• Title/Summary/Keyword: 배관파손 확률평가

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Failure Probability Assessment of Natural Gas Pipeline under Combined Stresses (복합하중에 의한 천연가스 배관의 파손확률 평가)

  • Baek, Jong-Hyun;Chang, Yun-Chan;Kim, Ik-Jung;Kim, Cheol-Man;Kim, Young-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2020
  • The structural reliability assessment can be used to improve the reliability in the asset integrity management of the pipeline by using a geometric variation, mechanical characteristics, load change and operating condition as evaluation factors. When evaluating structural reliability, the failure probability of the natural gas pipe is evaluated by the relationship of the resistance of the pipe material to external loads. The failure probability of the natural gas pipe due to the combined stresses such as the internal pressure, thermal stress and bending stress was evaluated by using COMREL program. When evaluating the failure probability of the natural gas pipe, a buried depth of 1.5 to 30 m, a wheel load of 2.5 to 20 ton, a temperature difference of 45℃, an operating pressure of 6.86MPa, and a soil density of 1.8 kN/㎥ were used. The failure probabilities of the natural gas pipe were evaluated by the Von-Mises stress criterion as the maximum allowable stress criterion under the combined stresses.

가스배관의 안전성 평가방안에 대한 고찰 (II) -손상사례 및 위험요소 평가방법에 대하여-

  • 김우식;고영태
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2000
  • 천연가스의 수송을 위해 사용되는 가스배관에 대한 구조적 안전성을 확보하기 위해서는 전체 시스템의 파손 및 위험요소를 효과적으로 평가할 필요가 있다. 위험요소(risk)라고 하면 보통 인명피해와 같은 바람직하지 않은 사고(undesired event)가 발생할 수 있는 가능성이나 확률로써 정의가 되어지는데, 가스배관이 설치되거나 작동되어 질 때에 이러한 파손(failure)의 가능성을 매우 작게 하더라도 위험요소가 존재하게 된다. 특히, 가스배관의 경우 파손으로 인한 사고빈도는 매우 낮다고 보고되어 있지만, 일단 파손이 발생하면 인명 및 재산상의 피해가 매우 크기 때문에 파손의 원인을 분석하여 파손사고의 비율을 최소한으로 낮추는 것이 필요하다. 본 고에서는 해외 가스배관 파손사례를 통해 손상발생 원인에 대해 알아보고 지하매설배관의 위험요소를 평가하는 방법에 대해 기술한다. (중략)

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Effect of Inspection on Failure Probability of Pipes in Nuclear Power Plants (원전 배관의 파손확률에 대한 검사의 영향)

  • Park, Jai-Hak;Choi, Young-Hwan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.1249-1254
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    • 2012
  • Pipe inspections conducted in nuclear power plants play an important role in ensuring the structural integrity of pipes. Because considerable manpower and expense is required for pipe inspections, it is very important to determine the optimum inspection period and the level of inspection. In this study, the effects of the period and the inspection quality on the failure probability of pipes are investigated using the P-PIE program, which has been developed to calculate the failure probability of pipes. The pipe data of an internal nuclear power plant is used in the study, and fatigue and stress corrosion crack growth are considered in the analysis.

Estimation of Failure Probability Using Boundary Conditions of Failure Pressure Model for Buried Pipelines (파손압력모델의 경계조건을 이용한 매설배관의 파손확률 평가)

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Kim, Eui-Sang;Kim, Dong-Hyeok
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.310-315
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the effect of boundary condition of failure pressure model for buried pipelines on failure prediction by using a failure probability model. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function is used in order to estimate the probability of failure associated with various corrosion defects for long exposure periods in years. A failure pressure model based on a failure function composed of failure pressure and operation pressure is adopted for the assessment of pipeline failure. The effects of random variables such as defect depth, pipe diameter, defect length, fluid pressure, corrosion rate, material yield stress, material ultimate tensile strength and pipe thickness on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are systematically studied by using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

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Estimates of Partial Safety Factors of Circumferential Through-Wall Cracked Pipes Based on Elastic-Plastic Crack Initiation Criterion (탄소성 균열개시조건에 대한 원주방향 관통균열 배관의 부분안전계수 계산)

  • Lee, Jae-Bin;Huh, Nam-Su
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.1257-1264
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    • 2014
  • Efforts are presently underway for developing an optimal design methodology for GEN-IV nuclear reactors based on target failure probabilities. A typical example is the system-based code, in which the results are represented in the form of partial safety factors (PSFs). Thus, a PSF is one of the crucial elements in either component design or integrity assessment based on target failure probabilities during the operation period. In the present study, a procedure for calculating the PSF of a circumferential through-wall cracked pipe based on the elastic-plastic crack initiation criterion is established, in which the importance of each input variable is assessed. Elastic-plastic J-integrals are calculated using the GE/EPRI and reference stress methods, and the PSF values are calculated using both first- and second-order reliability methods. Moreover, the effect of statistical distributions of assessment variables on the PSF is also evaluated.

유한요소 해석을 이용한 여러 가지 경계조건이 매설배관의 건전성에 미치는 영향

  • 이억섭;김동혁
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.68-68
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    • 2004
  • 기계기술의 지속적인 발달과 신기술의 개발로 인해 산업전반의 기반 기술인 기계 장치산업은 점점 복잡해지고 또한 다양화되면서 장치시설을 건전하고 신뢰성 있게 유지하고 관리하는 문제가 중요하게 대두되고 있다. 이중 가스 및 오일을 운송하는 배관은 대부분 지하에 매설되어 있고, 다양한 환경에 위치하여 있는데, 이러한 배관은 설치한지 오래되면 여러 가지 환경적 영향에 의해 부식과 같은 결함이 발생되고(Fig. 1과 Fig 2 참조) 이러한 결함이 성장하여 임계크기에 도달하여 대형 재난으로 발전하는 사고가 종종 보고 되고 있으며 이로 인한 경제적, 사회적 손실이 지대하기 때문에 매우 중요하게 인식되고 있다.(중략)

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Application of Risk-Informed Inservice Inspection for Piping in Nuclear Power Plants (리스크 정보를 활용한 배관 가동중검사 적용)

  • Jin, Young Bok;Jin, Seuk Hong;Moon, Yong Sig
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2011
  • Pressurized Water Reactor Owners Group(PWROG) proposed and applied a risk-informed inservice inspection(RI-ISI) program to alternate existing ASME Section XI periodic inspections. The RI-ISI programs enhance overall safety by focusing inspections of piping at high safety significant(HSS) and locations where failure mechanisms are likely to be present, and by improving the effectiveness on inspection of components because the examination methods are based on the postulated failure mode and the configuration of the piping structural element. The RI-ISI programs can reduce NDE, man-rem exposure, costs of engineering analysis, outage duration and chance of complicating plant operations etc. RI-ISI methods of piping inservice inspection were applied on 3 units(KSNP : Korea Standard Nuclear Power Plant) and are scheduled to apply on the other units. In this paper, we compared and showed the results of the 2 units and we concluded that the RI-ISI application could enhance and maintain plant safety and give unquantifiable benefits.

Risk Assessment Technique for Gas Fuel Supply System of Combined Cycle Power Plants (II) : Based on Piping System Stress Analysis (복합화력발전의 가스연료 공급계통에 대한 위험도 평가 기법 연구 (II) : 배관 시스템 응력 해석을 이용한 위험도 평가)

  • Yu, Jong Min;Song, Jung Soo;Jeong, Tae Min;Lok, Vanno;Yoon, Kee Bong
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.14-25
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    • 2018
  • The combined cycle power plant has a cycle of operating the gas turbine with fuel, such as natural gas, and then producing steam using residual heat. The fuel gas is supplied to the gas turbine at a level of 4 to 5 MPa, $200^{\circ}C$ through a compressor and a heat exchanger. In this study, the risk assessment method considering the piping system stress was carried out for safe operation and soundness of the gas fuel supply piping system. The API 580/581 RBI code, which is well known for its risk assessment techniques, is limited to reflect the effect of piping stress on risk. Therefore, the systematic stress of the pipeline is analyzed by using the piping analysis. For the study, the piping system stress analysis was performed using design data of a gas fuel supply piping of a combined cycle power plant. The result of probability of failure evaluated by the API code is compared to the result of stress ratio by piping analysis.

Evaluation of Piping Failure Probability of Reactor Coolant System in Kori Unit 1 Considering Stress Corrosion Cracking (응력부식균열을 고려한 고리 1호기 원자로냉각재계통의 배관 파손확률 평가)

  • Park, Jeong Soon;Choi, Young Hwan;Park, Jae Hak
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2010
  • The piping failure probability of the reactor coolant system in Kori unit 1 was evaluated considering stress corrosion cracking. The P-PIE program (Probabilistic Piping Integrity Evaluation Program) developed in this study was used in the analysis. The effect of some variables such as oxygen concentration during start up and steady state operation, and operating temperature, which are related with stress corrosion cracking, on the piping failure probabilities was investigated. The effects of leak detection capability, the size of big leak, piping loops, and reactor types on the piping failure probability were also investigated. The results show that (1) LOCA (loss of coolant accident) probability of Kori unit 1 is extremely low, (2) leak probability is sensitive to oxygen concentration during steady state operation and operating temperature, while not sensitive to the oxygen concentration during start up, and (3) the piping thickness and operating temperature play important roles in the leak probabilities of the cold leg in 4 reactor types having same inner diameter.

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Reliability Estimation of the Buried Pipelines for the Ground Subsidence (지반침하에 대한 매설배관의 건전성 평가)

  • 이억섭;김의상;김동혁
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.1557-1560
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the effect of varying boundary conditions such as ground subsidence on failure prediction of buried pipelines. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function is used in order to estimate the probability of failure associated with three cases of ground subsidence. We estimate the distribution of stresses imposed on the buried pipelines by varying boundary conditions and calculate the probability of pipelines with von-Mises failure criterion. The effects of random variables such as pipe diameter, internal pressure, temperature, settlement width, load for unit length of pipelines, material yield stress and thickness of pipeline on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are also systematically studied by using a failure probability model for the pipeline crossing a ground subsidence region.

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