• Title/Summary/Keyword: 베이지안 확률 모델

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Fire-Smoke Detection Based on Video using Dynamic Bayesian Networks (동적 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 동영상 기반의 화재연기감지)

  • Lee, In-Gyu;Ko, Byung-Chul;Nam, Jae-Yeol
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4C
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    • pp.388-396
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new fire-smoke detection method by using extracted features from camera images and pattern recognition technique. First, moving regions are detected by analyzing the frame difference between two consecutive images and generate candidate smoke regions by applying smoke color model. A smoke region generally has a few characteristics such as similar color, simple texture and upward motion. From these characteristics, we extract brightness, wavelet high frequency and motion vector as features. Also probability density functions of three features are generated using training data. Probabilistic models of smoke region are then applied to observation nodes of our proposed Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) for considering time continuity. The proposed algorithm was successfully applied to various fire-smoke tasks not only forest smokes but also real-world smokes and showed better detection performance than previous method.

Urban Flood Risk Assessment Considering Climate Change Using Bayesian Probability Statistics and GIS: A Case Study from Seocho-Gu, Seoul (베이지안 확률통계와 GIS를 연계한 기후변화 도시홍수 리스크 평가: 서울시 서초구를 대상으로)

  • LEE, Sang-Hyeok;KANG, Jung-Eun;PARK, Chang-Sug
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

Hunan Interaction Recognition with a Network of Dynamic Probabilistic Models (동적 확률 모델 네트워크 기반 휴먼 상호 행동 인식)

  • Suk, Heung-Il;Lee, Seong-Whan
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.36 no.11
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    • pp.955-959
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a novel method for analyzing human interactions based on the walking trajectories of human subjects. Our principal assumption is that an interaction episode is composed of meaningful smaller unit interactions, which we call 'sub-interactions.' The whole interactions are represented by an ordered concatenation or a network of sub-interaction models. From the experiments, we could confirm the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method by analyzing the inner workings of an interaction network and comparing the performance with other previous approaches.

Experimental Validation of Crack Growth Prognosis under Variable Amplitude Loads (변동진폭하중 하에서 균열성장 예측의 실험적 검증)

  • Leem, Sang-Hyuck;An, Dawn;Lim, Che-Kyu;Hwang, Woongki;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2012
  • In this study, crack growth in a center-cracked plate is predicted under mode I variable amplitude loading, and the result is validated by experiment. Huang's model is employed to describe crack growth with acceleration and retardation due to the variable loading effect. Experiment is conducted with Al6016-T6 plate, in which the load is applied, and crack length is measured periodically. Particle Filter algorithm, which is based on the Bayesian approach, is used to estimate model parameters from the experimental data, and predict the crack growth of the future in the probabilistic way. The prediction is validated by the run-to-failure results, from which it is observed that the method predicts well the unique behavior of crack retardation and the more data are used, the closer prediction we get to the actual run-to-failure data.

Development of User Interface and Blog based on Probabilistic Model for Life Log Sharing and Management (라이프 로그 공유 및 관리를 위한 확률모델 기반 사용자 인터폐이스 및 블로그 개발)

  • Lee, Jin-Hyung;Noh, Hyun-Yong;Oh, Se-Won;Hwang, Keum-Sung;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.380-384
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    • 2009
  • The log data collected on a mobile device contain diverse and continuous information about the user. From the log data, the location, pictures, running functions and services of the user can be obtained. It has interested in the research inferring the contexts and understanding the everyday-life of mobile users. In this paper, we have studied the methods for real-time collection of log data from mobile devices, analysis of the data, map based visualization and effective management of the personal everyday-life information. We have developed an application for sharing the contexts. The proposed application infers the personal contexts with Bayesian network probabilistic model. In the experiments, we confirm that the usability of visualization and information sharing functions based on the real world log data.

An Interpretable Log Anomaly System Using Bayesian Probability and Closed Sequence Pattern Mining (베이지안 확률 및 폐쇄 순차패턴 마이닝 방식을 이용한 설명가능한 로그 이상탐지 시스템)

  • Yun, Jiyoung;Shin, Gun-Yoon;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kim, Sang-Soo;Han, Myung-Mook
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2021
  • With the development of the Internet and personal computers, various and complex attacks begin to emerge. As the attacks become more complex, signature-based detection become difficult. It leads to the research on behavior-based log anomaly detection. Recent work utilizes deep learning to learn the order and it shows good performance. Despite its good performance, it does not provide any explanation for prediction. The lack of explanation can occur difficulty of finding contamination of data or the vulnerability of the model itself. As a result, the users lose their reliability of the model. To address this problem, this work proposes an explainable log anomaly detection system. In this study, log parsing is the first to proceed. Afterward, sequential rules are extracted by Bayesian posterior probability. As a result, the "If condition then results, post-probability" type rule set is extracted. If the sample is matched to the ruleset, it is normal, otherwise, it is an anomaly. We utilize HDFS datasets for the experiment, resulting in F1score 92.7% in test dataset.

Ecological Network on Benthic Diatom in Estuary Environment by Bayesian Belief Network Modelling (베이지안 모델을 이용한 하구수생태계 부착돌말류의 생태 네트워크)

  • Kim, Keonhee;Park, Chaehong;Kim, Seung-hee;Won, Doo-Hee;Lee, Kyung-Lak;Jeon, Jiyoung
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.60-75
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    • 2022
  • The Bayesian algorithm model is a model algorithm that calculates probabilities based on input data and is mainly used for complex disasters, water quality management, the ecological structure between living things or living-non-living factors. In this study, we analyzed the main factors affected Korean Estuary Trophic Diatom Index (KETDI) change based on the Bayesian network analysis using the diatom community and physicochemical factors in the domestic estuarine aquatic ecosystem. For Bayesian analysis, estuarine diatom habitat data and estuarine aquatic diatom health (2008~2019) data were used. Data were classified into habitat, physical, chemical, and biological factors. Each data was input to the Bayesian network model (GeNIE model) and performed estuary aquatic network analysis along with the nationwide and each coast. From 2008 to 2019, a total of 625 taxa of diatoms were identified, consisting of 2 orders, 5 suborders, 18 families, 141 genera, 595 species, 29 varieties, and 1 species. Nitzschia inconspicua had the highest cumulative cell density, followed by Nitzschia palea, Pseudostaurosira elliptica and Achnanthidium minutissimum. As a result of analyzing the ecological network of diatom health assessment in the estuary ecosystem using the Bayesian network model, the biological factor was the most sensitive factor influencing the health assessment score was. In contrast, the habitat and physicochemical factors had relatively low sensitivity. The most sensitive taxa of diatoms to the assessment of estuarine aquatic health were Nitzschia inconspicua, N. fonticola, Achnanthes convergens, and Pseudostaurosira elliptica. In addition, the ratio of industrial area and cattle shed near the habitat was sensitively linked to the health assessment. The major taxa sensitive to diatom health evaluation differed according to coast. Bayesian network analysis was useful to identify major variables including diatom taxa affecting aquatic health even in complex ecological structures such as estuary ecosystems. In addition, it is possible to identify the restoration target accurately when restoring the consequently damaged estuary aquatic ecosystem.

Efficient Learning of Bayesian Networks using Entropy (효율적인 베이지안망 학습을 위한 엔트로피 적용)

  • Heo, Go-Eun;Jung, Yong-Gyu
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2009
  • Bayesian networks are known as the best tools to express and predict the domain knowledge with uncertain environments. However, bayesian learning could be too difficult to do effective and reliable searching. To solve the problems of overtime demand, the nodes should be arranged orderly, so that effective structural learning can be possible. This paper suggests the classification learning model to reduce the errors in the independent condition, in which a lot of variables exist and data can increase the reliability by calculating the each entropy of probabilities depending on each circumstances. Also efficient learning models are suggested to decide the order of nodes, that has lowest entropy by calculating the numerical values of entropy of each node in K2 algorithm. Consequently the model of the most suitably settled Bayesian networks could be constructed as quickly as possible.

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A Hierarchical CPV Solar Generation Tracking System based on Modular Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크 기반 계층적 CPV 태양광 추적 시스템)

  • Park, Susang;Yang, Kyon-Mo;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.481-491
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    • 2014
  • The power production using renewable energy is more important because of a limited amount of fossil fuel and the problem of global warming. A concentrative photovoltaic system comes into the spotlight with high energy production, since the rate of power production using solar energy is proliferated. These systems, however, need to sophisticated tracking methods to give the high power production. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical tracking system using modular Bayesian networks and a naive Bayes classifier. The Bayesian networks can respond flexibly in uncertain situations and can be designed by domain knowledge even when the data are not enough. Bayesian network modules infer the weather states which are classified into nine classes. Then, naive Bayes classifier selects the most effective method considering inferred weather states and the system makes a decision using the rules. We collected real weather data for the experiments and the average accuracy of the proposed method is 93.9%. In addition, comparing the photovoltaic efficiency with the pinhole camera system results in improved performance of about 16.58%.

On-line Signature Verification using Segment Matching and LDA Method (구간분할 매칭방법과 선형판별분석기법을 융합한 온라인 서명 검증)

  • Lee, Dae-Jong;Go, Hyoun-Joo;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.34 no.12
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    • pp.1065-1074
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    • 2007
  • Among various methods to compare reference signatures with an input signature, the segment-to-segment matching method has more advantages than global and point-to-point methods. However, the segment-to-segment matching method has the problem of having lower recognition rate according to the variation of partitioning points. To resolve this drawback, this paper proposes a signature verification method by considering linear discriminant analysis as well as segment-to-segment matching method. For the final decision step, we adopt statistical based Bayesian classifier technique to effectively combine two individual systems. Under the various experiments, the proposed method shows better performance than segment-to-segment based matching method.