• Title/Summary/Keyword: 부동산

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The Empirical Information Spillover Effect between the Housing Market and the Stock Market (주택시장과 주식시장 간의 정보 이전효과의 연구)

  • Choi, Chasoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2021
  • This paper empirically examined the relationship between the housing market and the stock market to investigate the price and the asymmetric volatility spillover effects. The monthly housing price index and the monthly KOSPI were used for analysis. This research employed the EGARCH model. The analysis period was from January 1986 until June 2021 with periodization centered on the Asian Financial Crisis: before and after the crisis - the end of December 1997. The EGARCH model allows analysis of 'good news' and 'bad news' in understanding volatility. The price spillover effect was observed one way from the stock market to the housing market. On the contrary, the spillover effect was not found from the housing market to the stock market. The empirical evidence suggests that there are price and asymmetric volatility effects in the entire period of analysis in both housing and the stock markets. In the housing market, the negative effects of information were found pre-financial crisis while the positive effects, in other periods. However, in the stock market, the negative effects of information were found in the pre- and post-financial crisis periods. This means that the housing market is more affected by 'good news' than 'bad news' when information spreads to the markets while the stock market is more affected by 'bad news' than 'good news'. It is of significance to discover the variable returns by different information.

A Study on the Forecasting Trend of Apartment Prices: Focusing on Government Policy, Economy, Supply and Demand Characteristics (아파트 매매가 추이 예측에 관한 연구: 정부 정책, 경제, 수요·공급 속성을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jung-Mok;Choi, Su An;Yu, Su-Han;Kim, Seonghun;Kim, Tae-Jun;Yu, Jong-Pil
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.91-113
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    • 2021
  • Despite the influence of real estate in the Korean asset market, it is not easy to predict market trends, and among them, apartments are not easy to predict because they are both residential spaces and contain investment properties. Factors affecting apartment prices vary and regional characteristics should also be considered. This study was conducted to compare the factors and characteristics that affect apartment prices in Seoul as a whole, 3 Gangnam districts, Nowon, Dobong, Gangbuk, Geumcheon, Gwanak and Guro districts and to understand the possibility of price prediction based on this. The analysis used machine learning algorithms such as neural networks, CHAID, linear regression, and random forests. The most important factor affecting the average selling price of all apartments in Seoul was the government's policy element, and easing policies such as easing transaction regulations and easing financial regulations were highly influential. In the case of the three Gangnam districts, the policy influence was low, and in the case of Gangnam-gu District, housing supply was the most important factor. On the other hand, 6 mid-lower-level districts saw government policies act as important variables and were commonly influenced by financial regulatory policies.

Analysis of the Correlation between Social Factors and the Use of Hydrophilic Facilities by Age Group - Case Study at the Samrak and Daejeo Ecological Park (사회적 요인 및 연령대별 친수공원 이용에 관한 상관관계 분석 - 삼락과 대저생태공원을 대상으로)

  • Choi, In-Ho;Lee, Min-Young;Yoon, Hee-Ra;Kim, Seong Jun;Kim, Chang Sung
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.273-280
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    • 2021
  • In the past, the government made a total of 357 hydrophilic districts into parks to create rest areas in the national river with the four major river projects. According to the results of the survey, 60 water-friendly districts with low utilization were lifted in January 2017, and 297 water-friendly districts are currently being managed. Local governments are in charge of the maintenance costs necessary to maintain these hydrophilic districts, which require considerable costs, so it is necessary to accurately grasp the characteristics and needs of local residents at the operation stage after designation. In this study, the characteristics of local residents in the hydrophilic district were analyzed by correlating social factors with river users, crawling social network data to analyze visit patterns, and derived related Keywords, and analyzed the characteristics of the hydrophilic district. The study target areas are Samrak and Daejeo Ecological Park, located downstream of the Nakdonggang River. Social factors analyzed real estate transaction price data, economic activity income, households, stress perception rate, and pet breeding status through public data provided by Statistics Korea, and analyzed user visit patterns and image keywords on weekends.

Chronotope and Feeling: Gangnam Blues (시공간과 감정- 『강남1970』)

  • Kim, Miehyeon
    • Cross-Cultural Studies
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    • v.53
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    • pp.193-218
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    • 2018
  • In this essay, I examine the interactions of chronotopes in the narrative of Gangnam Blues, a film written and directed by Yu Ha and released in 2015. Bakhtin's chronotope, the connectedness of temporal and spatial relationships in literary narratives, provides the background for the representability of events and becomes the organizing center for the events. Each chronotope offers a different way of acting, interacting and understanding experience, and chronotopes can interact with each other in a single text or between the reader and the represented world. Gangnam Blues is a gangster movie, first of all, showing an individual's illusion of an unlimited possibility for achieving wealth and power. At the same time, the film describes the government's project to transform Gangam, a rural area in the south of the Han, into a new downtown and residential area for Seoul. As the world in the narrative and the world of the author or the reader are all chronotopic, we can see the interactions of chronotopes between the narrative of an individual and the historical narrative, as well as between the narrative about the beginning of Gangnam and the audience's perception of the present Gangnam. In this film, the main character's ambition is shown as part of the social desire for rapid economic achievements in the 1970s, along with high social mobility. The social desire can be explained as envy, as it is fueled by social comparisons and competitions. The main character's pursuit of money and power through the possession of Gangnam land overlaps with the envious desire for the present Gangnam shared by many. The individual's exceptional ambition and violence are not fully examined in this text. Moreover, the film's dependence on the feelings of envy to represent the individual's choice and violence can be a symptom of the lack of critical distance from social desire and envy.

A Study on Effects of Regional Income Level on Subjective Income Status, and impact on Subjective Well-being - Focused on Reference Group Effects - (지역의 소득수준이 계층인식 불일치와 삶의 만족감에 미치는 영향 - 준거집단효과를 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Ah-Rim;Ma, Kang-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2019
  • There have been a growing number of studies that show huge discrepancies between individuals' perceptions of relative economic position and the economic position based on the reported income in the survey. If this is the case, it is expected that the impact of perceived income status on individual happiness can be different from that of objective income status based on the reported income. The aim of this study is to investigate the factors affecting the discrepancies between perception and reality with respect to relative income status, focusing on the 'Reference group theory'. This study also tries to extend existing knowledge of the relative status on the happiness level of individuals, by examining how individual's happiness can be changed by providing the accurate information about their objective income level. There are systematic biases in perceived income status. A majority of people who actually rank in the lower part of income ladder place themselves in higher positions, while a significant portion of rich individuals underestimate their actual income status. Secondly, the misperception about the income distribution is affected by a variety of individual, household characteristics and reference group income. Thirdly, providing individuals with accurate information has a considerable effect on their happiness level.

A Study on the Multi-dimensional Greening Preferential Factors for Securing Green Spaces in Cities (도시 녹지 공간 확보를 위한 건물의 입체녹화 선호요인에 관한 연구)

  • CHOI, Jae-Hyun;LEE, Myeong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.521-530
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    • 2019
  • With a view to respond to urban climate change issues and improve the urban environment in a qualitative manner, the strategy of multi-dimensional greening of the traditional markets in the City of Seoul to secure the multi-dimensional green spaces can result in a significant effect in terms of landscaping, environment, and spatial aspect. The purpose of this study is to examine the elements of multi-dimensional greening for the multi-dimensional greening of buildings in order to enhance the greening function within urban phenomena and, with this, establish the criteria for success introduction of multi-dimensional greening and its qualitative expansion. For this, a total of 569 consumers of traditional markets have been interviewed, and the data from their questionnaires were analyzed through SPSS and AMOS software. The result of the analysis showed that the elements of the multi-dimensional greening of traditional markets, such as the economical, physical, functional, visual, and facility aspects all affected the consumer expectation in a positive manner. Also, depending on the gender of the customers of traditional markets, the ecological aspect among the elements of multi-dimensional greening had a significant difference. And, by the age, the functional, physical, and visual aspects of the elements of multi-dimensional greening showed a significant different. And, the expectation on the multidimensional greening of traditional markets also showed a statistically significant difference. By the level of education, there were significant differences in terms of the physical and visual aspects of the multi-dimensional greening elements. And, the level of expectation on the multidimensional greening also differed significantly.

Seasonal analysis of Beach-related Issues using Local Newspaper Articles and Topic Modeling (지역신문기사 자료와 토픽모델링을 이용한 해변 관련 계절별 현안분석)

  • Yoo, Mu-Sang;Jeong, Su-Yeon;Kim, Geon-Hu;Sohn, Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the seasonal issues using the local newspaper articles with the keyword beach from 2004 to 2017. Topic modeling and Time series regression analysis based on open source programs were performed for analysis. Topic modeling results showed 35 topics in spring, 47 topics in summer, 36 topics in autumn and 35 topics in winter. The common themes were 'beaches', 'festivals and events', 'accident and environmental issues', 'tourism', 'development and sale', 'administration and policy' and 'weather'. Time series regression analysis showed in the spring, 5 Hot-Topics and 2 Cold-Topic were found out of the 35 topics. In the summer, 6 Hot-Topics and 3 Cold-Topic were found out of the 47 topics. In the autumn, 4 Hot-Topics and 3 Cold-Topic were found out of the 36 topics. In the winter, 3 Hot-Topics and 3 Cold-Topic were found out of the 35 topics. And for each season, topics that do not fall into the Hot-Topic and Cold-Topic are classified as Neutral-Topic. In this study if seasonal uses are different such as beaches are deemed that seasonal topic modeling for analysis of regional issues will yield more useful results and enable detailed diagnosis.

Reasonable Adjustment plan of Administrative boundary for Cadastral Re-examination district - Based on the result of Cadastral resurvey in Songgi-ri - (지적재조사사업지구 내 행정구역경계 합리적 조정방안 - 지적재조사사업 송기지구 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Honng-Ryeol;Heo, Tae-Heon;Lee, Keon-soo
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.31-49
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    • 2018
  • The boundaries of administrative districts are the basic system for the whole country and are closely related to the daily life of the residents. The administrative boundary of Korea is registered and managed in the cadastral study based on the intellectual study of cadastral system. There is a non-conforming land where the registration details of some cadastral studies do not match the actual situation of the land, and the cadastral rehabilitation project is implemented as a national project to create a new digital cadastral study. However, due to the cadastral rehabilitation project, there is an unreasonable parcel that the past administrative boundaries and newly registered boundaries are different from each other due to the registration of the past administrative boundaries for the newly registered cadastral studies. The purpose of this study is to identify the unreasonable administrative boundaries arising from the cadastral rehabilitation project and to identify problems in order to effectively manage the number of branches in terms of administrative and administrative efficiency in terms of registration and inhabitants management. It is expected that the legal system will be improved to legitimately control the boundary of the administrative district and to manage the boundaries of the administrative district accordingly and to provide the service and to solve the inconvenience of the nation.

Can Housing Prices Be an Alternative to a Census-based Deprivation Index? An Evaluation Based on Multilevel Modeling (주택가격이 센서스에 기반한 박탈지수의 대안이 될 수 있는가?: 다수준 모델에 기반한 평가)

  • Sohn, Chul;Nakaya, Tomoki
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.197-211
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    • 2018
  • We conducted this research to examine how well regional housing prices are suited to use as an alternative to conventional census-based regional deprivation indices in health and medical geography studies. To examine the relative performance of mean regional housing prices compared to conventional census-based regional deprivation indices, we compared several multilevel logistic regression models, where the first level was individuals and the second was health districts in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) in Korea, for the sake of adjusting the regional clustering tendency of unknown factors. In these models, we predicted two dichotomous variables that represented individuals' after-lunch tooth brushing behavior and use of dental floss by individual characteristics and regional indices. Then, we compared the relative predictive performance of the models using the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). The results from the estimations showed that mean regional housing prices and census-based deprivation indices were correlated with the two types of dental health behavior in a statistical sense. The results also revealed that the model with mean regional housing prices showed smaller AIC and BIC compared with other models with conventional census-based deprivation indices. These results imply that it is possible for housing prices summarized using aerial units to be used as an alternative to conventional census-based deprivation indices when the census variables employed cannot properly reflect the characteristics of the aerial units.

The Study on the Influential Factors on Commercial Gentrification in Seoul (서울시 상업젠트리피케이션 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gyoung-Sun;Kim, Dong-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.340-348
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzes the factors that influence commercial gentrification in Seoul by using both logit model analysis and machine learning with data cumulated from 2015 to 2018 regarding 158 market areas. Logit analysis indicates that log(market area average monthly rent) and the ratio of the purchasing amount by customers aged 40 and younger to total sales in the restaurant and retail business category are statistically significant at 1%; the increase in sales per female customer aged between 30 and 39 in the restaurant and retail business category is statistically significant at 5%; and the increase in number of retailers with a business history of less than two years in the franchise business category is significant at 10%. Machine learning indicates that significant factors ordered by importance are the total retail area, the existence of an industrial complex within the market area, the existence of a traditional market within the market area, the location of subway stations within the market area, the increase of entertainment facilities such as movie theaters within the market area, average monthly rent, and the growth rate of average monthly rent. The contribution of this research is threefold. First, this study analyzes the entire commercial area of Seoul, Korea. Second, this study provides a foundation for future research on predictive indicators by empirically investigating the factors that influence commercial gentrification in Seoul. Lastly, this study introduces various methods of research by utilizing a machine learning approach.