gyu-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.4
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 1993
  • For the One-way random effects model with unbalanced data, the AOV and MINQUE estimates of variance components are frequently found to be negative. The primary objective of present study is placed on the computation of the probability of the main effect variance component, being negative. The probability of negative estimators from AOV and MINQUE can be obtained by theoretical computation under the normality assumption. It is, however, difficult to compute the probability of negative estimates for these estimators under arbitrary distributions, and hence their probabilities of being negative were computed by simulation experiment in this study. It was shown that there was no significant difference between the theoretical probability under normality and calculated probability by simulation experiment, and that probability of negative estimates decreases as sample size, number of levels and the value of increase.

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Projection analysis for split-plot data (분할구자료의 사영분석)

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2017
  • This paper discusses a method of analyzing data from split-plot experiments by projections. The assumed model for data has two experimental errors due to two different experimental sizes and some random components in treatment effects. Residual random models are constructed to obtain sums of squares due to random effects. Expectations of sums of squares are obtained by Hartley's synthesis. Estimable functions of fixed effects are discussed.

표본분산에 대한 고찰

  • 장대홍
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2004
  • 우리는 모분산 $\sigma^2$에 대한 추정량으로서 표본분(equation omitted)을 주로 사용한다. 그러나, 제 7차 교육 과정에 따른 고등학교 수학 교과서(10-가, 수학 I과 실용수학)에서는 표본분산의 정의를(equation omitted)으로 사용하고 있다. 이 두 표본분산들의 관계를 알아보고, 시뮬레이션을 통하여 확인하여 본다.

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A Study on Sample Allocation for Stratified Sampling (층화표본에서의 표본 배분에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Ingue;Park, Mingue
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1047-1061
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    • 2015
  • Stratified random sampling is a powerful sampling strategy to reduce variance of the estimators by incorporating useful auxiliary information to stratify the population. Sample allocation is the one of the important decisions in selecting a stratified random sample. There are two common methods, the proportional allocation and Neyman allocation if we could assume data collection cost for different observation units equal. Theoretically, Neyman allocation considering the size and standard deviation of each stratum, is known to be more effective than proportional allocation which incorporates only stratum size information. However, if the information on the standard deviation is inaccurate, the performance of Neyman allocation is in doubt. It has been pointed out that Neyman allocation is not suitable for multi-purpose sample survey that requires the estimation of several characteristics. In addition to sampling error, non-response error is another factor to evaluate sampling strategy that affects the statistical precision of the estimator. We propose new sample allocation methods using the available information about stratum response rates at the designing stage to improve stratified random sampling. The proposed methods are efficient when response rates differ considerably among strata. In particular, the method using population sizes and response rates improves the Neyman allocation in multi-purpose sample survey.

An Estimation Procedure Using Updated Stratification Sample in Panel Survery (패널표본조사에서 층간변동을 고려한 추정방법)

  • 김영원;오명신
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.461-475
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    • 1998
  • In panel survey in which the sample is selected by stratified random sampling, if the sampling units shift from a stratum to others in time, then the movement should be incorporated in the estimation procedures. Dealing with the problem caused by the movement of units across stratum in the updated stratification sample, the bias of the conventional estimator neglecting the movement is investigated, arid the bias-adjusted estimators are proposed. The variance estimator of the suggested estimators is also derived. It is illustrated via a simulation study that the proposed estimators beat the conventional estimator in the sense of bias and mean squared error In particular, when the Neyman allocation is applied in stratified sampling, the proposed estimator is shown much more effective to this end.

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A Study on Uncertainty of Risk of Failure Based on Gumbel Distribution (Gumbel 분포형을 이용한 위험도에 관한 불확실성 해석)

  • Heo Jun-Haeng;Lee Dong-Jin;Shin Hong-Joon;Nam Woo-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.659-668
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    • 2006
  • The uncertainty of the risk of failure of hydraulic structures can be determined by estimating the variance of the risk of failure based on the methods of moments, probability weighted moments, and maximum likelihood assuming that the underlying model is the Gumbel distribution. In this paper, the variance of the risk of failure was derived. Monte Carlo simulation was peformed to verify the characteristics of the derived formulas for various sample size, design life, nonexceedance probability, and variation coefficient. As the results, PWM showed the smallest relative bias and root mean square error than the others while ML showed the smallest ones for relatively large sample siBes regardless of design life and nonexceedance probability. Also, it was found that variation coefficient does not effect on the relative bias and relative root mean square error.

무응답 보정에서 변수 선택을 이용한 보조정보의 결정에 관한 연구

  • 손창균;홍기학;이기성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2001
  • 조사과정에서 필연적으로 발생하는 무응답을 보정하기 위해 보조정보를 사용한다. 이 때, 이용 가능한 보조정보의 차원이 크면, 계산과정에서 많은 시간이 소요되며 데이터를 다루기가 매우 어렵다. 또한 추정량의 분산이 보조정보의 차원에 의존하기 때문에 과소추정의 문제가 발생한다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 무응답 보정에서 적절한 보조정보의 선택 방법을 제안하였고, 이에 대한 효율성을 모의실험을 통해 살펴보았다.

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Determination of Sample Size and Comparison of Efficiency in Adaptive Cluster Sampling (적응집락추출에서 표본크기 결정과 추정량의 효율 비교)

  • NamKung, Pyong;Won, Hye-Kyoung;Choi, Jae-Hyuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.605-618
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    • 2007
  • Adaptive sampling design is the selection procedure which depends on observed values of the variable of interest. It is the method which could be applied to the rare and unapproachable population. Adaptive cluster sampling strategies are more efficient than simple random sampling on equivalent sample size. Adaptive sampling with new estimators through the Rao-blackwell method have lower variance than Horvitz-Thompson (HT) and Hansen-Hurwitz (HH). Also, to determine suitable sample size, it was used expected sample and the method finding appropriate sample size by changing initial sample size were studied.

Target Localization Using Geometry of Detected Sensors in Distributed Sensor Network (분산센서망에서 표적을 탐지한 센서의 기하학적 구조를 이용한 표적위치 추정)

  • Ryu, Chang Soo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2016
  • In active sonar field, a target detection and localization based on a distributed sensor network has been much studied for the underwater surveillance of the coast. Zhou et al. proposed a target localization method utilizing the positions of target-detected sensors in distributed sensor network which consists of detection-only sensors. In contrast with a conventional method, Zhou's method dose not require to estimate the propagation model parameters of detection signal. Also it needs the lower computational complexity, and to transmit less data between network nodes. However, it has large target localization error. So it has been modified for reducing localization error by Ryu. Modified Zhou's method has better estimation performance than Zhou's method, but still relatively large estimation error. In this paper, a target localization method based on modified Zhou's method is proposed for reducing the localization error. The proposed method utilizes the geometry of the positions of target-detected sensors and a line that represents the bearing of target, a line can be found by modified Zhou's method. This paper shows that the proposed method has better target position estimation performance than Zhou's and modified Zhou's method by computer simulations.

Properties of alternative VaR for multivariate normal distributions (다변량 정규분포에서 대안적인 VaR의 특성)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Lee, Gi Pum
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1453-1463
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    • 2016
  • The most useful financial risk measure may be VaR (Value at Risk) which estimates the maximum loss amount statistically. The VaR tends to be estimated in many industries by using transformed univariate risk including variance-covariance matrix and a specific portfolio. Hong et al. (2016) are defined the Vector at Risk based on the multivariate quantile vector. When a specific portfolio is given, one point among Vector at Risk is founded as the best VaR which is called as an alternative VaR (AVaR). In this work, AVaRs have been investigated for multivariate normal distributions with many kinds of variance-covariance matrix and various portfolio weight vectors, and compared with VaRs. It has been found that the AVaR has smaller values than VaR. Some properties of AVaR are derived and discussed with these characteristics.