• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.47 no.3
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• pp.237-245
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• 2014

Volcanic ash components of Mt. Baekdu were estimated to response the change of water quality environment affected by Mt. Baekdu volcanic ash ejected during eruption. Then the change of water concentrations according to the sedimentation of volcanic ash components were analysed. To estimate volcanic ash components of Mt. Baekdu, similar volcanos were selected through the comparison of main foreign volcano's magma type and the selected volcanic ash components supposed as Baekdu Mountain's. To analyse the change of water concentrations, the change of harmful components affected by volcanic ash sedimentation were analysed and the results were compared with domestic drinking water quality standard. As the result, Al, Cd, F, Fe, Pb, Mg, Cl and Sr could affect to water quality. Among those components, concentrations of Cd, F, Fe, Pb and Mg were estimated to exceed the drinking water quality standard.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2011.02a
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• pp.188-188
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• 2011

작년 아이슬란드에서의 화산폭발로 발생된 화산재가 대기 중으로 이동하면서 유럽 공항 곳곳의 항공기 수천 편이 운항 중지되기도 하였다. 한반도내의 백두산은 약 1000전(서기 946년~947년 경) 대규모로 분화하였고, 서기 1903년, 소규모 분화한 후, 앞으로 수년~수십 년 사이에 폭발적인 분화를 재개할 가능성이 제기되고 있으며, 백두산 분화 시, 아이슬란드 화산폭발 때보다 훨씬 심각한 피해가 예상되고 있다. 따라서 백두산 화산에 대한 현지 자료의 수집과 꾸준한 모니터링(감시, 관측) 자료의 분석과 재해 예상 범위 및 대응 방안의 모색이 필요한 시점이다. 본 연구에서는 지리적으로 가까이 있으며 108개 활화산의 화산재해 방재에 관하여 꾸준히 활동하고 있는 일본에서의 화산감시 및 분화대응 시스템을 파악하고, 우리나라의 화산재해대책을 수립하기위한 시사점들을 고찰하였다. 화산의 평균적인 분화 간격은 풍수해나 지진 등 다른 재해에 비해 길기 때문에 일본 기상청에서는 과거１만년 이내에 분화한 증거가 있는 화산이 활화산으로서 인정되고 있다. 백두산은 약 1000년 전에 분화한 뒤 최근 분화의 전조현상을 보이고 있으며, 중국과 북한에 인접하여 있으므로 우리나라에 직접적인 피해는 예상되지 않으나, 우리나라에 일본과 같은 활화산이 존재하지 않기 때문에 생소하였던 화산재해란 어떠한 것이며, 향후 잠재적인 분화 가능성을 가지고 있는 백두산폭발로 인한 재해의 종류를 미리 예상하고 준비할 필요가 있다. 일본의 경우 계속적인 감시와 관측을 통한 분화예보, 경보를 발령하고 분화 시 즉각적인 방재정보를 전달, 지역주민들이 빠르게 인지, 주의하도록 화산재해 대책 시스템이 갖추어져 있다. 우리나라는 아직 중국과 북한에 인접한 백두산에 대한 관측 자료가 거의 없고, 연구를 위한 접근 또한 쉽지 않은 상황이다. 분화로 인한 직접적인 영향권에서는 벗어난다할지라도 계절적인 기상장의 영향 및 아직 예측 불가능한 백두산의 잠재적인 폭발규모에 따라 간접적인 영향을 받을 경우에 대비하여야 할 필요성이 있다고 사료된다. 또한 우리나라의 화산재해 방재력을 향상시키기 위하여 백두산 폭발로 인한 재해위험범위를 가시화하고, 분화 시에 대한 구체적인 가상시나리오를 작성하여, 화산재 및 대기오염물질의 확산시뮬레이션, 기후변화에 끼치는 영향 등을 포함하는 화산재해대책을 미리 세워 피해를 저감시킬 수 있는 방재대책을 수립해야 할 것이다.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.17-24
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• 2018

The volcanic history of the volcanic ash cloud movement recorded in the annals of the Choson dynasty in 1654, presumably due to explosive eruptions from Mt. Baekdu volcano. On October 21, 1654, volcanic ash and volcanic gas erupted from Mt. Baekdu could be interpreted as volcanic ash, which was transported to low altitude by winds of north and northeast winds and descended to the south of the peninsula along with volcanic ash clouds. The affected area appeared northward in the southern boundary of Hamgyeongdo, which is estimated to have moved the volcanic ash from Mt. Baekdu to the south of the Korean peninsula. Clouds of volcanic ash have passed through Jeokseong and Jangdan area, Gyeonggido about 500 km away from Mt. Baekdu. This is interpreted as a result of the formation of a volcanic ash cloud along the ground in a curved shape due to the influence of the prevailing wind, which was formed by Plinian-type eruption at Mt. Baekdu. This is reproduced by numerical simulations on the similar weather pattern model.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.273-289
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• 2013

Fallout ash is a notorious hazard that can have a variety of damages on agriculture and infrastructure and, most notably to aviation and human health. This study discusses the design of a conceptual model to aid in modeling the dispersal and deposition of ash from Mt. Baekdu volcano. It includes a discussion of assumptions and boundary conditions of the model as well as a detailed diagram of the conceptual model, complete with input parameters, units and equations. The two main processes contained within the model are the dispersal and deposition of ash, the outputs obtained from running the model, if designed, would be the total amount of fine ash contained in the eruption column, distance travelled by ash and ash thickness at surface.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.348-356
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• 2011

Someday Mt. Baekdu could erupt by records of orogeny activity until today. This study is to predict influence area of lava flow and volcanic ash by simulation of volcanic eruption in the Mt. Baekdu. Simulation for eruption applied to supposing 7 grade of volcanic explosivity index, season from fall to spring. As a simulation results, lava flewed down into slope of China and volcanic ash diffused over the North Korea. Volcanic ash spreads to Ulneung area after nine hours. It was predicted that 61 cities and villages out of 27 administrative districts of Si-Gun were affected by volcanic ash in North Korea and an immense volume of volcanic ash was blown into farm lands, city areas and forests. This results expected to utilize information for disaster preparation of North Korea and joint research with South-North Korea and China.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.34 no.6
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• pp.536-549
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• 2013

This study investigates the damages of and analyzes the social and economic impacts of volcanic ash eruptions in the world in order to estimate the potential volcanic ash impacts in South Korea when Mt. Baekdusan volcano erupts in the future. First, we build a comparison chart called "the impact of volcanic ash" on each economic and social sector by using major volcanic eruptions and we compare the damage with respect to volcanic ash thickness/weights. Secondly, we analyze the social and economic impact from volcanic ash. The economic damage is not likely to occur in South Korea, unless Mt. Baekdusan erupts in winter. However, the potential damage should not be overlooked because the volcanic ash may have a global impact around the world. If Mt. Baekdusan volcano erupts when the wind blows from north or northeast, the volcanic ash may then significantly affect South Korea of which economy is highly dependent on exports. Particularly when the volcanic ash moves to the densely populated metropolitan areas or agricultural areas, the damage can be significant. In preparation for the potential volcanic disasters, the volcanic ash forecast table suitable for South Korea should be prepared. In addition, building a Korean volcanic ash hazard map in advance will have a strategic significance.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.47 no.3
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• pp.205-217
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• 2014

As Mt. Backdu is expected to erupt, the social and economic impacts of the eruption on the Korean peninsula as well as on the world become a research topic of interest. If the volcano erupts, South Korea can be directly impacted by volcanic ash, which will bring out secondary damages in various ways. Given that the direct damage is a basis to estimate indirect and secondary damages, this paper was to review a method to estimate direct damages, called catastrophe risk models, and estimate the direct damages of available eruption scenarios of Mt. Baekdu. Based on the results, the damages by volcanic ash will occur mostly around Gangwon province if the Mt. Backdu erupts. Thus the inventory lists and their damage functions of Gangwon provinces were collected. In particular agricultural and forestry products were surveyed based on the land use. Direct damages were estimated using volcanic ash distribution of eruption scenarios, inventory information and their damage functions. In result, a scenario in winter caused the damage of 299.8 billion KRW (20.4% of total agricultural production in 2010) and 28.9 billion KRW (9.0% of total forestry production in 2010) in agriculture and forestry, respectively. The damages in agriculture was larger, and it is due to the damage functions which show the agricultural products are more vulnerable to volcanic ash than forestry products. Also the agricultural production (1,471.7 billion KRW in 2010) are more than 4.5 times the forestry production (322.3 billion KRW in 2010) in Gangwon province. Inje and Gangnung had the most damages in the scenario in winter. Inje had the most damage due to the thick ash deposit (8.5 mm in average) despite the low production. On the other hand, Goseong had a low damage compared to the ash thickness larger than 20mm, owing to the low production. The direct damage estimated through this process can be used to estimate indirect damages.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.243-250
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• 2011

This study considers the historical eruption record in 1702 from the volcanological point of view, which is presumed to have occurred from Mt. Baegdusan volcano. The minium volume of erupted materials is estimated to be $1.2km^3$ when calculated with an empirical formula using an isopach line obtained from two points 140 km away from the vent. The 1702 eruption was a paroxysmal one with VEI of 5. The historical record described a deposition of wind-modified fallout ash by movement of hot ash cloud. To prepare for the future eruption, we have to analyze historical literatures and understand characteristics of volcano.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.15-23
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• 2011

백두화산의 재 폭발 후에 발생할 재해에 대해 검토한 결과, 화산의 풍하측에 낙하하는 화산재에 의한 피해보다, 폭발 후 수년간 이어질 지구 냉각과 장기 가뭄 그리고 이로 인한 사회격변의 위험성이 더 큰 것으로 검토되었다. 근거로 10세기 전후 백두화산이 폭발하던 시기에, 지구냉각과 연속 대 가뭄의 재앙이 발생했으며, 후백제와 후고구려의 건국과 멸망, 신라와 발해의 멸망 등 대규모 사회격변 현상들이 있었음이 확인되었다. 백두화산의 다음 폭발시기, 그리고 이 재 폭발과 한반도의 극대가뭄이 동시에 발생할 가능성 등도 검토 되었다. 결과로서 백두산 재 폭발이 한반도의 극대 가뭄의 주기(124년)와 연관되어 동시에 발생할 가능성이 없지 않으며, 이 경우, 2025년이 재앙의 정점이 될 것으로 추론되었다.

• Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.145-168
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• 2014

Given the distance from Mt. Baekdu, volcanic ash will have the direct impact on South Korea in case Mt. Baekdu erupts. Ash fall deposits or particulate matters(PM10) in the air will cause damages in various sectors. In particular, the PM10 impact on the manufacturing sector when the ash disperses in Korea is needed to be assessed since South Korea's manufacturing sector accounts for more than 30% of GDP. Meanwhile the economic impacts of PM10, including Asian dust, have been researched in Korea as the events become frequent, and losses in the manufacturing have been also reported. This study is to identify vulnerable sectors to volcanic ash in the korean industry, and to assess economic losses in case of a Mt. Baekdu eruption scenario, based on the historical loss experience with particulate matters. Study results show that airline, precision such as electronics and semiconductors, distribution, shipbuilding, car, leisure, glass, dairy farming are vulnerable to volcanic ash, or PM10. The economic losses in both car and shipbuilding industry is estimated to 46.49 billion Korean won due to shutdown for 6 hours in case of a Mt. Baekdu eruption scenario.